An Experiment In Statistical Prediction Of Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change
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An Experiment In Statistical Prediction Of Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change
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Author : Robert T. Merrill
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1987
An Experiment In Statistical Prediction Of Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change written by Robert T. Merrill and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1987 with Cyclone forecasting categories.
A Statistical Model For The Prediction Of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Motion Wpclpr
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Author : Xu Yiming
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1985
A Statistical Model For The Prediction Of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Motion Wpclpr written by Xu Yiming and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1985 with Cyclone forecasting categories.
The Use Of Satellite Microwave Rainfall Measurements To Predict Eastern North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Intensity
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Author : Derek A. West
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1998
The Use Of Satellite Microwave Rainfall Measurements To Predict Eastern North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Intensity written by Derek A. West and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998 with Science categories.
This proposed study examines the potential use of satellite passive microwave rainfall measurements derived from Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I) radiometers onboard the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) constellation to improve eastern North Pacific Ocean tropical cyclone intensity change forecasting techniques. Relationships between parameters obtained from an operational SSM/I-based rainfall measuring algorithm and 12-, 24-, 36-, 48-, 60- and 72-hour intensity changes from best track data records are examined in an effort to identify statistically significant predictors of intensity change. Correlations between rainfall parameters and intensity change are analyzed using tropical cyclone data from three years, 1992 to 1994. Stratifications based upon tropical cyclone intensity, rate of intensity change, climatology, translation, landfall and synoptic-scale environmental forcing variables are studied to understand factors that may affect a statistical relationship between rainfall parameters and intensity change. The predictive skill of statistically significant rainfall parameters is assessed by using independent tropical cyclone data from another year, 1995. In addition, case studies on individual tropical cyclones are conducted to gain insight on predictive performance and operational implementation issues.
Monitoring And Prediction Of Tropical Cyclones In The Indian Ocean And Climate Change
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Author : U.C. Mohanty
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-10-12
Monitoring And Prediction Of Tropical Cyclones In The Indian Ocean And Climate Change written by U.C. Mohanty and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-10-12 with Science categories.
This book deals with recent advances in our understanding and prediction of tropical cyclogenesis, intensification and movement as well as landfall processes like heavy rainfall, gale wind and storm surge based on the latest observational and numerical weather prediction (NWP) modeling platforms. It also includes tropical cyclone (TC) management issues like early warning systems, recent high impact TC events, disaster preparedness, assessment of risk and vulnerability including construction, archiving and retrieval of the best tracking and historical data sets, policy decision etc., in view of recent findings on climate change aspects and their impact on TC activity. The chapters are authored by leading experts, both from research and operational environments. This book is relevant to cyclone forecasters and researchers, managers, policy makers, graduate and undergraduate students. It intends to stimulate thinking and hence further research in the field of TCs and climate change, especially over the Indian Ocean region and provides high-quality reference materials for all the users mentioned above for the management of TCs over this region.
Tropical Cyclone Intensity And Structure Changes Theories Observations Numerical Modeling And Forecasting
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Author : Eric Hendricks
language : en
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
Release Date : 2023-09-29
Tropical Cyclone Intensity And Structure Changes Theories Observations Numerical Modeling And Forecasting written by Eric Hendricks and has been published by Frontiers Media SA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-09-29 with Science categories.
World Weather Watch
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Author : World Meteorological Organization
language : en
Publisher: World Meteorological Organization
Release Date : 1979
World Weather Watch written by World Meteorological Organization and has been published by World Meteorological Organization this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1979 with Nature categories.
Tropical Cyclone Origin Movement And Intensity Characteristics Based On Data Compositing Techniques
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Author : W. M. Gray
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1979
Tropical Cyclone Origin Movement And Intensity Characteristics Based On Data Compositing Techniques written by W. M. Gray and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1979 with Cyclone forecasting categories.
Up-to-date results of recent tropical cyclone research at Colorado State University are presented. Particular attention is paid to new findings which impact on tropical cyclone analysis and forecasting efforts. Observational studies using large amounts of composited rawinsonde, satellite, and aircraft flight data have been performed to analyze global aspects of tropical cyclone occurrences, physical processes of tropical cyclone genesis, tropical cyclone intensity change, environmental factors influencing tropical cyclone turning motion 24-36 hours before the turn takes place, tropical cyclone intensity determination from upper tropospheric reconnaissance, and the diurnal variations of vertical motion in tropical weather systems. (Author).
Advanced Numerical Modeling And Data Assimilation Techniques For Tropical Cyclone Predictions
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Author : U.C. Mohanty
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2016-11-21
Advanced Numerical Modeling And Data Assimilation Techniques For Tropical Cyclone Predictions written by U.C. Mohanty and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-11-21 with Science categories.
This book deals primarily with monitoring, prediction and understanding of Tropical Cyclones (TCs). It was envisioned to serve as a teaching and reference resource at universities and academic institutions for researchers and post-graduate students. It has been designed to provide a broad outlook on recent advances in observations, assimilation and modeling of TCs with detailed and advanced information on genesis, intensification, movement and storm surge prediction. Specifically, it focuses on (i) state-of-the-art observations for advancing TC research, (ii) advances in numerical weather prediction for TCs, (iii) advanced assimilation and vortex initialization techniques, (iv) ocean coupling, (v) current capabilities to predict TCs, and (vi) advanced research in physical and dynamical processes in TCs. The chapters in the book are authored by leading international experts from academic, research and operational environments. The book is also expected to stimulate critical thinking for cyclone forecasters and researchers, managers, policy makers, and graduate and post-graduate students to carry out future research in the field of TCs.
A Satellite Based Multi Channel Approach To Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Using The Amsu Passive Microwave Sensor
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Author : Brian W. Kabat
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2002
A Satellite Based Multi Channel Approach To Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Using The Amsu Passive Microwave Sensor written by Brian W. Kabat and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002 with Science categories.
In tropical cyclones, a strong inverse relationship exists between the magnitude of the upper-tropospheric warm anomaly (UTWA) and minimum sea level pressure (MSLP). Uniquely poised to capture this warming aloft, the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AMSU) flown aboard current National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) polar-orbiting satellites is capable of observing Tropical Cyclones (TC's) worldwide. A physical/statistical MSLP estimation algorithm based on AMSU brightness temperature anomalies (dTbs) has been operating in an experimental mode at the University of Wisconsin Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (UW-CIMSS) for two years. The algorithm relies on a single AMSU channel (54.9 GHz) and shows great promise as a viable TC analysis tool. However, the radiances can be susceptible to environmental variability leading to sub-sampling and errors in MSLP. The goal of this research is to improve the existing single-channel algorithm by introducing an additional channel (55.5 GHz) that seeks to capture the true magnitude of the UTWA in instances when the single channel fails. By implementing the multi-channel approach, the goal is to create an operationally viable satellite-based guidance tool to help support tropical forecast and analysis centers worldwide.
Monthly Weather Review
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1991
Monthly Weather Review written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991 with Electronic journals categories.