Analyzing Capital Flow Drivers Using The At Risk Framework South Africa S Case
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Analyzing Capital Flow Drivers Using The At Risk Framework South Africa S Case
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Author : Rohit Goel
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-10-22
Analyzing Capital Flow Drivers Using The At Risk Framework South Africa S Case written by Rohit Goel and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-10-22 with Business & Economics categories.
Cross-border capital flows are important for South Africa. They fund the nation’s relatively large external financing needs and have important financial stability implications evidenced by the large capital outflows and asset price selloffs during the COVID-19 pandemic. This paper adds to the literature on the drivers of South Africa’s capital flows by applying the ‘at-risk’ framework––which differentiates between the likelihood of “extreme” inflows (surges) and outflows (reversals) and of “typical” flows––to both nonresident and resident capital flows. Estimated results show that among nonresident flows, the portfolio debt component is most sensitive to changes in external risk sentiment particularly during reversals. This applies to flows to the sovereign sector. Nonresident equity flows, both portfolio and FDI, are most sensitive to domestic economic activity especially during surges. This applies to flows to the corporate and banking sectors. Results also suggest that resident flows, in particular the FDI component, tend to offset nonresident flows, thus acting as buffers against funding withdrawal during periods of global risk aversion.
Managing Capital Flows
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Author : Masahiro Kawai
language : en
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Release Date : 2010-01-01
Managing Capital Flows written by Masahiro Kawai and has been published by Edward Elgar Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-01-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Managing Capital Flows provides analyses that can help policymakers develop a framework for managing capital flows that is consistent with prudent macroeconomic and financial sector stability. While capital inflows can provide emerging market economies with invaluable benefits in pursuing economic development and growth, they can also pose serious policy challenges for macroeconomic management and financial sector supervision. The expert contributors cover a wide range of issues related to managing capital flows and analyze the experience of emerging Asian economies in dealing with surges in capital inflows. They also discuss possible policy measures to manage capital flows while remaining consistent with the goals of macroeconomic and financial sector stability. Building on this analysis, the book presents options for workable national policies and regional policy cooperation, particularly in exchange rate management. Containing chapters that bring in international experiences relevant to Asia and other emerging market economies, this insightful book will appeal to policymakers in governments and financial institutions, as well as public and private finance experts. It will also be of great interest to advanced students and academic researchers in finance.
Managing Volatile Capital Flows Experiences And Lessons For Sub Saharan African Frontier Markets
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Author : Cheikh A. Gueye
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2014-03-26
Managing Volatile Capital Flows Experiences And Lessons For Sub Saharan African Frontier Markets written by Cheikh A. Gueye and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-03-26 with Business & Economics categories.
During the past three years the frontier markets of sub-Saharan Africa have received growing amounts of portfolio capital flows, with heightened interest from foreign investors. Compared with foreign direct investment, portfolio capital flows tend to be more volatile, and thus pose challenges for sub-Saharan African frontier markets. This study examines the evolution of capital flows since 2010 and discusses the policies these countries have designed to reduce risks from the inherent volatility of these flows.
Exchange Rate Flexibility And Credit During Capital Inflow Reversals
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Author : Mr.Nicolas E. Magud
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2014-04-16
Exchange Rate Flexibility And Credit During Capital Inflow Reversals written by Mr.Nicolas E. Magud and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-04-16 with Business & Economics categories.
We document the behavior of macro and credit variables during episodes of capital inflows reversals in economies with different degrees of exchange rate flexibility. We find that exchange rate flexibility is associated with milder credit growth during the boom but, even though smaller than in more rigid regimes, it cannot shield the economy from a credit reversal. Furthermore, we observe what we dub as a recovery puzzle: credit growth in economies with more flexible exchange rate regimes remains tepid well after the capital flow reversal takes place. This results stress the complementarity of macro-prudential policies with the exchange rate regime. More flexible regimes could help smoothing the credit cycle through capital surchages and dynamic provisioning that build buffers to counteract the credit recovery puzzle. In contrast, more rigid exchange rate regimes would benefit the most from measures to contain excessive credit growth during booms, such as reserve requirements, loan-to-income ratios, and debt-to-income and debt-service-to-income limits.
South Africa Financial Sector Assessment Program Financial System Stability Assessment
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Author : International Monetary
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2022-02-11
South Africa Financial Sector Assessment Program Financial System Stability Assessment written by International Monetary and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-02-11 with Business & Economics categories.
The economy recovered strongly in 2021, following an unprecedented real output contraction in 2020. However, the outlook remains precarious amidst projected future low growth, high unemployment and adverse debt dynamics, and the recovery pace is unlikely to be sustained. Ample buffers allowed the financial system to handle the COVID-19 shock relatively well, but domestic and external downside risks remain substantial—with potential implications for asset quality, profitability, and solvency.
India S Financial System
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Author : Mr. Alfred Schipke
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2023-07-06
India S Financial System written by Mr. Alfred Schipke and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-07-06 with Business & Economics categories.
India has experienced a prolonged period of strong economic growth since it embarked on major structural reforms and economic liberalization in 1991, with real GDP growth averaging about 6.6 percent during 1991–2019. Millions have been lifted out of poverty. With a population of 1.4 billion and about 7 percent of the world economic output (in purchasing power parity terms), India is the third largest economy—after the US and China. As such, developments in India have significant global and regional implications, including via spillovers through international trade and global supply chains. At the same time, India’s economic development has not been linear and has been impacted by external and domestic shocks, some directly related to the financial sector. Indeed, India was not spared from external regional and global shocks, such as the Asian financial crisis (1997), the global financial crisis (2008), and more recently, the devastating impact of the COVID-19 pandemic (from 2020) and the war in Ukraine (2022). The economy has also been hit by domestic shocks. The book covers how to strengthen the financial system to support growth and reduce vulnerabilities by discussing the linkages between the financial sector and growth, improvements in bank lending to foster productivity, and measures to further develop India’s corporate bond market. The book reflects on India’s success in leveraging digitalization to foster financial inclusion and highlights how the financial system can help to address climate issues. This book digs deeper into the various facets of India’s financial sector to understand its strengths and opportunities and to elicit policy actions that could help the financial sector better support India’s growth potential.
The Impact Of Gray Listing On Capital Flows An Analysis Using Machine Learning
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Author : Mizuho Kida
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-05-27
The Impact Of Gray Listing On Capital Flows An Analysis Using Machine Learning written by Mizuho Kida and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-05-27 with Business & Economics categories.
The Financial Action Task Force’s gray list publicly identifies countries with strategic deficiencies in their AML/CFT regimes (i.e., in their policies to prevent money laundering and the financing of terrorism). How much gray-listing affects a country’s capital flows is of interest to policy makers, investors, and the Fund. This paper estimates the magnitude of the effect using an inferential machine learning technique. It finds that gray-listing results in a large and statistically significant reduction in capital inflows.
Review Of The Institutional View On The Liberalization And Management Of Capital Flows Background Note On Capital Flows And Capital Flow Management Measures Benefits And Costs
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Author : Gurnain Kaur Pasricha
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2022-03-30
Review Of The Institutional View On The Liberalization And Management Of Capital Flows Background Note On Capital Flows And Capital Flow Management Measures Benefits And Costs written by Gurnain Kaur Pasricha and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-03-30 with Business & Economics categories.
The Fund’s Institutional View (IV) recognizes the benefits of and risks associated with capital flows. Since the IV was adopted, a growing literature has provided additional insights into the benefits and risks from capital flows. This note summarizes the insights from the recent literature and the experiences of staff since the adoption of the IV that have informed this review.
Africa S Development Dynamics 2023 Investing In Sustainable Development
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Author : African Union Commission
language : en
Publisher: OECD Publishing
Release Date : 2023-07-07
Africa S Development Dynamics 2023 Investing In Sustainable Development written by African Union Commission and has been published by OECD Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-07-07 with categories.
Africa’s Development Dynamics uses lessons from Central, East, North, Southern and West Africa to develop policy recommendations and share good practices across the continent. Drawing on the most recent statistics, the analysis of development dynamics aims to assist African leaders in reaching the targets of the African Union’s Agenda 2063 at all levels: continental, regional, national and local.
Managing Elevated Risk
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Author : Iwan J. Azis
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2014-12-11
Managing Elevated Risk written by Iwan J. Azis and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-12-11 with Business & Economics categories.
This book discusses the risks and opportunities that arise in Emerging Asia given the context of a new environment in global liquidity and capital flows. It elaborates on the need to ensure financial and overall economic stability in the region through improved financial regulation and other policy measures to minimize the emergent risks. "Managing Elevated Risk: Global Liquidity, Capital Flows, and Macroprudential Policy—An Asian Perspective" also explores the range of policy options that may be deployed to address the impact of global liquidity on domestic financial and socio-economic conditions including income inequality. The book is primarily aimed at policy makers, financial market regulators and supervisory agencies to help them improve national regulatory systems and to promote harmonization of national regulations and practices in line with global standards. Scholars and researchers will also gain important information and knowledge about the overall impacts of changing global liquidity from the book.