Arbitrage Based Tests Of Target Zone Credibility
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Arbitrage Based Tests Of Target Zone Credibility
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Author : José Campa
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1995
Arbitrage Based Tests Of Target Zone Credibility written by José Campa and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1995 with Foreign exchange futures categories.
The Simplest Test Of Target Zone Credibility
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Author : International Monetary Fund
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1990-11-01
The Simplest Test Of Target Zone Credibility written by International Monetary Fund and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990-11-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Under the assumption of no arbitrage exchange rate target zone credibility is tested by whether domestic interest rates fall within “rate-of-return bands” between the maximum and minimum home-currency rate of return on a foreign investment absent a devaluation. Under the assumption of uncovered interest rate parity credibility is tested by whether expected future exchange rates fall within the exchange rate band. These tests are applied on data about the Swedish target zone during January 1987-August 1990.
Arbitrage Based Tests Of Target Zone Credibility
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Author : José Manuel Campa
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1998
Arbitrage Based Tests Of Target Zone Credibility written by José Manuel Campa and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998 with categories.
This paper introduces two arbitrage-based tests of target zone credibility using a new data source, ERM cross-rate options. We use daily option prices from September 1991 to August 1994 to assess the credibility of the pound-mark and mark-lira target zones that collapsed September 1992, and the ongoing mark-French franc target zone. These tests are based on restrictions that must apply to all option prices within a credible target zone. Since they rely only on arbitrage, our tests have the advantages of being free from specification error and estimation error. Our approach enables us to identify a minimum quot;intensity of realignment,quot; an expression indicating the probability-weighted average realignment size. We also show that current option prices are consistent with considerably narrower mark-franc bands than the current 15%.
The American Economic Review
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1996
The American Economic Review written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1996 with Economics categories.
Currency Options And Exchange Rate Economics
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Author : Zhaohui Chen
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 1998-04-21
Currency Options And Exchange Rate Economics written by Zhaohui Chen and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998-04-21 with Business & Economics categories.
This volume is a collection of classical and recent empirical studies of currency options and their implications for issues of exchange rate economics, such as exchange rate risk premium, volatility, market expectations, and credibility of exchange rate regimes. It contains applications on how to extract useful information from option market data for financial forecasting policy purposes. The subjects are discussed in a self-contained, user-friendly format, with introductory chapters on currency option theory and currency option markets.The book can be used as supplementary reading for graduate finance and international economics courses, as training material for central bank and regulatory authorities, or as a reference book for financial analysts.
Forecasting Volatility In The Financial Markets
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Author : John L. Knight
language : en
Publisher: Butterworth-Heinemann
Release Date : 2002
Forecasting Volatility In The Financial Markets written by John L. Knight and has been published by Butterworth-Heinemann this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002 with Business & Economics categories.
This text assumes that the reader has a firm grounding in the key principles and methods of understanding volatility measurement and builds on that knowledge to detail cutting edge modeling and forecasting techniques. It then uses a technical survey to explain the different ways to measure risk and define the different models of volatility and return.
The Derivatives Sourcebook
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Author : Terence Lim
language : en
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
Release Date : 2006
The Derivatives Sourcebook written by Terence Lim and has been published by Now Publishers Inc this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with Business & Economics categories.
The Derivatives Sourcebook is a citation study and classification system that organizes the many strands of the derivatives literature and assigns each citation to a category. Over 1800 research articles are collected and organized into a simple web-based searchable database. We have also included the 1997 Nobel lectures of Robert Merton and Myron Scholes as a backdrop to this literature.
Forecasting Volatility In The Financial Markets
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Author : Stephen Satchell
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 2011-02-24
Forecasting Volatility In The Financial Markets written by Stephen Satchell and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-02-24 with Business & Economics categories.
Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets, Third Edition assumes that the reader has a firm grounding in the key principles and methods of understanding volatility measurement and builds on that knowledge to detail cutting-edge modelling and forecasting techniques. It provides a survey of ways to measure risk and define the different models of volatility and return. Editors John Knight and Stephen Satchell have brought together an impressive array of contributors who present research from their area of specialization related to volatility forecasting. Readers with an understanding of volatility measures and risk management strategies will benefit from this collection of up-to-date chapters on the latest techniques in forecasting volatility. Chapters new to this third edition:* What good is a volatility model? Engle and Patton* Applications for portfolio variety Dan diBartolomeo* A comparison of the properties of realized variance for the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 equity indices Rob Cornish* Volatility modeling and forecasting in finance Xiao and Aydemir* An investigation of the relative performance of GARCH models versus simple rules in forecasting volatility Thomas A. Silvey - Leading thinkers present newest research on volatility forecasting - International authors cover a broad array of subjects related to volatility forecasting - Assumes basic knowledge of volatility, financial mathematics, and modelling
An Options Based Analysis Of Emerging Market Exchange Rate Expectations
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Author : José Campa
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1999
An Options Based Analysis Of Emerging Market Exchange Rate Expectations written by José Campa and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999 with Foreign exchange options categories.
This paper uses currency option data from the BMF, the Commodities and Futures exchange in Sao Paulo, Brazil, to investigate market expectations on the Brazilian Real-U.S. dollar exchange rate from October 1994 through July 1997. Using options data, we derive implied probability density functions (PDF) for expected future exchange rates and thus measures of the credibility of the crawling peg' and target zone ( maxiband') regimes governing the exchange rate. Since we do not impose an exchange rate model, our analysis is based on either the risk-neutral PDF or arbitrage-based tests of target zones. The paper one of the first to use options data from an emerging market, finds that target zone credibility was poor prior to February 1996, but improved afterwards. The market anticipated periodic band adjustments, but over time developed greater confidence in the Real. We also test whether devaluation intensities estimated from these option prices can be explained by standard macroeconomic factors.
Imf Staff Papers
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1991-01-01
Imf Staff Papers written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991-01-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Trade liberalization in developing countries is frequently opposed on the grounds that, because it is likely to cause a deterioration in the external balance, it may not be a viable policy option for countries facing foreign exchange constraints. Recent literature suggests, however, an ambiguous relationship between tariff changes and the current account. This paper shows that if liberalization involves reducing tariffs on imported intermediate inputs (a reform that has figured prominently in developing countries), then the current account may improve or deteriorate, depending on the level of initial trade distortions and the structure of the economy.[JEL F13, F32, F41]