Assessing Financial Vulnerability
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Assessing Financial Vulnerability
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Author : Morris Goldstein
language : en
Publisher: Peterson Institute
Release Date : 2000
Assessing Financial Vulnerability written by Morris Goldstein and has been published by Peterson Institute this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000 with Business & Economics categories.
This study reviews the literature on the origins of currency and banking crises. It presents empirical tests on the performance of alternative early-warning indicators for emerging-market economies. The book also identifies crisis-threshold values for early-warning indicators.
Assessing Financial Vulnerability
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Author : Morris Goldstein
language : en
Publisher: Columbia University Press
Release Date : 2000-06-01
Assessing Financial Vulnerability written by Morris Goldstein and has been published by Columbia University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000-06-01 with Business & Economics categories.
The European currency crises of 1992-93, the Mexican crisis of 1994-95, and especially the Asian/global crisis of 1997-98, have all contributed to a heightened interest in the early warning signals of financial crises. This pathbreaking study presents a comprehensive battery of empirical tests on the performance of alternative early warning indicators for emerging-market economies that should prove useful in the construction of a more effective global warning system. Not only are the authors able to draw conclusions about which specific indicators have sent the most reliable early warning signals of currency and banking crises in emerging economies, they also test the out-of-sample performance of the model during the Asian crisis and find that it does a good job of identifying the most vulnerable economies. In addition, they show how the early warning system can be used to construct a "composite" crisis indicator to weigh the importance of alternative channels of cross-country "contagion" of crises, and to generate information about the recovery path from crises. This timely study comes on the eve of impending changes at the International Monetary Fund as that institution reexamines how it reacts to financial crises. Moreover, the study provides "... a wealth of valuable elements for anyone investigating and forecasting adverse developments in emerging markets as well as industrial countries," according to Ewoud Schuitemaker, vice president of the economics department at ABN AMRO Bank.
A Generalized Framework For The Assessment Of Household Financial Vulnerability
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Author : Mindaugas Leika
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-11-07
A Generalized Framework For The Assessment Of Household Financial Vulnerability written by Mindaugas Leika and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-11-07 with Business & Economics categories.
Household financial fragility has received considerable attention following the global financial crisis, but substantial gaps remain in the analytical underpinnings of household financial vulnerability assessment, as well as in data availability. This paper aims at integrating the contributions in the literature in a coherent fashion. The study proposes also analytical and estimation extensions aimed at improving the quality of estimates and allowing the assessment of household financial vulnerability in presence of data limitations. The result of this effort is a comprehensive framework, that has wide applicability to both advanced and developing economies. For illustrative purposes the paper includes a detailed application to one developing country (Namibia).
How To Assess Country Risk
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Author : International Monetary
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-05-07
How To Assess Country Risk written by International Monetary and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-05-07 with Business & Economics categories.
The IMF’s Vulnerability Exercise (VE) is a cross-country exercise that identifies country-specific near-term macroeconomic risks. As a key element of the Fund’s broader risk architecture, the VE is a bottom-up, multi-sectoral approach to risk assessments for all IMF member countries. The VE modeling toolkit is regularly updated in response to global economic developments and the latest modeling innovations. The new generation of VE models presented here leverages machine-learning algorithms. The models can better capture interactions between different parts of the economy and non-linear relationships that are not well measured in ”normal times.” The performance of machine-learning-based models is evaluated against more conventional models in a horse-race format. The paper also presents direct, transparent methods for communicating model results.
Assessing Vulnerability To Global Environmental Change
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Author : Richard J. T. Klein
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2012-05-16
Assessing Vulnerability To Global Environmental Change written by Richard J. T. Klein and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-05-16 with Nature categories.
Assessing the vulnerability of human populations to global environmental change, particularly climate change, is now the main imperative of research and international action. However, much of the research into vulnerability is not designed to feed directly into decision making and policy, creating a gap between the knowledge created by researchers and what is required by decision makers. This book seeks to rectify this problem and bridge the gap. It discusses vulnerability as the central theme and brings together many different applications from disaster studies, climate change impact studies and several other fields and provides the most comprehensive synthesis of definitions, theories, formalization and applications to date, illustrated with examples from different disciplines, regions and periods, and from local through to regional, national and international levels. Case study topics cover sea level rise, vulnerability to changes in ecosystem services, assessing the vulnerability of human health and 'double exposure' to climate change and trade liberalization amongst other issues. Research outcomes stress that science-policy dialogues must be transparent to be effective and concentrate on a mutual understanding of the concepts used. A key research finding is that the most useful information for decision makers is that which shows the separate causes and drivers of vulnerability, rather than presenting vulnerability in an aggregated form. The book concludes with a unifying framework for analysing integrated methodologies of vulnerability assessment and guiding how research and policy can be linked to reduce vulnerability.
Vulnerability Assessment Of Physical Protection Systems
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Author : Mary Lynn Garcia
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 2005-12-08
Vulnerability Assessment Of Physical Protection Systems written by Mary Lynn Garcia and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-12-08 with Business & Economics categories.
Vulnerability Assessment of Physical Protection Systems guides the reader through the topic of physical security with a unique, detailed and scientific approach. The book describes the entire vulnerability assessment (VA) process, from the start of planning through final analysis and out brief to senior management. It draws heavily on the principles introduced in the author's best-selling Design and Evaluation of Physical Protection Systems and allows readers to apply those principles and conduct a VA that is aligned with system objectives and achievable with existing budget and personnel resources. The text covers the full spectrum of a VA, including negotiating tasks with the customer; project management and planning of the VA; team membership; and step-by-step details for performing the VA, data collection and analysis. It also provides important notes on how to use the VA to suggest design improvements and generate multiple design options. The text ends with a discussion of how to out brief the results to senior management in order to gain their support and demonstrate the return on investment of their security dollar. Several new tools are introduced to help readers organize and use the information at their sites and allow them to mix the physical protection system with other risk management measures to reduce risk to an acceptable level at an affordable cost and with the least operational impact. This book will be of interest to physical security professionals, security managers, security students and professionals, and government officials. - Guides the reader through the topic of physical security doing so with a unique, detailed and scientific approach - Takes the reader from beginning to end and step-by-step through a Vulnerability Assessment - Over 150 figures and tables to illustrate key concepts
Enhancing The Capacity Of Selected Asean 3 Countries For Assessing Financial Vulnerabilities Financed By The Japan Special Fund
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Author : Asian Development Bank
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2007
Enhancing The Capacity Of Selected Asean 3 Countries For Assessing Financial Vulnerabilities Financed By The Japan Special Fund written by Asian Development Bank and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with Economic stabilization categories.
Assessing Financial Vulnerability In Emerging Economies
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Author : Morris Goldstein
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2018
Assessing Financial Vulnerability In Emerging Economies written by Morris Goldstein and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018 with categories.
This paper aims to identify key empirical regularities in the run-up to banking and currency crises that would enable officials and private market participants to recognize vulnerability to financial crises at an earlier stage. This, in turn, should make it easier to motivate the corrective policy actions that would prevent such crises from actually taking place. Interest in identifying early warning indicators of financial crises has soared of late, stoked primarily by two factors. First, there is increasing recognition that banking and currency crises can be extremely costly to the countries in which they originate; in addition, these crises often spillover via a variety of channels to increase the vulnerability of other countries to financial crisis. The second reason for the increased interest in early warning indicators of financial crises is that there is accumulating evidence that two of the most closely watched market indicators of default and currency risks-namely, interest rate spreads and changes in credit ratings - frequently do not provide much advance warning of currency and banking crises. The other reason why market prices may not signal impending crises is that there are often widely and strongly-held expectations of a bail-out of a troubled borrower by the official sector be it national or international. Dooley has stressed this point in several papers. If interest rate spreads and sovereign credit ratings only give advance warning of financial crises once in a while, increased interest attaches to the question of whether there are other early-warning indicators that would do a better job, and if so, what are they? This is one of the key questions we address in this paper.
A Generalized Framework For The Assessment Of Household Financial Vulnerability
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Author : Mindaugas Leika
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-11-07
A Generalized Framework For The Assessment Of Household Financial Vulnerability written by Mindaugas Leika and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-11-07 with Business & Economics categories.
Household financial fragility has received considerable attention following the global financial crisis, but substantial gaps remain in the analytical underpinnings of household financial vulnerability assessment, as well as in data availability. This paper aims at integrating the contributions in the literature in a coherent fashion. The study proposes also analytical and estimation extensions aimed at improving the quality of estimates and allowing the assessment of household financial vulnerability in presence of data limitations. The result of this effort is a comprehensive framework, that has wide applicability to both advanced and developing economies. For illustrative purposes the paper includes a detailed application to one developing country (Namibia).
Oecd Economic Survey Of The United States Key Research Findings
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Author : OECD
language : en
Publisher: OECD Publishing
Release Date : 2019-01-08
Oecd Economic Survey Of The United States Key Research Findings written by OECD and has been published by OECD Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-01-08 with categories.
This volume collects four studies that were prepared as background research to the 2018 OECD Economic Survey of the United States. Using micro-data survey responses, regional and sectorial data, these studies seek to provide insights into employment responds to labour market disruption ...