Bayesian Inference For Probabilistic Risk Assessment

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Bayesian Inference For Probabilistic Risk Assessment

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Author : Dana Kelly
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2011-08-30

Bayesian Inference For Probabilistic Risk Assessment written by Dana Kelly and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-08-30 with Science categories.

Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment provides a Bayesian foundation for framing probabilistic problems and performing inference on these problems. Inference in the book employs a modern computational approach known as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). The MCMC approach may be implemented using custom-written routines or existing general purpose commercial or open-source software. This book uses an open-source program called OpenBUGS (commonly referred to as WinBUGS) to solve the inference problems that are described. A powerful feature of OpenBUGS is its automatic selection of an appropriate MCMC sampling scheme for a given problem. The authors provide analysis “building blocks” that can be modified, combined, or used as-is to solve a variety of challenging problems. The MCMC approach used is implemented via textual scripts similar to a macro-type programming language. Accompanying most scripts is a graphical Bayesian network illustrating the elements of the script and the overall inference problem being solved. Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment also covers the important topics of MCMC convergence and Bayesian model checking. Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment is aimed at scientists and engineers who perform or review risk analyses. It provides an analytical structure for combining data and information from various sources to generate estimates of the parameters of uncertainty distributions used in risk and reliability models.

Hybrid Censoring Know How

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Author : Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan
language : en
Publisher: Academic Press
Release Date : 2023-01-06

Hybrid Censoring Know How written by Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan and has been published by Academic Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-01-06 with Mathematics categories.

Hybrid Censoring Know-How: Models, Methods and Applications focuses on hybrid censoring, an important topic in censoring methodology with numerous applications. The readers will find information on the significance of censored data in theoretical and applied contexts, and descriptions of extensive data sets from life-testing experiments where these forms of data naturally occur. The existing literature on censoring methodology, life-testing procedures, and lifetime data analysis provides only hybrid censoring schemes, with little information about hybrid censoring methodologies, ideas, and statistical inferential methods. This book fills that gap, featuring statistical tools applicable to data from medicine, biology, public health, epidemiology, engineering, economics, and demography. - Presents many numerical examples to adequately illustrate all inferential methods discussed - Mentions some open problems and possible directions for future work - Reviews developments on Type-II and Type-I HCS, including the most recent research and trends - Explains why hybrid censored sampling is important in practice - Provides details about the use of HCS under different settings and on various designs of HCS - Describes the use of hybrid censoring in other reliability applications such as reliability sampling plans, step-stress testing, and quality control

The Monte Carlo Methods

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Author : Abdo Abou Jaoudé
language : en
Publisher: BoD – Books on Demand
Release Date : 2022-03-09

The Monte Carlo Methods written by Abdo Abou Jaoudé and has been published by BoD – Books on Demand this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-03-09 with Science categories.

In applied mathematics, the name Monte Carlo is given to the method of solving problems by means of experiments with random numbers. This name, after the casino at Monaco, was first applied around 1944 to the method of solving deterministic problems by reformulating them in terms of a problem with random elements, which could then be solved by large-scale sampling. But, by extension, the term has come to mean any simulation that uses random numbers. Monte Carlo methods have become among the most fundamental techniques of simulation in modern science. This book is an illustration of the use of Monte Carlo methods applied to solve specific problems in mathematics, engineering, physics, statistics, and science in general.

Enterprise Information Systems

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Author : Joaquim Filipe
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2022-07-07

Enterprise Information Systems written by Joaquim Filipe and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-07-07 with Computers categories.

This book contains extended, revised and selected papers from the 23rd International Conference on Enterprise Information Systems, ICEIS 2021, held online during April 2021. The 26 papers presented in this volume were carefully reviewed and selected for inclusion from a total of 241 submissions. They are grouped in sections on databases and information systems integration, artificial intelligence and decision support systems, information systems analysis and specification, software agents and internet computing, human-computer interaction, and enterprise architecture.

Crime And Terrorism Risk

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Author : Leslie W. Kennedy
language : en
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Release Date : 2012-02-15

Crime And Terrorism Risk written by Leslie W. Kennedy and has been published by Taylor & Francis this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-02-15 with Business & Economics categories.

Crime and Terrorism Risk is a collection of original essays and articles that presents a broad overview of the issues related to the assessment and management of risk in the new security age. These original articles show how researchers, experts and the public are beginning to think about crime and terrorism issues in terms of a new risk paradigm that emphasizes establishing a balance between threat and resources in developing prevention and response strategies.

Recent Trends And Advances In Model Based Systems Engineering

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Author : Azad M. Madni
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2022-03-24

Recent Trends And Advances In Model Based Systems Engineering written by Azad M. Madni and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-03-24 with Technology & Engineering categories.

This volume comprises papers from the 18th Conference on Systems Engineering Research (CSER). The theme of this volume, “Recent Trends and Advances in Model-Based Systems Engineering,” reflects the fact that systems engineering is undergoing a transformation motivated by mission and system complexity and enabled by technological advances such as model-based systems engineering, digital engineering, and the convergence of systems engineering with other disciplines. This conference is focused on exploring recent trends and advances in model-based systems engineering (MBSE) and the synergy of MBSE with simulation technology and digital engineering. Contributors have submitted papers on MBSE methods, modeling approaches, integration of digital engineering with MBSE, standards, modeling languages, ontologies and metamodels, and economics analysis of MBSE to respond to the challenges posed by 21st century systems. What distinguishes this volume are the latest advances in MBSE research, the convergence of MBSE with digital engineering, and recent advances in applied research in MBSE, including growing convergence with systems science and decision science. This volume is appropriate as a reference text in graduate engineering courses in Model-Based Systems Engineering.

Predictive Modeling And Risk Assessment

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Author : Rui Costa
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2008-12-02

Predictive Modeling And Risk Assessment written by Rui Costa and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-12-02 with Technology & Engineering categories.

The single most important task of food scientists and the food industry as a whole is to ensure the safety of foods supplied to consumers. Recent trends in global food production, distribution and preparation call for increased emphasis on hygienic practices at all levels and for increased research in food safety in order to ensure a safer global food supply. The ISEKI-Food book series is a collection of books where various aspects of food safety and environmental issues are introduced and reviewed by scientists specializing in the field. In all of the books a special emp- sis was placed on including case studies applicable to each specific topic. The books are intended for graduate students and senior level undergraduate students as well as professionals and researchers interested in food safety and environmental issues applicable to food safety. The idea and planning of the books originates from two working groups in the European thematic network “ISEKI-Food” an acronym for “Integrating Safety and Environmental Knowledge In to Food Studies”. Participants in the ISEKI-Food network come from 29 countries in Europe and most of the institutes and univer- ties involved with Food Science education at the university level are represented. Some international companies and non teaching institutions have also participated in the program. The ISEKI-Food network is coordinated by Professor Cristina Silva at The Catholic University of Portugal, College of Biotechnology (Escola) in Porto. The program has a web site at: http://www. esb. ucp. pt/iseki/.

Application Of Uncertainty Analysis To Ecological Risks Of Pesticides

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Author : William J. Warren-Hicks
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2010-04-07

Application Of Uncertainty Analysis To Ecological Risks Of Pesticides written by William J. Warren-Hicks and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-04-07 with Science categories.

While current methods used in ecological risk assessments for pesticides are largely deterministic, probabilistic methods that aim to quantify variability and uncertainty in exposure and effects are attracting growing interest from industries and governments. Probabilistic methods offer more realistic and meaningful estimates of risk and hence, pot

Probabilistic Safety Assessment And Management

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Author : Cornelia Spitzer
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2014-01-04

Probabilistic Safety Assessment And Management written by Cornelia Spitzer and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-01-04 with Technology & Engineering categories.

Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management is a collection of papers presented at the PSAM 7 - ESREL '04 Conference in June 2004. The joint Conference provided a forum for the presentation of the latest developments in methodology and application of probabilistic and reliability methods in various industries. The aim of these applications is the optimisation of technological systems and processes from the perspective of a risk-informed safety management while also taking economic and environmental aspects into account. Bringing together leading experts from all over the world, the papers reflect a wide variety of disciplines, such as principles and theory of reliability and risk analysis, systems modelling and simulation, consequence assessment, human and organisational factors, structural reliability methods, software reliability and safety, insights and lessons from risk studies and management/decision making.

Advances In Risk And Reliability Modelling And Assessment

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Author : Prabhakar V. Varde
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2024-05-31

Advances In Risk And Reliability Modelling And Assessment written by Prabhakar V. Varde and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-05-31 with Science categories.

This book presents the proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Reliability Safety & Hazard-2024, held in Mumbai during February 21–24, 2024. It covers the latest advances in artificial intelligence and machine learning in development of risk-conscious culture. Various topics covered in this volume are reliability prediction, precursor event analysis, fuzzy reliability, structural reliability, passive system reliability, digital system reliability, risk-informed approach to decision making, dynamic PSA, uncertainty and sensitivity modeling, among others. The book is a valuable resource for researchers and professionals working in both academia and industry in the areas of complex systems, safety-critical systems, and risk-based engineering.