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Bayesian Methods In Finance


Bayesian Methods In Finance
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Bayesian Methods In Finance


Bayesian Methods In Finance
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Author : Svetlozar T. Rachev
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2008-02-13

Bayesian Methods In Finance written by Svetlozar T. Rachev and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-02-13 with Business & Economics categories.


Bayesian Methods in Finance provides a detailed overview of the theory of Bayesian methods and explains their real-world applications to financial modeling. While the principles and concepts explained throughout the book can be used in financial modeling and decision making in general, the authors focus on portfolio management and market risk management—since these are the areas in finance where Bayesian methods have had the greatest penetration to date.



Bayesian Methods In Finance


Bayesian Methods In Finance
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2008

Bayesian Methods In Finance written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with Bayesian statistical decision theory categories.




Outlines And Highlights For Bayesian Methods In Finance By Biliana S Bagasheva Isbn


Outlines And Highlights For Bayesian Methods In Finance By Biliana S Bagasheva Isbn
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Author : Cram101 Textbook Reviews
language : en
Publisher: Cram101
Release Date : 2010-12

Outlines And Highlights For Bayesian Methods In Finance By Biliana S Bagasheva Isbn written by Cram101 Textbook Reviews and has been published by Cram101 this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-12 with categories.


Never HIGHLIGHT a Book Again! Virtually all of the testable terms, concepts, persons, places, and events from the textbook are included. Cram101 Just the FACTS101 studyguides give all of the outlines, highlights, notes, and quizzes for your textbook with optional online comprehensive practice tests. Only Cram101 is Textbook Specific. Accompanys: 9780471920830 .



Bayesian Methods In Empirical Finance


Bayesian Methods In Empirical Finance
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Author : Philip K. Gray
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2000

Bayesian Methods In Empirical Finance written by Philip K. Gray and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000 with Bayesian statistical decision theory categories.




Bayesian Econometrics


Bayesian Econometrics
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Author : Mauro Bernardi
language : en
Publisher: MDPI
Release Date : 2020-12-28

Bayesian Econometrics written by Mauro Bernardi and has been published by MDPI this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-12-28 with Business & Economics categories.


Since the advent of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods in the early 1990s, Bayesian methods have been proposed for a large and growing number of applications. One of the main advantages of Bayesian inference is the ability to deal with many different sources of uncertainty, including data, models, parameters and parameter restriction uncertainties, in a unified and coherent framework. This book contributes to this literature by collecting a set of carefully evaluated contributions that are grouped amongst two topics in financial economics. The first three papers refer to macro-finance issues for real economy, including the elasticity of factor substitution (ES) in the Cobb–Douglas production function, the effects of government public spending components, and quantitative easing, monetary policy and economics. The last three contributions focus on cryptocurrency and stock market predictability. All arguments are central ingredients in the current economic discussion and their importance has only been further emphasized by the COVID-19 crisis.



Bayesian Methods For Hackers


Bayesian Methods For Hackers
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Author : Cameron Davidson-Pilon
language : en
Publisher: Addison-Wesley Professional
Release Date : 2015-09-30

Bayesian Methods For Hackers written by Cameron Davidson-Pilon and has been published by Addison-Wesley Professional this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-09-30 with Computers categories.


Master Bayesian Inference through Practical Examples and Computation–Without Advanced Mathematical Analysis Bayesian methods of inference are deeply natural and extremely powerful. However, most discussions of Bayesian inference rely on intensely complex mathematical analyses and artificial examples, making it inaccessible to anyone without a strong mathematical background. Now, though, Cameron Davidson-Pilon introduces Bayesian inference from a computational perspective, bridging theory to practice–freeing you to get results using computing power. Bayesian Methods for Hackers illuminates Bayesian inference through probabilistic programming with the powerful PyMC language and the closely related Python tools NumPy, SciPy, and Matplotlib. Using this approach, you can reach effective solutions in small increments, without extensive mathematical intervention. Davidson-Pilon begins by introducing the concepts underlying Bayesian inference, comparing it with other techniques and guiding you through building and training your first Bayesian model. Next, he introduces PyMC through a series of detailed examples and intuitive explanations that have been refined after extensive user feedback. You’ll learn how to use the Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm, choose appropriate sample sizes and priors, work with loss functions, and apply Bayesian inference in domains ranging from finance to marketing. Once you’ve mastered these techniques, you’ll constantly turn to this guide for the working PyMC code you need to jumpstart future projects. Coverage includes • Learning the Bayesian “state of mind” and its practical implications • Understanding how computers perform Bayesian inference • Using the PyMC Python library to program Bayesian analyses • Building and debugging models with PyMC • Testing your model’s “goodness of fit” • Opening the “black box” of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm to see how and why it works • Leveraging the power of the “Law of Large Numbers” • Mastering key concepts, such as clustering, convergence, autocorrelation, and thinning • Using loss functions to measure an estimate’s weaknesses based on your goals and desired outcomes • Selecting appropriate priors and understanding how their influence changes with dataset size • Overcoming the “exploration versus exploitation” dilemma: deciding when “pretty good” is good enough • Using Bayesian inference to improve A/B testing • Solving data science problems when only small amounts of data are available Cameron Davidson-Pilon has worked in many areas of applied mathematics, from the evolutionary dynamics of genes and diseases to stochastic modeling of financial prices. His contributions to the open source community include lifelines, an implementation of survival analysis in Python. Educated at the University of Waterloo and at the Independent University of Moscow, he currently works with the online commerce leader Shopify.



Annals Issue In Bayesian Methods In Economics And Finance


Annals Issue In Bayesian Methods In Economics And Finance
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Author : Yu Jun
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2022

Annals Issue In Bayesian Methods In Economics And Finance written by Yu Jun and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022 with categories.




Bayesian Risk Management


Bayesian Risk Management
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Author : Matt Sekerke
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2015-08-19

Bayesian Risk Management written by Matt Sekerke and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-08-19 with Business & Economics categories.


A risk measurement and management framework that takes model risk seriously Most financial risk models assume the future will look like the past, but effective risk management depends on identifying fundamental changes in the marketplace as they occur. Bayesian Risk Management details a more flexible approach to risk management, and provides tools to measure financial risk in a dynamic market environment. This book opens discussion about uncertainty in model parameters, model specifications, and model-driven forecasts in a way that standard statistical risk measurement does not. And unlike current machine learning-based methods, the framework presented here allows you to measure risk in a fully-Bayesian setting without losing the structure afforded by parametric risk and asset-pricing models. Recognize the assumptions embodied in classical statistics Quantify model risk along multiple dimensions without backtesting Model time series without assuming stationarity Estimate state-space time series models online with simulation methods Uncover uncertainty in workhorse risk and asset-pricing models Embed Bayesian thinking about risk within a complex organization Ignoring uncertainty in risk modeling creates an illusion of mastery and fosters erroneous decision-making. Firms who ignore the many dimensions of model risk measure too little risk, and end up taking on too much. Bayesian Risk Management provides a roadmap to better risk management through more circumspect measurement, with comprehensive treatment of model uncertainty.



Financial Risk Management With Bayesian Estimation Of Garch Models


Financial Risk Management With Bayesian Estimation Of Garch Models
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Author : David Ardia
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2008-05-08

Financial Risk Management With Bayesian Estimation Of Garch Models written by David Ardia and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-05-08 with Business & Economics categories.


This book presents in detail methodologies for the Bayesian estimation of sing- regime and regime-switching GARCH models. These models are widespread and essential tools in n ancial econometrics and have, until recently, mainly been estimated using the classical Maximum Likelihood technique. As this study aims to demonstrate, the Bayesian approach o ers an attractive alternative which enables small sample results, robust estimation, model discrimination and probabilistic statements on nonlinear functions of the model parameters. The author is indebted to numerous individuals for help in the preparation of this study. Primarily, I owe a great debt to Prof. Dr. Philippe J. Deschamps who inspired me to study Bayesian econometrics, suggested the subject, guided me under his supervision and encouraged my research. I would also like to thank Prof. Dr. Martin Wallmeier and my colleagues of the Department of Quantitative Economics, in particular Michael Beer, Roberto Cerratti and Gilles Kaltenrieder, for their useful comments and discussions. I am very indebted to my friends Carlos Ord as Criado, Julien A. Straubhaar, J er ^ ome Ph. A. Taillard and Mathieu Vuilleumier, for their support in the elds of economics, mathematics and statistics. Thanks also to my friend Kevin Barnes who helped with my English in this work. Finally, I am greatly indebted to my parents and grandparents for their support and encouragement while I was struggling with the writing of this thesis.



Statistical Models And Methods For Financial Markets


Statistical Models And Methods For Financial Markets
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Author : Tze Leung Lai
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2008-09-08

Statistical Models And Methods For Financial Markets written by Tze Leung Lai and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-09-08 with Business & Economics categories.


The idea of writing this bookarosein 2000when the ?rst author wasassigned to teach the required course STATS 240 (Statistical Methods in Finance) in the new M. S. program in ?nancial mathematics at Stanford, which is an interdisciplinary program that aims to provide a master’s-level education in applied mathematics, statistics, computing, ?nance, and economics. Students in the programhad di?erent backgroundsin statistics. Some had only taken a basic course in statistical inference, while others had taken a broad spectrum of M. S. - and Ph. D. -level statistics courses. On the other hand, all of them had already taken required core courses in investment theory and derivative pricing, and STATS 240 was supposed to link the theory and pricing formulas to real-world data and pricing or investment strategies. Besides students in theprogram,thecoursealso attractedmanystudentsfromother departments in the university, further increasing the heterogeneity of students, as many of them had a strong background in mathematical and statistical modeling from the mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences but no previous experience in ?nance. To address the diversity in background but common strong interest in the subject and in a potential career as a “quant” in the ?nancialindustry,thecoursematerialwascarefullychosennotonlytopresent basic statistical methods of importance to quantitative ?nance but also to summarize domain knowledge in ?nance and show how it can be combined with statistical modeling in ?nancial analysis and decision making. The course material evolved over the years, especially after the second author helped as the head TA during the years 2004 and 2005.