Best Practice Approaches For Characterizing Communicating And Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty In Climate Decision Making
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Best Practice Approaches For Characterizing Communicating And Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty In Climate Decision Making Synthesis And Assessment Product 5 2 Report
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2009
Best Practice Approaches For Characterizing Communicating And Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty In Climate Decision Making Synthesis And Assessment Product 5 2 Report written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009 with Atmospheric ozone categories.
Best Practice Approaches For Characterizing Communicating And Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty In Climate Decision Making
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Author : M. Granger Morgan
language : en
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
Release Date : 2009-05
Best Practice Approaches For Characterizing Communicating And Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty In Climate Decision Making written by M. Granger Morgan and has been published by DIANE Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-05 with categories.
This report is one of 21 Synthesis and Assessment Products commissioned by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program as part of an effort to integrate fed. research on climate change and to facilitate a nat. understanding of the critical elements of climate change. Most of these reports are focused on specific substantive issues in climate science, impacts and related topics. In contrast, the focus of this report is methodological. This report provides a tutorial to the climate analysis and decision-making communities on current best practice in describing and analyzing uncertainty in climate-related problems. While the language is semi-technical, much of it should also be accessible to non-expert readers who are comfortable with the treatment of technical topics. Illus.
Best Practice Approaches For Characterizing Communicating And Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty In Climate Decision Making
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2009
Best Practice Approaches For Characterizing Communicating And Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty In Climate Decision Making written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009 with Atmospheric ozone categories.
Review Of The U S Climate Change Science Program S Synthesis And Assessment Product 5 2 Best Practice Approaches For Characterizing Communicating And Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty In Climate Decision Making
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Author : National Research Council
language : en
Publisher: National Academies Press
Release Date : 2007-02-23
Review Of The U S Climate Change Science Program S Synthesis And Assessment Product 5 2 Best Practice Approaches For Characterizing Communicating And Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty In Climate Decision Making written by National Research Council and has been published by National Academies Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-02-23 with Science categories.
This report reviews the U.S. Climate Change Science Program's new draft assessment product on characterizing and communicating uncertainty information for climate change decision making, one of 21 climate change assessment products that the program is developing to meet the requirements of the 1990 Global Change Research Act. Although the draft assessment is effective in discussing methods of characterizing uncertainty, it falls short in several ways. It is written for researchers involved in assessment efforts and will likely be of use to them, but does not address other key audiences, particularly policymakers, decision-makers, and members of the media and general public. In addition, it does not assess the full range of "best practice approaches" for characterizing, incorporating, and communicating uncertainty. These weaknesses were due in part to a change in the prospectus after the process had begun to include new target audiences and a different scope of work. It will take a substantial revision of the current draft or production of a companion document, both requiring additional authors, to address these issues.
Best Practicing Approaching For Characterizing Communicating And Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty In Climate Decision Making
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Author : Climate Change Science Program
language : en
Publisher: CreateSpace
Release Date : 2014-07-10
Best Practicing Approaching For Characterizing Communicating And Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty In Climate Decision Making written by Climate Change Science Program and has been published by CreateSpace this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-07-10 with Technology & Engineering categories.
The primary objective of this report is to provide a tutorial to the climate analysis and decision-making communities on current best practice in describing and analyzing uncertainty in climate-related problems. The report discusses a number of formulations of uncertainty and the various ways in which uncertainty can arise. It introduces several alternative perspectives on uncertainty including both the classical or frequentist view of probability, which defines probability as the property of a large number of repeated trials of some process such as the toss of a coin, and the subjectivist view, in which probability is an indication of degree of belief informed by all available evidence. A distinction is drawn between uncertainty about the value of specific quantities and uncertainty about the underlying functional relationships among key variables. Finally the report addresses a number of issues that arise in communicating about uncertainty. The report includes lessons from both the mitigation and adaptation domain. Reference: Granger Morgan, M., Dowlatabadi, H., Henrion, M., Keith, D., Lempert, R., McBride, S., Small, M. and Wilbanks, T. (Eds.) (2009) Best Practice Approaches for Characterizing, Communicating, and Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty in Decisionmaking, A Report by the Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Washington, DC, US.
Our Changing Planet
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Author : Climate Change Science Program (U.S.)
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2007
Our Changing Planet written by Climate Change Science Program (U.S.) and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with Climatic changes categories.
Theory And Practice In Policy Analysis
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Author : M. Granger Morgan
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2017-10-12
Theory And Practice In Policy Analysis written by M. Granger Morgan and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-10-12 with Business & Economics categories.
Practitioners of policy analysis will better understand the tools of their trade, and the broader contexts in which analysis contributes.
Shaping The Message Distorting The Science
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Author : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Science and Technology (2007). Subcommittee on Investigations and Oversight
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2007
Shaping The Message Distorting The Science written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Science and Technology (2007). Subcommittee on Investigations and Oversight and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with Law categories.
Environmental Decisions In The Face Of Uncertainty
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Author : Institute of Medicine
language : en
Publisher: National Academies Press
Release Date : 2013-05-20
Environmental Decisions In The Face Of Uncertainty written by Institute of Medicine and has been published by National Academies Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-05-20 with Political Science categories.
The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is one of several federal agencies responsible for protecting Americans against significant risks to human health and the environment. As part of that mission, EPA estimates the nature, magnitude, and likelihood of risks to human health and the environment; identifies the potential regulatory actions that will mitigate those risks and protect public health1 and the environment; and uses that information to decide on appropriate regulatory action. Uncertainties, both qualitative and quantitative, in the data and analyses on which these decisions are based enter into the process at each step. As a result, the informed identification and use of the uncertainties inherent in the process is an essential feature of environmental decision making. EPA requested that the Institute of Medicine (IOM) convene a committee to provide guidance to its decision makers and their partners in states and localities on approaches to managing risk in different contexts when uncertainty is present. It also sought guidance on how information on uncertainty should be presented to help risk managers make sound decisions and to increase transparency in its communications with the public about those decisions. Given that its charge is not limited to human health risk assessment and includes broad questions about managing risks and decision making, in this report the committee examines the analysis of uncertainty in those other areas in addition to human health risks. Environmental Decisions in the Face of Uncertainty explains the statement of task and summarizes the findings of the committee.
Addressing Climate Change In Local Water Agency Plans
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Author : David G. Groves
language : en
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Release Date : 2013-11-05
Addressing Climate Change In Local Water Agency Plans written by David G. Groves and has been published by Rand Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-11-05 with Political Science categories.
This report describes an approach for planning under deep uncertainty, Robust Decision Making (RDM), and demonstrates its use by the El Dorado Irrigation District (EID). Using RDM, the authors and EID tested the robustness of current long-term water management plans and more robust alternatives across more than 50 futures reflecting different assumptions about future climate, urban growth, and the availability of important new supplies.