Between Probability And Certainty
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Between Probability And Certainty
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Author : Martin Smith
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 2016
Between Probability And Certainty written by Martin Smith and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016 with Mathematics categories.
Martin Smith explores the question of what it takes for a belief to be justified or rational. He argues that in order to have justification for believing a proposition, one's evidence must normically support it--roughly, one's evidence must make the falsity of that proposition abnormal in the sense of calling for special, independent explanation.
Between Probability And Certainty
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Author : Martin Smith
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 2017-11-17
Between Probability And Certainty written by Martin Smith and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-11-17 with Philosophy categories.
Martin Smith explores a question central to philosophy--namely, what does it take for a belief to be justified or rational? According to a widespread view, whether one has justification for believing a proposition is determined by how probable that proposition is, given one's evidence. In the present book this view is rejected and replaced with another: in order for one to have justification for believing a proposition, one's evidence must normically support it--roughly, one's evidence must make the falsity of that proposition abnormal in the sense of calling for special, independent explanation. This conception of justification bears upon a range of topics in epistemology and beyond, including the relation between justification and knowledge, the force of statistical evidence, the problem of scepticism, the lottery and preface paradoxes, the viability of multiple premise closure, the internalist/externalist debate, the psychology of human reasoning, and the relation between belief and degrees of belief. Ultimately, this way of looking at justification guides us to a new, unfamiliar picture of how we should respond to our evidence and manage our own fallibility. This picture is developed here.
Between Certainty And Uncertainty
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Author : Ludomir M. Laudański
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-10-14
Between Certainty And Uncertainty written by Ludomir M. Laudański and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-10-14 with Mathematics categories.
„Between Certainty & Uncertainty” is a one-of–a-kind short course on statistics for students, engineers and researchers. It is a fascinating introduction to statistics and probability with notes on historical origins and 80 illustrative numerical examples organized in the five units: · Chapter 1 Descriptive Statistics: Compressing small samples, basic averages - mean and variance, their main properties including God’s proof; linear transformations and z-scored statistics . · Chapter 2 Grouped data: Udny Yule’s concept of qualitative and quantitative variables. Grouping these two kinds of data. Graphical tools. Combinatorial rules and qualitative variables. Designing frequency histogram. Direct and coded evaluation of quantitative data. Significance of percentiles. · Chapter 3 Regression and correlation: Geometrical distance and equivalent distances in two orthogonal directions as a prerequisite to the concept of two regression lines. Misleading in interpreting two regression lines. Derivation of the two regression lines. Was Hubble right? Houbolt’s cloud. What in fact measures the correlation coefficient? · Chapter 4 Binomial distribution: Middle ages origins of the binomials; figurate numbers and combinatorial rules. Pascal’s Arithmetical Triangle. Bernoulli’s or Poisson Trials? John Arbuthnot curing binomials. How Newton taught S. Pepys probability. Jacob Bernoulli’s Weak Law of Large Numbers and others. · Chapter 5 Normal distribution and binomial heritage – Tables of the normal distribution. Abraham de Moivre and the second theorem of de Moivre-Laplace. · Chapter 1 Descriptive Statistics: Compressing small samples, basic averages - mean and variance, their main properties including God’s proof; linear transformations and z-scored statistics . · Chapter 2 Grouped data: Udny Yule’s concept of qualitative and quantitative variables. Grouping these two kinds of data. Graphical tools. Combinatorial rules and qualitative variables. Designing frequency histogram. Direct and coded evaluation of quantitative data. Significance of percentiles. · Chapter 3 Regression and correlation: Geometrical distance and equivalent distances in two orthogonal directions as a prerequisite to the concept of two regression lines. Misleading in interpreting two regression lines. Derivation of the two regression lines. Was Hubble right? Houbolt’s cloud. What in fact measures the correlation coefficient? · Chapter 4 Binomial distribution: Middle ages origins of the binomials; figurate numbers and combinatorial rules. Pascal’s Arithmetical Triangle. Bernoulli’s or Poisson Trials? John Arbuthnot curing binomials. How Newton taught S. Pepys probability. Jacob Bernoulli’s Weak Law of Large Numbers and others. · Chapter 5 Normal distribution and binomial heritage – Tables of the normal distribution. Abraham de Moivre and the second theorem of de Moivre-Laplace. · Chapter 5 Normal distribution and binomial heritage – Tables of the normal distribution. Abraham de Moivre and the second theorem of de Moivre-Laplace.
Probability And Certainty In Seventeenth Century England
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Author : Barbara J. Shapiro
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1983
Probability And Certainty In Seventeenth Century England written by Barbara J. Shapiro and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1983 with England categories.
The Description for this book, Probability and Certainty in Seventeenth-Century England: A Study of the Relationships Between National Science, Religion, History, Law, and Literature, will be forthcoming.
The Oxford Handbook Of Behavioral Economics And The Law
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Author : Eyal Zamir
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2014
The Oxford Handbook Of Behavioral Economics And The Law written by Eyal Zamir and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014 with Business & Economics categories.
'The Oxford Handbook of Behavioral Economics and Law' brings together leading scholars of law, psychology, and economics to provide an up-to-date and comprehensive analysis of this field of research, including its strengths and limitations as well as a forecast of its future development. Its twenty-nine chapters are organized into four parts.
A Treatise On Probability
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Author : John Maynard Keynes
language : en
Publisher: Courier Corporation
Release Date : 2013-09-02
A Treatise On Probability written by John Maynard Keynes and has been published by Courier Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-09-02 with Mathematics categories.
Originally published in 1921, this mathematical work represents a significant contribution to the logical probability of propositions. Keynes effectively dismantled the classical theory, launching the "logical-relationist" theory of probability.
Probability And Certainty
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Author : Emile Borel
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1963
Probability And Certainty written by Emile Borel and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1963 with Certainty categories.
25 Great Philosophers From Plato To Sartre
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Author : Davild Mills Daniel
language : en
Publisher: SCM Press
Release Date : 2013-09-19
25 Great Philosophers From Plato To Sartre written by Davild Mills Daniel and has been published by SCM Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-09-19 with Religion categories.
SCM Briefly 25 Great Philosophers offers a brief guide to the lives, writings and principal philosophical ideas of some of the world’s great philosophers, from Plato to Jean Paul Sartre. Here is a brief and accessible introduction to philosophy and its main proponents. In only five pages, readers get an introduction to the life, the context and the writing of each philosopher. A glossary of philosophical terms is provided at the end of the book
Probability Foundations Of Economic Theory
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Author : Charles McCann
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2003-08-16
Probability Foundations Of Economic Theory written by Charles McCann and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-08-16 with Business & Economics categories.
First published in 1994. Routledge is an imprint of Taylor & Francis, an informa company.
Risk Intelligence
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Author : Dylan Evans
language : en
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
Release Date : 2015-09-29
Risk Intelligence written by Dylan Evans and has been published by Simon and Schuster this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-09-29 with Business & Economics categories.
We must make judgments all the time when we can't be certain of the risks. Should we have that elective surgery? Trust the advice of our financial adviser? Take that new job we've been offered? How worried should we be about terrorist attacks? In this lively and groundbreaking book, pioneering researcher Dylan Evans introduces a newly discovered kind of intelligence for assessing risks, demonstrating how vital this risk intelligence is in our lives and how we can all raise our RQs in order to make better decisions every day. Evans has spearheaded the study of risk intelligence, devising a simple test to measure a person's RQ which when posted online sparked a storm of interest and was taken by tens of thousands of people. His research has revealed that risk intelligence is quite different from IQ, and that the vast majority of us have quite poor risk intelligence. However, he did find some people who have very high RQs. So what makes the difference? Introducing a wealth of fascinating research findings, Evans identifies a key set of common errors in our thinking that most of us fall victim to and that undermine our risk intelligence, such as "ambiguity aversion," overconfidence in our knowledge, the fallacy of mind reading, and our attraction to worst-case scenarios. We are also regularly led astray by the ways in which information is provided to us. Citing a wide range of real-life examples--from the brilliant risk assessment skills of horse race handicappers to the tragically flawed evaluations of risk that caused the financial crisis--Evans illustrates that sometimes our most trusted advisors, including the experts and analysts at the top of their disciplines, don't always give us the best advice when it comes to risk evaluation. Presenting his revolutionary test that allows readers to evaluate their own RQs, Evans introduces a number of simple techniques we can use to build our risk assessment powers and reports on the striking results he's seen in training people to develop their RQs. Both highly engaging and truly mind-changing, Risk Intelligence will fascinate all of those who are interested in how we can improve our thinking in order to enhance our lives.