Beyond Traditional Probabilistic Methods In Economics

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Beyond Traditional Probabilistic Methods In Economics
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Author : Vladik Kreinovich
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-11-24
Beyond Traditional Probabilistic Methods In Economics written by Vladik Kreinovich and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-11-24 with Computers categories.
This book presents recent research on probabilistic methods in economics, from machine learning to statistical analysis. Economics is a very important – and at the same a very difficult discipline. It is not easy to predict how an economy will evolve or to identify the measures needed to make an economy prosper. One of the main reasons for this is the high level of uncertainty: different difficult-to-predict events can influence the future economic behavior. To make good predictions and reasonable recommendations, this uncertainty has to be taken into account. In the past, most related research results were based on using traditional techniques from probability and statistics, such as p-value-based hypothesis testing. These techniques led to numerous successful applications, but in the last decades, several examples have emerged showing that these techniques often lead to unreliable and inaccurate predictions. It is therefore necessary to come up with new techniques for processing the corresponding uncertainty that go beyond the traditional probabilistic techniques. This book focuses on such techniques, their economic applications and the remaining challenges, presenting both related theoretical developments and their practical applications.
Data Science For Financial Econometrics
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Author : Nguyen Ngoc Thach
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2020-11-13
Data Science For Financial Econometrics written by Nguyen Ngoc Thach and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-11-13 with Computers categories.
This book offers an overview of state-of-the-art econometric techniques, with a special emphasis on financial econometrics. There is a major need for such techniques, since the traditional way of designing mathematical models – based on researchers’ insights – can no longer keep pace with the ever-increasing data flow. To catch up, many application areas have begun relying on data science, i.e., on techniques for extracting models from data, such as data mining, machine learning, and innovative statistics. In terms of capitalizing on data science, many application areas are way ahead of economics. To close this gap, the book provides examples of how data science techniques can be used in economics. Corresponding techniques range from almost traditional statistics to promising novel ideas such as quantum econometrics. Given its scope, the book will appeal to students and researchers interested in state-of-the-art developments, and to practitioners interested in using data science techniques.
Optimal Transport Statistics For Economics And Related Topics
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Author : Nguyen Ngoc Thach
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2023-10-31
Optimal Transport Statistics For Economics And Related Topics written by Nguyen Ngoc Thach and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-10-31 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This volume emphasizes techniques of optimal transport statistics, but it also describes and uses other econometric techniques, ranging from more traditional statistical techniques to more innovative ones such as quantiles (in particular, multidimensional quantiles), maximum entropy approach, and machine learning. Applications range from general analysis of GDP growth, stock market, and consumer prices to analysis of specific sectors of economics (construction, credit and banking, energy, health, labor, textile, tourism, international trade) to specific issues affecting economy such as bankruptcy, effect of Covid-19 pandemic, effect of pollution, effect of gender, cryptocurrencies, and the existence of shadow economy. Papers presented in this volume also cover data processing techniques, with economic and financial application being the unifying theme. This volume shows what has been achieved, but even more important are remaining open problems. We hope that this volume will: ˆ inspire practitioners to learn how to apply state-of-the-art techniques, especially techniques of optimal transport statistics, to economic and financial problems, and ˆ inspire researchers to further improve the existing techniques and to come up with new techniques for studying economic and financial phenomena.
Financial Econometrics Bayesian Analysis Quantum Uncertainty And Related Topics
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Author : Nguyen Ngoc Thach
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2022-05-28
Financial Econometrics Bayesian Analysis Quantum Uncertainty And Related Topics written by Nguyen Ngoc Thach and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-05-28 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This book overviews latest ideas and developments in financial econometrics, with an emphasis on how to best use prior knowledge (e.g., Bayesian way) and how to best use successful data processing techniques from other application areas (e.g., from quantum physics). The book also covers applications to economy-related phenomena ranging from traditionally analyzed phenomena such as manufacturing, food industry, and taxes, to newer-to-analyze phenomena such as cryptocurrencies, influencer marketing, COVID-19 pandemic, financial fraud detection, corruption, and shadow economy. This book will inspire practitioners to learn how to apply state-of-the-art Bayesian, quantum, and related techniques to economic and financial problems and inspire researchers to further improve the existing techniques and come up with new techniques for studying economic and financial phenomena. The book will also be of interest to students interested in latest ideas and results.
Behavioral Predictive Modeling In Economics
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Author : Songsak Sriboonchitta
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2020-08-05
Behavioral Predictive Modeling In Economics written by Songsak Sriboonchitta and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-08-05 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This book presents both methodological papers on and examples of applying behavioral predictive models to specific economic problems, with a focus on how to take into account people's behavior when making economic predictions. This is an important issue, since traditional economic models assumed that people make wise economic decisions based on a detailed rational analysis of all the relevant aspects. However, in reality – as Nobel Prize-winning research has shown – people have a limited ability to process information and, as a result, their decisions are not always optimal. Discussing the need for prediction-oriented statistical techniques, since many statistical methods currently used in economics focus more on model fitting and do not always lead to good predictions, the book is a valuable resource for researchers and students interested in the latest results and challenges and for practitioners wanting to learn how to use state-of-the-art techniques.
Applications Of Optimal Transport To Economics And Related Topics
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Author : Vladik Kreinovich
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2024-11-09
Applications Of Optimal Transport To Economics And Related Topics written by Vladik Kreinovich and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-11-09 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Often, when a new successful data processing techniques appears in one of the application areas, it then proves to be useful in many other areas. This was the case of optimal transportation techniques: these techniques were first developed for transportation problems, but now they have been shown to be successful in many statistical applications, including applications to economics. These techniques are the main focus of this book, but this book also contain papers that use other techniques, ranging from more traditional statistical approaches to more recent ones such as stochastic frontier methods, multivariable quantiles, random forest, and deep learning. Applications include all aspects of economics, from production (including agricultural) to trade (including international) and finances, with relation to issues of crime (including computer crime and cyberbullying), demographics, economic freedom, environment, health, and tourism. We hope that this volume will: help practitioners to become better knowledgeable of the state-of-the-art econometric techniques, especially optimal transport techniques, and help researchers to further develop these important research directions. We want to thank all the authors for their contributions and all anonymous referees for their thorough analysis and helpful comments. The publication of this volume was partly supported by the Faculty of Economics of the Chiang Mai University, Thailand. Our thanks to the leadership and staff of the Chiang Mai University for providing crucial support. Our special thanks to Prof. Hung T. Nguyen for his valuable advice and constant support.
Partial Identification In Econometrics And Related Topics
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Author : Nguyen Ngoc Thach
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2024-07-31
Partial Identification In Econometrics And Related Topics written by Nguyen Ngoc Thach and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-07-31 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This book covers data processing techniques, with economic and financial application being the unifying theme. To make proper investments in economy, the authors need to have a good understanding of the future trends: how will demand change, how will prices change, etc. In general, in science, the usual way to make predictions is: to identify a model that best fits the current dynamics, and to use this model to predict the future behavior. In many practical situations—especially in economics—our past experiences are limited. As a result, the authors can only achieve a partial identification. It is therefore important to be able to make predictions based on such partially identified models—which is the main focus of this book. This book emphasizes partial identification techniques, but it also describes and uses other econometric techniques, ranging from more traditional statistical techniques to more innovative ones such as game-theoretic approach, interval techniques, and machine learning. Applications range from general analysis of GDP growth, stock market, and consumer prices to analysis of specific sectors of economics (credit and banking, energy, health, labor, tourism, international trade) to specific issues affecting economy such as ecology, national culture, government regulations, and the existence of shadow economy. This book shows what has been achieved, but even more important are remaining open problems. The authors hope that this book will: inspire practitioners to learn how to apply state-of-the-art techniques, especially techniques of optimal transport statistics, to economic and financial problems, and inspire researchers to further improve the existing techniques and to come up with new techniques for studying economic and financial phenomena. The authors want to thank all the authors for their contributions and all anonymous referees for their thorough analysis and helpful comments. The publication of this book—and organization of the conference at which these papers were presented—was supported: by the Ho Chi Minh University of Banking (HUB), Vietnam, and by the Vingroup Innovation Foundation (VINIF). The authors thank the leadership and staff of HUB and VINIF for providing crucial support.
Statistical And Fuzzy Approaches To Data Processing With Applications To Econometrics And Other Areas
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Author : Vladik Kreinovich
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2020-06-19
Statistical And Fuzzy Approaches To Data Processing With Applications To Econometrics And Other Areas written by Vladik Kreinovich and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-06-19 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Mainly focusing on processing uncertainty, this book presents state-of-the-art techniques and demonstrates their use in applications to econometrics and other areas. Processing uncertainty is essential, considering that computers – which help us understand real-life processes and make better decisions based on that understanding – get their information from measurements or from expert estimates, neither of which is ever 100% accurate. Measurement uncertainty is usually described using probabilistic techniques, while uncertainty in expert estimates is often described using fuzzy techniques. Therefore, it is important to master both techniques for processing data. This book is highly recommended for researchers and students interested in the latest results and challenges in uncertainty, as well as practitioners who want to learn how to use the corresponding state-of-the-art techniques.
Algebraic Techniques And Their Use In Describing And Processing Uncertainty
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Author : Hung T. Nguyen
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2020-02-13
Algebraic Techniques And Their Use In Describing And Processing Uncertainty written by Hung T. Nguyen and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-02-13 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This book discusses heuristic methods – methods lacking a solid theoretical justification – which are ubiquitous in numerous application areas, and explains techniques that can make heuristic methods more reliable. Focusing on algebraic techniques, i.e., those that use only a few specific features of a situation, it describes various state-of-the-art applications, ranging from fuzzy methods for dealing with imprecision to general optimization methods and quantum-based methods for analyzing economic phenomena. The book also includes recent results from leading researchers, which could (and hopefully will) provide the basis for future applications. As such, it is a valuable resource for mathematicians interested in potential applications of their algebraic results and ideas, as well as for application specialists wanting to discover how algebraic techniques can help in their domains.
Biomedical And Other Applications Of Soft Computing
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Author : Nguyen Hoang Phuong
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2022-11-22
Biomedical And Other Applications Of Soft Computing written by Nguyen Hoang Phuong and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-11-22 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This book describes current and potential use of artificial intelligence and computational intelligence techniques in biomedicine and other application areas. Medical applications range from general diagnostics to processing of X-ray images to e-medicine-related privacy issues. Medical community understandably prefers methods that have been successful other on other application areas, where possible mistakes are not that critical. This book describes many promising methods related to deep learning, fuzzy techniques, knowledge graphs, and quantum computing. It also describes the results of testing these new methods in communication networks, education, environmental studies, food industry, retail industry, transportation engineering, and many other areas. This book helps practitioners and researchers to learn more about computational intelligence methods and their biomedical applications—and to further develop this important research direction.