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Business Cycles Theory And Empirical Methods


Business Cycles Theory And Empirical Methods
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Business Cycles Theory And Empirical Methods


Business Cycles Theory And Empirical Methods
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Author : Willi Semmler
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06

Business Cycles Theory And Empirical Methods written by Willi Semmler and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Business & Economics categories.


In macrodynamics and business cycle analysis we find nowadays a variety of approaches elaborating frameworks for studying the fluctuations in economic and financial data. These approaches are viewed from Keynesian, monetarist and rational expectations standpoints. There are now also numerous empirical methods for the testing of nonlinear data generating mechanisms. This volume brings together a selection of contributions on theories of the business cycle and new empirical methods and synopsizes the new results. The volume (i) gives an overview of current models and modern concepts and tools for analyzing the business cycle; (ii) demonstrates, where possible, the relation of those models to the history of business cycle analysis; and (iii) presents current work, surveys and original work, on new empirical methods of studying cycle generating mechanisms.



Business Cycles Theory And Empirical Methods


Business Cycles Theory And Empirical Methods
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Author : Willi Semmler
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2012-10-10

Business Cycles Theory And Empirical Methods written by Willi Semmler and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-10-10 with Business & Economics categories.


In macrodynamics and business cycle analysis we find nowadays a variety of approaches elaborating frameworks for studying the fluctuations in economic and financial data. These approaches are viewed from Keynesian, monetarist and rational expectations standpoints. There are now also numerous empirical methods for the testing of nonlinear data generating mechanisms. This volume brings together a selection of contributions on theories of the business cycle and new empirical methods and synopsizes the new results. The volume (i) gives an overview of current models and modern concepts and tools for analyzing the business cycle; (ii) demonstrates, where possible, the relation of those models to the history of business cycle analysis; and (iii) presents current work, surveys and original work, on new empirical methods of studying cycle generating mechanisms.



The General Theory


The General Theory
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Author : G. C. Harcourt
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2005-06-27

The General Theory written by G. C. Harcourt and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-06-27 with Business & Economics categories.


This second volume contains essays which relate to developments in Keynes' scholarship and theorizing in the years since his death and demonstrates the ongoing validity of the Keynesian tradition.



Business Cycle Theory Part I Volume 4


Business Cycle Theory Part I Volume 4
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Author : Harald Hagemann
language : en
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Release Date : 2024-10-28

Business Cycle Theory Part I Volume 4 written by Harald Hagemann and has been published by Taylor & Francis this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-10-28 with Business & Economics categories.


In the mid-19th century, the business cycle was increasingly recognized as a recurrent phenomenon. This edition contains key texts from the range of literature in the field. It covers many Anglo-Saxon writers as well as contributions from the French, German, Italian, Russian and Swedish debates.



Business Cycles


Business Cycles
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Author : F.A. Hayek
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2020-06-29

Business Cycles written by F.A. Hayek and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-06-29 with Business & Economics categories.


In the years following its publication, F. A. Hayek's pioneering work on business cycles was regarded as an important challenge to what was later known as Keynesian macroeconomics. Today, as debates rage on over the monetary origins of the current economic and financial crisis, economists are once again paying heed to Hayek's thoughts on the repercussions of excessive central bank interventions. The latest editions in Routledge's ongoing series The Collected Works of F. A. Hayek, these volumes bring together Hayek's work on what causes periods of boom and bust in the economy. Moving away from the classical emphasis on equilibrium, Hayek demonstrates that business cycles are generated by the adaptation of the structure of production to changes in relative demand. Thus, when central banks artificially lower interest rates, the result is a misallocation of capital and the creation of asset bubbles and additional instability. Business Cycles: Part I contains Hayek's two major monographs on the topic: Monetary Theory and the Trade Cycle and Prices and Production. Reproducing the text of the original 1933 translation of the former, this edition also draws on the original German, as well as more recent translations. For Prices and Production, a variorum edition is presented, incorporating the 1931 first edition and its 1935 revision. Business Cycles: Part II assembles a series of Hayek's shorter papers on the topic, ranging from the 1920s to 1981. In addition to bringing together Hayek's work on the evolution of business cycles, the two volumes of Business Cycles also include extensive introductions by Hansjoerg Klausinger, placing the writings in intellectual context, including their reception and the theoretical debates to which they contributed, and providing background on the evolution of Hayek's thought.



Business Cycles In The Contemporary World


Business Cycles In The Contemporary World
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Author : Bernd Süssmuth
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06

Business Cycles In The Contemporary World written by Bernd Süssmuth and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Business & Economics categories.


The book provides a thorough and sophisticated descriptive analysis of business cycles in a historical perspective. The study is based on the latest available time series as well as latest techniques from the frequency domain. A combined univariate and bivariate analysis is conducted on the national as well as supranational (G7- and Euro-Area wide) level. Issues of stability, volatility, and cyclicality are investigated jointly. An extensive analysis of US manufacturing investment series on the fairly disaggregated four-digit level highlights the limits of linear models to capture the sectoral aggregation process. Synchronization is modelled by a mode-locking mechanism of industrial investment cycles induced by informational externalities. The model in its stochastic version is numerically simulated to assess an agreement between model and data.



Econometric Business Cycle Research


Econometric Business Cycle Research
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Author : Jan Jacobs
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06

Econometric Business Cycle Research written by Jan Jacobs and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Business & Economics categories.


Econometric Business Cycle Research deals with econometric business cycle research (EBCR), a term introduced by the Nobel-laureate Jan Tinbergen for his econometric method of testing (economic) business cycle theories. EBCR combines economic theory and measurement in the study of business cycles, i.e., ups and downs in overall economic activity. We assess four methods of EBCR: business cycle indicators, simultaneous equations models, vector autoregressive systems and real business indicators. After a sketch of the history of the methods, we investigate whether the methods meet the goals of EBCR: the three traditional ones, description, forecasting and policy evaluation, and the one Tinbergen introduced, the implementation|testing of business cycles. The first three EBCR methods are illustrated for the Netherlands, a typical example of a small, open economy. The main conclusion of the book is that simultaneous equation models are the best vehicle for EBCR, if all its goals are to be attained simultaneously. This conclusion is based on a fairly detailed assessment of the methods and is not over-turned in the empirical illustrations. The main conclusion does not imply the end of other EBCR methods. Not all goals have to be met with a single vehicle, other methods might serve the purpose equally well - or even better. For example, if one is interested in business cycle forecasts, one might prefer a business cycle indicator or vector autoregressive system. A second conclusion is that many ideas/concepts that play an important role in current discussions about econometric methodology in general and EBCR in particular, were put forward in the 1930s and 1940s. A third conclusion is that it is difficult, if not impossible, to compare the outcomes of RBC models to outcomes of the other three methods, because RBC modellers are not interested in modelling business cycles on an observation-per-observation basis. A more general conclusion in this respect is that methods should adopt the same concept of business cycles to make them comparable.



A Second Edition Of The General Theory


A Second Edition Of The General Theory
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Author : Geoffrey Colin Harcourt
language : en
Publisher: Psychology Press
Release Date : 1997

A Second Edition Of The General Theory written by Geoffrey Colin Harcourt and has been published by Psychology Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1997 with Keynesian economics categories.




The General Theory


The General Theory
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Author : Professor Geoffrey Harcourt
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2006-08-23

The General Theory written by Professor Geoffrey Harcourt and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-08-23 with Business & Economics categories.


Keynes always intended to write 'footnotes' to his masterwork The General Theory, which would take account of the criticisms made of it and allow him to develop and refine his ideas further. However, a number of factors combined to prevent him from doing so before his death in 1946. A wide range of Keynes scholars - including James Tobin, Paul Davidson and Lord Skidelsky - have written here the 'footnotes' that Keynes never did.



Handbook Of Survey Based Business Cycle Analysis


Handbook Of Survey Based Business Cycle Analysis
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Author : Georg Goldrian
language : en
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Release Date : 2007-01-01

Handbook Of Survey Based Business Cycle Analysis written by Georg Goldrian and has been published by Edward Elgar Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-01-01 with Reference categories.


This Handbook aims to provide an overview of regular survey activities, as well as to show how survey results can be used scientifically in the context of business-cycle analysis and forecasting. - Examples of various business surveys are described in detail, starting with their objectives, the questions they pose, how they are weighted and extrapolated and the representativeness of their results. A detailed scientific examination of the explanatory value of the data is also made in order to demonstrate their potential usefulness. The Handbook has three parts: firstly, it presents the importance of business surveys for empirical research. Secondly, selected surveys are introduced in detail such as the Ifo Business Survey and the Ifo Investment Survey, and thirdly, a broad spectrum of studies on the consequence of the survey results is presented. The significance of the surveys applied equally to business cycle analysis and to forecasting. An array of modern methods of time series analysis and econometric model construction is used in these investigations.