Case Probability Management
DOWNLOAD
Download Case Probability Management PDF/ePub or read online books in Mobi eBooks. Click Download or Read Online button to get Case Probability Management book now. This website allows unlimited access to, at the time of writing, more than 1.5 million titles, including hundreds of thousands of titles in various foreign languages. If the content not found or just blank you must refresh this page
The Flaw Of Averages
DOWNLOAD
Author : Sam L. Savage
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2012-03-13
The Flaw Of Averages written by Sam L. Savage and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-03-13 with Business & Economics categories.
A must-read for anyone who makes business decisions that have a major financial impact. As the recent collapse on Wall Street shows, we are often ill-equipped to deal with uncertainty and risk. Yet every day we base our personal and business plans on uncertainties, whether they be next month’s sales, next year’s costs, or tomorrow’s stock price. In The Flaw of Averages, Sam Savageknown for his creative exposition of difficult subjects describes common avoidable mistakes in assessing risk in the face of uncertainty. Along the way, he shows why plans based on average assumptions are wrong, on average, in areas as diverse as healthcare, accounting, the War on Terror, and climate change. In his chapter on Sex and the Central Limit Theorem, he bravely grasps the literary third rail of gender differences. Instead of statistical jargon, Savage presents complex concepts in plain English. In addition, a tightly integrated web site contains numerous animations and simulations to further connect the seat of the reader’s intellect to the seat of their pants. The Flaw of Averages typically results when someone plugs a single number into a spreadsheet to represent an uncertain future quantity. Savage finishes the book with a discussion of the emerging field of Probability Management, which cures this problem though a new technology that can pack thousands of numbers into a single spreadsheet cell. Praise for The Flaw of Averages “Statistical uncertainties are pervasive in decisions we make every day in business, government, and our personal lives. Sam Savage’s lively and engaging book gives any interested reader the insight and the tools to deal effectively with those uncertainties. I highly recommend The Flaw of Averages.” —William J. Perry, Former U.S. Secretary of Defense “Enterprise analysis under uncertainty has long been an academic ideal. . . . In this profound and entertaining book, Professor Savage shows how to make all this practical, practicable, and comprehensible.” —Harry Markowitz, Nobel Laureate in Economics
Probability For Risk Management
DOWNLOAD
Author : Matthew J. Hassett
language : en
Publisher: ACTEX Publications
Release Date : 2006
Probability For Risk Management written by Matthew J. Hassett and has been published by ACTEX Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with Business & Economics categories.
Low Probability High Consequence Risk Analysis
DOWNLOAD
Author : Ray Waller
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-11-21
Low Probability High Consequence Risk Analysis written by Ray Waller and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-11-21 with Science categories.
In recent years public attention has focused on an array of low-probability/high-consequence (LC/HC) events that pose a signif icant threat to human health, safety, and the environment. At the same time, public and private sector responsibilities for the assessment and management of such events have grown because of a perceived need to anticipate, prevent, or reduce the risks. In attempting to meet these responsibilities, legislative, judicial, regulatory, and private sector institutions have had to deal with the extraordinarily complex problem of assessing and balancing LP/ HC risks against the costs and ben if its of risk reduction. The need to help society cope with LP/HC events such as nuclear power plant accidents, toxic spills, chemical plant explosions, and transportation accidents has given rise to the development of a new intellectual endeavor: LP/HC risk analysis. The scope and complexity of these analyses require a high degree of cooperative effort on the part of specialists from many f~elds. Analyzing technical, social, and value issues requires the efforts of physicists, biologists, geneticists, statisticians, chemists, engineers, political scientists, sociologists, decision analysts, management scientists, economists, psychologists, ethicists, lawyers, and policy analysts. Included in this volume are papers by authors in each of these disciplines. The papers share in common a focus on one or more of the following questions that are generic to the analysis of LP/HC risks.
Student Cd To Accompany Managerial Statistics
DOWNLOAD
Author : Peter Klibanoff
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2006
Student Cd To Accompany Managerial Statistics written by Peter Klibanoff and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with Management categories.
Statistical Decision Problems
DOWNLOAD
Author : Michael Zabarankin
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-12-16
Statistical Decision Problems written by Michael Zabarankin and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-12-16 with Business & Economics categories.
Statistical Decision Problems presents a quick and concise introduction into the theory of risk, deviation and error measures that play a key role in statistical decision problems. It introduces state-of-the-art practical decision making through twenty-one case studies from real-life applications. The case studies cover a broad area of topics and the authors include links with source code and data, a very helpful tool for the reader. In its core, the text demonstrates how to use different factors to formulate statistical decision problems arising in various risk management applications, such as optimal hedging, portfolio optimization, cash flow matching, classification, and more. The presentation is organized into three parts: selected concepts of statistical decision theory, statistical decision problems, and case studies with portfolio safeguard. The text is primarily aimed at practitioners in the areas of risk management, decision making, and statistics. However, the inclusion of a fair bit of mathematical rigor renders this monograph an excellent introduction to the theory of general error, deviation, and risk measures for graduate students. It can be used as supplementary reading for graduate courses including statistical analysis, data mining, stochastic programming, financial engineering, to name a few. The high level of detail may serve useful to applied mathematicians, engineers, and statisticians interested in modeling and managing risk in various applications.
Managerial Statistics
DOWNLOAD
Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2006
Managerial Statistics written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with categories.
Probability Combinatorics And Control
DOWNLOAD
Author : Andrey Kostogryzov
language : en
Publisher: BoD – Books on Demand
Release Date : 2020-04-15
Probability Combinatorics And Control written by Andrey Kostogryzov and has been published by BoD – Books on Demand this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-04-15 with Mathematics categories.
Probabilistic and combinatorial techniques are often used for solving advanced problems. This book describes different probabilistic modeling methods and their applications in various areas, such as artificial intelligence, offshore platforms, social networks, and others. It aims to educate how modern probabilistic and combinatorial models may be created to formalize uncertainties; to train how new probabilistic models can be generated for the systems of complex structures; to describe the correct use of the presented models for rational control in systems creation and operation; and to demonstrate analytical possibilities and practical effects for solving different system problems on each life cycle stage.
Ie Pkg Managerial Statistics With
DOWNLOAD
Author : Peter Klibanoff
language : en
Publisher: Thomson
Release Date : 2005-11
Ie Pkg Managerial Statistics With written by Peter Klibanoff and has been published by Thomson this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-11 with Management categories.
Quantitative Methods In Management
DOWNLOAD
Author : Paul A. Vatter
language : en
Publisher: McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Release Date : 1978
Quantitative Methods In Management written by Paul A. Vatter and has been published by McGraw-Hill/Irwin this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1978 with Business & Economics categories.
Probability
DOWNLOAD
Author : Rick Durrett
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2010-08-30
Probability written by Rick Durrett and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-08-30 with Mathematics categories.
This classic introduction to probability theory for beginning graduate students covers laws of large numbers, central limit theorems, random walks, martingales, Markov chains, ergodic theorems, and Brownian motion. It is a comprehensive treatment concentrating on the results that are the most useful for applications. Its philosophy is that the best way to learn probability is to see it in action, so there are 200 examples and 450 problems. The fourth edition begins with a short chapter on measure theory to orient readers new to the subject.