Common Risk Factors In The German Stock Market
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Common Risk Factors In The German Stock Market
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Author : Daniel Bathe
language : en
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Release Date : 2008-05-20
Common Risk Factors In The German Stock Market written by Daniel Bathe and has been published by GRIN Verlag this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-05-20 with categories.
Diploma Thesis from the year 2007 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,3, University of Tubingen, language: English, abstract: This paper develops a multifactor model for explaining the difference in average returns for the German stock market in the period between July 1990 and June 2007. The methodology of Fama and French (1993) is adopted to determine possible common risk factors in that market. Despite the enormous and strong stock markets movements and the high volatility during that period, the three factors RM-RF, SMB and HML seem to be able to capture cross-sectional variation in average returns for portfolios formed on various sorting criteria based on publicly available financial data. In addition, the analysis shows a negative (risk?) premium for small size stocks, which is a surprising result since it contradicts previous studies for the German, but also international markets. For stocks with a high book-to-market value, a strong positive premium is found. This value effect is consistent over time and statistically significant. Positive premiums seem to exist for high E/P and C/P stocks as well. These market anomalies show that returns are indeed predictable in the German market over long time horizons. High BM, E/P and C/P stocks do outperform stocks with low ratios in these categories significantly and consistent over time. However, the evidence in this analysis highlights that the common explanation in rational asset-pricing models of an outperformance due to some economic risk factors that are proxied by HML and SMB must be strongly questioned. Portfolios consisting of value stocks outperform growth portfolios in all possible states of the stock market. This evidence is contradictory to the 'marginal value of wealth' assumption in the rational asset pricing models presented. Additionally, there is a January effect in stock returns which cannot be captured by a risk-based, rational asset
Common Risk Factors In The German Stock Market
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Author : Daniel Bathe
language : en
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Release Date : 2008-05-05
Common Risk Factors In The German Stock Market written by Daniel Bathe and has been published by GRIN Verlag this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-05-05 with Business & Economics categories.
Diploma Thesis from the year 2007 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,3, University of Tubingen, language: English, abstract: This paper develops a multifactor model for explaining the difference in average returns for the German stock market in the period between July 1990 and June 2007. The methodology of Fama and French (1993) is adopted to determine possible common risk factors in that market. Despite the enormous and strong stock markets movements and the high volatility during that period, the three factors RM-RF, SMB and HML seem to be able to capture cross-sectional variation in average returns for portfolios formed on various sorting criteria based on publicly available financial data. In addition, the analysis shows a negative (risk?) premium for small size stocks, which is a surprising result since it contradicts previous studies for the German, but also international markets. For stocks with a high book-to-market value, a strong positive premium is found. This value effect is consistent over time and statistically significant. Positive premiums seem to exist for high E/P and C/P stocks as well. These market anomalies show that returns are indeed predictable in the German market over long time horizons. High BM, E/P and C/P stocks do outperform stocks with low ratios in these categories significantly and consistent over time. However, the evidence in this analysis highlights that the common explanation in rational asset-pricing models of an outperformance due to some economic risk factors that are proxied by HML and SMB must be strongly questioned. Portfolios consisting of value stocks outperform growth portfolios in all possible states of the stock market. This evidence is contradictory to the ‘marginal value of wealth’ assumption in the rational asset pricing models presented. Additionally, there is a January effect in stock returns which cannot be captured by a risk-based, rational asset pricing model. Thus, the evidence suggests that it is in fact investor irrationality which is causing differences in average returns across stocks. RM-RF, SMB and HML can be described as common factors helping to explain return differences, but it is very likely that it is not underlying economic risk, but investor behavior which is causing the presented market anomalies and return predictability.
On The Explanatory Power Of The Capm And Multifactor Models On The German Stock Market
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Author : Fabio Martin
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2018-05
On The Explanatory Power Of The Capm And Multifactor Models On The German Stock Market written by Fabio Martin and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-05 with categories.
Bachelor Thesis from the year 2018 in the subject Business economics - General, grade: 1,0, Justus-Liebig-University Giessen, language: English, abstract: The aim of this thesis is to apply the CAPM and the Fama-French model on the German stock market and to see whether the models hold or not. The research methodology in this thesis is mostly an empirical analysis and adopts the approach of Pamane et. al (2014) and Fama and French (1993). However, I will use a different data set and run the test for the CAPM on single stocks rather than on portfolios in order to avoid covariance problems. Firstly, we will calculate the security market line in a two-step regression and then evaluate the influence of non-linear factors and non-systematic risk factors. In addition, the effects of the financial crisis have to be taken into consideration which is why, dummy variables will be used. However, before we interpret the regression results, we make sure that the data are reliable in the first place and correct them if necessary. For the purpose of assessing the Fama-French model, however, we use a quite different approach and follow the original procedure that was used by Fama and French (1993) themselves. This involves classifying the stocks according to size and value and then building a total of four portfolios. Afterwards, returns are computed and regressed against size and value factors. Even though it is quite common to use, for instance, the DAX or the NASDAQ as proxies, I see the chance of facing endogeneity issues when explaining returns of stocks that are listed in the DAX, which is why I will run all tests for a second time but this time using the MDAX instead of DAX as the market portfolio in order to avoid endogeneity problems.
Intraday And Overnight Returns In The German Equity Market
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Author : Samuel Köppel
language : de
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Release Date : 2022-09-09
Intraday And Overnight Returns In The German Equity Market written by Samuel Köppel and has been published by GRIN Verlag this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-09-09 with Business & Economics categories.
Akademische Arbeit aus dem Fachbereich BWL - Investition und Finanzierung, Universität Mannheim, Sprache: Deutsch, Abstract: In the first step of my analysis, I provide some descriptive statics of daily overnight and intraday returns in the German equity market. Followed by this, we will discuss evidence for differences in the return-/beta relation and make an answer to our first Hypothesis. Then we will go over to the momentum analysis and show their predictive power for momentum and reversal strategies based on overnight and intraday return signals and take a quick look on where it happens (intraday vs. overnight) like Baradehi et al. (2022) and Lou et al. (2015). For explaining the different behavior of stock returns, we first start with the basic idea of a multiple factor model where exists multiple priced risk factors whose covariance matrix varies between the day and night. In case of different behavior of intraday and overnight returns there are existing different types of risk factors which can predict the expected stock return. To explain the relation between returns and beta we determine that the risk-return relationship is positive only during specific times, for example in January (Tinic and West, 1984), during months of low inflation (Cohen et al., 2005) or days with news about economic trends like inflation or unemployment. By looking at returns of the CDAX decomposed into its intraday and overnight returns we see a distinctively different behavior.
Value Stocks Beat Growth Stocks An Empirical Analysis For The German Stock Market
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Author : Christian Schießl
language : en
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Release Date : 2012-11-02
Value Stocks Beat Growth Stocks An Empirical Analysis For The German Stock Market written by Christian Schießl and has been published by GRIN Verlag this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-11-02 with Business & Economics categories.
Master's Thesis from the year 2012 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,0, University of Bamberg, language: English, abstract: Based on a sample of German stocks listed at the Frankfurt stock exchange, the study investigated the ability of hedge portfolio formation structures, built of three value premium proxies (P/B, P/E, and DY), the size factor, and the technical momentum factor, to generate excess returns in the period 1992 to 2011. The P/B hedge portfolio yields an average return of 1.59 percent per month, the P/E hedge portfolio 0.664 percent, and a portfolio formation approach ranked on DY delivers a return of 0.839. The results of multivariate regressions favor the Fama-French three-factor model in order to explain expected stock returns.
Empirical Finance
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Author : Shigeyuki Hamori
language : en
Publisher: MDPI
Release Date : 2019-03-25
Empirical Finance written by Shigeyuki Hamori and has been published by MDPI this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-03-25 with Business & Economics categories.
There is no denying the role of empirical research in finance and the remarkable progress of empirical techniques in this research field. This Special Issue focuses on the broad topic of “Empirical Finance” and includes novel empirical research associated with financial data. One example includes the application of novel empirical techniques, such as machine learning, data mining, wavelet transform, copula analysis, and TV-VAR, to financial data. The Special Issue includes contributions on empirical finance, such as algorithmic trading, market efficiency, market microstructure, portfolio theory and asset allocation, asset pricing models, liquidity risk premium, currency crisis, return predictability, and volatility modeling.
Efficiency And Anomalies In Stock Markets
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Author : Wing-Keung Wong
language : en
Publisher: Mdpi AG
Release Date : 2022-02-17
Efficiency And Anomalies In Stock Markets written by Wing-Keung Wong and has been published by Mdpi AG this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-02-17 with Business & Economics categories.
The Efficient Market Hypothesis believes that it is impossible for an investor to outperform the market because all available information is already built into stock prices. However, some anomalies could persist in stock markets while some other anomalies could appear, disappear and re-appear again without any warning. A Special Issue on "Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets" will be devoted to advancements in the theoretical development of market efficiency and anomaly in the Stock Market, as well as applications in Stock Market efficiency and anomalies.
Dynamic Strategy And Performance Of German Equity And Bond Mutual Funds
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Author : Nikola Jelicic
language : en
Publisher: diplom.de
Release Date : 2010-03-30
Dynamic Strategy And Performance Of German Equity And Bond Mutual Funds written by Nikola Jelicic and has been published by diplom.de this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-03-30 with Business & Economics categories.
Inhaltsangabe:Introduction: Measuring performance of fund managers is a topic equally interesting to practitioners and researchers. Most common performance measures rely on the assumption of constant risk during the entire evaluation period. The measure of risk is the beta from the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). In order to better assess a manager s investment ability, additional factors could be employed to capture the different sources of risk. The manager owes each portion of the achieved return to a certain risk factor. The risks a manager is running can be summed up to form his personal benchmark, which thus reflects the investment style. Still, the exposures to the included risk factors are assumed to be constant. The dynamics of the capital markets had not been captured by the prevailing performance measures before an approach that controlled for varying economic conditions was suggested. Models that are based on this approach deliver a beta conditional on the market state. The manager s exposure to the risk of the own benchmark was thus allowed to vary in time. Consequently, the search for indicators of the market states was launched and a model framework which could accommodate the chosen indicators as part of the benchmark had to be chosen. Two model frameworks emerged and a couple of indicators established themselves as standard. This study largely follows the approach of Ferson and Schadt. They introduced a linear model that can be perceived as a conditional version of the CAPM. The aim of this study is not only to obtain performance measures which result from the conditional models. Since the variation in the exposure to market risk is accounted for, one who employs conditional models gains insight into fund manager s trading. If the trading is reflected in changes of the beta, then inference on fund strategy is made possible even though information on the portfolio structure is not provided. The explanatory power of a conditional model depends on the researcher selecting a representative benchmark for the funds in the sample and indicators of economic conditions that fund managers rely on in reality. The structure of this paper is the following: chapter 2 builds the theoretical foundation of conditional models and presents their two forms; chapter 3 relates this study to previous literature in the area; chapter 4 employs conditional models to evaluate strategies and performance of German fund managers; chapter 5 sums up the [...]
High Returns From Low Risk
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Author : Pim van Vliet
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2017-01-17
High Returns From Low Risk written by Pim van Vliet and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-01-17 with Business & Economics categories.
Believing "high-risk equals high-reward" is holding your portfolio hostage High Returns from Low Risk proves that low-volatility, low-risk portfolios beat high-volatility portfolios hands down, and shows you how to take advantage of this paradox to dramatically improve your returns. Investors traditionally view low-risk stocks as safe but unprofitable, but this old canard is based on a flawed premise; it fails to see beyond the monthly horizon, and ignores compounding returns. This book updates the thinking and brings reality to modelling to show how low-risk stocks actually outperform high-risk stocks by an order of magnitude. Easy to read and easy to implement, the plan presented here will help you construct a portfolio that delivers higher returns per unit of risk, and explains how to achieve excellent investment results over the long term. Do you still believe that investors are rewarded for bearing risk, and that the higher the risk, the greater the reward? That old axiom is holding you back, and it is time to start seeing the whole picture. This book shows you, through deep historical simulation, how to reap the rewards of smarter investing. Learn how and why low-risk, low-volatility stocks beat the market Discover the formula that outperforms Greenblatt's Construct your own low-risk portfolio Select the right ETF or low-risk fund to manage your money Great returns and lower risk sound like a winning combination — what happens once everyone is doing it? The beauty of the low-risk strategy is that it continues to work even after the paradox is widely known; long-term investment success is possible for anyone who can shake off the entrenched wisdom and go low-risk. High Returns from Low Risk provides the proof, model and strategy to reign in your exposure while raking in the profit.
International Convergence Of Capital Measurement And Capital Standards
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Author :
language : en
Publisher: Lulu.com
Release Date : 2004
International Convergence Of Capital Measurement And Capital Standards written by and has been published by Lulu.com this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with Bank capital categories.