Company Bankruptcy Analysis And Prediction Using Machine Learning With Python Gui
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Company Bankruptcy Analysis And Prediction Using Machine Learning With Python Gui
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Author : Vivian Siahaan
language : en
Publisher: BALIGE PUBLISHING
Release Date : 2023-08-25
Company Bankruptcy Analysis And Prediction Using Machine Learning With Python Gui written by Vivian Siahaan and has been published by BALIGE PUBLISHING this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-08-25 with Computers categories.
In this comprehensive project titled "Company Bankruptcy Analysis and Prediction Using Machine Learning with Python GUI," we embarked on a journey to explore, analyze, and predict the bankruptcy status of companies. Our project began with an exploration of the dataset, which involved importing it using Pandas and refining it by removing leading spaces and replacing spaces with underscores in column names to ensure consistency. To grasp the dataset's characteristics, we delved into categorized features' distributions, allowing us to understand the underlying patterns within the data. This step helped us gain insights into the distribution of attributes across different classes, aiding in feature selection and engineering. Moving on to the heart of our project, the prediction of company bankruptcy, we employed various machine learning models. Utilizing grid search, we performed hyperparameter tuning to optimize model performance. Our model arsenal included Logistic Regression, K-Nearest Neighbors, Support Vector, Decision Trees, Random Forests, Gradient Boosting, AdaBoost, Extreme Gradient Boosting, Light Gradient Boosting, and Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), which were evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score. Transitioning to deep learning, we implemented an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model. This involved constructing a feed-forward neural network with hidden layers, dropouts, and activation functions. We evaluated the ANN using accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score, gaining a comprehensive understanding of its classification performance. Our journey into deep learning continued with the implementation of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, which are well-suited for sequence data. We structured the LSTM model with multiple layers and dropouts, evaluating its performance using metrics like accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score. This marked a pivotal step in predicting company bankruptcy. Furthermore, we explored Feed-Forward Neural Networks (FNN) for prediction. Constructing a multi-layered architecture with varied dropouts and activation functions, we assessed its classification capabilities using metrics similar to previous models. Incorporating Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) added another dimension to our analysis. Building an RNN model with sequential data, we examined its accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score, highlighting its ability to capture sequential patterns in bankruptcy data. To comprehensively evaluate our models, we employed a range of metrics including precision, recall, F1-score, and accuracy. These metrics enabled us to gauge not only the overall model performance but also its capability to correctly predict bankrupt and non-bankrupt cases. Our project also extended into creating a Python GUI using PyQt. This graphical interface facilitated user interaction, allowing them to input data for prediction and view the outcomes through an intuitive interface. This GUI enhanced accessibility and usability, making it easier for users to engage with our models. In conclusion, our journey through the "Company Bankruptcy Analysis and Prediction Using Machine Learning with Python GUI" project encompassed data exploration, categorized features distribution analysis, model selection, performance evaluation using diverse metrics, and the creation of an interactive GUI. This endeavor combined analytical rigor, machine learning expertise, and user-centric design to provide a comprehensive solution for predicting company bankruptcy.
5 Five Data Science Projects For Analysis Classification Prediction And Sentiment Analysis With Python Gui
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Author : Vivian Siahaan
language : en
Publisher: BALIGE PUBLISHING
Release Date : 2022-04-29
5 Five Data Science Projects For Analysis Classification Prediction And Sentiment Analysis With Python Gui written by Vivian Siahaan and has been published by BALIGE PUBLISHING this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-04-29 with Computers categories.
PROJECT 1: SUPERMARKET SALES ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION USING MACHINE LEARNING WITH PYTHON GUI The dataset used in this project consists of the growth of supermarkets with high market competitions in most populated cities. The dataset is one of the historical sales of supermarket company which has recorded in 3 different branches for 3 months data. Predictive data analytics methods are easy to apply with this dataset. Attribute information in the dataset are as follows: Invoice id: Computer generated sales slip invoice identification number; Branch: Branch of supercenter (3 branches are available identified by A, B and C); City: Location of supercenters; Customer type: Type of customers, recorded by Members for customers using member card and Normal for without member card; Gender: Gender type of customer; Product line: General item categorization groups - Electronic accessories, Fashion accessories, Food and beverages, Health and beauty, Home and lifestyle, Sports and travel; Unit price: Price of each product in $; Quantity: Number of products purchased by customer; Tax: 5% tax fee for customer buying; Total: Total price including tax; Date: Date of purchase (Record available from January 2019 to March 2019); Time: Purchase time (10am to 9pm); Payment: Payment used by customer for purchase (3 methods are available – Cash, Credit card and Ewallet); COGS: Cost of goods sold; Gross margin percentage: Gross margin percentage; Gross income: Gross income; and Rating: Customer stratification rating on their overall shopping experience (On a scale of 1 to 10). In this project, you will perform predicting rating using machine learning. The machine learning models used in this project to predict clusters as target variable are K-Nearest Neighbor, Random Forest, Naive Bayes, Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Support Vector Machine, LGBM, Gradient Boosting, XGB, and MLP. Finally, you will plot boundary decision, distribution of features, feature importance, cross validation score, and predicted values versus true values, confusion matrix, learning curve, performance of the model, scalability of the model, training loss, and training accuracy. PROJECT 2: DETECTING CYBERBULLYING TWEETS USING MACHINE LEARNING AND DEEP LEARNING WITH PYTHON GUI As social media usage becomes increasingly prevalent in every age group, a vast majority of citizens rely on this essential medium for day-to-day communication. Social media’s ubiquity means that cyberbullying can effectively impact anyone at any time or anywhere, and the relative anonymity of the internet makes such personal attacks more difficult to stop than traditional bullying. On April 15th, 2020, UNICEF issued a warning in response to the increased risk of cyberbullying during the COVID-19 pandemic due to widespread school closures, increased screen time, and decreased face-to-face social interaction. The statistics of cyberbullying are outright alarming: 36.5% of middle and high school students have felt cyberbullied and 87% have observed cyberbullying, with effects ranging from decreased academic performance to depression to suicidal thoughts. In light of all of this, this dataset contains more than 47000 tweets labelled according to the class of cyberbullying: Age; Ethnicity; Gender; Religion; Other type of cyberbullying; and Not cyberbullying. The data has been balanced in order to contain ~8000 of each class. The models used in this project are K-Nearest Neighbor, Random Forest, Naive Bayes, Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Support Vector Machine, Adaboost, LGBM classifier, Gradient Boosting, XGB classifier, LSTM, and CNN. Three feature scaling used in machine learning are raw, minmax scaler, and standard scaler. Finally, you will develop a GUI using PyQt5 to plot cross validation score, predicted values versus true values, confusion matrix, learning curve, decision boundaries, performance of the model, scalability of the model, training loss, and training accuracy. PROJECT 3: HIGHER EDUCATION STUDENT ACADEMIC PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION USING MACHINE LEARNING WITH PYTHON GUI The dataset used in this project was collected from the Faculty of Engineering and Faculty of Educational Sciences students in 2019. The purpose is to predict students' end-of-term performances using ML techniques. Attribute information in the dataset are as follows: Student ID; Student Age (1: 18-21, 2: 22-25, 3: above 26); Sex (1: female, 2: male); Graduated high-school type: (1: private, 2: state, 3: other); Scholarship type: (1: None, 2: 25%, 3: 50%, 4: 75%, 5: Full); Additional work: (1: Yes, 2: No); Regular artistic or sports activity: (1: Yes, 2: No); Do you have a partner: (1: Yes, 2: No); Total salary if available (1: USD 135-200, 2: USD 201-270, 3: USD 271-340, 4: USD 341-410, 5: above 410); Transportation to the university: (1: Bus, 2: Private car/taxi, 3: bicycle, 4: Other); Accommodation type in Cyprus: (1: rental, 2: dormitory, 3: with family, 4: Other); Mother's education: (1: primary school, 2: secondary school, 3: high school, 4: university, 5: MSc., 6: Ph.D.); Father's education: (1: primary school, 2: secondary school, 3: high school, 4: university, 5: MSc., 6: Ph.D.); Number of sisters/brothers (if available): (1: 1, 2:, 2, 3: 3, 4: 4, 5: 5 or above); Parental status: (1: married, 2: divorced, 3: died - one of them or both); Mother's occupation: (1: retired, 2: housewife, 3: government officer, 4: private sector employee, 5: self-employment, 6: other); Father's occupation: (1: retired, 2: government officer, 3: private sector employee, 4: self-employment, 5: other); Weekly study hours: (1: None, 2: <5 hours, 3: 6-10 hours, 4: 11-20 hours, 5: more than 20 hours); Reading frequency (non-scientific books/journals): (1: None, 2: Sometimes, 3: Often); Reading frequency (scientific books/journals): (1: None, 2: Sometimes, 3: Often); Attendance to the seminars/conferences related to the department: (1: Yes, 2: No); Impact of your projects/activities on your success: (1: positive, 2: negative, 3: neutral); Attendance to classes (1: always, 2: sometimes, 3: never); Preparation to midterm exams 1: (1: alone, 2: with friends, 3: not applicable); Preparation to midterm exams 2: (1: closest date to the exam, 2: regularly during the semester, 3: never); Taking notes in classes: (1: never, 2: sometimes, 3: always); Listening in classes: (1: never, 2: sometimes, 3: always); Discussion improves my interest and success in the course: (1: never, 2: sometimes, 3: always); Flip-classroom: (1: not useful, 2: useful, 3: not applicable); Cumulative grade point average in the last semester (/4.00): (1: <2.00, 2: 2.00-2.49, 3: 2.50-2.99, 4: 3.00-3.49, 5: above 3.49); Expected Cumulative grade point average in the graduation (/4.00): (1: <2.00, 2: 2.00-2.49, 3: 2.50-2.99, 4: 3.00-3.49, 5: above 3.49); Course ID; and OUTPUT: Grade (0: Fail, 1: DD, 2: DC, 3: CC, 4: CB, 5: BB, 6: BA, 7: AA). The models used in this project are K-Nearest Neighbor, Random Forest, Naive Bayes, Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Support Vector Machine, Adaboost, LGBM classifier, Gradient Boosting, and XGB classifier. Three feature scaling used in machine learning are raw, minmax scaler, and standard scaler. Finally, you will develop a GUI using PyQt5 to plot cross validation score, predicted values versus true values, confusion matrix, learning curve, decision boundaries, performance of the model, scalability of the model, training loss, and training accuracy. PROJECT 4: COMPANY BANKRUPTCY ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION USING MACHINE LEARNING WITH PYTHON GUI The dataset was collected from the Taiwan Economic Journal for the years 1999 to 2009. Company bankruptcy was defined based on the business regulations of the Taiwan Stock Exchange. Attribute information in the dataset are as follows: Y - Bankrupt?: Class label; X1 - ROA(C) before interest and depreciation before interest: Return On Total Assets(C); X2 - ROA(A) before interest and % after tax: Return On Total Assets(A); X3 - ROA(B) before interest and depreciation after tax: Return On Total Assets(B); X4 - Operating Gross Margin: Gross Profit/Net Sales; X5 - Realized Sales Gross Margin: Realized Gross Profit/Net Sales; X6 - Operating Profit Rate: Operating Income/Net Sales; X7 - Pre-tax net Interest Rate: Pre-Tax Income/Net Sales; X8 - After-tax net Interest Rate: Net Income/Net Sales; X9 - Non-industry income and expenditure/revenue: Net Non-operating Income Ratio; X10 - Continuous interest rate (after tax): Net Income-Exclude Disposal Gain or Loss/Net Sales; X11 - Operating Expense Rate: Operating Expenses/Net Sales; X12 - Research and development expense rate: (Research and Development Expenses)/Net Sales X13 - Cash flow rate: Cash Flow from Operating/Current Liabilities; X14 - Interest-bearing debt interest rate: Interest-bearing Debt/Equity; X15 - Tax rate (A): Effective Tax Rate; X16 - Net Value Per Share (B): Book Value Per Share(B); X17 - Net Value Per Share (A): Book Value Per Share(A); X18 - Net Value Per Share (C): Book Value Per Share(C); X19 - Persistent EPS in the Last Four Seasons: EPS-Net Income; X20 - Cash Flow Per Share; X21 - Revenue Per Share (Yuan ¥): Sales Per Share; X22 - Operating Profit Per Share (Yuan ¥): Operating Income Per Share; X23 - Per Share Net profit before tax (Yuan ¥): Pretax Income Per Share; X24 - Realized Sales Gross Profit Growth Rate; X25 - Operating Profit Growth Rate: Operating Income Growth; X26 - After-tax Net Profit Growth Rate: Net Income Growth; X27 - Regular Net Profit Growth Rate: Continuing Operating Income after Tax Growth; X28 - Continuous Net Profit Growth Rate: Net Income-Excluding Disposal Gain or Loss Growth; X29 - Total Asset Growth Rate: Total Asset Growth; X30 - Net Value Growth Rate: Total Equity Growth; X31 - Total Asset Return Growth Rate Ratio: Return on Total Asset Growth; X32 - Cash Reinvestment %: Cash Reinvestment Ratio X33 - Current Ratio; X34 - Quick Ratio: Acid Test; X35 - Interest Expense Ratio: Interest Expenses/Total Revenue; X36 - Total debt/Total net worth: Total Liability/Equity Ratio; X37 - Debt ratio %: Liability/Total Assets; X38 - Net worth/Assets: Equity/Total Assets; X39 - Long-term fund suitability ratio (A): (Long-term Liability+Equity)/Fixed Assets; X40 - Borrowing dependency: Cost of Interest-bearing Debt; X41 - Contingent liabilities/Net worth: Contingent Liability/Equity; X42 - Operating profit/Paid-in capital: Operating Income/Capital; X43 - Net profit before tax/Paid-in capital: Pretax Income/Capital; X44 - Inventory and accounts receivable/Net value: (Inventory+Accounts Receivables)/Equity; X45 - Total Asset Turnover; X46 - Accounts Receivable Turnover; X47 - Average Collection Days: Days Receivable Outstanding; X48 - Inventory Turnover Rate (times); X49 - Fixed Assets Turnover Frequency; X50 - Net Worth Turnover Rate (times): Equity Turnover; X51 - Revenue per person: Sales Per Employee; X52 - Operating profit per person: Operation Income Per Employee; X53 - Allocation rate per person: Fixed Assets Per Employee; X54 - Working Capital to Total Assets; X55 - Quick Assets/Total Assets; X56 - Current Assets/Total Assets; X57 - Cash/Total Assets; X58 - Quick Assets/Current Liability; X59 - Cash/Current Liability; X60 - Current Liability to Assets; X61 - Operating Funds to Liability; X62 - Inventory/Working Capital; X63 - Inventory/Current Liability X64 - Current Liabilities/Liability; X65 - Working Capital/Equity; X66 - Current Liabilities/Equity; X67 - Long-term Liability to Current Assets; X68 - Retained Earnings to Total Assets; X69 - Total income/Total expense; X70 - Total expense/Assets; X71 - Current Asset Turnover Rate: Current Assets to Sales; X72 - Quick Asset Turnover Rate: Quick Assets to Sales; X73 - Working capitcal Turnover Rate: Working Capital to Sales; X74 - Cash Turnover Rate: Cash to Sales; X75 - Cash Flow to Sales; X76 - Fixed Assets to Assets; X77 - Current Liability to Liability; X78 - Current Liability to Equity; X79 - Equity to Long-term Liability; X80 - Cash Flow to Total Assets; X81 - Cash Flow to Liability; X82 - CFO to Assets; X83 - Cash Flow to Equity; X84 - Current Liability to Current Assets; X85 - Liability-Assets Flag: 1 if Total Liability exceeds Total Assets, 0 otherwise; X86 - Net Income to Total Assets; X87 - Total assets to GNP price; X88 - No-credit Interval; X89 - Gross Profit to Sales; X90 - Net Income to Stockholder's Equity; X91 - Liability to Equity; X92 - Degree of Financial Leverage (DFL); X93 - Interest Coverage Ratio (Interest expense to EBIT); X94 - Net Income Flag: 1 if Net Income is Negative for the last two years, 0 otherwise; and X95 - Equity to Liabilitys. The models used in this project are K-Nearest Neighbor, Random Forest, Naive Bayes, Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Support Vector Machine, Adaboost, LGBM classifier, Gradient Boosting, and XGB classifier. Three feature scaling used in machine learning are raw, minmax scaler, and standard scaler. Finally, you will develop a GUI using PyQt5 to plot cross validation score, predicted values versus true values, confusion matrix, learning curve, decision boundaries, performance of the model, scalability of the model, training loss, and training accuracy. PROJECT 5: DATA SCIENCE FOR RAIN CLASSIFICATION AND PREDICTION WITH PYTHON GUI This dataset contains about 10 years of daily weather observations from many locations across Australia. RainTomorrow is the target variable to predict. You will determine rain or not in the next day. This column is Yes if the rain for that day was 1mm or more. Observations were drawn from numerous weather stations. The daily observations are available from http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/data. The dataset contains 23 attributes. Some of them are as follows: About some of them are: DATE - The date of observation; LOCATION - The common name of the location of the weather station; MINTEMP - The minimum temperature in degrees celsius; MAXTEMP - The maximum temperature in degrees celsius; RAINFALL - The amount of rainfall recorded for the day in mm; EVAPORATION - The so-called Class A pan evaporation (mm) in the 24 hours to 9am; SUNSHINE - The number of hours of bright sunshine in the day; WINDGUESTDIR - The direction of the strongest wind gust in the 24 hours to midnight; WINDGUESTSPEED- The speed (km/h) of the strongest wind gust in the 24 hours to midnight; and WINDDIR9AM - Direction of the wind at 9am. The models used in this project are K-Nearest Neighbor, Random Forest, Naive Bayes, Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Support Vector Machine, Adaboost, LGBM classifier, Gradient Boosting, and XGB classifier. Three feature scaling used in machine learning are raw, minmax scaler, and standard scaler. Finally, you will develop a GUI using PyQt5 to plot cross validation score, predicted values versus true values, confusion matrix, learning curve, decision boundaries, performance of the model, scalability of the model, training loss, and training accuracy.
Business Challenges And Opportunities In The Era Of Industry 5 0
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Author : Simon Grima
language : en
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
Release Date : 2025-02-14
Business Challenges And Opportunities In The Era Of Industry 5 0 written by Simon Grima and has been published by Emerald Group Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-02-14 with Business & Economics categories.
Industry 5.0, also known as the fifth industrial revolution, is characterised by advanced technologies such as artificial intelligence, the Internet of Things (IoT), and robotics in manufacturing and other industries. The use of innovative technologies in Industry 5.0 can bring several benefits to companies and the industrial sector, including increased efficiency and productivity, improved product quality, and the ability to create new products and services. In addition, these technologies help businesses to reduce their environmental impact and operate more sustainably. Business Challenges and Opportunities in the Era of Industry 5.0 discusses the development and current technologies within Industry 5.0 and how these apply to various disciplines and sectors such as education, health, finance, production, automotive and construction. This book delves into various Industry 5.0 technologies and how these can improve production and give businesses a competitive edge to remain relevant in a rapidly changing business landscape.The ESFIRM series collects quantitative and qualitative studies in areas relating to finance insurance and risk management. Subjects of interest may include banking, accounting, auditing, compliance, sustainability, behaviour management, and business economics. In the disruption of political upheaval new technologies, climate change and new regulations, it is more important than ever to understand risk in the financial industry. Providing high quality academic research, this book series provides a platform for authors to explore analyse and discuss current and new financial models and theories and engage with innovative research on an international scale.
Learning From Imbalanced Data Sets
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Author : Alberto Fernández
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-10-22
Learning From Imbalanced Data Sets written by Alberto Fernández and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-10-22 with Computers categories.
This book provides a general and comprehensible overview of imbalanced learning. It contains a formal description of a problem, and focuses on its main features, and the most relevant proposed solutions. Additionally, it considers the different scenarios in Data Science for which the imbalanced classification can create a real challenge. This book stresses the gap with standard classification tasks by reviewing the case studies and ad-hoc performance metrics that are applied in this area. It also covers the different approaches that have been traditionally applied to address the binary skewed class distribution. Specifically, it reviews cost-sensitive learning, data-level preprocessing methods and algorithm-level solutions, taking also into account those ensemble-learning solutions that embed any of the former alternatives. Furthermore, it focuses on the extension of the problem for multi-class problems, where the former classical methods are no longer to be applied in a straightforward way. This book also focuses on the data intrinsic characteristics that are the main causes which, added to the uneven class distribution, truly hinders the performance of classification algorithms in this scenario. Then, some notes on data reduction are provided in order to understand the advantages related to the use of this type of approaches. Finally this book introduces some novel areas of study that are gathering a deeper attention on the imbalanced data issue. Specifically, it considers the classification of data streams, non-classical classification problems, and the scalability related to Big Data. Examples of software libraries and modules to address imbalanced classification are provided. This book is highly suitable for technical professionals, senior undergraduate and graduate students in the areas of data science, computer science and engineering. It will also be useful for scientists and researchers to gain insight on the current developments in this area of study, as well as future research directions.
Information And Communication Technology And Applications
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Author : Sanjay Misra
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2021-02-13
Information And Communication Technology And Applications written by Sanjay Misra and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-02-13 with Computers categories.
This book constitutes revised selected papers from the Third International Conference on Information and Communication Technology and Applications, ICTA 2020, held in Minna, Nigeria, in November 2020. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic the conference was held online. The 67 full papers were carefully reviewed and selected from 234 submissions. The papers are organized in the topical sections on Artificial Intelligence, Big Data and Machine Learning; Information Security Privacy and Trust; Information Science and Technology.
Handbook Of Financial Econometrics Mathematics Statistics And Machine Learning In 4 Volumes
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Author : Cheng Few Lee
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2020-07-30
Handbook Of Financial Econometrics Mathematics Statistics And Machine Learning In 4 Volumes written by Cheng Few Lee and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-07-30 with Business & Economics categories.
This four-volume handbook covers important concepts and tools used in the fields of financial econometrics, mathematics, statistics, and machine learning. Econometric methods have been applied in asset pricing, corporate finance, international finance, options and futures, risk management, and in stress testing for financial institutions. This handbook discusses a variety of econometric methods, including single equation multiple regression, simultaneous equation regression, and panel data analysis, among others. It also covers statistical distributions, such as the binomial and log normal distributions, in light of their applications to portfolio theory and asset management in addition to their use in research regarding options and futures contracts.In both theory and methodology, we need to rely upon mathematics, which includes linear algebra, geometry, differential equations, Stochastic differential equation (Ito calculus), optimization, constrained optimization, and others. These forms of mathematics have been used to derive capital market line, security market line (capital asset pricing model), option pricing model, portfolio analysis, and others.In recent times, an increased importance has been given to computer technology in financial research. Different computer languages and programming techniques are important tools for empirical research in finance. Hence, simulation, machine learning, big data, and financial payments are explored in this handbook.Led by Distinguished Professor Cheng Few Lee from Rutgers University, this multi-volume work integrates theoretical, methodological, and practical issues based on his years of academic and industry experience.
Credit Risk
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Author : Darrell Duffie
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2012-01-12
Credit Risk written by Darrell Duffie and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-01-12 with Business & Economics categories.
In this book, two of America's leading economists provide the first integrated treatment of the conceptual, practical, and empirical foundations for credit risk pricing and risk measurement. Masterfully applying theory to practice, Darrell Duffie and Kenneth Singleton model credit risk for the purpose of measuring portfolio risk and pricing defaultable bonds, credit derivatives, and other securities exposed to credit risk. The methodological rigor, scope, and sophistication of their state-of-the-art account is unparalleled, and its singularly in-depth treatment of pricing and credit derivatives further illuminates a problem that has drawn much attention in an era when financial institutions the world over are revising their credit management strategies. Duffie and Singleton offer critical assessments of alternative approaches to credit-risk modeling, while highlighting the strengths and weaknesses of current practice. Their approach blends in-depth discussions of the conceptual foundations of modeling with extensive analyses of the empirical properties of such credit-related time series as default probabilities, recoveries, ratings transitions, and yield spreads. Both the "structura" and "reduced-form" approaches to pricing defaultable securities are presented, and their comparative fits to historical data are assessed. The authors also provide a comprehensive treatment of the pricing of credit derivatives, including credit swaps, collateralized debt obligations, credit guarantees, lines of credit, and spread options. Not least, they describe certain enhancements to current pricing and management practices that, they argue, will better position financial institutions for future changes in the financial markets. Credit Risk is an indispensable resource for risk managers, traders or regulators dealing with financial products with a significant credit risk component, as well as for academic researchers and students.
Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasting With Artificial Neural Networks
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Author : Lean Yu
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2007-08-02
Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasting With Artificial Neural Networks written by Lean Yu and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-08-02 with Business & Economics categories.
The book focuses on forecasting foreign exchange rates via artificial neural networks. It creates and applies the highly useful computational techniques of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) to foreign-exchange-rate forecasting. The result is an up-to-date review of the most recent research developments in forecasting foreign exchange rates coupled with a highly useful methodological approach to predicting rate changes in foreign currency exchanges. Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasting with Artificial Neural Networks is targeted at both the academic and practitioner audiences. Managers, analysts and technical practitioners in financial institutions across the world will have considerable interest in the book, and scholars and graduate students studying financial markets and business forecast will also have considerable interest in the book. The book discusses the most important advances in foreign-exchange-rate forecasting and then systematically develops a number of new, innovative, and creatively crafted neural network models that reduce the volatility and speculative risk in the forecasting of foreign exchange rates. The book discusses and illustrates three general types of ANN models. Each of these model types reflect the following innovative and effective characteristics: (1) The first model type is a three-layer, feed-forward neural network with instantaneous learning rates and adaptive momentum factors that produce learning algorithms (both online and offline algorithms) to predict foreign exchange rates. (2) The second model type is the three innovative hybrid learning algorithms that have been created by combining ANNs with exponential smoothing, generalized linear auto-regression, and genetic algorithms. Each of these three hybrid algorithms has been crafted to forecast various aspects synergetic performance. (3) The third model type is the three innovative ensemble learning algorithms that combining multiple neural networks into an ensemble output. Empirical results reveal that these creative models can produce better performance with high accuracy or high efficiency.
Credit Rating Modelling By Neural Networks
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Author : Petr Hájek
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2010
Credit Rating Modelling By Neural Networks written by Petr Hájek and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010 with Credit analysis categories.
This book presents the modelling possibilities of neural networks on a complex real-world problem, i.e. credit rating process modelling. Current approaches in credit rating modelling are introduced, as well as the incorporation of previous findings on corporate and municipal credit rating modelling. Based on this analysis, the model is designed to classify US companies and municipalities into credit rating classes. The model includes data pre-processing, the selection process of input variables, and the design of various neural networks' structures for classification.
Data Mining
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Author : Ian H. Witten
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 2005-07-13
Data Mining written by Ian H. Witten and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-07-13 with Computers categories.
Data Mining, Second Edition, describes data mining techniques and shows how they work. The book is a major revision of the first edition that appeared in 1999. While the basic core remains the same, it has been updated to reflect the changes that have taken place over five years, and now has nearly double the references. The highlights of this new edition include thirty new technique sections; an enhanced Weka machine learning workbench, which now features an interactive interface; comprehensive information on neural networks; a new section on Bayesian networks; and much more. This text is designed for information systems practitioners, programmers, consultants, developers, information technology managers, specification writers as well as professors and students of graduate-level data mining and machine learning courses. - Algorithmic methods at the heart of successful data mining—including tried and true techniques as well as leading edge methods - Performance improvement techniques that work by transforming the input or output