Completing The Forecast
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Completing The Forecast
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Author : National Research Council
language : en
Publisher: National Academies Press
Release Date : 2006-10-09
Completing The Forecast written by National Research Council and has been published by National Academies Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-10-09 with Science categories.
Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. Most forecast products from the public and private sectors, including those from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service, continue this deterministic legacy. Fortunately, the National Weather Service and others in the prediction community have recognized the need to view uncertainty as a fundamental part of forecasts. By partnering with other segments of the community to understand user needs, generate relevant and rich informational products, and utilize effective communication vehicles, the National Weather Service can take a leading role in the transition to widespread, effective incorporation of uncertainty information into predictions. "Completing the Forecast" makes recommendations to the National Weather Service and the broader prediction community on how to make this transition.
Completing The Forecast
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2006
Completing The Forecast written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with Climatic changes categories.
Strategic Business Forecasting
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Author : Jae K. Shim
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2000-01-28
Strategic Business Forecasting written by Jae K. Shim and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000-01-28 with Business & Economics categories.
A book on practical business forecasting belongs in the library of everyone interested in business. Forecasting is extremely important to finance and accounting executives, business economists and managers at all levels. Strategic Business Forecasting: The Complete Guide to Forecasting Real World Company Performance provides you with a working knowledge of the fundamentals of business forecasting that can be applied in the real world regardless of the size of the firm. The author explains the basic forecasting methodology and the practical applications. All aspects of business are discussed, making this a comprehensive and valuable reference. The author avoids theoretical and mathematical discussions to gets right into how, when , and why to use this book. Many practical examples, applications, illustrations, guidelines, measures, checklists, rules of thumb, tips, graphs, diagrams and tables aid your comprehension of the subject. The author displays and explains printouts obtained using many popular spreadsheet programs and software packages. The book goes far beyond just sales forecasting, encompassing a wide range of topics of major importance to practical business managers and finance professionals, including cash flow forecasting, cost prediction, earnings forecasts, bankruptcy prediction, foreign exchange forecasting, and interest rate forecasting. Written in an easy-to-read style, it is practical, current, and intriguing - a reference book to use throughout your business career.
Forecast Verification
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Author : Ian T. Jolliffe
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2012-01-25
Forecast Verification written by Ian T. Jolliffe and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-01-25 with Science categories.
Forecast Verification: A Practioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science, 2nd Edition provides an indispensible guide to this area of active research by combining depth of information with a range of topics to appeal both to professional practitioners and researchers and postgraduates. The editors have succeeded in presenting chapters by a variety of the leading experts in the field while still retaining a cohesive and highly accessible style. The book balances explanations of concepts with clear and useful discussion of the main application areas. Reviews of first edition: "This book will provide a good reference, and I recommend it especially for developers and evaluators of statistical forecast systems." (Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society; April 2004) "...a good mixture of theory and practical applications...well organized and clearly written..." (Royal Statistical Society, Vol.168, No.1, January 2005) NEW to the second edition: Completely updated chapter on the Verification of Spatial Forecasts taking account of the wealth of new research in the area New separate chapters on Probability Forecasts and Ensemble Forecasts Includes new chapter on Forecasts of Extreme Events and Warnings Includes new chapter on Seasonal and Climate Forecasts Includes new Appendix on Verification Software Cover image credit: The triangle of barplots shows a novel use of colour for visualizing probability forecasts of ternary categories – see Fig 6b of Jupp et al. 2011, On the visualisation, verification and recalibration of ternary probabilistic forecasts, Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. (in press).
Crop Production
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1987
Crop Production written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1987 with Agriculture categories.
An Insecure Forecast For Continuity Of Climate And Weather Data
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Author : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Science and Technology (2007). Subcommittee on Energy and Environment
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2008
An Insecure Forecast For Continuity Of Climate And Weather Data written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Science and Technology (2007). Subcommittee on Energy and Environment and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with Political Science categories.
How To Forecast A Guide For Business
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Author : James Morrell
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2017-11-22
How To Forecast A Guide For Business written by James Morrell and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-11-22 with Social Science categories.
This title was first published in 2001. Forecasting is an essential discipline in the planning and running of a business: not only for the business plan and annual budget but for the appraisal of investment projects, the commissioning of research as well as the appraisal of the competition and the feasibility of making acquisitions. Managers are continually confronted with the need to take decisions, and being able to construct a route map of the future is a key way of determining a course of action. This book offers a practical guide to forecasting the environment in which a firm operates. The author goes through the key areas which can affect a business. He includes those which are out of the firm's control such as fiscal and monetary policy, population levels and the labour market; and those that are, such as costs, prices, profits and product development.
Experimental Long Lead Forecast Bulletin
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1996
Experimental Long Lead Forecast Bulletin written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1996 with Climatic changes categories.
Learning Quickbooks Step By Step Quickbooks Complete Version 2005
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Author : Sleeter Group, Incorporated, The
language : en
Publisher: The Sleeter Group
Release Date : 2005-10
Learning Quickbooks Step By Step Quickbooks Complete Version 2005 written by Sleeter Group, Incorporated, The and has been published by The Sleeter Group this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-10 with categories.
Making Climate Forecasts Matter
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Author : National Research Council
language : en
Publisher: National Academies Press
Release Date : 1999-05-27
Making Climate Forecasts Matter written by National Research Council and has been published by National Academies Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999-05-27 with Science categories.
El Nino has been with us for centuries, but now we can forcast it, and thus can prepare far in advance for the extreme climatic events it brings. The emerging ability to forecast climate may be of tremendous value to humanity if we learn how to use the information well. How does society cope with seasonal-to-interannual climatic variations? How have climate forecasts been usedâ€"and how useful have they been? What kinds of forecast information are needed? Who is likely to benefit from forecasting skill? What are the benefits of better forecasting? This book reviews what we know about these and other questions and identifies research directions toward more useful seasonal-to-interannual climate forecasts. In approaching their recommendations, the panel explores: Vulnerability of human activities to climate. State of the science of climate forecasting. How societies coevolved with their climates and cope with variations in climate. How climate information should be disseminated to achieve the best response. How we can use forecasting to better manage the human consequences of climate change.