Consideration Of Uncertainty In Forest Management Decision Making
DOWNLOAD
Download Consideration Of Uncertainty In Forest Management Decision Making PDF/ePub or read online books in Mobi eBooks. Click Download or Read Online button to get Consideration Of Uncertainty In Forest Management Decision Making book now. This website allows unlimited access to, at the time of writing, more than 1.5 million titles, including hundreds of thousands of titles in various foreign languages. If the content not found or just blank you must refresh this page
Consideration Of Uncertainty In Forest Management Decision Making
DOWNLOAD
Author : Emmett Frank Thompson
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1966
Consideration Of Uncertainty In Forest Management Decision Making written by Emmett Frank Thompson and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1966 with Decision making categories.
Management decisions are generally considered to be made under one of three categories of future knowledge: certainty, risk, or uncertainty. All three categories occur in forest management. However, forest management decisions whose outcomes are dependent upon future levels of timber yields, prices, utilization standards, or social and legal institutions are made under uncertainty. Forest managers have always recognized that uncertainty existed; however, they have not systematically included it in their decision- making process. The objectives of the study were to: (1) establish the importance of systematically considering uncertainty in forest management decision-making and (2) illustrate and evaluate a model or procedure, for the systematic consideration of uncertainty in forest management decision-making. A review of the present status of forest management decision-making constituted fulfillment of the first objective. Theoretical decision-making models which are currently used in forest management, e. g., present worth analysis, capital budgeting, financial maturity, and linear programming, while conceptually capable of considering uncertainty, imply certainty That is, forestry applications of these models have employed single-valued expectations. Fulfillment of the second objective consisted initially of a review of recent developments in the theory of decision-making under uncertainty. All decision-making problems have some common components. These components are: decision-alternatives, the actions which the decision-maker deems possible to take; states of nature, the future events which determine the outcome of the actions; and consequences, the result of taking a specific action and finding that a particular state occurs. The more popular theoretical models for decision-making under uncertainty were reviewed: minimax, minimax regret, Hurwicz index, and Laplace. While useful in some cases, each of these models has specific disadvantages. In addition, all the models have one common major disadvantage, they contain the implicit assumption that the decision-maker is completely ignorant about the states of nature which influence his problem. In reality, forest managers and other decision-makers usually possess some information, although it may be vague, about their problems. If a decision-maker is not willing to assume complete ignorance about the occurrence of the states of nature, he cannot apply any of the above models. There is a theoretical decision-making model which appears compatible with reality. The model, Bayesian decision theory, allows the decision-maker to arrive at a solution which is compatible with his opinions or judgements about the states of nature. Also, he can combine these opinions or judgements with experimental data to derive a solution using all available information, both subjective and objective. Fulfillment of the second objective was completed by illustrating the application of Bayesian decision theory to a hypothetical problem. The problem, optimal degree of land ownership for an industrial forestry firm, was defined within the Bayesian model and a solution derived. Since the problem was hypothetical, the actual solution is not the primary result of the study. The resulting implications for actual situations is the primary contribution. If forest managers are to make decisions which contain uncertainty, the uncertainty should be systematically recognized in the decision-making process. The Bayesian model is a logical procedure for such recognition. By adopting and applying such models, the efficiency of forest management decision-making will be increased.
Usda Forest Service General Technical Report Ne
DOWNLOAD
Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1973
Usda Forest Service General Technical Report Ne written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1973 with Forests and forestry categories.
Operations Research In Forestry
DOWNLOAD
Author : A. Jeff Martin
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1973
Operations Research In Forestry written by A. Jeff Martin and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1973 with Forests and forestry categories.
General Technical Report Rmrs
DOWNLOAD
Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1998
General Technical Report Rmrs written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998 with Forests and forestry categories.
The 1988 Symposium On Systems Analysis In Forest Resources
DOWNLOAD
Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1988
The 1988 Symposium On Systems Analysis In Forest Resources written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1988 with Forest management categories.
General Technical Report Rm
DOWNLOAD
Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1988
General Technical Report Rm written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1988 with Forests and forestry categories.
Publication Fws
DOWNLOAD
Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1972
Publication Fws written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1972 with Forest conservation categories.
Towards More Resilient And Diverse Planted Forests
DOWNLOAD
Author : Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
language : en
Publisher: Food & Agriculture Org.
Release Date : 2023-11-10
Towards More Resilient And Diverse Planted Forests written by Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations and has been published by Food & Agriculture Org. this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-11-10 with Technology & Engineering categories.
FAO’s most recent global synthesis on planted forests was released in 2009 and the last Unasylva on planted forests was published in 2005. Developed together with a coalition of external partners, including the International Union of Forest Research Organizations (IUFRO) task force on planted forests and the TreeDivNet network, Issue 254 hereby responds to the need for wider information-sharing on data, tools and approaches available for leveraging the contributions of planted forests to meet the target of increasing the global forest area of 3 percent by 2030, which Global Forest Goal 1 provides for. Unasylva issue 254 was launched in November 2023 at the International Congress on Planted Forests 2023 (ICPF2023) – the first edition of this global forum to be held in Africa (Nairobi, Kenya).
Interdisciplinary Research On Climate And Energy Decision Making
DOWNLOAD
Author : M. Granger Morgan
language : en
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Release Date : 2022-12-16
Interdisciplinary Research On Climate And Energy Decision Making written by M. Granger Morgan and has been published by Taylor & Francis this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-12-16 with Science categories.
This book explores the role and importance of interdisciplinary research in addressing key issues in climate and energy decision making. For over 30 years, an interdisciplinary team of faculty and students anchored at Carnegie Mellon University, joined by investigators and students from a number of other collaborating institutions across North America, Europe, and Australia, have worked together to better understand the global changes that are being caused by both human activities and natural causes. This book tells the story of their successful interdisciplinary work. With each chapter written in the first person, the authors have three key objectives: (1) to document and provide an accessible account of how they have framed and addressed a range of the key problems that are posed by the human dimensions of global change; (2) to illustrate how investigators and graduate students have worked together productively across different disciplines and locations on common problems; and (3) to encourage funders and scholars across the world to undertake similar large- scale interdisciplinary research activities to meet the world’s largest challenges. Exploring topics such as energy efficiency, public health, and climate adaptation, and with a final chapter dedicated to lessons learned, this innovative volume will be of great interest to students and scholars of climate change, energy transitions and environmental studies more broadly.
The Impact Of Climate Change On America S Forests
DOWNLOAD
Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2000
The Impact Of Climate Change On America S Forests written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000 with Climatic changes categories.
Abstract: "This report documents trends and impacts of climate change on America's forests as required by the Renewable Resources Planning Act of 1974. Recent research on the impact of climate and elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide on plant productivity is synthesized. Modeling analyses explore the potential impact of climate changes on forests, wood products, and carbon in the United States."