Credibility Dynamics And Disinflation Plans
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Credibility Dynamics And Disinflation Plans
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Author : Rumen Kostadinov
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2020-06-05
Credibility Dynamics And Disinflation Plans written by Rumen Kostadinov and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-06-05 with Business & Economics categories.
We study the optimal design of a disinflation plan by a planner who lacks commitment. Having announced a plan, the Central banker faces a tradeoff between surprise inflation and building reputation, defined as the private sector's belief that the Central bank is committed to the plan. Some plans are harder to sustain: the planner recognizes that paving out future grounds with temptation leads the way for a negative drift of reputation in equilibrium. Plans that successfully create low inflationary expectations balance promises of lower inflation with dynamic incentives that make them more credible. When announcing the disinflation plan, the planner takes into account these anticipated interactions. We find that, even in the zero reputation limit, a gradual disinflation is preferred despite the absence of inflation inertia in the private economy.
Monetary And Exchange Rate Dynamics During Disinflation
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Author : Mr.Andres Arias Leiva
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2005-02-01
Monetary And Exchange Rate Dynamics During Disinflation written by Mr.Andres Arias Leiva and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-02-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Based on the observed behavior of monetary aggregates and exchange rates, we classify inflation-stabilization episodes into two categories: de facto exchange rate-based stabilizations (ERBS) and non-ERBS. Unlike the standard de jure ERBS studied in the literature, de facto ERBS encompass cases in which the central bank intervenes in the foreign exchange market but does not preannounce the use of an exchange rate anchor. The number of the de facto ERBS is twice as large as that of de jure ERBS. Output dynamics during disinflation do not differ significantly between these two groups. We conclude that empirical studies on the effects of exchange rate anchors must seek to disentangle the effects of their announcement from those related to their role in the remonetization process.
Testing For Credibility Effects
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Author : Mr.Mark P. Taylor
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1991-11-01
Testing For Credibility Effects written by Mr.Mark P. Taylor and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991-11-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper examines some recent techniques designed to draw inferences about the credibility of changes in macroeconomic policy regimes. An alternative two-step approach, based on the decomposition between permanent and transitory components of a "credibility variable" is proposed. The methodology is then used to test for the existence of a credibility effect in the Cruzado stabilization plan implemented in Brazil in 1986.
Exchange Rate Policies For Emerging Market Economies
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Author : Richard J Sweeney
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2019-03-13
Exchange Rate Policies For Emerging Market Economies written by Richard J Sweeney and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-03-13 with Political Science categories.
With the loss of Soviet control in Central and Eastern Europe, as well as the move toward economic liberalization in many developing countries, a huge increase in the number of convertible currencies in the world has occurred. A key aspect of the management of these currencies involves their relationships with the world economy, which is determined
The Great Inflation
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Author : Michael D. Bordo
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2013-06-28
The Great Inflation written by Michael D. Bordo and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-06-28 with Business & Economics categories.
Controlling inflation is among the most important objectives of economic policy. By maintaining price stability, policy makers are able to reduce uncertainty, improve price-monitoring mechanisms, and facilitate more efficient planning and allocation of resources, thereby raising productivity. This volume focuses on understanding the causes of the Great Inflation of the 1970s and ’80s, which saw rising inflation in many nations, and which propelled interest rates across the developing world into the double digits. In the decades since, the immediate cause of the period’s rise in inflation has been the subject of considerable debate. Among the areas of contention are the role of monetary policy in driving inflation and the implications this had both for policy design and for evaluating the performance of those who set the policy. Here, contributors map monetary policy from the 1960s to the present, shedding light on the ways in which the lessons of the Great Inflation were absorbed and applied to today’s global and increasingly complex economic environment.
Current Issues In The Design And Conduct Of Monetary Policy
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Author : Mr.Mohsin S. Khan
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2003-03-01
Current Issues In The Design And Conduct Of Monetary Policy written by Mr.Mohsin S. Khan and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-03-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Movements in global capital during the late 1990s and the greater emphasis on price stability led many countries to abandon fixed exchange rate regimes and to design institutions and monetary policies to achieve credibility in the goal of lowering inflation. Such recent developments have brought to the forefront the idea that freely mobile capital, independent monetary policy, and fixed exchange rates form an "impossible trinity." It is possible to have two of these policies, but not all three. Inflation-targeting regimes being adopted by many countries provide a way of resolving this dilemma.
Open Economy Macroeconomics In Developing Countries
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Author : Carlos A. Vegh
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 2013-08-30
Open Economy Macroeconomics In Developing Countries written by Carlos A. Vegh and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-08-30 with Business & Economics categories.
A comprehensive and rigorous text that shows how a basic open economy model can be extended to answer important macroeconomic questions that arise in emerging markets. This rigorous and comprehensive textbook develops a basic small open economy model and shows how it can be extended to answer many important macroeconomic questions that arise in emerging markets and developing economies, particularly those regarding monetary, fiscal, and exchange rate issues. Eschewing the complex calibrated models on which the field of international finance increasingly relies, the book teaches the reader how to think in terms of simple models and grasp the fundamentals of open economy macroeconomics. After analyzing the standard intertemporal small open economy model, the book introduces frictions such as imperfect capital markets, intertemporal distortions, and nontradable goods, into the basic model in order to shed light on the economy's response to different shocks. The book then introduces money into the model to analyze the real effects of monetary and exchange rate policy. It then applies these theoretical tools to a variety of important macroeconomic issues relevant to developing countries (and, in a world of continuing financial crisis, to industrial countries as well), including the use of a nominal interest rate as a main policy instrument, the relative merits of flexible and predetermined exchange rate regimes, and the targeting of “real anchors.” Finally, the book analyzes in detail specific topics such as inflation stabilization, “dollarization,” balance of payments crises, and, inspired by recent events, financial crises. Each chapter includes boxes with relevant empirical evidence and ends with exercises. The book is suitable for use in graduate courses in development economics, international finance, and macroeconomics.
The Adaptive Economy
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Author : Tony Killick
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 1993-01-01
The Adaptive Economy written by Tony Killick and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993-01-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This book explores the relationship between economic adaptation and long-run development, with particluar emphasis on small, low- income economies. It also examines what makes for flexibility within an economy and how policy can affect an economy's ability to adapt to conditions over which it has no control. The premise is that all economies need to adapt to changing circumstances in order to achieve a reasonable pace of development. The author explains the forces to which economies need to respond, the attributes that increase an economy's capacity to adjust, the difficulties of adjustment, and what policy can do to facilitate adjustment. The author illustrates structure and flexibility within an economy and offers a guide to forming policy. Specific policy options are examined, among them using exchange rate fluctuations. The roles of government and markets in setting adjustment policies for industry, agriculture, and finance are explored. The study draws upon a wide range of material and avoids a narrowly economic point of view. The book is intended for use by economists working for or advising government agencies and for teachers and students of development economics. It includes an extensive reference list.
Exchange Rates And Economic Policy In The 20th Century
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Author : Derek H. Aldcroft
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2017-07-05
Exchange Rates And Economic Policy In The 20th Century written by Derek H. Aldcroft and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-07-05 with History categories.
The themes of this study are the exchange rate regimes chosen by policy makers in the twentieth century, the means used to maintain these regimes, and the impact of these decisions on individual national economies and the world economy in general. The book draws heavily on new research showing the lessons and the legacy left for policy makers by the gold standard and the attempt at its resurrection in the 1920s. In examining issues such as the gold exchange standard, the gold bullion standard, the experience of floating exchange rates, the Bretton Woods arrangements, the EMS and the ERM, and the Currency Board approach, there is a conscious attempt to draw out the relevance of history for policy makers now.
Disinflation Policy And Credibility
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Author : Pieter Hasekamp
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1993
Disinflation Policy And Credibility written by Pieter Hasekamp and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993 with Deflation (Finance) categories.