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Credibility Method


Credibility Method
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Credibility Method


Credibility Method
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Author : Myke Metzger
language : en
Publisher: Metzger Enterprises LLC
Release Date : 2018-09-14

Credibility Method written by Myke Metzger and has been published by Metzger Enterprises LLC this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-09-14 with Business & Economics categories.


In “Credibility Method”, learn the simple 4 step 'TREK Method' which will show you how to increase and establish your credibility, legitimacy, and chances of success. The book is the perfect short read for entrepreneurs or career starters looking to pump up their legitimacy, improve their resume, impress their audience or boss, and gain massive credibility. Furthermore, 'Credibility Method' is for anyone looking to improve their outwards presence in a professional manner to help them become an authority.



Credibility Validity And Assumptions In Program Evaluation Methodology


Credibility Validity And Assumptions In Program Evaluation Methodology
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Author : Apollo M. Nkwake
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2023-12-13

Credibility Validity And Assumptions In Program Evaluation Methodology written by Apollo M. Nkwake and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-12-13 with Psychology categories.


This book focuses on methods of choice in program evaluation. Credible methods choice lies in the assumptions we make about the appropriateness and validity of selected methods and the validity of those assumptions. As evaluators make methodological decisions in various stages of the evaluation process, a number of validity questions arise. Yet unexamined assumptions are a risk to useful evaluation. The first edition of this book discussed the formulation of credible methodological arguments and methods of examining validity assumptions. However, previous publications suggest advantages and disadvantages of using various methods and when to use them. Instead, this book analyzes assumptions underlying actual methodological choices in evaluation studies and how these influence evaluation quality. This analysis is the basis of suggested tools. The second edition extends the review of methodological assumptions to the evaluation of humanitarian assistance. While evaluators of humanitarian action apply conventional research methods and standards, they have to adapt these methods to the challenges and constraints of crisis contexts. For example, the urgency and chaos of humanitarian emergencies makes it hard to obtain program documentation; objectives may be unclear, and early plans may quickly become outdated as the context changes or is clarified. The lack of up-to-date baseline data is not uncommon. Neither is staff turnover. Differences in perspective may intensify and undermine trust. The deviation from ideal circumstances challenges evaluation and calls for methodological innovation. And how do evaluators work with assumptions in non-ideal settings? What tools are most relevant and effective? This revised edition reviews major evaluations of humanitarian action and discusses strategies for working with evaluation assumptions in crises and stable program settings.



A Course In Credibility Theory And Its Applications


A Course In Credibility Theory And Its Applications
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Author : Hans Bühlmann
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2005-11-13

A Course In Credibility Theory And Its Applications written by Hans Bühlmann and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-11-13 with Mathematics categories.


This book is ideal for practicing experts in particular actuaries in the field of property-casualty insurance, life insurance, reinsurance and insurance supervision, as well as teachers and students. It provides an exploration of Credibility Theory, covering most aspects of this topic from the simplest case to the most detailed dynamic model. The book closely examines the tasks an actuary encounters daily: estimation of loss ratios, claim frequencies and claim sizes.



A Pseudo Non Parametric Buhlmann Credibility Approach To Modeling Mortality Rates


A Pseudo Non Parametric Buhlmann Credibility Approach To Modeling Mortality Rates
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Author : Xiang Luan
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2015

A Pseudo Non Parametric Buhlmann Credibility Approach To Modeling Mortality Rates written by Xiang Luan and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015 with categories.


Credibility theory is applied in property and casualty insurance to perform prospective experiencerating, i.e., to determine the future premiums to charge based on both past experienceand the underlying group rate. Insurance companies assign a credibility factor Z to a specificpolicyholder's own past data, and put 1 − Z onto the prior mean which is the group rate determinedby actuaries to reflect the expected value for all risk classes. This partial credibilitytakes advantage of both policyholder's own experience and the entire group's characteristics,and thus increases the accuracy of estimated value so that the insurance companies can staycompetitive in the market. Faced with its popular applications in property and casualty insurance,this project aims to apply the credibility theory to projected mortality rates from threeexisting mortality models. The approach presented in this project violates one of the conditions,and thus produces the pseudo non-parametric Bühlmann estimates of the forecasted mortalityrates. Numerical results show that the accuracy of forecasted mortality rates are significantlyimproved after applying the non-parametric Bühlmann method to the Lee-Carter model, theCBD model, and the linear regression-random walk (LR-RW) model. A measure of mean absolutepercentage error (MAPE) is adopted to compare the performances in terms of accuracy ofmortality prediction.



Web Content Credibility


Web Content Credibility
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Author : Adam Wierzbicki
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-06-27

Web Content Credibility written by Adam Wierzbicki and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-06-27 with Computers categories.


This book introduces readers to Web content credibility evaluation and evaluation support. It highlights empirical research and establishes a solid foundation for future research by presenting methods of supporting credibility evaluation of online content, together with publicly available datasets for reproducible experimentation, such as the Web Content Credibility Corpus. The book is divided into six chapters. After a general introduction in Chapter 1, including a brief survey of credibility evaluation in the social sciences, Chapter 2 presents definitions of credibility and related concepts of truth and trust. Next, Chapter 3 details methods, algorithms and user interfaces for systems supporting Web content credibility evaluation. In turn, Chapter 4 takes a closer look at the credibility of social media, exemplified in sections on Twitter, Q&A systems, and Wikipedia, as well as fake news detection. In closing, Chapter 5 presents mathematical and simulation models of credibility evaluation, before a final round-up of the book is provided in Chapter 6. Overall, the book reviews and synthesizes the current state of the art in Web content credibility evaluation support and fake news detection. It provides researchers in academia and industry with both an incentive and a basis for future research and development of Web content credibility evaluation support services.



Nonlife Actuarial Models


Nonlife Actuarial Models
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Author : Yiu-Kuen Tse
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2009-09-17

Nonlife Actuarial Models written by Yiu-Kuen Tse and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-09-17 with Business & Economics categories.


This class-tested undergraduate textbook covers the entire syllabus for Exam C of the Society of Actuaries (SOA).



Modern Statistical Methods In Credibility Theory


Modern Statistical Methods In Credibility Theory
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Author : Yu Luo
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2000

Modern Statistical Methods In Credibility Theory written by Yu Luo and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000 with categories.




Mixed Methods And Credibility Of Evidence In Evaluation


Mixed Methods And Credibility Of Evidence In Evaluation
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Author : Donna M. Mertens
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2013-06-11

Mixed Methods And Credibility Of Evidence In Evaluation written by Donna M. Mertens and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-06-11 with Education categories.


Mixed methods in evaluation have the potential to enhance the credibility of evaluation and the outcomes of evaluation. This issue explores advances in understanding mixed methods in philosophical, theoretical, and methodological terms and presents specific illustrations of the application of these concepts in evaluation practice. Leading thinkers in the mixed methods evaluation community provide frameworks and strategies that are associated with improving the probability of reaching the goals of enhanced credibility for evaluations, the evidence they produce, and the actions taken as a result of the evaluation findings. This is the 138th volume of the Jossey-Bass quarterly report series New Directions for Evaluation, an official publication of the American Evaluation Association.



A General Approach To Buhlmann Credibility Theory


A General Approach To Buhlmann Credibility Theory
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Author : Yujie Y. Y. Yan
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2017

A General Approach To Buhlmann Credibility Theory written by Yujie Y. Y. Yan and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017 with Actuarial science categories.


Credibility theory is widely used in insurance. It is included in the examination of the Society of Actuaries and in the construction and evaluation of actuarial models. In particular, the Buhlmann credibility model has played a fundamental role in both actuarial theory and practice. It provides a mathematical rigorous procedure for deciding how much credibility should be given to the actual experience rating of an individual risk relative to the manual rating common to a particular class of risks. However, for any selected risk, the Buhlmann model assumes that the outcome random variables in both experience periods and future periods are independent and identically distributed. In addition, the Buhlmann method uses sample mean-based estimators to insure the selected risk, which may be a poor estimator of future costs if only a few observations of past events (costs) are available. We present an extension of the Buhlmann model and propose a general method based on a linear combination of both robust and efficient estimators in a dependence framework. The performance of the proposed procedure is demonstrated by Monte Carlo simulations.



Credibility Validity And Assumptions In Program Evaluation Methodology


Credibility Validity And Assumptions In Program Evaluation Methodology
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Author : Apollo M. Nkwake
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2015-08-10

Credibility Validity And Assumptions In Program Evaluation Methodology written by Apollo M. Nkwake and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-08-10 with Social Science categories.


This book focuses on assumptions underlying methods choice in program evaluation. Credible program evaluation extends beyond the accuracy of research designs to include arguments justifying the appropriateness of methods. An important part of this justification is explaining the assumptions made about the validity of methods. This book provides a framework for understanding methodological assumptions, identifying the decisions made at each stage of the evaluation process, the major forms of validity affected by those decisions, and the preconditions for and assumptions about those validities. Though the selection of appropriate research methodology is not a new topic within social development research, previous publications suggest only advantages and disadvantages of using various methods and when to use them. This book goes beyond other publications to analyze the assumptions underlying actual methodological choices in evaluation studies and how these eventually influence evaluation quality. The analysis offered is supported by a collation of assumptions collected from a case study of 34 evaluations. Due to its in-depth analysis, strong theoretical basis, and practice examples, Credibility, Validity and Assumptions is a must-have resource for researchers, students, university professors and practitioners in program evaluation. Importantly, it provides tools for the application of appropriate research methods in program evaluation