Deciphering The Long Term Trend Of Atlantic Basin Intense Hurricanes More Active Versus Less Active During The Present Epoch
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Deciphering The Long Term Trend Of Atlantic Basin Intense Hurricanes More Active Versus Less Active During The Present Epoch
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Author : Robert M. Wilson
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1998
Deciphering The Long Term Trend Of Atlantic Basin Intense Hurricanes More Active Versus Less Active During The Present Epoch written by Robert M. Wilson and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998 with Atlantic Ocean categories.
Deciphering The Long Term Trend Of Atlantic Basin Intense Hurricanes
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Author : National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)
language : en
Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
Release Date : 2018-08-16
Deciphering The Long Term Trend Of Atlantic Basin Intense Hurricanes written by National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and has been published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-08-16 with categories.
During the interval of 1944-1997, 120 intense hurricanes (i.e., those of category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane damage potential scale) were observed in the Atlantic basin, having an annual frequency of 0-7 events per year, being more active prior to the mid 1960's than thereafter (hence a possible two-state division: more active versus less active), and being preferentially lower during El Nino years as compared to non-El Nino years. Because decadal averages of the frequency of intense hurricanes closely resemble those of average temperature anomalies for northern hemispheric and global standards and of the average temperature at the Armagh Observatory (Northern Ireland), a proxy for climatic change, it is inferred that the long-term trends of the annual frequency of intense hurricanes and temperature may be statistically related. Indeed, on the basis of 4- and 10-yr moving averages, one finds that there exists strong linear associations between the annual frequency of intense hurricanes in the Atlantic basin and temperature (specially, when temperature slightly leads). Because the long-term leading trends of temperature are now decidedly upward, beginning about the mid 1980's, it is inferred that the long-term consequential trends of the annual frequency of intense hurricanes should now also be upward, having begun near 1990, suggesting that a return to the more active state probably has already occurred. However, because of the anomalous El Nino activity of the early to mid 1990's, the switch from the less active to the more active state essentially went unnoticed (a marked increase in the number of intense hurricanes was not observed until the 1995 and 1996 hurricane seasons, following the end of the anomalous El Nino activity). Presuming that a return to the more active state has, indeed, occurred, one expects the number of seasonal intense hurricanes during the present epoch (continuing through about 2012) to usually be higher than average (i.e., ..
Deciphering The Long Term Trend Of Atlantic Basin Intense Hurricanes
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Author : Robert M. Wilson
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1998
Deciphering The Long Term Trend Of Atlantic Basin Intense Hurricanes written by Robert M. Wilson and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998 with Atlantic Ocean categories.
During the interval of 1944-1997, 120 intense hurricanes (i.e., those of category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane damage potential scale) were observed in the Atlantic basin, having an annual frequency of 0-7 events per year, being more active prior to the mid 1960's than thereafter (hence a possible two-state division: more active versus less active), and being preferentially lower during El Niño years as compared to non-El Niño years. Because decadal averages of the frequency of intense hurricanes closely resemble those of average temperature anomalies for northern hemispheric and global standards and of the average temperature at the Armagh Observatory (Northern Ireland), a proxy for climatic change, it is inferred that the long-term trends of the annual frequency of intense hurricanes and temperature may be statistically related. Indeed, on the basis of 4- and 10-yr moving averages, one finds that there exists strong linear associations between the annual frequency of intense hurricanes in the Atlantic basin and temperature (especially, when temperature slightly leads). Because the long-term leading trends of temperature are now decidedly upward, beginning about the mid 1980's, it is inferred that the long-term consequential trends of the annual frequency of intense hurricanes should now also be upward, having begun near 1990, suggesting that a return to the more active state probably has already occurred. However, because of the anomalous El Niño activity of the early to mid 1990's, the switch from the less active to the more active state essentially went unnoticed (a marked increase in the number of intense hurricanes was not observed until the 1995 and 1996 hurricane seasons, following the end of the anomalous El Niño activity). Presuming that a return to the more active state has, indeed, occurred, one expects the number of seasonal intense hurricanes during the present epoch (continuing through about 2012) to usually be higher than average (i.e.
Decadal Trends Of Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones 1950 1999
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Author : Robert M. Wilson
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2001
Decadal Trends Of Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones 1950 1999 written by Robert M. Wilson and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001 with categories.
Statistical Aspects Of Enso Events 1950 1997 And The El Nino Atlantic Intense Hurricane Activity Relationship
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Author : Robert M. Wilson
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1998
Statistical Aspects Of Enso Events 1950 1997 And The El Nino Atlantic Intense Hurricane Activity Relationship written by Robert M. Wilson and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998 with Atlantic Ocean categories.
El Ni O During The 1990 S
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Author : Robert M. Wilson
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2000
El Ni O During The 1990 S written by Robert M. Wilson and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000 with Climatic changes categories.
Today, El Niño refers to the extreme warming episodes of the globally effective coupled ocean-atmospheric interaction commonly known as ENSO (i.e., "El Nino-Southern Oscillation"). Concerning its observed decadal frequency and severity, El Nino during the 1990's has often been regarded as being anomalous. Results of analysis herein however, appear to mitigate this belief.
Fy 1999 Scientific And Technical Reports Articles Papers And Presentations
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Author : J.oyce E.Turner Waits
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2000
Fy 1999 Scientific And Technical Reports Articles Papers And Presentations written by J.oyce E.Turner Waits and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000 with categories.
Space Sciences Laboratory Publications And Presentations January 1 December 31 1998
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1999
Space Sciences Laboratory Publications And Presentations January 1 December 31 1998 written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999 with categories.
The Ocean And Cryosphere In A Changing Climate
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Author : Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2022-05-19
The Ocean And Cryosphere In A Changing Climate written by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-05-19 with Science categories.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is the leading international body for assessing the science related to climate change. It provides policymakers with regular assessments of the scientific basis of human-induced climate change, its impacts and future risks, and options for adaptation and mitigation. This IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate is the most comprehensive and up-to-date assessment of the observed and projected changes to the ocean and cryosphere and their associated impacts and risks, with a focus on resilience, risk management response options, and adaptation measures, considering both their potential and limitations. It brings together knowledge on physical and biogeochemical changes, the interplay with ecosystem changes, and the implications for human communities. It serves policymakers, decision makers, stakeholders, and all interested parties with unbiased, up-to-date, policy-relevant information. This title is also available as Open Access on Cambridge Core.
Current Topics In Tropical Cyclone Research
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Author : Anthony Lupo
language : en
Publisher: BoD – Books on Demand
Release Date : 2020-11-04
Current Topics In Tropical Cyclone Research written by Anthony Lupo and has been published by BoD – Books on Demand this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-11-04 with Science categories.
This book highlights some of the most recent research in the climatological behavior of tropical cyclones as well as the dynamics, predictability, and character of these storms as derived using remote sensing techniques. Also included in this book is a review of the interaction between tropical cyclones and coastal ocean dynamics in the Northwest Pacific and an evaluation of the performance of CMIP6 models in replicating the current climate using accumulated cyclone energy. The latter demonstrates how the climate may change in the future. This book can be a useful resource for those studying the character of these storms, especially those with the goal of anticipating their future occurrence in both the short and climatological range and their associated hazards.