Decision Analysis For Management Judgment

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Decision Analysis For Management Judgment
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Author : Paul Goodwin
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2014-05-12
Decision Analysis For Management Judgment written by Paul Goodwin and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-05-12 with Business & Economics categories.
Decision Analysis for Management Judgment is unique in its breadth of coverage of decision analysis methods. It covers both the psychological problems that are associated with unaided managerial decision making and the decision analysis methods designed to overcome them. It is presented and explained in a clear, straightforward manner without using mathematical notation. This latest edition has been fully revised and updated and includes a number of changes to reflect the latest developments in the field.
Engineering Decision Making And Risk Management
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Author : Jeffrey W. Herrmann
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2015-04-06
Engineering Decision Making And Risk Management written by Jeffrey W. Herrmann and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-04-06 with Business & Economics categories.
IIE/Joint Publishers Book of the Year Award 2016! Awarded for ‘an outstanding published book that focuses on a facet of industrial engineering, improves education, or furthers the profession’. Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management emphasizes practical issues and examples of decision making with applications in engineering design and management Featuring a blend of theoretical and analytical aspects, this book presents multiple perspectives on decision making to better understand and improve risk management processes and decision-making systems. Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management uniquely presents and discusses three perspectives on decision making: problem solving, the decision-making process, and decision-making systems. The author highlights formal techniques for group decision making and game theory and includes numerical examples to compare and contrast different quantitative techniques. The importance of initially selecting the most appropriate decision-making process is emphasized through practical examples and applications that illustrate a variety of useful processes. Presenting an approach for modeling and improving decision-making systems, Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management also features: Theoretically sound and practical tools for decision making under uncertainty, multi-criteria decision making, group decision making, the value of information, and risk management Practical examples from both historical and current events that illustrate both good and bad decision making and risk management processes End-of-chapter exercises for readers to apply specific learning objectives and practice relevant skills A supplementary website with instructional support material, including worked solutions to the exercises, lesson plans, in-class activities, slides, and spreadsheets An excellent textbook for upper-undergraduate and graduate students, Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management is appropriate for courses on decision analysis, decision making, and risk management within the fields of engineering design, operations research, business and management science, and industrial and systems engineering. The book is also an ideal reference for academics and practitioners in business and management science, operations research, engineering design, systems engineering, applied mathematics, and statistics.
Decision Analysis For Management Judgment
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Author : George Wright
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1998
Decision Analysis For Management Judgment written by George Wright and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998 with categories.
Decision Analysis For Management Judgment
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Author : Paul Goodwin
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1998
Decision Analysis For Management Judgment written by Paul Goodwin and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998 with Business & Economics categories.
This edition integrates the latest decision analysis material from a range of disciplines including OR, Statistics and Psychology. The authors make it accessible to its largest group of potential users: managers and administrators in business and public sector organizations. It shows how difficult decisions can be made with greater insight and confidence and challenges the adequacy of making decisions on the basis of intuition alone.
Decision Analysis For Management Judgment
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Author : Paul Goodwin
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2004
Decision Analysis For Management Judgment written by Paul Goodwin and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with categories.
Rational Choice And Judgment
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Author : Rex Brown
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2005-05-06
Rational Choice And Judgment written by Rex Brown and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-05-06 with Business & Economics categories.
The tools needed to make a better, more informed decision. Decision analysis (DA) is the logic of making a decision using quantitative models of the decider's factual and value judgments. DA is already widely used in business, government, medicine, economics, law, and science. However, most resources present only the logic and models rather than demonstrating how these methods can be effectively applied to the real world. This book offers an innovative approach to decision analysis by focusing on decision-making tools that can be utilized immediately to make better, more informed decisions. It uses no mathematics beyond arithmetic. Examining how deciders think about their choices, this book provides problem-solving techniques that not only reflect sound modeling but also meet other essential requirements: they build on the thinking and knowledge that deciders already possess; they provide knowledge in a form that people are able and willing to provide; they produce results that the decider can use; and they are based on intimate and continuous interactions with the decider. The methods outlined in this text take into account such factors as the use, the user, the organization, available data, and subjective knowledge. Replete with exercises, case studies, and observations from the author’s own extensive consulting experience, the book quickly engages readers and enables them to master decision analysis by doing rather than by simply reading. Using familiar situations, it demonstrates how to handle knowledge as it unfolds in the real world. A term project is presented in the final chapter, in which readers can select an actual decision-making problem and apply their newfound tools to prepare a recommendation. A sample report is provided in the appendix. Beginning with qualitative structuring, the text advances to sophisticated quantitative skills that can be applied in both public and private enterprise, including: · Modeling decision-making under conditions of uncertainty or multiple objectives Risk analysis and assessment Communicating and justifying controversial decisions Personal life choices and political judgments Adapting decision aid to organizations The book's broad applicability makes it an excellent resource for any organization or as a textbook for decision-making courses in a variety of fields, including public policy, business management, systems engineering and general education. An Instructor's Manual presenting detailed solutions to all the problems in the book is available from the Wiley editorial department.
Emerging Perspectives On Judgment And Decision Research
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Author : Sandra L. Schneider
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2003-06-16
Emerging Perspectives On Judgment And Decision Research written by Sandra L. Schneider and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-06-16 with Education categories.
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Decision Analysis For Managers
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Author : David Charlesworth
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2013
Decision Analysis For Managers written by David Charlesworth and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with Decision making categories.
Everybody has to make decisions - they are unavoidable. Yet we receive little or no education or training on how to make decisions. Business decisions can be difficult; personal decisions even more so. Even if you make the correct business decision, you still have to get buy-in and commitment from your team, other management, and key stakeholders to implement it; when making personal decisions, one has to take into account one's spouse or family or friends in order for the decision to fully succeed. The goal of Decision Analysis for Managers is to: âe¢ Clarify and reach alignment on goals and objectives and understand trade-offs in reaching those goals, âe¢ Develop and examine alternatives, âe¢ Systematically analyze the effects of risk and uncertainty, and âe¢ Maximize the chances of achieving your goals and objectives.
The Wiley Blackwell Handbook Of Judgment And Decision Making
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Author : Gideon Keren
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2015-11-30
The Wiley Blackwell Handbook Of Judgment And Decision Making written by Gideon Keren and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-11-30 with Psychology categories.
A comprehensive, up-to-date examination of the most important theory, concepts, methodological approaches, and applications in the burgeoning field of judgment and decision making (JDM) Emphasizes the growth of JDM applications with chapters devoted to medical decision making, decision making and the law, consumer behavior, and more Addresses controversial topics from multiple perspectives – such as choice from description versus choice from experience – and contrasts between empirical methodologies employed in behavioral economics and psychology Brings together a multi-disciplinary group of contributors from across the social sciences, including psychology, economics, marketing, finance, public policy, sociology, and philosophy 2 Volumes
Handbook Of Decision Analysis
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Author : Gregory S. Parnell
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2013-01-24
Handbook Of Decision Analysis written by Gregory S. Parnell and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-01-24 with Business & Economics categories.
A ONE-OF-A-KIND GUIDE TO THE BEST PRACTICES IN DECISION ANALYSIS Decision analysis provides powerful tools for addressing complex decisions that involve uncertainty and multiple objectives, yet most training materials on the subject overlook the soft skills that are essential for success in the field. This unique resource fills this gap in the decision analysis literature and features both soft personal/interpersonal skills and the hard technical skills involving mathematics and modeling. Readers will learn how to identify and overcome the numerous challenges of decision making, choose the appropriate decision process, lead and manage teams, and create value for their organization. Performing modeling analysis, assessing risk, and implementing decisions are also addressed throughout. Additional features include: Key insights gleaned from decision analysis applications and behavioral decision analysis research Integrated coverage of the techniques of single- and multiple-objective decision analysis Multiple qualitative and quantitative techniques presented for each key decision analysis task Three substantive real-world case studies illustrating diverse strategies for dealing with the challenges of decision making Extensive references for mathematical proofs and advanced topics The Handbook of Decision Analysis is an essential reference for academics and practitioners in various fields including business, operations research, engineering, and science. The book also serves as a supplement for courses at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.