Demand Forecasting Best Practices
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Demand Forecasting Best Practices
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Author : Nicolas Vandeput
language : en
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
Release Date : 2023-07-25
Demand Forecasting Best Practices written by Nicolas Vandeput and has been published by Simon and Schuster this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-07-25 with Computers categories.
Lead your demand planning process to excellence and deliver real value to your supply chain. In Demand Forecasting Best Practices you’ll learn how to: Lead your team to improve quality while reducing workload Properly define the objectives and granularity of your demand planning Use intelligent KPIs to track accuracy and bias Identify areas for process improvement Help planners and stakeholders add value Determine relevant data to collect and how best to collect it Utilize different statistical and machine learning models An expert demand forecaster can help an organization avoid overproduction, reduce waste, and optimize inventory levels for a real competitive advantage. Demand Forecasting Best Practices teaches you how to become that virtuoso demand forecaster. This one-of-a-kind guide reveals forecasting tools, metrics, models, and stakeholder management techniques for delivering more effective supply chains. Everything you learn has been proven and tested in a live business environment. Discover author Nicolas Vandeput’s original five step framework for demand planning excellence and learn how to tailor it to your own company’s needs. Illustrations and real-world examples make each concept easy to understand and easy to follow. You’ll soon be delivering accurate predictions that are driving major business value. About the Technology An expert demand forecaster can help an organization avoid overproduction, reduce waste, and optimize inventory levels for a real competitive advantage. This book teaches you how to become that virtuoso demand forecaster. About the Book Demand Forecasting Best Practices reveals forecasting tools, metrics, models, and stakeholder management techniques for managing your demand planning process efficiently and effectively. Everything you learn has been proven and tested in a live business environment. Discover author Nicolas Vandeput’s original five step framework for demand planning excellence and learn how to tailor it to your own company’s needs. Illustrations and real-world examples make each concept easy to understand and easy to follow. You’ll soon be delivering accurate predictions that are driving major business value. What's Inside Enhance forecasting quality while reducing team workload Utilize intelligent KPIs to track accuracy and bias Identify process areas for improvement Assist stakeholders in sales, marketing, and finance Optimize statistical and machine learning models About the Reader For demand planners, sales and operations managers, supply chain leaders, and data scientists. About the Author Nicolas Vandeput is a supply chain data scientist, the founder of consultancy company SupChains in 2016, and a teacher at CentraleSupélec, France. Table of Contents: Part 1 - Forecasting demand 1 Demand forecasting excellence 2 Introduction to demand forecasting 3 Capturing unconstrained demand (and not sales) 4 Collaboration: data sharing and planning alignment 5 Forecasting hierarchies 6 How long should the forecasting horizon be? 7 Should we reconcile forecasts to align supply chains? Part 2 - Measuring forecasting quality 8 Forecasting metrics 9 Choosing the best forecasting KPI 10 What is a good forecast error? 11 Measuring forecasting accuracy on a product portfolio Part 3 - Data-driven forecasting process 12 Forecast value added 13 What do you review? ABC XYZ segmentations and other methods Part 4 - Forecasting methods 14 Statistical forecasting 15 Machine learning 16 Judgmental forecasting 17 Now it’s your turn!
Demand Management Best Practices
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Author : Colleen Crum
language : en
Publisher: J. Ross Publishing
Release Date : 2003-06-15
Demand Management Best Practices written by Colleen Crum and has been published by J. Ross Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-06-15 with Business & Economics categories.
Effective demand management is becoming critical to acompany's profitability. Demand Management BestPractices: Process, Principles, and Collaborationprovides best practice solutions that will improveoverall business performance for supply chain partnersand all functions within a company impacted by the demandmanagement process. The ......
Demand And Supply Integration
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Author : Mark A. Moon
language : en
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
Release Date : 2018-04-09
Demand And Supply Integration written by Mark A. Moon and has been published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-04-09 with Business & Economics categories.
Supply chain professionals: master pioneering techniques for integrating demand and supply, and create demand forecasts that are far more accurate and useful! In Demand and Supply Integration, Dr. Mark Moon presents the specific design characteristics of a world-class demand forecasting management process, showing how to effectively integrate demand forecasting within a comprehensive Demand and Supply Integration (DSI) process. Writing for supply chain professionals in any business, government agency, or military procurement organization, Moon explains what DSI is, how it differs from approaches such as SandOP, and how to recognize the symptoms of failures to sufficiently integrate demand and supply. He outlines the key characteristics of successful DSI implementations, shows how to approach Demand Forecasting as a management process, and guides you through understanding, selecting, and applying the best available qualitative and quantitative forecasting techniques. You'll learn how to thoroughly reflect market intelligence in your forecasts; measure your forecasting performance; implement state-of-the-art demand forecasting systems; manage Demand Reviews, and much more.
Intermittent Demand Forecasting
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Author : John E. Boylan
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2021-06-02
Intermittent Demand Forecasting written by John E. Boylan and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-06-02 with Medical categories.
INTERMITTENT DEMAND FORECASTING The first text to focus on the methods and approaches of intermittent, rather than fast, demand forecasting Intermittent Demand Forecasting is for anyone who is interested in improving forecasts of intermittent demand products, and enhancing the management of inventories. Whether you are a practitioner, at the sharp end of demand planning, a software designer, a student, an academic teaching operational research or operations management courses, or a researcher in this field, we hope that the book will inspire you to rethink demand forecasting. If you do so, then you can contribute towards significant economic and environmental benefits. No prior knowledge of intermittent demand forecasting or inventory management is assumed in this book. The key formulae are accompanied by worked examples to show how they can be implemented in practice. For those wishing to understand the theory in more depth, technical notes are provided at the end of each chapter, as well as an extensive and up-to-date collection of references for further study. Software developments are reviewed, to give an appreciation of the current state of the art in commercial and open source software. “Intermittent demand forecasting may seem like a specialized area but actually is at the center of sustainability efforts to consume less and to waste less. Boylan and Syntetos have done a superb job in showing how improvements in inventory management are pivotal in achieving this. Their book covers both the theory and practice of intermittent demand forecasting and my prediction is that it will fast become the bible of the field.” —Spyros Makridakis, Professor, University of Nicosia, and Director, Institute for the Future and the Makridakis Open Forecasting Center (MOFC). “We have been able to support our clients by adopting many of the ideas discussed in this excellent book, and implementing them in our software. I am sure that these ideas will be equally helpful for other supply chain software vendors and for companies wanting to update and upgrade their capabilities in forecasting and inventory management.” —Suresh Acharya, VP, Research and Development, Blue Yonder. “As product variants proliferate and the pace of business quickens, more and more items have intermittent demand. Boylan and Syntetos have long been leaders in extending forecasting and inventory methods to accommodate this new reality. Their book gathers and clarifies decades of research in this area, and explains how practitioners can exploit this knowledge to make their operations more efficient and effective.” —Thomas R. Willemain, Professor Emeritus, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute.
Demand And Supply Integration
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Author : Mark A. Moon
language : en
Publisher: FT Press
Release Date : 2013-01-14
Demand And Supply Integration written by Mark A. Moon and has been published by FT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-01-14 with Business & Economics categories.
Supply chain professionals: master pioneering techniques for integrating demand and supply, and create demand forecasts that are far more accurate and useful! In Demand and Supply Integration, Dr. Mark Moon presents the specific design characteristics of a world-class demand forecasting management process, showing how to effectively integrate demand forecasting within a comprehensive Demand and Supply Integration (DSI) process. Writing for supply chain professionals in any business, government agency, or military procurement organization, Moon explains what DSI is, how it differs from approaches such as SandOP, and how to recognize the symptoms of failures to sufficiently integrate demand and supply. He outlines the key characteristics of successful DSI implementations, shows how to approach Demand Forecasting as a management process, and guides you through understanding, selecting, and applying the best available qualitative and quantitative forecasting techniques. You'll learn how to thoroughly reflect market intelligence in your forecasts; measure your forecasting performance; implement state-of-the-art demand forecasting systems; manage Demand Reviews, and much more. For wide audiences of supply chain, logistics, and operations management professionals at all levels, from analyst and manager to Director, Vice President, and Chief Supply Chain Officer; and for researchers and graduate students in the field.
Data Science For Supply Chain Forecasting
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Author : Nicolas Vandeput
language : en
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
Release Date : 2021-03-22
Data Science For Supply Chain Forecasting written by Nicolas Vandeput and has been published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-03-22 with Business & Economics categories.
Using data science in order to solve a problem requires a scientific mindset more than coding skills. Data Science for Supply Chain Forecasting, Second Edition contends that a true scientific method which includes experimentation, observation, and constant questioning must be applied to supply chains to achieve excellence in demand forecasting. This second edition adds more than 45 percent extra content with four new chapters including an introduction to neural networks and the forecast value added framework. Part I focuses on statistical "traditional" models, Part II, on machine learning, and the all-new Part III discusses demand forecasting process management. The various chapters focus on both forecast models and new concepts such as metrics, underfitting, overfitting, outliers, feature optimization, and external demand drivers. The book is replete with do-it-yourself sections with implementations provided in Python (and Excel for the statistical models) to show the readers how to apply these models themselves. This hands-on book, covering the entire range of forecasting—from the basics all the way to leading-edge models—will benefit supply chain practitioners, forecasters, and analysts looking to go the extra mile with demand forecasting. Events around the book Link to a De Gruyter Online Event in which the author Nicolas Vandeput together with Stefan de Kok, supply chain innovator and CEO of Wahupa; Spyros Makridakis, professor at the University of Nicosia and director of the Institute For the Future (IFF); and Edouard Thieuleux, founder of AbcSupplyChain, discuss the general issues and challenges of demand forecasting and provide insights into best practices (process, models) and discussing how data science and machine learning impact those forecasts. The event will be moderated by Michael Gilliland, marketing manager for SAS forecasting software: https://youtu.be/1rXjXcabW2s
Forecasting Principles And Practice
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Author : Rob J Hyndman
language : en
Publisher: OTexts
Release Date : 2018-05-08
Forecasting Principles And Practice written by Rob J Hyndman and has been published by OTexts this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-05-08 with Business & Economics categories.
Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.
Fundamentals Of Demand Planning And Forecasting
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Author : Chaman L. Jain
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2012
Fundamentals Of Demand Planning And Forecasting written by Chaman L. Jain and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012 with categories.
The Definitive Guide To Modern Supply Chain Management Collection
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Author : Chad W. Autry
language : en
Publisher: FT Press
Release Date : 2013-07-02
The Definitive Guide To Modern Supply Chain Management Collection written by Chad W. Autry and has been published by FT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-07-02 with Business & Economics categories.
A brand new collection of state-of-the-art guides to more effective supply chain management… 4 pioneering books, now in a convenient e-format, at a great price! 4 up-to-the-minute books help you build and optimize agile, flexible, efficient global supply chains — in the face of any challenge! As a supply chain or operations professional, you face unprecedented challenges in delivering the agile, resilient, efficient supply chain your company needs. This indispensable 4-book package gives you unprecedented resources, best practices, tools, and case studies for managing each of these challenges. Global Macrotrends and Their Impact on Supply Chain Management shows how to manage supply and demand in the face of massively disruptive emerging societal, technological, geopolitical, and environmental macro trends. You’ll find a complete decision framework and practical tools, insights, and guidance for systematically mitigating new risks and building long-term competitive advantage. Step by step, you’ll walk through assessing and responding to population growth, migration, urbanization; socioeconomic change, global connectivity, environmental issues, geopolitics, growing scarcity, transportation congestion, aging infrastructure, and more. Next, Supply Chain Network Design helps you use strategic network design techniques to drive dramatic new savings throughout your supply chain. The authors, who are experts at IBM and Northwestern University, combine rigorous principles and practical applications, helping you optimize the right number, location, territory, and size of warehouses, plants, and production lines; and optimize product flow through even the most complex global supply chains. They help you manage tradeoffs such as cost vs. service level, improve operational decision-making through analytics; and re-optimize regularly for even greater savings. Then, Demand and Supply Integration shows how to implement world-class demand forecasting management, and effectively integrate it into comprehensive Demand and Supply Integration (DSI) processes. You’ll learn how to recognize failures of demand/supply integration, approach Demand Forecasting as a management process, and choose and apply the best forecasting techniques. You’ll discover how to thoroughly reflect market intelligence in forecasts; measure forecasting performance; implement advanced demand forecasting systems; manage Demand Reviews, and more. Finally, The Supply Chain Management Casebook brings together 30 up-to-date, focused case studies illuminating every aspect of modern supply chain management — from procurement to warehousing, strategy to risk management, IT to supplier selection and ethics. Contributors present key challenges in industries ranging from pharmaceuticals to fashion, and preview issues ranging from the “limits of lean” to the potential of 3-D printing. Both qualitative and quantitative cases are included; quantitative cases are supported by completed numerical solutions, and, where applicable, associated spreadsheets. From supply chain experts Chad W. Autry, Thomas J. Goldsby, John E. Bell, Michael Watson, Sara Lewis, Peter Cacioppi, Jay Jayaraman, Mark A. Moon, and Chuck Munson
Demand Driven Forecasting
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Author : Charles W. Chase
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2009-07-23
Demand Driven Forecasting written by Charles W. Chase and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-07-23 with Business & Economics categories.
Praise for Demand-Driven Forecasting A Structured Approach to Forecasting "There are authors of advanced forecasting books who take an academic approach to explaining forecast modeling that focuses on the construction of arcane algorithms and mathematical proof that are not very useful for forecasting practitioners. Then, there are other authors who take a general approach to explaining demand planning, but gloss over technical content required of modern forecasters. Neither of these approaches is well-suited for helping business forecasters critically identify the best demand data sources, effectively apply appropriate statistical forecasting methods, and properly design efficient demand planning processes. In Demand-Driven Forecasting, Chase fills this void in the literature and provides the reader with concise explanations for advanced statistical methods and credible business advice for improving ways to predict demand for products and services. Whether you are an experienced professional forecasting manager, or a novice forecast analyst, you will find this book a valuable resource for your professional development." —Daniel Kiely, Senior Manager, Epidemiology, Forecasting & Analytics, Celgene Corporation "Charlie Chase has given forecasters a clear, responsible approach for ending the timeless tug of war between the need for 'forecast rigor' and the call for greater inclusion of 'client judgment.' By advancing the use of 'domain knowledge' and hypothesis testing to enrich base-case forecasts, he has empowered professional forecasters to step up and impact their companies' business results favorably and profoundly, all the while enhancing the organizational stature of forecasters broadly." —Bob Woodard, Vice President, Global Consumer and Customer Insights, Campbell Soup Company