Demand Forecasting Methodology
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Demand Forecasting And Inventory Control
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Author : Colin Lewis
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2012-05-23
Demand Forecasting And Inventory Control written by Colin Lewis and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-05-23 with Business & Economics categories.
This practical book covers the forecasting- and inventory control methods used in commercial, retail and manufacturing companies. Colin Lewis explains the theory and practice of current demand forecasting methods, the links between forecasts produced as a result of analysing demand data and the various methods by which this information, together with cost information on stocked items, is used to establish the controlling parameters of the most commonly used inventory control systems. The demand forecasting section of the book concentrates on the family of short-term forecasting models based on the exponentially weighted average and its many variants and also a group of medium-term forecasting models based on a time series, curve fitting approach. The inventory control sections investigate the re-order level policy and re-order cycle policy and indicate how these two processes can be operated at minimum cost while offering a high level of customer service.
Intermittent Demand Forecasting
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Author : John E. Boylan
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2021-06-02
Intermittent Demand Forecasting written by John E. Boylan and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-06-02 with Medical categories.
INTERMITTENT DEMAND FORECASTING The first text to focus on the methods and approaches of intermittent, rather than fast, demand forecasting Intermittent Demand Forecasting is for anyone who is interested in improving forecasts of intermittent demand products, and enhancing the management of inventories. Whether you are a practitioner, at the sharp end of demand planning, a software designer, a student, an academic teaching operational research or operations management courses, or a researcher in this field, we hope that the book will inspire you to rethink demand forecasting. If you do so, then you can contribute towards significant economic and environmental benefits. No prior knowledge of intermittent demand forecasting or inventory management is assumed in this book. The key formulae are accompanied by worked examples to show how they can be implemented in practice. For those wishing to understand the theory in more depth, technical notes are provided at the end of each chapter, as well as an extensive and up-to-date collection of references for further study. Software developments are reviewed, to give an appreciation of the current state of the art in commercial and open source software. “Intermittent demand forecasting may seem like a specialized area but actually is at the center of sustainability efforts to consume less and to waste less. Boylan and Syntetos have done a superb job in showing how improvements in inventory management are pivotal in achieving this. Their book covers both the theory and practice of intermittent demand forecasting and my prediction is that it will fast become the bible of the field.” —Spyros Makridakis, Professor, University of Nicosia, and Director, Institute for the Future and the Makridakis Open Forecasting Center (MOFC). “We have been able to support our clients by adopting many of the ideas discussed in this excellent book, and implementing them in our software. I am sure that these ideas will be equally helpful for other supply chain software vendors and for companies wanting to update and upgrade their capabilities in forecasting and inventory management.” —Suresh Acharya, VP, Research and Development, Blue Yonder. “As product variants proliferate and the pace of business quickens, more and more items have intermittent demand. Boylan and Syntetos have long been leaders in extending forecasting and inventory methods to accommodate this new reality. Their book gathers and clarifies decades of research in this area, and explains how practitioners can exploit this knowledge to make their operations more efficient and effective.” —Thomas R. Willemain, Professor Emeritus, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute.
Demand Driven Forecasting
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Author : Charles W. Chase
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2013-08-19
Demand Driven Forecasting written by Charles W. Chase and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-08-19 with Business & Economics categories.
An updated new edition of the comprehensive guide to better business forecasting Many companies still look at quantitative forecasting methods with suspicion, but a new awareness is emerging across many industries as more businesses and professionals recognize the value of integrating demand data (point-of-sale and syndicated scanner data) into the forecasting process. Demand-Driven Forecasting equips you with solutions that can sense, shape, and predict future demand using highly sophisticated methods and tools. From a review of the most basic forecasting methods to the most advanced and innovative techniques in use today, this guide explains demand-driven forecasting, offering a fundamental understanding of the quantitative methods used to sense, shape, and predict future demand within a structured process. Offering a complete overview of the latest business forecasting concepts and applications, this revised Second Edition of Demand-Driven Forecasting is the perfect guide for professionals who need to improve the accuracy of their sales forecasts. Completely updated to include the very latest concepts and methods in forecasting Includes real case studies and examples, actual data, and graphical displays and tables to illustrate how effective implementation works Ideal for CEOs, CFOs, CMOs, vice presidents of supply chain, vice presidents of demand forecasting and planning, directors of demand forecasting and planning, supply chain managers, demand planning managers, marketing analysts, forecasting analysts, financial managers, and any other professional who produces or contributes to forecasts Accurate forecasting is vital to success in today's challenging business climate. Demand-Driven Forecasting offers proven and effective insight on making sure your forecasts are right on the money.
Demand Driven Forecasting
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Author : Charles W. Chase
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2009-07-23
Demand Driven Forecasting written by Charles W. Chase and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-07-23 with Business & Economics categories.
Praise for Demand-Driven Forecasting A Structured Approach to Forecasting "There are authors of advanced forecasting books who take an academic approach to explaining forecast modeling that focuses on the construction of arcane algorithms and mathematical proof that are not very useful for forecasting practitioners. Then, there are other authors who take a general approach to explaining demand planning, but gloss over technical content required of modern forecasters. Neither of these approaches is well-suited for helping business forecasters critically identify the best demand data sources, effectively apply appropriate statistical forecasting methods, and properly design efficient demand planning processes. In Demand-Driven Forecasting, Chase fills this void in the literature and provides the reader with concise explanations for advanced statistical methods and credible business advice for improving ways to predict demand for products and services. Whether you are an experienced professional forecasting manager, or a novice forecast analyst, you will find this book a valuable resource for your professional development." —Daniel Kiely, Senior Manager, Epidemiology, Forecasting & Analytics, Celgene Corporation "Charlie Chase has given forecasters a clear, responsible approach for ending the timeless tug of war between the need for 'forecast rigor' and the call for greater inclusion of 'client judgment.' By advancing the use of 'domain knowledge' and hypothesis testing to enrich base-case forecasts, he has empowered professional forecasters to step up and impact their companies' business results favorably and profoundly, all the while enhancing the organizational stature of forecasters broadly." —Bob Woodard, Vice President, Global Consumer and Customer Insights, Campbell Soup Company
Demand Forecasting Best Practices
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Author : Nicolas Vandeput
language : en
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
Release Date : 2023-07-25
Demand Forecasting Best Practices written by Nicolas Vandeput and has been published by Simon and Schuster this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-07-25 with Computers categories.
Lead your demand planning process to excellence and deliver real value to your supply chain. In Demand Forecasting Best Practices you’ll learn how to: Lead your team to improve quality while reducing workload Properly define the objectives and granularity of your demand planning Use intelligent KPIs to track accuracy and bias Identify areas for process improvement Help planners and stakeholders add value Determine relevant data to collect and how best to collect it Utilize different statistical and machine learning models An expert demand forecaster can help an organization avoid overproduction, reduce waste, and optimize inventory levels for a real competitive advantage. Demand Forecasting Best Practices teaches you how to become that virtuoso demand forecaster. This one-of-a-kind guide reveals forecasting tools, metrics, models, and stakeholder management techniques for delivering more effective supply chains. Everything you learn has been proven and tested in a live business environment. Discover author Nicolas Vandeput’s original five step framework for demand planning excellence and learn how to tailor it to your own company’s needs. Illustrations and real-world examples make each concept easy to understand and easy to follow. You’ll soon be delivering accurate predictions that are driving major business value. About the Technology An expert demand forecaster can help an organization avoid overproduction, reduce waste, and optimize inventory levels for a real competitive advantage. This book teaches you how to become that virtuoso demand forecaster. About the Book Demand Forecasting Best Practices reveals forecasting tools, metrics, models, and stakeholder management techniques for managing your demand planning process efficiently and effectively. Everything you learn has been proven and tested in a live business environment. Discover author Nicolas Vandeput’s original five step framework for demand planning excellence and learn how to tailor it to your own company’s needs. Illustrations and real-world examples make each concept easy to understand and easy to follow. You’ll soon be delivering accurate predictions that are driving major business value. What's Inside Enhance forecasting quality while reducing team workload Utilize intelligent KPIs to track accuracy and bias Identify process areas for improvement Assist stakeholders in sales, marketing, and finance Optimize statistical and machine learning models About the Reader For demand planners, sales and operations managers, supply chain leaders, and data scientists. About the Author Nicolas Vandeput is a supply chain data scientist, the founder of consultancy company SupChains in 2016, and a teacher at CentraleSupélec, France. Table of Contents: Part 1 - Forecasting demand 1 Demand forecasting excellence 2 Introduction to demand forecasting 3 Capturing unconstrained demand (and not sales) 4 Collaboration: data sharing and planning alignment 5 Forecasting hierarchies 6 How long should the forecasting horizon be? 7 Should we reconcile forecasts to align supply chains? Part 2 - Measuring forecasting quality 8 Forecasting metrics 9 Choosing the best forecasting KPI 10 What is a good forecast error? 11 Measuring forecasting accuracy on a product portfolio Part 3 - Data-driven forecasting process 12 Forecast value added 13 What do you review? ABC XYZ segmentations and other methods Part 4 - Forecasting methods 14 Statistical forecasting 15 Machine learning 16 Judgmental forecasting 17 Now it’s your turn!
Demand Forecasting Methodology
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Author : Bill Baker
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1995
Demand Forecasting Methodology written by Bill Baker and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1995 with Water demand management categories.
Demand And Supply Integration
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Author : Mark A. Moon
language : en
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
Release Date : 2018-04-09
Demand And Supply Integration written by Mark A. Moon and has been published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-04-09 with Business & Economics categories.
Supply chain professionals: master pioneering techniques for integrating demand and supply, and create demand forecasts that are far more accurate and useful! In Demand and Supply Integration, Dr. Mark Moon presents the specific design characteristics of a world-class demand forecasting management process, showing how to effectively integrate demand forecasting within a comprehensive Demand and Supply Integration (DSI) process. Writing for supply chain professionals in any business, government agency, or military procurement organization, Moon explains what DSI is, how it differs from approaches such as SandOP, and how to recognize the symptoms of failures to sufficiently integrate demand and supply. He outlines the key characteristics of successful DSI implementations, shows how to approach Demand Forecasting as a management process, and guides you through understanding, selecting, and applying the best available qualitative and quantitative forecasting techniques. You'll learn how to thoroughly reflect market intelligence in your forecasts; measure your forecasting performance; implement state-of-the-art demand forecasting systems; manage Demand Reviews, and much more.
Forecasting Air Travel Demand
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Author : Yafei Zheng
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2018-01-03
Forecasting Air Travel Demand written by Yafei Zheng and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-01-03 with Business & Economics categories.
This book provides an updated, concise summary of forecasting air travel demand methodology. It looks at air travel demand forecasting research and attempts to outline the whole intellectual landscape of demand forecasting. It helps readers to understand the basic idea of TEI@I methodology used in forecasting air travel demand and how it is used in developing air travel demand forecasting methods. The book also discusses what to do when facing different forecasting problems making it a useful reference for business practitioners in the industry.
Demand Forecasting For Inventory Control
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Author : Nick T. Thomopoulos
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2014-12-04
Demand Forecasting For Inventory Control written by Nick T. Thomopoulos and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-12-04 with Business & Economics categories.
This book describes the methods used to forecast the demands at inventory holding locations. The methods are proven, practical and doable for most applications, and pertain to demand patterns that are horizontal, trending, seasonal, promotion and multi-sku. The forecasting methods include regression, moving averages, discounting, smoothing, two-stage forecasts, dampening forecasts, advance demand forecasts, initial forecasts, all time forecasts, top-down, bottom-up, raw and integer forecasts, Also described are demand history, demand profile, forecast error, coefficient of variation, forecast sensitivity and filtering outliers. The book shows how the forecasts with the standard normal, partial normal and truncated normal distributions are used to generate the safety stock for the availability and the percent fill customer service methods. The material presents topics that people want and should know in the work place. The presentation is easy to read for students and practitioners; there is little need to delve into difficult mathematical relationships, and numerical examples are presented throughout to guide the reader on applications. Practitioners will be able to apply the methods learned to the systems in their locations, and the typical worker will want the book on their bookshelf for reference. The potential market is vast. It includes everyone in professional organizations like APICS, DSI and INFORMS; MBA graduates, people in industry, and students in management science, business and industrial engineering.
Next Generation Demand Management
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Author : Charles W. Chase
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2016-08-22
Next Generation Demand Management written by Charles W. Chase and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-08-22 with Business & Economics categories.
A practical framework for revenue-boosting supply chain management Next Generation Demand Management is a guidebook to next generation Demand Management, with an implementation framework that improves revenue forecasts and enhances profitability. This proven approach is structured around the four key catalysts of an efficient planning strategy: people, processes, analytics, and technology. The discussion covers the changes in behavior, skills, and integrated processes that are required for proper implementation, as well as the descriptive and predictive analytics tools and skills that make the process sustainable. Corporate culture changes require a shift in leadership focus, and this guide describes the necessary "champion" with the authority to drive adoption and stress accountability while focusing on customer excellence. Real world examples with actual data illustrate important concepts alongside case studies highlighting best-in-class as well as startup approaches. Reliable forecasts are the primary product of demand planning, a multi-step operational supply chain management process that is increasingly seen as a survival tactic in the changing marketplace. This book provides a practical framework for efficient implementation, and complete guidance toward the supplementary changes required to reap the full benefit. Learn the key principles of demand driven planning Implement new behaviors, skills, and processes Adopt scalable technology and analytics capabilities Align inventory with demand, and increase channel profitability Whether your company is a large multinational or an early startup, your revenue predictions are only as strong as your supply chain management system. Implementing a proven, more structured process can be the catalyst your company needs to overcome that one lingering obstacle between forecast and goal. Next Generation Demand Management gives you the framework for building the foundation of your growth.