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Deterrence Stability And Escalation Control In South Asia


Deterrence Stability And Escalation Control In South Asia
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Deterrence Stability And Escalation Control In South Asia


Deterrence Stability And Escalation Control In South Asia
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Author : Henry L. Stimson Center
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2013-12-13

Deterrence Stability And Escalation Control In South Asia written by Henry L. Stimson Center and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-12-13 with Deterrence (Strategy) categories.


India and Pakistan have developed and flight tested seventeen new nuclear weapon delivery vehicles since testing nuclear devices in 1998 - an average of more than one per year. Military doctrines have also evolved to emphasize more rapid mobilization to engage in limited conventional warfare. Diplomacy to reduce nuclear risks has lagged far behind nuclear weapon-related advances and doctrinal change. Since 1998, Pakistan and India have negotiated four notable military-related Confidence-Building and Nuclear Risk Reduction Measures. No new measures have been agreed upon since 2007. There is no basis for deterrence stability on the Subcontinent when diplomacy and nuclear risk reduction are moribund while nuclear capabilities grow and military doctrines evolve. The most desirable off-ramp to increased nuclear dangers is to secure normal relations with a nuclear-armed neighbor. This collection of essays - the product of bi-monthly discussions at the Stimson Center - provides analysis and ideas for deterrence stability and escalation control on the Subcontinent. This pursuit awaits leadership in India and Pakistan that is strong enough to persist in the face of violent acts designed to disrupt progress.



Nuclear Weapons And Deterrence Stability In South Asia


Nuclear Weapons And Deterrence Stability In South Asia
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Author : Devin T. Hagerty
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2019-06-22

Nuclear Weapons And Deterrence Stability In South Asia written by Devin T. Hagerty and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-06-22 with Political Science categories.


This book examines the theory and practice of nuclear deterrence between India and Pakistan, two highly antagonistic South Asian neighbors who recently moved into their third decade of overt nuclear weaponization. It assesses the stability of Indo-Pakistani nuclear deterrence and argues that, while deterrence dampens the likelihood of escalation to conventional—and possibly nuclear—war, the chronically embittered relations between New Delhi and Islamabad mean that deterrence failure resulting in major warfare cannot be ruled out. Through an empirical examination of the effects of nuclear weapons during five crises between India and Pakistan since 1998, as well as a discussion of the theoretical logic of Indo-Pakistani nuclear deterrence, the book offers suggestions for enhancing deterrence stability between these two countries.



Nuclear Deterrence In South Asia


Nuclear Deterrence In South Asia
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Author : Rizwana Abbasi
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2019-06-25

Nuclear Deterrence In South Asia written by Rizwana Abbasi and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-06-25 with Political Science categories.


This book explores evolving patterns of nuclear deterrence, the impact of new technologies, and changing deterrent force postures in the South Asian region to assess future challenges for sustainable peace and stability. Under the core principles of the security dilemma, this book analyzes the prevailing security environment in South Asia and offers unilateral, bilateral, and multilateral frameworks to stabilize peace and ensure deterrence stability in the South Asian region. Moreover, contending patterns of deterrence dynamics in the South Asian region are further elaborated as becoming inextricably interlinked with the broader security dynamics of the Asia-Pacific region and the interactions with the United States and China’s Belt and Road Initiative. As India and Pakistan are increasingly becoming part of the competing strategies exercised by the United States and China, the authors analyze how strategic uncertainty and fear faced by these rival states cause the introduction of new technologies which could gradually drift these competing states into more serious crises and military conflicts. Presenting innovative solutions to emerging South Asian challenges and offering new security mechanisms for sustainable peace and stability, this book will be of interest to academics and policymakers working on Asian Security studies, Nuclear Strategy, and International Relations.



Escalation Control And The Nuclear Option In South Asia


Escalation Control And The Nuclear Option In South Asia
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Author : Michael Krepon
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2004

Escalation Control And The Nuclear Option In South Asia written by Michael Krepon and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with Deterrence (Strategy) categories.




South Asia S Nuclear Security


South Asia S Nuclear Security
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Author : Bhumitra Chakma
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2014-12-17

South Asia S Nuclear Security written by Bhumitra Chakma and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-12-17 with Political Science categories.


South Asia is often viewed as a potential nuclear flashpoint and a probable source of nuclear terrorism. But, how valid are such perceptions? This book seeks to address this question and assesses the region’s nuclear security from two principal standpoints. First, it evaluates the robustness of the Indo-Pakistani mutual deterrence by analysing the strength and weaknesses of the competing arguments regarding the issue. It also analyses the causes and consequences of nuclear arms race between India and Pakistan, the nature of deterrence structure in the region and the challenges of confidence building and arms control between the two countries in order to assess the robustness of South Asia’s nuclear deterrence. Second, it assesses the safety and security of the nuclear assets and nuclear infrastructure of India and Pakistan. The author holds that the debate on South Asia’s nuclear security is largely misplaced because the optimists tend to overemphasise the stabilising effects of nuclear weapons and the pessimists are too alarmists. It is argued that while the risks of nuclear weapons are significant, it is unlikely that India and Pakistan will give up their nuclear arsenals in the foreseeable future. Therefore, what needs to happen is that while nuclear elimination should be the long-term goal, in the interim years the two countries need to pursue minimum deterrence policies to reduce the likelihood of deterrence failure and the possibility of obtaining fissile materials by non-state actors.



Maintaining Nuclear Stability In South Asia


Maintaining Nuclear Stability In South Asia
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Author : Neil Joeck
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2013-09-13

Maintaining Nuclear Stability In South Asia written by Neil Joeck and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-09-13 with History categories.


Argues that, while nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles cast a shadow over Indo-Pakistani relations, they do not create strategic stability. He asserts that the development of command and control mechanisms would enhance stability, but that diplomatic steps focused on missiles must also be considered. Improved command and control and diplomatic engagement will provide some insurance that nuclear weapons are not used in any future conflict.



Dangerous Deterrent


Dangerous Deterrent
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Author : S. Paul Kapur
language : en
Publisher: NUS Press
Release Date : 2009

Dangerous Deterrent written by S. Paul Kapur and has been published by NUS Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009 with Arms race categories.




Conventional Deterrence


Conventional Deterrence
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Author : John J. Mearsheimer
language : en
Publisher: Cornell University Press
Release Date : 1985

Conventional Deterrence written by John J. Mearsheimer and has been published by Cornell University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1985 with Deterrence (Strategy) categories.


Conventional Deterrence is a book about the origins of war. Why do nations faced with the prospect of large-scale conventional war opt for or against an offensive strategy? John J. Mearsheimer examines a number of crises that led to major conventional wars to explain why deterrence failed. He focuses first on Allied and German decision making in the years 1939-1940, analyzing why the Allies did not strike first against Germany after declaring war and, conversely, why the Germans did attack the West. Turning to the Middle East, he examines the differences in Israeli and Egyptian strategic doctrines prior to the start of the major conventional conflicts in that region. Mearsheimer then critically assays the relative strengths and weaknesses of NATO and the Warsaw Pact to determine the prospects for conventional deterrence in any future crisis. He is also concerned with examining such relatively technical issues as the impact of precision-guided munitions (PGM) on conventional deterrence and the debate over maneuver versus attrition warfare.Mearsheimer pays considerable attention to questions of military strategy and tactics. Challenging the claim that conventional detrrence is largely a function of the numerical balance of forces, he also takes issue with the school of thought that ascribes deterrence failures to the dominance of "offensive" weaponry. In addition to examining the military consideration underlying deterrence, he also analyzes the interaction between those military factors and the broader political considerations that move a nation to war.



Stability In South Asia


Stability In South Asia
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Author : Ashley J. Tellis
language : en
Publisher: RAND Corporation
Release Date : 1997

Stability In South Asia written by Ashley J. Tellis and has been published by RAND Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1997 with Political Science categories.


The study found that India and Pakistan both assume that outside powers, mainly the United States, will intervene to stop any major war on the subcontinent within two weeks after it begins.



India S Evolving Deterrent Force Posturing In South Asia


India S Evolving Deterrent Force Posturing In South Asia
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Author : Zulfqar Khan
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2020-12-16

India S Evolving Deterrent Force Posturing In South Asia written by Zulfqar Khan and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-12-16 with Political Science categories.


The book discusses India’s evolving deterrent force posturing in South Asia under the conceptual essentials of nuclear revolution when it comes to various combinations of conventional and nuclear forces development and the strategic implications it intentionally or unintentionally poses for the South Asian region. The book talks about how the contemporary restructuring of India’s deterrent force posture affects India’s nuclear strategy, in general, and how this in turn could affect the policies of its adversaries: China and Pakistan, in particular. Authors discuss the motivations of such posturing that broadly covers India’s restructuring of its Nuclear Draft Doctrine (DND), the ballistic missile development program, including that of its Ballistic Missile Defence (BMD) system, and the possibility of conflicts between China-India and India-Pakistan, given their transforming strategic force postures and their recurring adversarial behavior against each other in the Southern Asian region.