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Developing A Stochastic Optimization Model For Operating The Manitoba Hydro Multi Reservoir Hydroelectric Power System


Developing A Stochastic Optimization Model For Operating The Manitoba Hydro Multi Reservoir Hydroelectric Power System
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Developing A Stochastic Optimization Model For Operating The Manitoba Hydro Multi Reservoir Hydroelectric Power System


Developing A Stochastic Optimization Model For Operating The Manitoba Hydro Multi Reservoir Hydroelectric Power System
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Author : Jacob Snell
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2021

Developing A Stochastic Optimization Model For Operating The Manitoba Hydro Multi Reservoir Hydroelectric Power System written by Jacob Snell and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021 with categories.


The province of Manitoba generates more than 90% of its electric power from hydroelectric generating stations located in the Nelson-Churchill Rivers basins. Prudent management of the major reservoirs in the system is essential for providing value through economic and reliable electricity. Reservoir managers are challenged by the variability of reservoir inflows, the misalignment of electrical energy demands and seasonality of reservoir inflows, and travel time lags between reservoirs and major generating stations on the Lower Nelson River. This thesis examines some of the challenges of current hydroelectric system management and applies a Sampling Stochastic Dynamic Programming algorithm to the operation of the Manitoba Hydro electric system. Direct consideration of variability and uncertainty of inflows are incorporated in the algorithm by generating a water value function based policy that considers multiple inflow scenarios and inflow scenario transition probabilities derived from conditional probability distributions based on a regression relationship between sequential periods of system inflow. The travel time lag is incorporated into the algorithm directly as a lagged inflow state variable to bridge reservoir release decisions between time periods. Storage values and penalties are incorporated to reflect operating license requirements and to prevent depletion of reserve storage that can lead to infeasibilities in the algorithm. The water value function policy is simulated over 38 historical years of inflow scenarios and compared against historical reservoir operation decisions. Model results show significant improvement in economic values and reductions in energy deficits over historical scenarios but are highly sensitive to the calibration of storage benefit and penalty values. Extensions to the model to use hydrological based inflow models, improving the transition matrix by evaluating alternative hydrological variables, and alternative approaches to the storage benefit and penalty method are discussed.



Dynamic Programming Based Operation Of Reservoirs


Dynamic Programming Based Operation Of Reservoirs
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Author : K. D. W. Nandalal
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2007-05-10

Dynamic Programming Based Operation Of Reservoirs written by K. D. W. Nandalal and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-05-10 with Science categories.


Dynamic programming is a method of solving multi-stage problems in which decisions at one stage become the conditions governing the succeeding stages. It can be applied to the management of water reservoirs, allowing them to be operated more efficiently. This is one of the few books dedicated solely to dynamic programming techniques used in reservoir management. It presents the applicability of these techniques and their limits on the operational analysis of reservoir systems. The dynamic programming models presented in this book have been applied to reservoir systems all over the world, helping the reader to appreciate the applicability and limits of these models. The book also includes a model for the operation of a reservoir during an emergency situation. This volume will be a valuable reference to researchers in hydrology, water resources and engineering, as well as professionals in reservoir management.



Stochastic And Statistical Methods In Hydrology And Environmental Engineering


Stochastic And Statistical Methods In Hydrology And Environmental Engineering
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Author : Keith W. Hipel
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-06-29

Stochastic And Statistical Methods In Hydrology And Environmental Engineering written by Keith W. Hipel and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-06-29 with Science categories.


In this landmark set of papers, experts from around the world present the latest and most promising approaches to both the theory and practice of effective environmental management. To achieve sustainable development, organizations and individual citizens must comply with environmental laws and regulations. Accordingly, a major contribution of this book is the presentation of original techniques for designing effective environmental policies, regulations, inspection precedures and monitoring systems. Interesting methods for modelling risk and decision making problems are discussed from an environmental management perspective. Moreover, knowledge-based techniques for handling environmental problems are also investigated. Finally, the last main part of the book describes optimal approaches to reservoir operation and control that take into account appropriate multiple objectives. Audience The book is of direct interest to researchers, teachers, students and practitioners concerned with the latest developments in environmental management and sustainable development.



Optimization Of Energy Potential Of A Hydroelectric Project On The Coruh River Hydroelectric Power Development Project Turkey


Optimization Of Energy Potential Of A Hydroelectric Project On The Coruh River Hydroelectric Power Development Project Turkey
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Author : Mesut Cayar
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2004

Optimization Of Energy Potential Of A Hydroelectric Project On The Coruh River Hydroelectric Power Development Project Turkey written by Mesut Cayar and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with categories.




Optimization Of Multiple Purpose Reservoir System Operations


Optimization Of Multiple Purpose Reservoir System Operations
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Author : Ralph Allen Wurbs
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1991

Optimization Of Multiple Purpose Reservoir System Operations written by Ralph Allen Wurbs and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991 with Reservoirs categories.




Selected Water Resources Abstracts


Selected Water Resources Abstracts
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1988

Selected Water Resources Abstracts written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1988 with Hydrology categories.




Canadian Journal Of Civil Engineering


Canadian Journal Of Civil Engineering
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1994

Canadian Journal Of Civil Engineering written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1994 with Civil engineering categories.




Selected Water Resources Abstracts


Selected Water Resources Abstracts
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1991

Selected Water Resources Abstracts written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991 with Water categories.




Tims Orsa Bulletin


Tims Orsa Bulletin
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Author : Institute of Management Sciences
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1983

Tims Orsa Bulletin written by Institute of Management Sciences and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1983 with Industrial management categories.




Implicit Stochastic Optimization With Limited Foresight For Reservoir Systems


Implicit Stochastic Optimization With Limited Foresight For Reservoir Systems
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Author : Andrew James Draper
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2001

Implicit Stochastic Optimization With Limited Foresight For Reservoir Systems written by Andrew James Draper and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001 with categories.