Does Money Matter In Predicting Future Events
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Does Money Matter In Predicting Future Events
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Author : Sebastian Diemer
language : en
Publisher: Anchor Academic Publishing (aap_verlag)
Release Date : 2014-02-01
Does Money Matter In Predicting Future Events written by Sebastian Diemer and has been published by Anchor Academic Publishing (aap_verlag) this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-02-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Prediction markets are online trading platforms where contracts on future events are traded with payoffs being exclusively linked to event occurrence. Scientific research has shown that market prices of such contracts imply high forecasting accuracy through effective information aggregation of dispersed knowledge. This phenomenon is related to incentives for truthful aggregation in the form of real-money or play-money rewards. The question whether real- or play-money incentives enhance higher relative forecast accuracy has been addressed by previous works with diverse findings. The current state of empirical research in his field is subject to two inherent deficiencies. First, inter-market studies suffer from market disparities and differences in the definition of underlying events. Comparisons between two different platforms (one for play-money contracts, one for real-money contracts) are potentially biased by different trading behaviour. Second, the majority of studies are based upon identical datasets of market platforms (IOWA stock exchange, Tradesports/Intrade, NewsFutures).
Does Money Matter In Predicting Future Events
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Author : Sebastian Diemer
language : en
Publisher: Anchor Academic Publishing (aap_verlag)
Release Date : 2013-10
Does Money Matter In Predicting Future Events written by Sebastian Diemer and has been published by Anchor Academic Publishing (aap_verlag) this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-10 with Business & Economics categories.
Prediction markets are online trading platforms where contracts on future events are traded with payoffs being exclusively linked to event occurrence. Scientific research has shown that market prices of such contracts imply high forecasting accuracy through effective information aggregation of dispersed knowledge. This phenomenon is related to incentives for truthful aggregation in the form of real-money or play-money rewards. The question whether real- or play-money incentives enhance higher relative forecast accuracy has been addressed by previous works with diverse findings. The current state of empirical research in his field is subject to two inherent deficiencies. First, inter-market studies suffer from market disparities and differences in the definition of underlying events. Comparisons between two different platforms (one for play-money contracts, one for real-money contracts) are potentially biased by different trading behaviour. Second, the majority of studies are based upon identical datasets of market platforms (IOWA stock exchange, Tradesports/Intrade, NewsFutures).
R Applications In Earth Sciences
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Author : Łukasz Pawlik
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2025-08-01
R Applications In Earth Sciences written by Łukasz Pawlik and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-08-01 with Science categories.
This textbook helps to understand the real Earth data with the practical application of many handy R tools and techniques. R language and thousands of R packages can be used to solve the most sophisticated scientific problems. The book provides insights to the various approaches to Earth-related data analysis, starting from data preparation and validation, exploratory data analysis, linear regression, and going through time series decomposition, modeling, and prediction. In addition, the book introduces machine learning techniques and their application to some real problems. Along with a profound explanation of the datasets and theoretical considerations of the methods, the book offers a way of solving practical problems lying at the frontline of modern data analysis in physical geography, soils, and climate science.
Popular Science
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2007-07
Popular Science written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-07 with categories.
Popular Science gives our readers the information and tools to improve their technology and their world. The core belief that Popular Science and our readers share: The future is going to be better, and science and technology are the driving forces that will help make it better.
Social Policy And Sociology
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Author : N. J. Demerath
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 2013-09-17
Social Policy And Sociology written by N. J. Demerath and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-09-17 with Social Science categories.
Social Policy and Sociology explores the relationship between social policy and sociology and covers topics such as social inequities and individual stress in the family cycle. America's youth and their problems are also given attention, along with the relationship between graduate training and federal funding. Comprised of 24 chapters, this book begins with an assessment of the proper relationship between sociology and public policy, and whether sociologists should become actively engaged in social engineering. Methods of training graduate students for doing policy research are also discussed. Subsequent chapters explore community planning and poverty; policy implications of race relations; formal models as a guide to social policy; and the interrelationships between governmental policy, social structure, and public values. Social problems such as alcoholism and drug addiction are also considered, together with the changing relationship between government support and graduate training. Finally, the what and why of policy research in sociology are examined, and possible changes in graduate training and professional practice in sociology are evaluated. This monograph will be of interest to sociologists as well as social and public policymakers.
How To Make Money Trading Derivatives
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Author : Ashwani Gujral
language : en
Publisher: Vision Books
Release Date : 2016-08-16
How To Make Money Trading Derivatives written by Ashwani Gujral and has been published by Vision Books this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-08-16 with Business & Economics categories.
Risk And The Law
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Author : Gordon Woodman
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2008-08-22
Risk And The Law written by Gordon Woodman and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-08-22 with Business & Economics categories.
Natural and man-made risks have long been recognised as vital conditioning factors in the formation of social institutions and the conduct of social life. In this volume internationally recognised experts examine in detail the implications in practice of the modern concept of risk in particular legal fields. The chapters explore the ways in which the law in its many branches can accommodate, manage and reduce the extent of risk in the modern "Risk Society", matters of pressing importance for the development of all branches of law in all jurisdictions. The fields of activity affected by the issues discussed include law, medicine, insurance, state security and public health. The collection also contributes to comparative legal studies in respect of risk and the law, presenting a perspective which has largely been neglected outside the works of general theory. Thus the topics considered range from the civil law of injuries in Germany and the food law of the European Union, through sales of goods, including international sales, in English, German and French law, to the English law of torts. Risk and the Law, written by specialists who are authorities in their fields, will be of interest to academics and students who are interested in new developments and ideas regarding the relationship between risk, law and social change in many different fields.
Automotive Fuel Efficiency
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Author : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Energy and Commerce. Subcommittee on Energy and Power
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1989
Automotive Fuel Efficiency written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Energy and Commerce. Subcommittee on Energy and Power and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1989 with Automobiles categories.
Automotive Fuel Efficiency Second Session September 19 And October 1 1990
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Author : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Energy and Commerce. Subcommittee on Energy and Power
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1989
Automotive Fuel Efficiency Second Session September 19 And October 1 1990 written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Energy and Commerce. Subcommittee on Energy and Power and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1989 with Automobiles categories.
Money Matters
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Author : Robert K. Goidel
language : en
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers
Release Date : 1999
Money Matters written by Robert K. Goidel and has been published by Rowman & Littlefield Publishers this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999 with Law categories.
Methods of campaign financing have been controversial since George Washington first ran for office, and debates over campaign finance reform have raged just as long. Contemporary critics of reform often contend that it would decrease electoral competition, voter turnout, and the amount of information voters receive about candidates. Money Matters subjects these criticisms to careful, systemic analysis-using simulations, aggregate vote analyses, and individual-level data analyses based on House elections-and concludes that reform, with modest public subsidies and spending limits, would enhance rather than diminish the U.S. system of democratic governance. This timely book helps bridge the gap between quantitative academic research and applied progressive reform efforts. It will be of interest to scholars and students of political parties, the legislative process, campaigns and elections, political institutions, public policy, and political behavior and methodology.