Economic Modeling In The Post Great Recession Era
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Economic Modeling In The Post Great Recession Era
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Author : John E. Silvia
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2017-01-04
Economic Modeling In The Post Great Recession Era written by John E. Silvia and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-01-04 with Business & Economics categories.
Reality-based modeling for today's unique economic recovery Economic Modeling in the Post Great Recession Era presents a more realistic approach to modeling, using direct statistical applications to address the characteristics and trends central to current market behaviors. This book's unique focus on the reality of today's markets makes it an invaluable resource for students and practitioners seeking a comprehensive guide to more accurate forecasting. While most books treat the economy as if it were in a vacuum, building models around idealized or perception-biased behaviors, this book deals with the economy as it currently stands—in a state of recovery, limited by financial constraints, imperfect information, and lags and disparities in price movements. The authors identify how these characteristics impact various markets' behaviors, and quantify those behaviors using SAS as the primary statistical tool. Today's economy bears a number of unique attributes that usual modeling methods fail to consider. This book describes how to approach modeling based on real-world, observable data in order to make better-informed decisions in today's markets. Discover the three economic characteristics with the greatest impact on various markets Create economic models that mirror the current post-recession reality Adopt statistical methods that identify and adapt to structural breaks and lags Factor real-world imperfections into modeling for more accurate forecasting The past few years have shown a clear demarcation between policymakers' forecasts and actual outcomes. As the dust settles on the Great Recession, after-effects linger—and impact our current recovery in ways that diverge from past experience and theoretical expectations. Economic Modeling in the Post Great Recession Era provides comprehensive guidance grounded in reality for today's economic decision-makers.
Cycles Growth And The Great Recession
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Author : Annalisa Cristini
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2014-11-13
Cycles Growth And The Great Recession written by Annalisa Cristini and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-11-13 with Business & Economics categories.
Cycles, Growth and the Great Recession is a collection of papers that assess the nature and role of the business cycle in contemporary economies. These assessments are made in the context of the financial market instability that distinguishes the Great Recession from previous post-war slowdowns. Theorists and applied scholars in the fields of economics and mathematical economics discuss various approaches to understanding cycles and growth, and present mathematical and applied macro models to show how uncertainty shapes cycles by affecting the economic agent choice. Also included is an empirical section that investigates how the Great Recession affected households’ housing wealth, labour productivity and migration decisions. This book aims to: Propose a novel understanding of the business cycle by comparing the approaches of various scholars, starting from Hyman Minsky and Piero Ferri. Show that uncertainty is a main feature of the business cycle that affects decision-making and economic behaviour in general. Explain with mathematical models how the behaviour of economic agents can lead to cyclical paths for modern developed economies. Augment theory with empirical analysis of some central issues related to the Great Recession. This book comprises an original view of such widely discussed subjects as business cycles, uncertainty, economic growth and the Great Recession, constructed around theory, models and applications.
Facts And Challenges From The Great Recession For Forecasting And Macroeconomic Modeling
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Author : Serena Ng
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2013
Facts And Challenges From The Great Recession For Forecasting And Macroeconomic Modeling written by Serena Ng and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with Economics categories.
This paper provides a survey of business cycle facts, updated to take account of recent data. Emphasis is given to the Great Recession which was unlike most other post-war recessions in the US in being driven by deleveraging and financial market factors. We document how recessions with financial market origins are different from those driven by supply or monetary policy shocks. This helps explain why economic models and predictors that work well at some times do poorly at other times. We discuss challenges for forecasters and empirical researchers in light of the updated business cycle facts.
Strategic Changes For Business Models In The German Retail Banking Industry In The Post Financial Crisis Era
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Author : Tobias Pommerening
language : en
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Release Date : 2010-10
Strategic Changes For Business Models In The German Retail Banking Industry In The Post Financial Crisis Era written by Tobias Pommerening and has been published by GRIN Verlag this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-10 with Business & Economics categories.
Bachelor Thesis from the year 2010 in the subject Business economics - General, grade: 2.0, Baden-Wuerttemberg Cooperative State University (DHBW), language: English, abstract: The Great Recession, as the global financial meltdown has come to be called, has had devastating effects on the global economic landscape - particularly on the banking industry. While the big, multinational investment banks that were at the heart of this crisis were hit most severely, with players such as Lehman Brothers Inc. among others disappearing from the financial landscape, retail banks - institutions primarily engaged in the standard banking business with private customers - also suffered considerably from the global collapse of financial markets.1 Unlike their multinational counterparts, however, retail banks cannot rely on profitable mergers and acquisition activities or proprietary trading to boost income once the economy picks up again. While the challenges created by the Great Recession for retail banks are complex, they are not the only threat to longrun profitability. In many markets - especially in the mature western European ones, other dark clouds appear on the horizon. To name only a few, plummeting sales, narrowing profit margins, consumers' lack of confidence in the banking system and operational cost problems threaten retail banks in mature markets such as Germany.2 Postbank, a major German retail bank with a strong domestic customer base is one of the players that have to make strategic adjustments to cope with a changing economic landscape. But what will these strategic adjustments be - and in which priority do they need to be undertaken? Although literature on the financial crisis and expected changes in banking industry is paramount, so far little attention has been given to showing how strategy in the retail banking segment in the distinct geographic location of Germany will have to look like for a specific player in the post financial crisis era.
Business Cycles And Financial Crises
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Author : A. W. Mullineux
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1990
Business Cycles And Financial Crises written by A. W. Mullineux and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990 with Business & Economics categories.
The Great Recession
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Author : David B. Grusky
language : en
Publisher: Russell Sage Foundation
Release Date : 2011-10-01
The Great Recession written by David B. Grusky and has been published by Russell Sage Foundation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-10-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Officially over in 2009, the Great Recession is now generally acknowledged to be the most devastating global economic crisis since the Great Depression. As a result of the crisis, the United States lost more than 7.5 million jobs, and the unemployment rate doubled—peaking at more than 10 percent. The collapse of the housing market and subsequent equity market fluctuations delivered a one-two punch that destroyed trillions of dollars in personal wealth and made many Americans far less financially secure. Still reeling from these early shocks, the U.S. economy will undoubtedly take years to recover. Less clear, however, are the social effects of such economic hardship on a U.S. population accustomed to long periods of prosperity. How are Americans responding to these hard times? The Great Recession is the first authoritative assessment of how the aftershocks of the recession are affecting individuals and families, jobs, earnings and poverty, political and social attitudes, lifestyle and consumption practices, and charitable giving. Focused on individual-level effects rather than institutional causes, The Great Recession turns to leading experts to examine whether the economic aftermath caused by the recession is transforming how Americans live their lives, what they believe in, and the institutions they rely on. Contributors Michael Hout, Asaf Levanon, and Erin Cumberworth show how job loss during the recession—the worst since the 1980s—hit less-educated workers, men, immigrants, and factory and construction workers the hardest. Millions of lost industrial jobs are likely never to be recovered and where new jobs are appearing, they tend to be either high-skill positions or low-wage employment—offering few opportunities for the middle-class. Edward Wolff, Lindsay Owens, and Esra Burak examine the effects of the recession on housing and wealth for the very poor and the very rich. They find that while the richest Americans experienced the greatest absolute wealth loss, their resources enabled them to weather the crisis better than the young families, African Americans, and the middle class, who experienced the most disproportionate loss—including mortgage delinquencies, home foreclosures, and personal bankruptcies. Lane Kenworthy and Lindsay Owens ask whether this recession is producing enduring shifts in public opinion akin to those that followed the Great Depression. Surprisingly, they find no evidence of recession-induced attitude changes toward corporations, the government, perceptions of social justice, or policies aimed at aiding the poor. Similarly, Philip Morgan, Erin Cumberworth, and Christopher Wimer find no major recession effects on marriage, divorce, or cohabitation rates. They do find a decline in fertility rates, as well as increasing numbers of adult children returning home to the family nest—evidence that suggests deep pessimism about recovery. This protracted slump—marked by steep unemployment, profound destruction of wealth, and sluggish consumer activity—will likely continue for years to come, and more pronounced effects may surface down the road. The contributors note that, to date, this crisis has not yet generated broad shifts in lifestyle and attitudes. But by clarifying how the recession’s early impacts have—and have not—influenced our current economic and social landscape, The Great Recession establishes an important benchmark against which to measure future change.
Gendering The Recession
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Author : Diane Negra
language : en
Publisher: Duke University Press
Release Date : 2014-03-28
Gendering The Recession written by Diane Negra and has been published by Duke University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-03-28 with Social Science categories.
This timely, necessary collection of essays provides feminist analyses of a recession-era media culture characterized by the reemergence and refashioning of familiar gender tropes, including crisis masculinity, coping women, and postfeminist self-renewal. Interpreting media forms as diverse as reality television, financial journalism, novels, lifestyle blogs, popular cinema, and advertising, the contributors reveal gendered narratives that recur across media forms too often considered in isolation from one another. They also show how, with a few notable exceptions, recession-era popular culture promotes affective normalcy and transformative individual enterprise under duress while avoiding meaningful critique of the privileged white male or the destructive aspects of Western capitalism. By acknowledging the contradictions between political rhetoric and popular culture, and between diverse screen fantasies and lived realities, Gendering the Recession helps to make sense of our postboom cultural moment. Contributors. Sarah Banet-Weiser, Hamilton Carroll, Hannah Hamad, Anikó Imre, Suzanne Leonard, Isabel Molina-Guzmán, Sinéad Molony, Elizabeth Nathanson, Diane Negra, Tim Snelson, Yvonne Tasker, Pamela Thoma
A Decade After The Global Recession
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Author : M. Ayhan Kose
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 2021-03-19
A Decade After The Global Recession written by M. Ayhan Kose and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-03-19 with Business & Economics categories.
This year marks the tenth anniversary of the 2009 global recession. Most emerging market and developing economies weathered the global recession relatively well, in part by using the sizable fiscal and monetary policy ammunition accumulated during prior years of strong growth. However, their growth prospects have weakened since then, and many now have less policy space. This study provides the first comprehensive stocktaking of the past decade from the perspective of emerging market and developing economies. Many of these economies have now become more vulnerable to economic shocks. The study discusses lessons from the global recession and policy options for these economies to strengthen growth and prepare for the possibility of another global downturn.
How The Financial Crisis And Great Recession Affected Higher Education
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Author : Jeffrey R. Brown
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2015-01-08
How The Financial Crisis And Great Recession Affected Higher Education written by Jeffrey R. Brown and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-01-08 with Business & Economics categories.
The recent financial crisis had a profound effect on both public and private universities. Universities responded to these stresses in different ways. This volume presents new evidence on the nature of these responses and how the incentives and constraints facing different institutions affected their behavior.
The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report
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Author : Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission
language : en
Publisher: Cosimo, Inc.
Release Date : 2011-05-01
The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report written by Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission and has been published by Cosimo, Inc. this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-05-01 with Political Science categories.
The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report, published by the U.S. Government and the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission in early 2011, is the official government report on the United States financial collapse and the review of major financial institutions that bankrupted and failed, or would have without help from the government. The commission and the report were implemented after Congress passed an act in 2009 to review and prevent fraudulent activity. The report details, among other things, the periods before, during, and after the crisis, what led up to it, and analyses of subprime mortgage lending, credit expansion and banking policies, the collapse of companies like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and the federal bailouts of Lehman and AIG. It also discusses the aftermath of the fallout and our current state. This report should be of interest to anyone concerned about the financial situation in the U.S. and around the world.THE FINANCIAL CRISIS INQUIRY COMMISSION is an independent, bi-partisan, government-appointed panel of 10 people that was created to "examine the causes, domestic and global, of the current financial and economic crisis in the United States." It was established as part of the Fraud Enforcement and Recovery Act of 2009. The commission consisted of private citizens with expertise in economics and finance, banking, housing, market regulation, and consumer protection. They examined and reported on "the collapse of major financial institutions that failed or would have failed if not for exceptional assistance from the government."News Dissector DANNY SCHECHTER is a journalist, blogger and filmmaker. He has been reporting on economic crises since the 1980's when he was with ABC News. His film In Debt We Trust warned of the economic meltdown in 2006. He has since written three books on the subject including Plunder: Investigating Our Economic Calamity (Cosimo Books, 2008), and The Crime Of Our Time: Why Wall Street Is Not Too Big to Jail (Disinfo Books, 2011), a companion to his latest film Plunder The Crime Of Our Time. He can be reached online at www.newsdissector.com.