Elections And Exit Polling
DOWNLOAD
Download Elections And Exit Polling PDF/ePub or read online books in Mobi eBooks. Click Download or Read Online button to get Elections And Exit Polling book now. This website allows unlimited access to, at the time of writing, more than 1.5 million titles, including hundreds of thousands of titles in various foreign languages. If the content not found or just blank you must refresh this page
Lost In A Gallup
DOWNLOAD
Author : W. Joseph Campbell
language : en
Publisher: Univ of California Press
Release Date : 2024-02-20
Lost In A Gallup written by W. Joseph Campbell and has been published by Univ of California Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-02-20 with History categories.
This update of a lively, first-of-its-kind study of polling misfires and fiascoes in U.S. presidential campaigns takes up pollsters’ failure over the decades to offer accurate assessments of the most important of American elections. "W. Joseph Campbell's work always opens my eyes, challenging assumptions the world has turned into facts. Whenever I get a chance to read Campbell's work, I seize it."—Jake Tapper, CNN anchor Lost in a Gallup tells the story of polling flops and failures in presidential elections since 1936. Polls do go bad, as outcomes in 2020, 2016, 2012, 2004, and 2000 all remind us. This updated edition includes a new chapter and conclusion that address the 2020 polling surprise and considers whether polls will get it right in 2024. As author W. Joseph Campbell discusses, polling misfires in presidential elections are not all alike. Pollsters have anticipated tight elections when landslides have occurred. They have pointed to the wrong winner in closer elections. Misleading state polls have thrown off expected national outcomes. Polling failure also can lead to media error. Journalists covering presidential races invariably take their lead from polls. When polls go bad, media narratives can be off-target as well. Lost in a Gallup encourages readers to treat election polls with healthy skepticism, recognizing that they could be wrong.
The Lavender Vote
DOWNLOAD
Author : Mark Hertzog
language : en
Publisher: NYU Press
Release Date : 1996-08
The Lavender Vote written by Mark Hertzog and has been published by NYU Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1996-08 with Health & Fitness categories.
In this book, the author describes the differences in demographics, attitudes, and voting behavior between self-identified bisexuals and homosexuals and the rest of the voting population.
Proving Election Fraud
DOWNLOAD
Author : Richard Charnin
language : en
Publisher: AuthorHouse
Release Date : 2010-03-25
Proving Election Fraud written by Richard Charnin and has been published by AuthorHouse this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-03-25 with History categories.
In 2004, John Kerry appeared to be a clear winner based on the exit polls. But the recorded vote counts deviated sharply from the polls and were too one-sided to attribute to mere chance. The political pundits claimed the polls “behaved badly”, calling the three million Bush margin a “mandate”. They failed to report the impossible late adjustments made to the National, Florida and Ohio exit polls that were necessary to force them to match the recorded vote. Spreadsheet-wielding Internet bloggers analyzed the statistical anomalies. Online election forums were aflame with debates about state and national pre-election and exit polls, Bush approval ratings, margins of error, non-response, past vote recall, correlation between vote swing from 2000 and the exit poll shift, the counter-intuitive Bush gain over his 2000 vote share in urban locations compared to the decline in rural areas (the "Urban Legend"). But the “Smoking Gun” was the Final National Exit Poll, which indicated that there were four million more returning Bush 2000 voters than were alive in 2004. This “phantom voter” anomaly has never been discussed by pundits in the media or political scientists in academia, even though similar anomalies occurred in 1988, 1992 and 2008. The media pundits still claim that the recorded vote is correct (and the exit polls wrong) despite millions of uncounted votes in every election. This book is a comprehensive resource for analyzing presidential elections from 1968 to 2008, including the 2006 midterms. It is written for readers of virtually all backgrounds. The only requirement is an inquisitive, open mind. The True Vote is estimated using basic statistical modeling that is for some reason avoided in the media and academia. Internet links to several election analysis spreadsheet models are provided in the book and are free to download.
Political Communication In Britain
DOWNLOAD
Author : Dominic Wring
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2022
Political Communication In Britain written by Dominic Wring and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022 with categories.
Political Communication in Britain offers unique insights from various members of the party, media, and polling organizations that contested, reported, and analysed the 2019 British General Election, as well as leading academic experts who have researched the campaign. Following an essay by Sir John Curtice exploring how the critical issue of Brexit influenced the election, the opening part of this volume features insiders discussing their respective parties' operations, including their successes and disappointments. This section also includes expert examinations of Boris Johnson's 'oven ready deal' as well as the digital advertising and controversial public relations efforts that helped promote it. The middle part of the book considers the media, with chapters from the BBC, Sky News, and regulator Ofcom, along with analyses of the pro-Conservative press, digital-only plat[1]forms, and the more left-leaning alternative news sites. The closing section of the volume turns to public attitudes, with experts, including leading pollsters, exploring how these contributed to the Conservatives' victory. Dedicated chapters also place opinion research in broader context through examining the historical role of the exit poll, and the changing reception and reporting of polls both online and in print. Political Communication in Britain provides readers with an indispensable guide to the 2019 General Election from several of those most intimately involved in the campaign. Dominic Wring is Professor of Political Communication at Loughborough University, UK. Roger Mortimore is Professor of Public Opinion and Political Analysis at King's College London, UK, and Director of Political Analysis at Ipsos MORI. Simon Atkinson is Chief Knowledge Officer at Ipsos.
What Went Wrong In Ohio
DOWNLOAD
Author : United States. Congress. House. Committee on the Judiciary
language : en
Publisher: Academy Chicago Publishers, Limited
Release Date : 2005
What Went Wrong In Ohio written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on the Judiciary and has been published by Academy Chicago Publishers, Limited this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Political Science categories.
Report of an investigation into irregularities reported in the 2004 Presidential election in Ohio, compiled by the Democratic staff of the House Judiciary Committee.
Measuring Voting Behaviour In India
DOWNLOAD
Author : Sanjay Kumar
language : en
Publisher: SAGE Publications Pvt. Limited
Release Date : 2013-04-29
Measuring Voting Behaviour In India written by Sanjay Kumar and has been published by SAGE Publications Pvt. Limited this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-04-29 with Political Science categories.
Measuring Voting Behaviour in India captures the dynamics of multiple methodologies used for measuring voting behavior in India in the past and present. The authors elaborate on various methods that are used for measuring voters' opinions, attitudes, and perceptions. They discuss the advantages and disadvantages of each method to capture the multiplicity of the electoral experience of diverse voters across different settings in India. This they accomplish utilizing their long experience of conducting national- and state-level election surveys in India and by simultaneous studies using different methodologies. The authors trace the tradition of measuring voting behavior in India from a historical perspective, beginning with a constituency-level study of the Poona Lok Sabha constituency in 1967. They move on to discuss in great detail the survey method for measuring voting behavior widely used in the 1990s and even after that. The book introduces to the readers details of conducting election surveys, that is, sampling, questionnaire design, field work and data collection, data entry and analysis, and challenges in estimating vote share based on surveys. It also delves into the various challenges and hurdles in translating vote estimates into seat estimates, with the nature of the political contest varying from one state to another. The book poses the major challenges in measuring the voting behavior of Indian voters and tries to offer possible solutions to meet these challenges.
The Superpollsters
DOWNLOAD
Author : David William Moore
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1992
The Superpollsters written by David William Moore and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992 with Election forecasting categories.
Political pollsters have a tremendous influence on what politicians say and how they say it. Pollsters profiled include Shere Hite, George Gallup, Lou Harris, Pat Caddell, Robert Teeter, Richard Wirthlin and Mervin Field.
Elections And Exit Polling
DOWNLOAD
Author : Fritz J. Scheuren
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2008-06-30
Elections And Exit Polling written by Fritz J. Scheuren and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-06-30 with Mathematics categories.
"An understanding of the relationship between the product and the process in election polling is often lost. This edited volume unites ideas and researchers, with quality playing the central role." —J. Michael Brick, PhD, Director of the Survey Methods Unit, Westat, Inc. Elections and Exit Polling is a truly unique examination of the specialized surveys that are currently used to track and collect data on elections and voter preferences. Employing modern research from the past decade and a series of interviews with famed American pollster Warren Mitofsky (1934-2006), this volume provides a relevant and groundbreaking look at the key statistical techniques and survey methods for measuring voter preferences worldwide. Drawing on the most current studies on pre-election and exit polling, this book outlines improvements that have developed in recent years and the results of their implementation. Coverage begins with an introduction to exit polling and a basic overview of its history, structure, limitations, and applications. Subsequent chapters focus on the use of exit polling in the United States election cycles from 2000–2006 and the problems that were encountered by both pollsters and the everyday voter, such as how to validate official vote count, confidentiality, new voting methods, and continuing data quality concerns. The text goes on to explore the presence of these issues in international politics, with examples and case studies of elections from Europe, Asia, and the Middle East. Finally, looking to the upcoming 2008 U.S. presidential election, the discussion concludes with predictions and recommendations on how to gather more accurate and timely polling data. Research papers from over fifty eminent practitioners in the fields of political science and survey methods are presented alongside excerpts from the editors' own interviews with Mitofsky. The editors also incorporate their own reflections throughout and conclude each chapter with a Summary Observations section that highlights notable concepts and trends. The appendix features sample questionnaires from actual exit polling scenarios and an extensive bibliography directs the reader to additional references for further study. Combining wisdom from one of the most notable names in the field along with findings from modern research and insightful recommendations for future practices, Elections and Exit Polling is an excellent supplement for political science and survey research courses at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. It is also a one-of-a-kind reference for pollsters, survey researchers, statisticians, and anyone with a general interest in the methods behind global elections and exit polling.
Media Election Projections
DOWNLOAD
Author : United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1984
Media Election Projections written by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1984 with Election forecasting categories.
Opinion Polls
DOWNLOAD
Author : Nick Moon
language : en
Publisher: Manchester University Press
Release Date : 1999-06-12
Opinion Polls written by Nick Moon and has been published by Manchester University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999-06-12 with Business & Economics categories.
Challenging received opinion and breaking new ground in Kipling scholarship, these essays on Kipling's attitudes to the First World War, to the culture of Edwardian England, to homosexuality and to Jewishness, bring historical, literary critical and postcolonial approaches to this perennially controversial writer.The Introduction situates the book in the context of Kipling's changing reputation and of recent Kipling scholarship. After the perspectives of Chesterton (1905), Orwell (1942) and Jarrell (1960), newer contributions address Kipling's approach to the Boer war, his involvement with World War One, his Englishness and the politics of literary quotation. Different aspects of Kipling's relation to India are explored, including the 'Mutiny', Eastern religions, his Indian travel writings and his knowledge of 'the vernacular'. This collection, whose contributors include Hugh Brogan, Dan Jacobson, Daniel Karlin and Bryan Cheyette, is essential reading for academics and students of Kipling, Victorian and Edwardian English literature and cultural history.