Everything Is Predictable
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Everything Is Predictable
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Author : TOM CHIVERS
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2025-02-27
Everything Is Predictable written by TOM CHIVERS and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-02-27 with categories.
Everything Is Predictable
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Author : Tom Chivers
language : en
Publisher: Hachette UK
Release Date : 2024-04-25
Everything Is Predictable written by Tom Chivers and has been published by Hachette UK this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-04-25 with Mathematics categories.
Thomas Bayes was an eighteenth-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician whose obscure life belied the profound impact of his work. Like most research into probability at the time, his theorem was mainly seen as relevant to games of chance, like dice and cards. But its implications soon became clear. Bayes' theorem helps explain why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives, causing unnecessary anxiety for patients. A failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. But its influence goes far beyond practical applications. A cornerstone of rational thought, Bayesian principles are used in modelling and forecasting. 'Superforecasters', a group of expert predictors who outperform CIA analysts, use a Bayesian approach. And many argue that Bayes' theorem is not just a useful tool, but a description of almost everything - that it is the underlying architecture of rationality, and of the human brain. Fusing biography, razor-sharp science communication and intellectual history, Everything Is Predictable is a captivating tour of Bayes' theorem and its impact on modern life. From medical testing to artificial intelligence, Tom Chivers shows how a single compelling idea can have far-reaching consequences.
Everything Is Predictable
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Author : Tom Chivers
language : en
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
Release Date : 2024-05-07
Everything Is Predictable written by Tom Chivers and has been published by Simon and Schuster this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-05-07 with Mathematics categories.
A captivating and user-friendly tour of Bayes’s theorem and its global impact on modern life from the acclaimed science writer and author of The Rationalist’s Guide to the Galaxy. At its simplest, Bayes’s theorem describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. But in Everything Is Predictable, Tom Chivers lays out how it affects every aspect of our lives. He explains why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives and how a failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. A cornerstone of rational thought, many argue that Bayes’s theorem is a description of almost everything. But who was the man who lent his name to this theorem? How did an 18th-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician uncover a theorem that would affect fields as diverse as medicine, law, and artificial intelligence? Fusing biography, razor-sharp science writing, and intellectual history, Everything Is Predictable is an entertaining tour of Bayes’s theorem and its impact on modern life, showing how a single compelling idea can have far reaching consequences.
Life Anything But Predictable
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Author : Sri Poorvaja
language : en
Publisher: Blueink
Release Date : 2020-09-29
Life Anything But Predictable written by Sri Poorvaja and has been published by Blueink this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-09-29 with Fiction categories.
This anthology is a record of your past and a tool to guide the future. The co-authors have crafted and packed insightful yet accessible writing prompts to aid people at any stage of their lives in gaining perspective which can highlight unnoticed patterns and act as an encouragement to comprehend the gift of life.
Predictable Success
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Author : Les McKeown
language : en
Publisher: Greenleaf Book Group
Release Date : 2010
Predictable Success written by Les McKeown and has been published by Greenleaf Book Group this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010 with Business & Economics categories.
Presents advice on ways to inspire confidence in management and achieve lasting success in an organization.
The Future Of Everything
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Author : David Orell
language : en
Publisher: Hachette UK
Release Date : 2008-02-26
The Future Of Everything written by David Orell and has been published by Hachette UK this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-02-26 with Science categories.
Hurricane Katrina, the internet stock bubble, disease outbreaks -- are these predictable, preventable events, or are we merely the playthings of chaos? A compelling, irreverent, elegantly written history of our future that addresses the most important issues of our time, Apollo's Arrow examines such questions as: How well can we predict the future? Can past discoveries help us understand tomorrow's weather patterns, or tell us what our financial future will look like? Will scientists ever be able to forecast catastrophes, or will we always be at the mercy of Mother Nature, waiting for the next storm, epidemic, or economic crash to thunder through our lives? David Orrell looks back to show us how past scientists (and some charlatans) predicted the future, and where we are on the path to truly understanding what comes next. He asks how today's scientists can claim to predict future climate events when even three-day forecasts prove a serious challenge. Can we predict and control epidemics? Can we accurately foresee our financial future? Or will we only find out about tomorrow when tomorrow arrives?
Life The Universe And Everything
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Author : Ric Machuga
language : en
Publisher: Lutterworth Press
Release Date : 2012-03-29
Life The Universe And Everything written by Ric Machuga and has been published by Lutterworth Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-03-29 with Philosophy categories.
No philosophical idea, no matter how small, can live alone. Ideas always gain their force, power, and life from their surroundings - their ecosystem. The ecosystem of ideas defended in this book comes from the ancient Greek philosopher Aristotle and his medieval interpreter, Thomas Aquinas. The ongoing relevance of their philosophical thought to twenty-first century issues is opened up in fascinating ways in this book. Life, the Universe, and Everything is the product of thirty years of teaching introductory courses in philosophy. Assuming no prior background, it only requires of readers an enquiring mind and a willingness to think carefully. An ideal guide to the big questions we face.
Belonging
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Author : Paul Carlo
language : en
Publisher: Xlibris Corporation
Release Date : 2019-03-31
Belonging written by Paul Carlo and has been published by Xlibris Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-03-31 with Reference categories.
Personal connections that leave people feeling a sense of being cared about and valued, with a true sense of belonging and being wanted, is something most of us include when listing the kinds of things that lead to feeling happy and fulfilled. Yet many of us don’t have the kinds of close relationships that leave us feeling deeply cared about and understood. Dr. Carlo has created this book with the intention of empowering others to understand how to enrich their lives in ways that will result in their feeling more confident in their social experiences, comfortable, safe, and loved.
How Nature Works
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Author : Per Bak
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-11-11
How Nature Works written by Per Bak and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-11-11 with Mathematics categories.
Self-organized criticality, the spontaneous development of systems to a critical state, is the first general theory of complex systems with a firm mathematical basis. This theory describes how many seemingly desperate aspects of the world, from stock market crashes to mass extinctions, avalanches to solar flares, all share a set of simple, easily described properties. "...a'must read'...Bak writes with such ease and lucidity, and his ideas are so intriguing...essential reading for those interested in complex systems...it will reward a sufficiently skeptical reader." -NATURE "...presents the theory (self-organized criticality) in a form easily absorbed by the non-mathematically inclined reader." -BOSTON BOOK REVIEW "I picture Bak as a kind of scientific musketeer; flamboyant, touchy, full of swagger and ready to join every fray... His book is written with panache. The style is brisk, the content stimulating. I recommend it as a bracing experience." -NEW SCIENTIST
First Time For Everything
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Author : Henry Fry
language : en
Publisher: Hachette UK
Release Date : 2022-05-10
First Time For Everything written by Henry Fry and has been published by Hachette UK this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-05-10 with Fiction categories.
'Funny, touching and fabulous... a little slice of queer joy' Julie Cohen, author of Together 'Hilarious, tender, raw, and heart-stoppingly moving' Amanda Eyre Ward, author of The Jetsetters 'Properly laugh-out-loud, bitingly funny' Laura Kay, author of Tell Me Everything *Don't miss the unflinchingly honest, wickedly funny debut from Henry Fry - out now!* Danny Scudd is absolutely fine. At twenty-seven his life isn't exactly awful - he's escaped his parents' tiny fish and chip shop for a 'proper' writing job in London, his beloved collection of house plants are thriving and he's just celebrated his first anniversary with his boyfriend Tobbs. But Danny's life is thrown into chaos when he discovers at an STI clinic that Tobbs might be cheating on him. And then he - and his plants - are unceremoniously evicted from his London flat. So, he's forced to move in with his best friend Jacob, a flamboyant non-binary artiste who Danny's known since childhood, and their eccentric group of friends in East London. For the first time, and with the help of his inscrutable therapist and colourful new housemates, Danny realises how little he knows about himself - and slowly starts to question whether he is fine after all... An honest, hilarious and wickedly smart drama comedy about a young, shy, gay man who's made it through life by not really interacting with his sexuality. Perfect for fans of Ghosts by Dolly Alderton, Insatiable by Daisy Buchanan and How Do You Like Me Now? by Holly Bourne.