Exchange Rate Forecasting
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Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques And Applications
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Author : I. Moosa
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2016-02-05
Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques And Applications written by I. Moosa and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-02-05 with Business & Economics categories.
Forecasting exchange rates is a variable that preoccupies economists, businesses and governments, being more critical to more people than any other variable. In Exchange Rate Forecasting the author sets out to provide a concise survey of the techniques of forecasting - bringing together the various forecasting methods and applying them to the exchange rate in a highly accessible and readable manner. Highly practical in approach, the book provides an understanding of the techniques of forecasting with an emphasis on its applications and use in business decision-making, such as hedging, speculation, investment, financing and capital budgeting. In addition, the author also considers recent developments in the field, notably neural networks and chaos, again, with easy-to-understand explanations of these "rocket science" areas. The practical approach to forecasting is also reflected in the number of examples that pepper the text, whilst descriptions of some of the software packages that are used in practice to generate forecasts are also provided.
Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques Survey Data And Implications For The Foreign Exchange Market
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Author : International Monetary Fund
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1990-05-01
Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques Survey Data And Implications For The Foreign Exchange Market written by International Monetary Fund and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990-05-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper examines the dynamics of the foreign exchange market. The first half addresses a number of key questions regarding the forecasts of future exchange rates made by market participants, by means of updated estimates using survey data. Here we follow most of the theoretical and empirical literature in acting as if all market participants share the same expectation. The second half then addresses the possibility of heterogeneous expectations, particularly the distinction between “chartists” and “fundamentalists,” and the implications for trading in the foreign exchange market and for the formation of speculative bubbles.
Currency Forecasting
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Author : Michael Roy Rosenberg
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1996
Currency Forecasting written by Michael Roy Rosenberg and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1996 with Business & Economics categories.
This text explains the methods and aspects of exchange rate forecasting, including purchasing power, parity, interest rate differentials and technical analysis. Guidelines for reducing risk with forecasting strategies are included, as are techniques for co
Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasting With Artificial Neural Networks
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Author : Lean Yu
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2010-02-26
Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasting With Artificial Neural Networks written by Lean Yu and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-02-26 with Business & Economics categories.
This book focuses on forecasting foreign exchange rates via artificial neural networks (ANNs), creating and applying the highly useful computational techniques of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) to foreign-exchange rate forecasting. The result is an up-to-date review of the most recent research developments in forecasting foreign exchange rates coupled with a highly useful methodological approach to predicting rate changes in foreign currency exchanges.
Exchange Rate Determination
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Author : Michael Rosenberg
language : en
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
Release Date : 2003-05-19
Exchange Rate Determination written by Michael Rosenberg and has been published by McGraw Hill Professional this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-05-19 with Business & Economics categories.
Models and Strategies for Exchange Rate ForecastingMichael R. RosenbergGetting an accurate exchange rate is critical for any company doing business in today's global economy. Exchange Rate Determination--written by the number one-ranked foreign exchange team in the world--examines the methods used to accurately and profitably forecast foreign exchange rates. This hands-on guidebook uses extensive charts and tables to examine currency option markets, productivity trends and exchange rates; technical analysis methods to improve currency forecasting accuracy; and more.
Renminbi Exchange Rate Forecasting
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Author : Yunjie Wei
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2021-05-10
Renminbi Exchange Rate Forecasting written by Yunjie Wei and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-05-10 with Business & Economics categories.
With the internationalization of Renminbi (RMB), the gradual liberalization of China's capital account and the recent reform of the RMB pricing mechanism, the RMB exchange rate has been volatile. This book examines how we can forecast exchange rate reliably. It explains how we can do so through a new methodology for exchange rate forecasting. The book also analyzes the dynamic relationship between exchange rate and the exchange rate data decomposition and integration, the domestic economic situation, the international economic situation and the public’s expectations and how these interactions would affect the exchange rate. The book also explains why this comprehensive integrated approach is the best model for optimizing accuracy in exchange rate forecasting.
Exchange Rate Forecasting
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Author : Jon Faust
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2003
Exchange Rate Forecasting written by Jon Faust and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003 with categories.
We examine the forecasting performance of standard macro models of exchange rates in real time, using dozens of different vintages of the OECDs Main Economic Indicators database. We calculate out-of-sample forecasts as they would have been made at the time, and compare them to a random walk alternative. The resulting "time series" of forecast performance indicates that both data revisions and changes in the sample period typically have large effects on exchange rate predictability. We show that the favorable evidence of long-horizon exchange rate predictability for the DM and Yen in Mark (1995) is present in only a narrow two-year window of data vintages around that used by Mark. In addition, approximately one-third of the improved forecasting performance of Mark's monetary model over a random walk is eventually undone by data revisions. Related to this, we find the models consistently perform better using original release data than using fully revised data. Finally, we find that model-based exchange rate forecasts are sometimes better when using Federal Reserve Staff forecasts of future fundamentals instead of actual future values of fundamentals. This contradicts a cherished presumption in the literature that dates all the way back to Meese and Rogoff (1983).
Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques Survey Data And Implications For The Foreign Exchange Market
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Author : Jeffrey A. Frankel
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1991
Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques Survey Data And Implications For The Foreign Exchange Market written by Jeffrey A. Frankel and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991 with Foreign exchange categories.
Medium Term Exchange Rate Forecasting
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Author : Mr.Guy Meredith
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2003-01-01
Medium Term Exchange Rate Forecasting written by Mr.Guy Meredith and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-01-01 with Business & Economics categories.
The medium-term predictability of exchange rate movements is examined using three models of fundamentals: purchasing power parity, the monetary model, and uncovered interest parity. While the first two approaches yield favorable in-sample results, these largely reflect finite-sample estimation biases. Adjusting for these biases, there is little evidence of predictability, consistent with the lack of systematic improvement in out-of-sample forecasting performance relative to a random walk. Uncovered interest parity fares better at long horizons, but reflects information already embodied in market prices; in this sense, it may not be useful as an indicator of exchange rate misalignment. While more elaborate models of fundamentals might have better medium-term forecasting properties, careful attention must be paid to finite-sample biases in assessing predictability.
Forecasting Foreign Exchange Rates A Pedagogical Note
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Author : Gunter Dufey
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1981
Forecasting Foreign Exchange Rates A Pedagogical Note written by Gunter Dufey and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1981 with categories.