Explaining Foreign Exchange Market Puzzles
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Explaining Foreign Exchange Market Puzzles
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Author : Mr.Norman C. Miller
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1999-03-01
Explaining Foreign Exchange Market Puzzles written by Mr.Norman C. Miller and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999-03-01 with Business & Economics categories.
The paper develops a flow model of the exchange rate with speculative capital flows integrated in a rigorous manner. The model is consistent with five foreign exchange market puzzles: (1) occasional discontinuous jumps in the exchange rate; (2) periodic short-term regimes of persistent appreciation/depreciation that can develop into a long swing; (3) the forward discount bias; (4) volatility clusters in the foreign exchange market that create conditional heteroskedasticity; and (5) the dual profitability of betting in the short run against any official foreign exchange intervention, and betting with the intervention in the long run.
Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle
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Author : Falkmar Butgereit
language : en
Publisher: Diplomica Verlag
Release Date : 2010
Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle written by Falkmar Butgereit and has been published by Diplomica Verlag this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010 with Business & Economics categories.
Still after more than thirty years of free floating exchange rates, large parts of exchange rate dynamics remain a puzzle. As this book shows, much progress has been made in explaining exchange rate movements over longer horizons. It also shows, however, that short-run movements are far more challenging to explain. The book is based upon a variety of papers, many of them released recently. A key aspiration of the literature has always been not only to explain past exchange rate behavior but also to forecast out of sample and to compare it to the simple random walk outcome. Here some development has been made after Meese and Rogoff's (1983) truculent verdict of the performance of common exchange rate models. By means of empirical analysis and descriptive statistics this book further supports the established long-run relationships between exchange rates and fundamentals such as expected productivity growth, real GDP growth, domestic investment, interest rates, inflation, government spending, and current account balances. It finds that these fundamentals affect the exchange rate to varying degrees over time. Turning to short-term exchange rate dynamics, it turns out that a different set of forces is at play. The key to explaining short-run movements is to be found in an extensive micro-foundation that factors in a pronounced heterogeneity among market participants and information asymmetries, as well as the possibility of sudden shifts in sentiment, beliefs, and the degree of risk aversion. Promising results have been obtained by order-flow analysis and high frequency data. Also, the consideration of chartism and speculators facilitates understanding for otherwise puzzling exchange rate movements. The last attempt to tackle the understanding of exchange rate behavior is the use of frequency domain analysis and in particular spectral analysis which tries to track down any cyclical patterns in the various moments of time series. And as we shall see forex indeed incorpor
The Complete Idiot S Mini Guide To Demystifying The Foreignexchange Market
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Author : Gregory Rehmke
language : en
Publisher: Dorling Kindersley Ltd
Release Date : 2010-11-02
The Complete Idiot S Mini Guide To Demystifying The Foreignexchange Market written by Gregory Rehmke and has been published by Dorling Kindersley Ltd this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-11-02 with Business & Economics categories.
When Wall Street stubs a toe, markets around the world say "ouch!" But exactly how the foreign exchange market works is a mystery that can give you a migraine.Come out from the covers! The Complete Idiot's Mini Guide to Demystfying the Foreign Exchange Market provides the grounding you need to grasp this confusing aspect of the global economy. In it you get: *The foreign exchange market explained. *How market forces and exchange rates are determined. *Supply, demand, and equilibrium. *Speculating on exchange.
Foreign Exchange Queues Informal Traders And A Zero Premium In The Black Market
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Author : Mr.Jan-Peter Olters
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1999-08-01
Foreign Exchange Queues Informal Traders And A Zero Premium In The Black Market written by Mr.Jan-Peter Olters and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999-08-01 with Business & Economics categories.
During 1996–98, several indicators hinted at the apparent unsustainability of Cape Verde’s exchange rate peg. The country, faced with a considerable backlog of approved but unmet applications for foreign currencies, tolerated a parallel market. Street traders, however, demanded only negligible premiums (if any at all) for foreign exchange. By integrating the emigrants’ transfer decisions into a basic Mundell-Fleming-type model, the author conjectures that this puzzle can be explained with the increasing use of transfer channels outside the banking system, leading to unrecorded inflows of foreign exchange. Analysis of the relevant balance of payments data appears to support this result.
Understanding The Forward Premium Puzzle
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Author : Craig Burnside
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2007
Understanding The Forward Premium Puzzle written by Craig Burnside and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with Currency question categories.
High-interest-rate currencies tend to appreciate relative to low-interest-rate currencies. We argue that adverse-selection problems between participants in foreign exchange markets can account for this 'forward premium puzzle.' The key feature of our model is that the adverse selection problem facing market makers is worse when, based on public information, a currency is expected to appreciate.
The International Diversification Puzzle When Goods Prices Are Sticky
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Author : Mr.Charles Engel
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2009-01-01
The International Diversification Puzzle When Goods Prices Are Sticky written by Mr.Charles Engel and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-01-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper develops a two-country monetary DSGE model in which households choose a portfolio of home and foreign equities, and a forward position in foreign exchange. Some nominal goods prices are sticky. Trade in these assets achieves the same allocations as trade in a complete set of nominal state-contingent claims in our linearized model. When there is a high degree of price stickiness, we show that not much equity diversification is required to replicate the complete-markets equilibrium when agents are able to hedge foreign exchange risk sufficiently. Moreover, temporarily sticky nominal goods prices can have large effects on equity portfolios even when dividend processes are very persistent.
Foreign Currency Trading
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Author : Russell R. Wasendorf
language : en
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
Release Date : 1998
Foreign Currency Trading written by Russell R. Wasendorf and has been published by McGraw Hill Professional this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998 with Business & Economics categories.
In Foreign Currency Trading, financial executives Russell Wasendorf, Sr., and Russell Wasendorf, Jr., describe foreign currency trading in plain terms, helping you understand the risks, benefits, and operational requirements that you will need to know to take advantage of this market's tremendous potential. From Chapter 1 - Understanding the Language of Foreign Currency Trading, through Chapter 9 - The Sensitive Question of Risk, Risk, Risk, Foreign Currency Trading is your guidebook to completely understanding and profiting from this influential global marketplace.
Exchange Rate Dynamics
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Author : Martin D. D. Evans
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2011-03-14
Exchange Rate Dynamics written by Martin D. D. Evans and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-03-14 with Business & Economics categories.
A comprehensive and in-depth look at exchange-rate dynamics Variations in the foreign exchange market influence all aspects of the world economy, and understanding these dynamics is one of the great challenges of international economics. This book provides a new, comprehensive, and in-depth examination of the standard theories and latest research in exchange-rate economics. Covering a vast swath of theoretical and empirical work, the book explores established theories of exchange-rate determination using macroeconomic fundamentals, and presents unique microbased approaches that combine the insights of microstructure models with the macroeconomic forces driving currency trading. Macroeconomic models have long assumed that agents—households, firms, financial institutions, and central banks—all have the same information about the structure of the economy and therefore hold the same expectations and uncertainties regarding foreign currency returns. Microbased models, however, look at how heterogeneous information influences the trading decisions of agents and becomes embedded in exchange rates. Replicating key features of actual currency markets, these microbased models generate a rich array of empirical predictions concerning trading patterns and exchange-rate dynamics that are strongly supported by data. The models also show how changing macroeconomic conditions exert an influence on short-term exchange-rate dynamics via their impact on currency trading. Designed for graduate courses in international macroeconomics, international finance, and finance, and as a go-to reference for researchers in international economics, Exchange-Rate Dynamics guides readers through a range of literature on exchange-rate determination, offering fresh insights for further reading and research. Comprehensive and in-depth examination of the latest research in exchange-rate economics Outlines theoretical and empirical research across the spectrum of modeling approaches Presents new results on the importance of currency trading in exchange-rate determination Provides new perspectives on long-standing puzzles in exchange-rate economics End-of-chapter questions cement key ideas
Foreign Exchange Markets
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Author : Brian Coyle
language : en
Publisher: Global Professional Publishi
Release Date : 2000
Foreign Exchange Markets written by Brian Coyle and has been published by Global Professional Publishi this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000 with Business & Economics categories.
� Fully updated version of text formerly used for training by BPP � Diagrammatic representation of deal structures, pricing, and modeling � Full glossary of terms � International perspective, examples in US$ � Clear logical explanation of processes, markets, and products From the Currency Risk Management section (6 titles) of the Risk Management series. International trade creates a need for buying, selling, or borrowing foreign currencies. This book describes the buying, selling, depositing, borrowing, and lending of foreign currency. It begins by explaining how the foreign exchange markets are structured and proceeds to examine spot transactions and forward exchange contracts. Finally it explains swaps transactions and short-dated forward transaction. This expansive new range of risk management texts has undergone extensive re-writing to give each book in the series an international perspective. Each explains and analyses core aspects of risk assessment and management in a way invaluable to students and useful to practitioners. All of these titles adopt a practical and clear approach to their subject. All are fully updated versions of a series of books previously produced by training experts at BPP.
Uncovered Interest Parity And Carry Trades
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Author : Torsten Abendroth
language : en
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Release Date : 2017-01-18
Uncovered Interest Parity And Carry Trades written by Torsten Abendroth and has been published by GRIN Verlag this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-01-18 with Business & Economics categories.
Master's Thesis from the year 2016 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,0, University of Frankfurt (Main) (Goethe Business School), language: English, abstract: The aim of this thesis is to test UIP by implementing an OLS regression analysis for five currency pairs which, according to CFTC data, global turnover data and carry-to-risk ratios, were among the most popular in the investor community. To increase the significance of this thesis for practitioners, the work will use one-month forward contracts which are used frequently by investors and include bid and ask rates in order to account for transaction costs. In addition, all currency pairs include the US Dollar for reasons of better liquidity, and therefore tighter bid-ask spreads. Moreover, this thesis will present recent findings in literature which try to explain deviations from UIP. Approaches can be separated by the focus on a risk premium, by irrational market behavior or by learning problems and market inefficiency. While most focus is laid on an explanation by a risk premium, it will be shown that it is crucial to combine the different scientific disciplines in order to solve the forward premium puzzle. In addition to this, the thesis will provide an outlook on the future attractiveness of carry trade strategies.