Extreme Value Theory For Time Series
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Heavy Tailed Time Series
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Author : Rafal Kulik
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2020-08-13
Heavy Tailed Time Series written by Rafal Kulik and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-08-13 with Mathematics categories.
This book aims to present a comprehensive, self-contained, and concise overview of extreme value theory for time series, incorporating the latest research trends alongside classical methodology. Appropriate for graduate coursework or professional reference, the book requires a background in extreme value theory for i.i.d. data and basics of time series. Following a brief review of foundational concepts, it progresses linearly through topics in limit theorems and time series models while including historical insights at each chapter’s conclusion. Additionally, the book incorporates complete proofs and exercises with solutions as well as substantive reference lists and appendices, featuring a novel commentary on the theory of vague convergence.
Extreme Value Theory For Time Series
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Author : Thomas Mikosch
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2024-08-02
Extreme Value Theory For Time Series written by Thomas Mikosch and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-08-02 with Mathematics categories.
This book deals with extreme value theory for univariate and multivariate time series models characterized by power-law tails. These include the classical ARMA models with heavy-tailed noise and financial econometrics models such as the GARCH and stochastic volatility models. Rigorous descriptions of power-law tails are provided through the concept of regular variation. Several chapters are devoted to the exploration of regularly varying structures. The remaining chapters focus on the impact of heavy tails on time series, including the study of extremal cluster phenomena through point process techniques. A major part of the book investigates how extremal dependence alters the limit structure of sample means, maxima, order statistics, sample autocorrelations. This text illuminates the theory through hundreds of examples and as many graphs showcasing its applications to real-life financial and simulated data. The book can serve as a text for PhD and Master courses on applied probability, extreme value theory, and time series analysis. It is a unique reference source for the heavy-tail modeler. Its reference quality is enhanced by an exhaustive bibliography, annotated by notes and comments making the book broadly and easily accessible.
Climate Time Series Analysis
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Author : Manfred Mudelsee
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2010-08-26
Climate Time Series Analysis written by Manfred Mudelsee and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-08-26 with Science categories.
Climate is a paradigm of a complex system. Analysing climate data is an exciting challenge, which is increased by non-normal distributional shape, serial dependence, uneven spacing and timescale uncertainties. This book presents bootstrap resampling as a computing-intensive method able to meet the challenge. It shows the bootstrap to perform reliably in the most important statistical estimation techniques: regression, spectral analysis, extreme values and correlation. This book is written for climatologists and applied statisticians. It explains step by step the bootstrap algorithms (including novel adaptions) and methods for confidence interval construction. It tests the accuracy of the algorithms by means of Monte Carlo experiments. It analyses a large array of climate time series, giving a detailed account on the data and the associated climatological questions. This makes the book self-contained for graduate students and researchers.
Extreme Value Theory
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Author : Laurens de Haan
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2007-12-09
Extreme Value Theory written by Laurens de Haan and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-12-09 with Mathematics categories.
Extreme Value Theory offers a careful, coherent exposition of the subject starting from the probabilistic and mathematical foundations and proceeding to the statistical theory. The book covers both the classical one-dimensional case as well as finite- and infinite-dimensional settings. All the main topics at the heart of the subject are introduced in a systematic fashion so that in the final chapter even the most recent developments in the theory can be understood. The treatment is geared toward applications. The presentation concentrates on the probabilistic and statistical aspects of extreme values such as limiting results, domains of attraction and development of estimators without emphasizing related topics such as point processes, empirical distribution functions and Brownian motion. An appendix on regular variation has been added since some required results in that area are not available in book form. The usefulness of the statistical theory is shown by treating several case studies in detail. The book is a thorough, accessible, self-contained, graduate level treatment of modern extreme value theory and some of its applications. It is aimed at graduate students and researchers and requires only maturity in mathematics and statistics.
An Introduction To Statistical Modeling Of Extreme Values
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Author : Stuart Coles
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-11-27
An Introduction To Statistical Modeling Of Extreme Values written by Stuart Coles and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-11-27 with Mathematics categories.
Directly oriented towards real practical application, this book develops both the basic theoretical framework of extreme value models and the statistical inferential techniques for using these models in practice. Intended for statisticians and non-statisticians alike, the theoretical treatment is elementary, with heuristics often replacing detailed mathematical proof. Most aspects of extreme modeling techniques are covered, including historical techniques (still widely used) and contemporary techniques based on point process models. A wide range of worked examples, using genuine datasets, illustrate the various modeling procedures and a concluding chapter provides a brief introduction to a number of more advanced topics, including Bayesian inference and spatial extremes. All the computations are carried out using S-PLUS, and the corresponding datasets and functions are available via the Internet for readers to recreate examples for themselves. An essential reference for students and researchers in statistics and disciplines such as engineering, finance and environmental science, this book will also appeal to practitioners looking for practical help in solving real problems. Stuart Coles is Reader in Statistics at the University of Bristol, UK, having previously lectured at the universities of Nottingham and Lancaster. In 1992 he was the first recipient of the Royal Statistical Society's research prize. He has published widely in the statistical literature, principally in the area of extreme value modeling.
Statistics Of Extremes
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Author : Jan Beirlant
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2004-10-15
Statistics Of Extremes written by Jan Beirlant and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004-10-15 with Mathematics categories.
Research in the statistical analysis of extreme values has flourished over the past decade: new probability models, inference and data analysis techniques have been introduced; and new application areas have been explored. Statistics of Extremes comprehensively covers a wide range of models and application areas, including risk and insurance: a major area of interest and relevance to extreme value theory. Case studies are introduced providing a good balance of theory and application of each model discussed, incorporating many illustrated examples and plots of data. The last part of the book covers some interesting advanced topics, including time series, regression, multivariate and Bayesian modelling of extremes, the use of which has huge potential.
Extreme Value Theory And Applications
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Author : J. Galambos
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-12-01
Extreme Value Theory And Applications written by J. Galambos and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-12-01 with Mathematics categories.
It appears that we live in an age of disasters: the mighty Missis sippi and Missouri flood millions of acres, earthquakes hit Tokyo and California, airplanes crash due to mechanical failure and the seemingly ever increasing wind speeds make the storms more and more frightening. While all these may seem to be unexpected phenomena to the man on the street, they are actually happening according to well defined rules of science known as extreme value theory. We know that records must be broken in the future, so if a flood design is based on the worst case of the past then we are not really prepared against floods. Materials will fail due to fatigue, so if the body of an aircraft looks fine to the naked eye, it might still suddenly fail if the aircraft has been in operation over an extended period of time. Our theory has by now penetrated the so cial sciences, the medical profession, economics and even astronomy. We believe that our field has come of age. In or~er to fully utilize the great progress in the theory of extremes and its ever increasing acceptance in practice, an international conference was organized in which equal weight was given to theory and practice. This book is Volume I of the Proceedings of this conference. In selecting the papers for Volume lour guide was to have authoritative works with a large variety of coverage of both theory and practice.
Extreme Value Theory With Applications To Natural Hazards
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Author : Nicolas Bousquet
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2021-10-09
Extreme Value Theory With Applications To Natural Hazards written by Nicolas Bousquet and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-10-09 with Mathematics categories.
This richly illustrated book describes statistical extreme value theory for the quantification of natural hazards, such as strong winds, floods and rainfall, and discusses an interdisciplinary approach to allow the theoretical methods to be applied. The approach consists of a number of steps: data selection and correction, non-stationary theory (to account for trends due to climate change), and selecting appropriate estimation techniques based on both decision-theoretic features (e.g., Bayesian theory), empirical robustness and a valid treatment of uncertainties. It also examines and critically reviews alternative approaches based on stochastic and dynamic numerical models, as well as recently emerging data analysis issues and presents large-scale, multidisciplinary, state-of-the-art case studies. Intended for all those with a basic knowledge of statistical methods interested in the quantification of natural hazards, the book is also a valuable resource for engineers conducting risk analyses in collaboration with scientists from other fields (such as hydrologists, meteorologists, climatologists).
Extreme Value Distributions
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Author : Samuel Kotz
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2000
Extreme Value Distributions written by Samuel Kotz and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000 with Mathematics categories.
This important book provides an up-to-date comprehensive and down-to-earth survey of the theory and practice of extreme value distributions OCo one of the most prominent success stories of modern applied probability and statistics. Originated by E J Gumbel in the early forties as a tool for predicting floods, extreme value distributions evolved during the last 50 years into a coherent theory with applications in practically all fields of human endeavor where maximal or minimal values (the so-called extremes) are of relevance. The book is of usefulness both for a beginner with a limited probabilistic background and to expert in the field. Sample Chapter(s). Chapter 1.1: Historical Survey (139 KB). Chapter 1.2: The Three Types of Extreme Value Distributions (146 KB). Chapter 1.3: Limiting Distributions and Domain of Attraction (210 KB). Chapter 1.4: Distribution Function and Moments of Type 1 Distribution (160 KB). Chapter 1.5: Order Statistics, Record Values and Characterizations (175 KB). Contents: Univariate Extreme Value Distributions; Generalized Extreme Value Distributions; Multivariate Extreme Value Distributions. Readership: Applied probabilists, applied statisticians, environmental scientists, climatologists, industrial engineers and management experts."
Extreme Value Methods With Applications To Finance
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Author : Serguei Y. Novak
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2011-12-20
Extreme Value Methods With Applications To Finance written by Serguei Y. Novak and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-12-20 with Mathematics categories.
Extreme value theory (EVT) deals with extreme (rare) events, which are sometimes reported as outliers. Certain textbooks encourage readers to remove outliers—in other words, to correct reality if it does not fit the model. Recognizing that any model is only an approximation of reality, statisticians are eager to extract information about unknown distribution making as few assumptions as possible. Extreme Value Methods with Applications to Finance concentrates on modern topics in EVT, such as processes of exceedances, compound Poisson approximation, Poisson cluster approximation, and nonparametric estimation methods. These topics have not been fully focused on in other books on extremes. In addition, the book covers: Extremes in samples of random size Methods of estimating extreme quantiles and tail probabilities Self-normalized sums of random variables Measures of market risk Along with examples from finance and insurance to illustrate the methods, Extreme Value Methods with Applications to Finance includes over 200 exercises, making it useful as a reference book, self-study tool, or comprehensive course text. A systematic background to a rapidly growing branch of modern Probability and Statistics: extreme value theory for stationary sequences of random variables.