Financial Deepening Terms Of Trade Shocks And Growth Volatility In Low Income Countries
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Financial Deepening Terms Of Trade Shocks And Growth Volatility In Low Income Countries
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Author : Mr.Kangni R Kpodar
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2019-03-25
Financial Deepening Terms Of Trade Shocks And Growth Volatility In Low Income Countries written by Mr.Kangni R Kpodar and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-03-25 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper contributes to the literature by looking at the possible relevance of the structure of the financial system—whether financial intermediation is performed through banks or markets—for macroeconomic volatility, against the backdrop of increased policy attention on strengthening growth resilience. With low-income countries (LICs) being the most vulnerable to large and frequent terms of trade shocks, the paper focuses on a sample of 38 LICs over the period 1978-2012 and finds that banking sector development acts as a shock-absorber in poor countries, dampening the transmission of terms of trade shocks to growth volatility. Expanding the sample to 121 developing countries confirms this result, although this role of shock-absorber fades away as economies grow richer. Stock market development, by contrast, appears neither to be a shock-absorber nor a shock-amplifier for most economies. These findings are consistent across a range of econometric estimators, including fixed effect, system GMM and local projection estimates.
Revisiting The Link Between Finance And Macroeconomic Volatility
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Author : Ms.Era Dabla-Norris
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2013-01-30
Revisiting The Link Between Finance And Macroeconomic Volatility written by Ms.Era Dabla-Norris and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-01-30 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper examines the impact of financial depth on macroeconomic volatility using a dynamic panel analysis for 110 advanced and developing countries. We find that financial depth plays a significant role in dampening the volatility of output, consumption, and investment growth, but only up to a certain point. At very high levels, such as those observed in many advanced economies, financial depth amplifies consumption and investment volatility. We also find strong evidence that deeper financial systems serve as shock absorbers, mitigating the negative effects of real external shocks on macroeconomic volatility. This smoothing effect is particularly pronounced for consumption volatility in environments of high exposure - when trade and financial openness are high - suggesting significant gains from further financial deepening in developing countries.
Financial Intermediary Development And Growth Volatility
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Author : Thorsten Beck
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 2001
Financial Intermediary Development And Growth Volatility written by Thorsten Beck and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001 with Banks and banking categories.
Panel data for 63 countries in 1960-97 reveal no robust relationship between the development of financial intermediaries and the volatility of growth.
Financial Intermediary Development And Growth Volatility
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Author : Thorsten Beck
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2016
Financial Intermediary Development And Growth Volatility written by Thorsten Beck and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016 with categories.
Panel data for 63 countries in 1960-97 reveal no robust relationship between the development of financial intermediaries and the volatility of growth. Beck, Lundberg, and Majnoni extend the recent literature on the link between financial development and economic volatility by focusing on the channels through which the development of financial intermediaries affects economic volatility. Their theoretical model predicts that well-developed financial intermediaries dampen the effect of real sector shocks on the volatility of growth while magnifying the effect of monetary shocks - suggesting that, overall, financial intermediaries have no unambiguous effect on growth volatility.The authors test these predictions in a panel data set covering 63 countries over the period 1960-97, using the volatility of terms of trade to proxy for real volatility, and the volatility of inflation to proxy for monetary volatility. They find no robust relationship between the development of financial intermediaries and growth volatility, weak evidence that financial intermediaries dampen the effect of terms of trade volatility, and evidence that financial intermediaries magnify the impact of inflation volatility in low- and middle-income countries.This paper - a product of Finance, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to understand the links between the financial system and economic growth.
Does Openness Imply Greater Exposure
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Author : César Calderón
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 2005
Does Openness Imply Greater Exposure written by César Calderón and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Economic development categories.
External exposure can be measured by the sensitivity of first and second moments of economic growth to openness and foreign shocks. This paper provides an empirical evaluation of external exposure using panel data methods for a worldwide sample of countries. Controlling for domestic conditions, the paper examines the growth and volatility effects of outcome measures of trade and financial integration, as well as four types of foreign shocks: terms of trade changes, trading partners' growth rates, international real interest rate changes, and net regional capital inflows. The paper analyzes the possibility of nonlinearities by allowing the growth and volatility effects of openness to vary with the general level of economic development and by letting the effects of foreign shocks depend on the degree of trade and financial integration. The findings point toward strong non-monotonic effects of openness and external shocks on growth and volatility. Moreover, all in all, the results contradict the view that international integration increases external vulnerability by hurting growth and increasing volatility or by amplifying the adverse effect of external shocks.
Financial Integration And Macroeconomic Volatility
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Author : Mr.Ayhan Kose
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2003-03-01
Financial Integration And Macroeconomic Volatility written by Mr.Ayhan Kose and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-03-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper examines the impact of international financial integration on macroeconomic volatility in a large group of industrial and developing economies over the period 1960-99. We report two major results: First, while the volatility of output growth has, on average, declined in the 1990s relative to the three preceding decades, we also document that, on average, the volatility of consumption growth relative to that of income growth has increased for more financially integrated developing economies in the 1990s. Second, increasing financial openness is associated with rising relative volatility of consumption, but only up to a certain threshold. The benefits of financial integration in terms of improved risk-sharing and consumption-smoothing possibilities appear to accrue only beyond this threshold.
Macroeconomic Volatility Institutions And Financial Architectures
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Author : J. Fanelli
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2008-01-17
Macroeconomic Volatility Institutions And Financial Architectures written by J. Fanelli and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-01-17 with Business & Economics categories.
The deregulation of domestic financial markets and the capital account in developing countries has frequently been associated with financial turmoil and macro volatility. The book analyzes the experiences of several countries, drawing implications for building development-friendly domestic and international financial architectures.
Financial Deepening Terms Of Trade Shocks And Growth Volatility In Low Income Countries
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FREE 30 Days
Author : Mr.Kangni R Kpodar
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2019-03-25
Financial Deepening Terms Of Trade Shocks And Growth Volatility In Low Income Countries written by Mr.Kangni R Kpodar and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-03-25 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper contributes to the literature by looking at the possible relevance of the structure of the financial system—whether financial intermediation is performed through banks or markets—for macroeconomic volatility, against the backdrop of increased policy attention on strengthening growth resilience. With low-income countries (LICs) being the most vulnerable to large and frequent terms of trade shocks, the paper focuses on a sample of 38 LICs over the period 1978-2012 and finds that banking sector development acts as a shock-absorber in poor countries, dampening the transmission of terms of trade shocks to growth volatility. Expanding the sample to 121 developing countries confirms this result, although this role of shock-absorber fades away as economies grow richer. Stock market development, by contrast, appears neither to be a shock-absorber nor a shock-amplifier for most economies. These findings are consistent across a range of econometric estimators, including fixed effect, system GMM and local projection estimates.
Commodity Price Volatility And Inclusive Growth In Low Income Countries
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Author : Mr.Rabah Arezki
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2012-10-24
Commodity Price Volatility And Inclusive Growth In Low Income Countries written by Mr.Rabah Arezki and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-10-24 with Business & Economics categories.
In the years following the global financial crisis, many low-income countries experienced rapid recovery and strong economic growth. However, many are now facing enormous difficulties because of rapidly rising food and fuel prices, with the threat of millions of people being pushed into poverty around the globe. The risk of continued food price volatility is a systemic challenge, and a failure in one country has been shown to have a profound impact on entire regions. This volume addresses the challenges of commodity price volatility for low-income countries and explores some macroeconomic policy options for responding to commodity price shocks. The book then looks at inclusive growth policies to address inequality in commodity-exporting countries, particularly natural resource rich countries. Perspectives from the Middle East and North Africa, sub-Saharan Africa, emerging Asia, and Mexico are presented and, finally, the role of the international donor community is examined. This volume is a must read for policymakers everywhere, from those in advanced, donor countries to those in countries with the poorest and most vulnerable populations.
Annual World Bank Conference On Development Economics 2000
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Author : Boris Pleskovic
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 2001
Annual World Bank Conference On Development Economics 2000 written by Boris Pleskovic and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001 with Political Science categories.
Annotation This 12th Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics focuses mainly on four areas: new development thinking, crises and recovery, corporate governance and restructuring, and social security including public and private savings.