Forecasting In Financial And Sports Gambling Markets
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Forecasting In Financial And Sports Gambling Markets
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Author : William S. Mallios
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2011-03-29
Forecasting In Financial And Sports Gambling Markets written by William S. Mallios and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-03-29 with Mathematics categories.
A guide to modeling analyses for financial and sports gamblingmarkets, with a focus on major current events Addressing the highly competitive and risky environments ofcurrent-day financial and sports gambling markets, Forecasting inFinancial and Sports Gambling Markets details the dynamic processof constructing effective forecasting rules based on both graphicalpatterns and adaptive drift modeling (ADM) of cointegrated timeseries. The book uniquely identifies periods of inefficiency thatthese markets oscillate through and develops profitable forecastingmodels that capitalize on irrational behavior exhibited duringthese periods. Providing valuable insights based on the author's firsthandexperience, this book utilizes simple, yet unique, candlestickcharts to identify optimal time periods in financial markets andoptimal games in sports gambling markets for which forecastingmodels are likely to provide profitable trading and wageringoutcomes. Featuring detailed examples that utilize actual data, thebook addresses various topics that promote financial andmathematical literacy, including: Higher order ARMA processes in financial markets The effects of gambling shocks in sports gambling markets Cointegrated time series with model drift Modeling volatility Throughout the book, interesting real-world applications arepresented, and numerous graphical procedures illustrate favorabletrading and betting opportunities, which are accompanied bymathematical developments in adaptive model forecasting and riskassessment. A related web site features updated reviews in sportsand financial forecasting and various links on the topic. Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets is anexcellent book for courses on financial economics and time seriesanalysis at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. The bookis also a valuable reference for researchers and practitionersworking in the areas of retail markets, quant funds, hedge funds,and time series. Also, anyone with a general interest in learningabout how to profit from the financial and sports gambling marketswill find this book to be a valuable resource.
The Analysis Of Sports Forecasting
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Author : William S. Mallios
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-03-09
The Analysis Of Sports Forecasting written by William S. Mallios and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-03-09 with Business & Economics categories.
Given the magnitude of currency speculation and sports gambling, it is surprising that the literature contains mostly negative forecasting results. Majority opinion still holds that short term fluctuations in financial markets follow random walk. In this non-random walk through financial and sports gambling markets, parallels are drawn between modeling short term currency movements and modeling outcomes of athletic encounters. The forecasting concepts and methodologies are identical; only the variables change names. If, in fact, these markets are driven by mechanisms of non-random walk, there must be some explanation for the negative forecasting results. The Analysis of Sports Forecasting: Modeling Parallels Between Sports Gambling and Financial Markets examines this issue.
Forecasting In Financial And Sports Gambling Markets
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Author : William S. Mallios
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2011-02-11
Forecasting In Financial And Sports Gambling Markets written by William S. Mallios and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-02-11 with categories.
This print pack contains Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets: Adaptive Drift Modeling + Savage/ Flaw of Averages. Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets: Adaptive Drift Modeling + Savage/ Flaw of Averages
Handbook Of Sports And Lottery Markets
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Author : Donald B. Hausch
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 2011-08-11
Handbook Of Sports And Lottery Markets written by Donald B. Hausch and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-08-11 with Business & Economics categories.
Its basic empirical research and investigation of pure theories of investment in the sports and lottery markets make this volume a winner. These markets are simpler to study than traditional financial markets, and their expected values and outcomes are uncomplicated. By means of new overviews of scholarship on the industry side of racetrack and other betting markets to betting exchanges and market efficiencies, contributors consider a variety of sports in countries around the world. The result is not only superior information about market forecasting, but macro- and micro-analyses that are relevant to other markets. * Easily studied sports markets reveal features relevant for more complex traditional financial markets * Significant coverage of sports from racing to jai alai * New studies of betting exchanges and Internet wagering markets
Information Efficiency In Financial And Betting Markets
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Author : Leighton Vaughan Williams
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2005-09-29
Information Efficiency In Financial And Betting Markets written by Leighton Vaughan Williams and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-09-29 with Business & Economics categories.
The degree to which markets incorporate information is one of the most important questions facing economists today. This book provides a fascinating study of the existence and extent of information efficiency in financial markets, with a special focus on betting markets. Betting markets are selected for study because they incorporate features highly appropriate to a study of information efficiency, in particular the fact that each bet has a well-defined end point at which its value becomes certain. Using international examples, this book reviews and analyses the issue of information efficiency in both financial and betting markets. Part I is an extensive survey of the existing literature, while Part II presents a range of readings by leading academics. Insights gained from the book will interest students of financial economics, financial market analysts, mathematicians and statisticians, and all those with a special interest in finance or gambling.
Prediction Markets
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Author : Leighton Vaughan Williams
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2011-06-16
Prediction Markets written by Leighton Vaughan Williams and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-06-16 with Business & Economics categories.
How does one effectively aggregate disparate pieces of information that are spread among many different individuals? In other words, how does one best access the ‘wisdom of the crowd’? Prediction markets, which are essentially speculative markets created for the purpose of aggregating information and making predictions, offer the answer to this question. The effective use of these markets has the potential not only to help forecast future events on a national and international level, but also to assist companies, for example, in providing improved estimates of the potential market size for a new product idea or the launch date of new products and services. The markets have already been used to forecast uncertain outcomes ranging from influenza to the spread of infectious diseases, to the demand for hospital services, to the box office success of movies, climate change, vote shares and election outcomes, to the probability of meeting project deadlines. The insights gained also have many potentially valuable applications for public policy more generally. These markets offer substantial promise as a tool of information aggregation as well as forecasting, whether alone or as a supplement to other mechanisms like opinion surveys, group deliberations, panels of experts and focus groups. Moreover, they can be applied at a macroeconomic and microeconomic level to yield information that is valuable for government and commercial policy-makers and which can be used for a number of social purposes. This volume of original readings, contributed by many of the leading experts in the field, marks a significant addition to the base of knowledge about this fascinating subject area. The book should be of interest to anyone looking at monetary economics, economic forecasting and microeconomics.
The Analysis Of Sports Forecasting
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Author : William S. Mallios
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2014-01-15
The Analysis Of Sports Forecasting written by William S. Mallios and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-01-15 with categories.
The Economics Of Sports Betting
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Author : Plácido Rodríguez
language : en
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Release Date :
The Economics Of Sports Betting written by Plácido Rodríguez and has been published by Edward Elgar Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with categories.
This unique book delves into a number of intriguing issues and addresses several pertinent questions including, should gambling markets be privatized? Is the ‘hot hand’ hypothesis real or a myth? Are the ‘many’ smarter than the ‘few’ in estimating betting odds? How are prices set in fixed odds betting markets? The book also explores the informational efficiency of betting markets and the prevalence of corruption and illegal betting in sports.
Sports Metric Forecasting
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Author : William Mallios
language : en
Publisher: Xlibris Corporation
Release Date : 2014-07-26
Sports Metric Forecasting written by William Mallios and has been published by Xlibris Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-07-26 with Sports & Recreation categories.
Fuzzy Systems And Data Miningii
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Author : S.-L. Sun
language : en
Publisher: IOS Press
Release Date : 2016-11-24
Fuzzy Systems And Data Miningii written by S.-L. Sun and has been published by IOS Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-11-24 with Computers categories.
Fuzzy systems and data mining are now an essential part of information technology and data management, with applications affecting every imaginable aspect of our daily lives. This book contains 81 selected papers from those accepted and presented at the 2nd international conference on Fuzzy Systems and Data Mining (FSDM2016), held in Macau, China, in December 2016. This annual conference focuses on 4 main groups of topics: fuzzy theory, algorithm and system; fuzzy applications; the interdisciplinary field of fuzzy logic and data mining; and data mining, and the event provided a forum where more than 100 qualified, high-level researchers and experts from over 20 countries, including 4 keynote speakers, gathered to create an important platform for researchers and engineers worldwide to engage in academic communication. All the papers collected here present original ideas, methods and results of general significance supported by clear reasoning and compelling evidence, and as such the book represents a valuable and wide ranging reference resource of interest to all those whose work involves fuzzy systems and data mining.