Forecasting The Future
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Predicting The Future
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Author : Nicholas Rescher
language : en
Publisher: SUNY Press
Release Date : 1998-01-01
Predicting The Future written by Nicholas Rescher and has been published by SUNY Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998-01-01 with Social Science categories.
The future obviously matters to us. It is, after all, where we'll be spending the rest of our lives. We need some degree of foresight if we are to make effective plans for managing our affairs. Much that we would like to know in advance cannot be predicted. But a vast amount of successful prediction is nonetheless possible, especially in the context of applied sciences such as medicine, meteorology, and engineering. This book examines our prospects for finding out about the future in advance. It addresses questions such as why prediction is possible in some areas and not others; what sorts of methods and resources make successful prediction possible; and what obstacles limit the predictive venture. Nicholas Rescher develops a general theory of prediction that encompasses its fundamental principles, methodology, and practice and gives an overview of its promises and problems. Predicting the Future considers the anthropological and historical background of the predictive enterprise. It also examines the conceptual, epistemic, and ontological principles that set the stage for predictive efforts. In short, Rescher explores the basic features of the predictive situation and considers their broader implications in science, in philosophy, and in the management of our daily affairs.
Future Ready
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Author : Steve Morlidge
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2010-02-19
Future Ready written by Steve Morlidge and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-02-19 with Business & Economics categories.
The recent crisis in the financial markets has exposed serious flaws in management methods. The failure to anticipate and deal with the consequences of the unfolding collapse has starkly illustrated what many leaders and managers in business have known for years; in most organizations, the process of forecasting is badly broken. For that reason, forecasting business performance tops the list of concerns for CFO's across the globe. It is time to rethink the way businesses organize and run forecasting processes and how they use the insights that they provide to navigate through these turbulent times. This book synthesizes and structures findings from a range of disciplines and over 60 years of the authors combined practical experience. This is presented in the form of a set of simple strategies that any organization can use to master the process of forecasting. The key message of this book is that while no mortal can predict the future, you can take the steps to be ready for it. ’Good enough’ forecasts, wise preparation and the capability to take timely action, will help your organization to create its own future. Written in an engaging and thought provoking style, Future Ready leads the reader to answers to questions such as: What makes a good forecast? What period should a forecast cover? How frequently should it be updated? What information should it contain? What is the best way to produce a forecast? How can you avoid gaming and other forms of data manipulation? How should a forecast be used? How do you ensure that your forecast is reliable? How accurate does it need to be? How should you deal with risk and uncertainty What is the best way to organize a forecast process? Do you need multiple forecasts? What changes should be made to other performance management processes to facilitate good forecasting? Future Ready is an invaluable guide for practicing managers and a source of insight and inspiration to leaders looking for better ways of doing things and to students of the science and craft of management. Praise for Future Ready "Will make a difference to the way you think about forecasting going forward" —Howard Green, Group Controller Unilever PLC "Great analogies and stories are combined with rock solid theory in a language that even the most reading-averse manager will love from page one" —Bjarte Bogsnes, Vice President Performance Management Development at StatoilHydro "A timely addition to the growing research on management planning and performance measurement." —Dr. Charles T. Horngren, Edmund G. Littlefield Professor of Accounting Emeritus Stanford University and author of many standard texts including Cost Accounting: A Managerial Emphasis, Introduction to Management Accounting, and Financial Accounting "In the area of Forecasting, it is the best book in the market." —Fritz Roemer. Leader of Enterprise Performance Executive Advisory Program, the Hackett Group
Time Series Prediction
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Author : Andreas S. Weigend
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2018-05-04
Time Series Prediction written by Andreas S. Weigend and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-05-04 with Social Science categories.
The book is a summary of a time series forecasting competition that was held a number of years ago. It aims to provide a snapshot of the range of new techniques that are used to study time series, both as a reference for experts and as a guide for novices.
The Knowable Future
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Author : David Loye
language : en
Publisher: iUniverse
Release Date : 1998-12
The Knowable Future written by David Loye and has been published by iUniverse this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998-12 with Business & Economics categories.
The Knowable Future examines the science underlying futures prediction as a formal venture and as an informal activity. It explains how left brain rationality and right brain psychic abilities are both used in conjunction with forebrain governing capacities. Loye advances a theory of how the future is shaped by and predicted according to the “matrix impact” of liberalism, conservatism and five other major factors of ideology.
What About The Future
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Author : Fred Phillips
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2019-08-26
What About The Future written by Fred Phillips and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-08-26 with Science categories.
This book closely examines the concept and theory of 'future' from a multidisciplinary perspective, focusing on the practice of forecasting, especially in its interaction with complexity. It highlights the relations between forecasting, decision-making and strategy, mixing technical arguments (but minimal mathematics) with ideas from psychology and philosophy. Rich with examples, the book highlights the role of values and attitudes in deciding how to look at the future. Written in a casual but precise style that makes the ideas easily digestible, it helps corporate strategists, practicing futurists, and researchers in the field of strategy or public planning gain a fundamental perspective on the future – before starting to predict things.
Managing The Future
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Author : Stephen M. Millett
language : en
Publisher: Triarchy Press
Release Date : 2011-11-30
Managing The Future written by Stephen M. Millett and has been published by Triarchy Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-11-30 with Business & Economics categories.
A guide to forecasting and strategic planning for organizations
Technology Assessment
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Author : Tugrul U. Daim
language : en
Publisher: Erich Schmidt Verlag GmbH & Co KG
Release Date : 2011
Technology Assessment written by Tugrul U. Daim and has been published by Erich Schmidt Verlag GmbH & Co KG this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011 with Information technology categories.
"Understanding the technology dynamics is a required capability in today's technology driven industries. This volume focuses on three areas: technology assessment, technology forecasting and technology diffusion. It shows: an introduction to different types of assessment methods and applications from different sectors including energy, healthcare and communications; technology forecasting and foresight and a review of conventional and emerging methods; and the diffusion of technologies by exploring adoption of products and services from different sectors."--Back cover.
On Trend
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Author : Devon Powers
language : en
Publisher: University of Illinois Press
Release Date : 2019-10-16
On Trend written by Devon Powers and has been published by University of Illinois Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-10-16 with Social Science categories.
Trends have become a commodity—an element of culture in their own right and the very currency of our cultural life. Consumer culture relies on a new class of professionals who explain trends, predict trends, and in profound ways even manufacture trends. On Trend delves into one of the most powerful forces in global consumer culture. From forecasting to cool hunting to design thinking, the work done by trend professionals influences how we live, work, play, shop, and learn. Devon Powers' provocative insights open up how the business of the future kindles exciting opportunity even as its practices raise questions about an economy increasingly built on nonstop disruption and innovation. Merging industry history with vivid portraits of today's trend visionaries, Powers reveals how trends took over, what it means for cultural change, and the price all of us pay to see—and live—the future.
Business Forecasting
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Author : Michael Gilliland
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2021-05-11
Business Forecasting written by Michael Gilliland and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-05-11 with Business & Economics categories.
Discover the role of machine learning and artificial intelligence in business forecasting from some of the brightest minds in the field In Business Forecasting: The Emerging Role of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning accomplished authors Michael Gilliland, Len Tashman, and Udo Sglavo deliver relevant and timely insights from some of the most important and influential authors in the field of forecasting. You'll learn about the role played by machine learning and AI in the forecasting process and discover brand-new research, case studies, and thoughtful discussions covering an array of practical topics. The book offers multiple perspectives on issues like monitoring forecast performance, forecasting process, communication and accountability for forecasts, and the use of big data in forecasting. You will find: Discussions on deep learning in forecasting, including current trends and challenges Explorations of neural network-based forecasting strategies A treatment of the future of artificial intelligence in business forecasting Analyses of forecasting methods, including modeling, selection, and monitoring In addition to the Foreword by renowned researchers Spyros Makridakis and Fotios Petropoulos, the book also includes 16 "opinion/editorial" Afterwords by a diverse range of top academics, consultants, vendors, and industry practitioners, each providing their own unique vision of the issues, current state, and future direction of business forecasting. Perfect for financial controllers, chief financial officers, business analysts, forecast analysts, and demand planners, Business Forecasting will also earn a place in the libraries of other executives and managers who seek a one-stop resource to help them critically assess and improve their own organization's forecasting efforts.
A Model To Forecast Future Paradigms
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Author : Bahman Zohuri
language : en
Publisher: Apple Academic Press
Release Date : 2020
A Model To Forecast Future Paradigms written by Bahman Zohuri and has been published by Apple Academic Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020 with Business & Economics categories.
"In this volume, A Model to Forecast Future Paradigms, Volume 1: Introduction to Knowledge Is Power in Four Dimensions, the authors' two-fold objective is to lay out a methodology and approach that allows the reader to learn how to utilize existing technology in the form of computer software and hardware for forecasting and decision-making and to discuss factors that affect upcoming events that, in turn, shape future paradigms. The book provides an understanding of these factors that will help decision-makers be better prepared to face future challenges and will assist them coping with unexpected circumstances. This volume is divided into two parts. Part one discusses a "technological infrastructure" so that new readers can gain a greater understanding based on the knowledge of tomorrow's computing functionality. The second part goes on to discuss the key indicators in the areas of population, culture, economics, climate change, and the impacts of technology in commerce and socially-which all need to be considered when forecasting a future paradigm. The authors will follow this introductory volume with additional volumes that review and analyze other critical indicators in the areas of geopolitics, the nature of political power around the globe, and other applications of technology and energy. In the last volume (of four total volumes), the authors introduce a mathematical model that can use the data presented in the first three volumes and forecast future paradigms for a targeted environment. Of course, the authors state, outcomes may not always be accurate, but going through the process outlined in these volumes will be highly useful for both managers and decision makers to help them better prepare for events that may unfold in the future. With the sheer volume of information available and the ever-greater ease of access, it is becoming increasingly difficult to introduce an appropriate methodology of decision-making that is fast enough to be effective. The demand for real-time information processing and related data-both structured and unstructured-is on the rise. This rise makes it challenging to implement correct decision-making within enterprises at a level that keeps organizations robust and resilient against natural and man-made disasters. These volumes will be valuable for both advanced students, faculty, industry professionals, etc., in many fields, including banking, home land security, e-commerce, defense, and business"--