Predicting The Future
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Predicting The Future
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Author : Nicholas Rescher
language : en
Publisher: State University of New York Press
Release Date : 1997-11-13
Predicting The Future written by Nicholas Rescher and has been published by State University of New York Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1997-11-13 with Philosophy categories.
The future obviously matters to us. It is, after all, where we'll be spending the rest of our lives. We need some degree of foresight if we are to make effective plans for managing our affairs. Much that we would like to know in advance cannot be predicted. But a vast amount of successful prediction is nonetheless possible, especially in the context of applied sciences such as medicine, meteorology, and engineering. This book examines our prospects for finding out about the future in advance. It addresses questions such as why prediction is possible in some areas and not others; what sorts of methods and resources make successful prediction possible; and what obstacles limit the predictive venture. Nicholas Rescher develops a general theory of prediction that encompasses its fundamental principles, methodology, and practice and gives an overview of its promises and problems. Predicting the Future considers the anthropological and historical background of the predictive enterprise. It also examines the conceptual, epistemic, and ontological principles that set the stage for predictive efforts. In short, Rescher explores the basic features of the predictive situation and considers their broader implications in science, in philosophy, and in the management of our daily affairs.
Predicting Future Oceans
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Author : William Cheung
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 2019-08-17
Predicting Future Oceans written by William Cheung and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-08-17 with Science categories.
Predicting Future Oceans: Sustainability of Ocean and Human Systems Amidst Global Environmental Change provides a synthesis of our knowledge of the future state of the oceans. The editors undertake the challenge of integrating diverse perspectives—from oceanography to anthropology—to exhibit the changes in ecological conditions and their socioeconomic implications. Each contributing author provides a novel perspective, with the book as a whole collating scholarly understandings of future oceans and coastal communities across the world. The diverse perspectives, syntheses and state-of-the-art natural and social sciences contributions are led by past and current research fellows and principal investigators of the Nereus Program network. This includes members at 17 leading research institutes, addressing themes such as oceanography, biodiversity, fisheries, mariculture production, economics, pollution, public health and marine policy. This book is a comprehensive resource for senior undergraduate and postgraduate readers studying social and natural science, as well as practitioners working in the field of natural resources management and marine conservation. - Provides a synthesis of our knowledge on the future state of the oceans - Includes recommendations on how to move forwards - Highlights key social aspects linked to ocean ecosystems, including health, equity and sovereignty
Predicting Your Future
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Author : Diagram Group
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1985-11-12
Predicting Your Future written by Diagram Group and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1985-11-12 with Body, Mind & Spirit categories.
Discover what tomorrow holds in store for you. PREDICTING YOUR FUTURE has complete instructions for ancient and exotic fortune-telling methods, including: astrology, tarot cards, numerology, dice, palmistry, and more. This package also includes charts, diagrams, and drawings, plus actual predictions by fortune-telling experts.
Predicting The Future
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Author : Henry Abarbanel
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2013-06-12
Predicting The Future written by Henry Abarbanel and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-06-12 with Science categories.
Through the development of an exact path integral for use in transferring information from observations to a model of the observed system, the author provides a general framework for the discussion of model building and evaluation across disciplines. Through many illustrative examples drawn from models in neuroscience, geosciences, and nonlinear electrical circuits, the concepts are exemplified in detail. Practical numerical methods for approximate evaluations of the path integral are explored, and their use in designing experiments and determining a model’s consistency with observations is explored.
Thesaurus Of English Words And Phrases
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Author : Peter Mark Roget
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1882
Thesaurus Of English Words And Phrases written by Peter Mark Roget and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1882 with English language categories.
The Pattern Future
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Author : Mark R. Anderson
language : en
Publisher: FiReBooks
Release Date : 2017-11-20
The Pattern Future written by Mark R. Anderson and has been published by FiReBooks this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-11-20 with categories.
Renowned technology and economics forecaster Mark Anderson reveals hidden patterns beneath the art and science of predicting the future. Through a series of personal vignettes, Anderson exposes a complex web of causes, influences, and effects that propel today's world, then describes strategies that he employs to lay bare new trends, to make new discoveries in a wide variety of disciplines, and to accurately foresee future events.
Frequency In Language
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Author : Dagmar Divjak
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2019-10-10
Frequency In Language written by Dagmar Divjak and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-10-10 with Language Arts & Disciplines categories.
Re-examines frequency, entrenchment and salience, three foundational concepts in usage-based linguistics, through the prism of learning, memory, and attention.
Superforecasting
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Author : Philip Tetlock
language : en
Publisher: Random House
Release Date : 2015-09-24
Superforecasting written by Philip Tetlock and has been published by Random House this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-09-24 with Social Science categories.
The international bestseller 'A manual for thinking clearly in an uncertain world. Read it.' Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow _________________________ What if we could improve our ability to predict the future? Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it. In a landmark, twenty-year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Tetlock's latest project – an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting tournament involving over a million individual predictions – has since shown that there are, however, some people with real, demonstrable foresight. These are ordinary people, from former ballroom dancers to retired computer programmers, who have an extraordinary ability to predict the future with a degree of accuracy 60% greater than average. They are superforecasters. In Superforecasting, Tetlock and his co-author Dan Gardner offer a fascinating insight into what we can learn from this elite group. They show the methods used by these superforecasters which enable them to outperform even professional intelligence analysts with access to classified data. And they offer practical advice on how we can all use these methods for our own benefit – whether in business, in international affairs, or in everyday life. _________________________ 'The techniques and habits of mind set out in this book are a gift to anyone who has to think about what the future might bring. In other words, to everyone.' Economist 'A terrific piece of work that deserves to be widely read . . . Highly recommended.' Independent 'The best thing I have read on predictions . . . Superforecasting is an indispensable guide to this indispensable activity.' The Times
Global Catastrophes And Trends
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Author : Vaclav Smil
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 2012-09-14
Global Catastrophes And Trends written by Vaclav Smil and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-09-14 with Science categories.
A wide-ranging, interdisciplinary look at global changes that may occur over the next fifty years—whether sudden and cataclysmic world-changing events or gradually unfolding trends. Fundamental change occurs most often in one of two ways: as a “fatal discontinuity,” a sudden catastrophic event that is potentially world changing, or as a persistent, gradual trend. Global catastrophes include volcanic eruptions, viral pandemics, wars, and large-scale terrorist attacks; trends are demographic, environmental, economic, and political shifts that unfold over time. In this provocative book, scientist Vaclav Smil takes a wide-ranging, interdisciplinary look at the catastrophes and trends the next fifty years may bring. Smil first looks at rare but cataclysmic events, both natural and human-produced, then at trends of global importance, including the transition from fossil fuels to other energy sources and growing economic and social inequality. He also considers environmental change—in some ways an amalgam of sudden discontinuities and gradual change—and assesses the often misunderstood complexities of global warming. Global Catastrophes and Trends does not come down on the side of either doom-and-gloom scenarios or techno-euphoria. Instead, Smil argues that understanding change will help us reverse negative trends and minimize the risk of catastrophe.
Opinion Mining And Sentiment Analysis
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Author : Bo Pang
language : en
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
Release Date : 2008
Opinion Mining And Sentiment Analysis written by Bo Pang and has been published by Now Publishers Inc this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with Computers categories.
This survey covers techniques and approaches that promise to directly enable opinion-oriented information-seeking systems.