Forecasting The Rate Of Inflation By Means Of The Consumer Price Index
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Forecasting The Rate Of Inflation By Means Of The Consumer Price Index
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Author : Antoni Espasa
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1984
Forecasting The Rate Of Inflation By Means Of The Consumer Price Index written by Antoni Espasa and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1984 with Consumer price indexes categories.
Conference paper on the use of the consumer price index for the projection of inflation rates in Spain - sets up econometric models to forecast food, industrial products, energy and service prices, and to subsequently estimate the rate of inflation. Graphs, statistical tables. Conference held in London 1984.
Inflation Expectations
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Author : Peter J. N. Sinclair
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2009-12-16
Inflation Expectations written by Peter J. N. Sinclair and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-12-16 with Business & Economics categories.
Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.
Forecasting Peaks In The Consumer Price Index
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Author : Marjorie Schnader
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1974
Forecasting Peaks In The Consumer Price Index written by Marjorie Schnader and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1974 with Price indexes categories.
The Role Of Seasonality And Monetary Policy In Inflation Forecasting
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Author : Francis Y. Kumah
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2006-07
The Role Of Seasonality And Monetary Policy In Inflation Forecasting written by Francis Y. Kumah and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-07 with Business & Economics categories.
Adequate modeling of the seasonal structure of consumer prices is essential for inflation forecasting. This paper suggests a new econometric approach for jointly determining inflation forecasts and monetary policy stances, particularly where seasonal fluctuations of economic activity and prices are pronounced. In an application of the framework, the paper characterizes and investigates the stability of the seasonal pattern of consumer prices in the Kyrgyz Republic and estimates optimal money growth and implied exchange rate paths along with a jointly determined inflation forecast. The approach uses two broad specifications of an augmented error-correction model-with and without seasonal components. Findings from the paper confirm empirical superiority (in terms of information content and contributions to policymaking) of augmented error-correction models of inflation over single-equation, Box-Jenkins-type general autoregressive seasonal models. Simulations of the estimated errorcorrection models yield optimal monetary policy paths for achieving inflation targets and demonstrate the empirical significance of seasonality and monetary policy in inflation forecasting.
Price Expectations In Rising Inflation
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Author : I. Visco
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 2014-06-28
Price Expectations In Rising Inflation written by I. Visco and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-06-28 with Business & Economics categories.
It is claimed in this book that expectations should not necessarily be treated as unobservable variables and that there is much to be learned from survey data. A unique data set is examined, the output of surveys conducted twice a year since 1952, among informed Italian businessmen and economic experts. The predictive accuracy, rationality and determinants of inflation expectations are investigated, following an extensive analysis of measurement issues.The estimate of inflation expectations are evaluated for both wholesale and consumer price changes, comparing them with those held by respondents to other surveys for different countries and with the forecasts generated by alternative predictors of the inflation process. The expectations considered in the study are shown to be remarkably accurate, anticipating all major price changes, even if during the years of high and rising inflation which have followed the first oil crisis they appear to underestimate on a number of occasions the inflation rates actually experienced, as the alternative predictors also do.An accurate testing of the rational expectations hypothesis is conducted, rejecting it over the entire sample period but not for the period of mild, but variable inflation which preceded the first oil crises.It is shown that a mixed adaptive-regressive model, with both error-learning and return-to-normality components adapts very well to the data considered in this study and that inflation expectations are also influenced by an uncertainty component which affects the adaptive coefficient. Furthermore, regression towards normality is slowed down when industrial capacity is utilized above normal, and vice-versa. Many other issues such as the dispersion of individual answers, the problems of aggregation and measurement error are also considered and an extensive bibliography of other works where use is made of direct information on expectations, is included.
A Comparison Of Australian Inflation Forecasts
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Author : Ramya Hewarathna
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1997
A Comparison Of Australian Inflation Forecasts written by Ramya Hewarathna and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1997 with Economic forecasting categories.
A Semiparametric Forecasting Approach For Predicting The Consumer Price Index
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Author : Haichuan Xu
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2022
A Semiparametric Forecasting Approach For Predicting The Consumer Price Index written by Haichuan Xu and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022 with categories.
In the past year, we have witnessed that the U.S. inflation rate hit the highest peak in over 40 years and is still close to its multi-decade high now. The overall change in consumer prices has a significant impact on the nation's economic activity, product manufacturing, consumer behavior, and stock market. In this work, I develop a semiparametric forecasting approach using factor models with a large number of macroeconomic or financial time series predictors. The proposed method deals with the complex temporal and cross-sectional dependence of macroeconomic or financial time series predictors. Also, the proposed method does not need the prior knowledge of forecasting directions and forecasting function. I will examine the performance of the proposed method in simulation studies and a real-world application for predicting the consumer price index.
Predicting Inflation With Commodity Prices
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Author : Peter von zur Muehlen
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1990
Predicting Inflation With Commodity Prices written by Peter von zur Muehlen and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990 with Inflation (Finance) categories.
Main Economic Indicators
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Author : Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development Staff
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1999
Main Economic Indicators written by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development Staff and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999 with Electronic books categories.
Intelligent Computing And Innovation On Data Science
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Author : Sheng-Lung Peng
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2021-09-27
Intelligent Computing And Innovation On Data Science written by Sheng-Lung Peng and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-09-27 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This book gathers high-quality papers presented at 2nd International Conference on Technology Innovation and Data Sciences (ICTIDS 2021), organized by Lincoln University, Malaysia from 19 – 20 February 2021. It covers wide range of recent technologies like artificial intelligence and machine learning, big data and data sciences, Internet of Things (IoT), and IoT-based digital ecosystem. The book brings together works from researchers, scientists, engineers, scholars and students in the areas of engineering and technology, and provides an opportunity for the dissemination of original research results, new ideas, research and development, practical experiments, which concentrate on both theory and practices, for the benefit of common man.