Global Financial Spillovers To Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Markets
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Global Financial Spillovers To Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Markets
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Author : Mr. Christian Ebeke
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2015-06-26
Global Financial Spillovers To Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Markets written by Mr. Christian Ebeke and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-06-26 with Business & Economics categories.
Foreign holdings of emerging markets (EMs) government bonds have increased substantially over the last decade. While foreign participation in local-currency sovereign bond markets provides an additional source of financing and reduces sovereign yields, it raises concerns about increased sensitivity of yields to shifts in market sentiment. The analysis in this paper suggests that foreign participation and an undiversified investor base transmit global financial shocks to local-currency sovereign bond markets by increasing yield volatility and, beyond a certain threshold, amplify these spillovers. These estimates are robust to a range of econometric techniques including panel smooth threshold regression.
Global Spillovers Into Domestic Bond Markets In Emerging Market Economies
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Author : Laura Jaramillo
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2013-12-23
Global Spillovers Into Domestic Bond Markets In Emerging Market Economies written by Laura Jaramillo and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-12-23 with Business & Economics categories.
While fiscal conditions remain healthier than in advanced economies, emerging economies continue to be exposed to negative spillovers if global conditions were to become less favorable. This paper finds that domestic bond yields in emerging economies are heavily influenced by two international factors: global risk appetite and global liquidity. Using a novel approach, the analysis goes on to show that the vulnerability of emerging economies to these factors is not uniform but rather depends on country specific characteristics, namely fiscal fundamentals, financial sector openness and the external current account balance.
Financial Spillovers To Emerging Markets During The Global Financial Crisis
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Author : Nathaniel Frank
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2009-05
Financial Spillovers To Emerging Markets During The Global Financial Crisis written by Nathaniel Frank and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-05 with Business & Economics categories.
In this paper potential financial linkages between liquidity and bank solvency measures in advanced economies and emerging market (EM) bond and stock markets are analyzedduring the latest crisis. A multivariate GARCH model is estimated in order to gauge the extent of co-movements of these financial variables across markets. The findings indicate that the notion of possible de-coupling (in the financial markets) had been misplaced. While EM stock markets reached their peak in the last quarter of 2007, interlinkages between funding stress and equity markets in advanced economies and EM financial indicators were highly correlated and have seen sharp increases during specific crisis moments.
On International Integration Of Emerging Sovereign Bond Markets
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Author : Mr.Itai Agur
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2018-01-25
On International Integration Of Emerging Sovereign Bond Markets written by Mr.Itai Agur and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-01-25 with Business & Economics categories.
The paper investigates the international integration of EM sovereign dollar-denominated and local-currency bond markets. Factor analysis is used to examine movements in sovereign bond yields and common sources of yield variation. The results suggest that EM dollar-denominated sovereign debt markets are highly integrated; a single common factor that is highly correlated with US and EU interest rates explains, on average, about 80 percent of the total variability in yields. EM sovereign local currency bond markets are not as internationally integrated, and three common factors explain about 74 percent of the total variability. But a factor highly correlated with US and EU interest rates still explains 63 percent of the yield variation accounted for by common factors. That said, there is some diversity among EM countries in the importance of common factors in affecting sovereign debt yields.
Multi Sector Bond Funds In Emerging Markets Easy Come Easy Go
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Author : Fabio Cortes
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-12-16
Multi Sector Bond Funds In Emerging Markets Easy Come Easy Go written by Fabio Cortes and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-12-16 with Business & Economics categories.
Unconstrained multi-sector bond funds (MSBFs) can be a source of spillovers to emerging markets and potentially exert a sizable impact on cross-border flows. MSBFs have grown their investment in emerging markets in recent years and are highly concentrated—both in their positions and their decision-making. They typically also exhibit opportunistic behavior much more so than other investment funds. Theoretically, their size, multisector mandate, and unconstrained nature allows MSBFs to be a source of financial stability in periods of wide-spread market turmoil while others sell at fire-sale prices. However, this note, building on the analysis of Cortes and Sanfilippo (2020) and incorporating data around the COVID-19 crisis, finds that MSBFs could have contributed to increase market stress in selected emerging markets. When faced with large investor redemptions during the crisis, our sample of MSBFs chose to rebalance their portfolios in a concentrated manner, raising a large proportion of cash in a few specific local currency bond markets. This may have contributed to exacerbating the relative underperformance of these local currency bond markets to broader emerging market indices.
Republic Of Poland
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Author : International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2014-06-26
Republic Of Poland written by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-06-26 with Business & Economics categories.
This Selected Issues paper considers the case of Poland to analyze global financial spillovers to emerging market (EM) sovereign bond markets. Foreign holdings of Polish government bonds have increased substantially over the last decade. Although foreign participation in local-currency sovereign bond markets provides an additional source of financing and reduces sovereign yields, it has also given rise to concerns about increased sensitivity to shifts in market sentiment. The analysis in this paper suggests that foreign participation plays an important role in transmitting global financial shocks to local-currency sovereign bond markets by increasing yield volatility and, beyond a certain threshold, amplifying these spillovers.
Foreign Participation In Emerging Markets Local Currency Bond Markets
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Author : Mr.Shanaka J. Peiris
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2010-04-01
Foreign Participation In Emerging Markets Local Currency Bond Markets written by Mr.Shanaka J. Peiris and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-04-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper estimates the impact of foreign participation in determining long-term local currency government bond yields and volatility in a group of emerging markets from 2000-2009. The results of a panel data analysis of 10 emerging markets show that greater foreign participation in the domestic government bond market tends to significantly reduce long-term government yields. Moreover, greater foreign participation does not necessarily result in increased volatility in bond yields in emerging markets and, in fact, could even dampen volatility in some instances.
Determinants Of Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads
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Author : Iva Petrova
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2010-12-01
Determinants Of Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads written by Iva Petrova and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-12-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper analyses the determimants of emerging market sovereign bond spreads by examining the short and long-run effects of fundamental (macroeconomic) and temporary (financial market) factors on these spreads. During the current global financial and economic crisis, sovereign bond spreads widened dramatically for both developed and emerging market economies. This deterioration has widely been attributed to rapidly growing public debts and balance sheet risks. Our results indicate that in the long run, fundamentals are significant determinants of emerging market sovereign bond spreads, while in the short run, financial volatility is a more important determinant of sperads than fundamentals indicators.
Handbook Of Global Financial Markets Transformations Dependence And Risk Spillovers
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Author : Sabri Boubaker
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2019-06-27
Handbook Of Global Financial Markets Transformations Dependence And Risk Spillovers written by Sabri Boubaker and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-06-27 with Business & Economics categories.
The objective of this handbook is to provide the readers with insights about current dynamics and future potential transformations of global financial markets. We intend to focus on four main areas: Dynamics of Financial Markets; Financial Uncertainty and Volatility; Market Linkages and Spillover Effects; and Extreme Events and Financial Transformations and address the following critical issues, but not limited to: market integration and its implications; crisis risk assessment and contagion effects; financial uncertainty and volatility; role of emerging financial markets in the global economy; role of complex dynamics of economic and financial systems; market linkages, asset valuation and risk management; exchange rate volatility and firm-level exposure; financial effects of economic, political and social risks; link between financial development and economic growth; country risks; and sovereign debt markets.
Bond Yields In Emerging Economies
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Author : Laura Jaramillo
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2012-08-01
Bond Yields In Emerging Economies written by Laura Jaramillo and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-08-01 with Business & Economics categories.
While many studies have looked into the determinants of yields on externally issued sovereign bonds of emerging economies, analysis of domestically issued bonds has hitherto been limited, despite their growing relevance. This paper finds that the extent to which fiscal variables affect domestic bond yields in emerging economies depends on the level of global risk aversion. During tranquil times in global markets, fiscal variables do not seem to be a significant determinant of domestic bond yields in emerging economies. However, when market participants are on edge, they pay greater attention to country-specific fiscal fundamentals, revealing greater alertness about default risk.