Global Monetary Tightening
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U S Monetary Policy Normalization And Global Interest Rates
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Author : Carlos Caceres
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2016-09-29
U S Monetary Policy Normalization And Global Interest Rates written by Carlos Caceres and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-09-29 with Business & Economics categories.
As the Federal Reserve continues to normalize its monetary policy, this paper studies the impact of U.S. interest rates on rates in other countries. We find a modest but nontrivial pass-through from U.S. to domestic short-term interest rates on average. We show that, to a large extent, this comovement reflects synchronized business cycles. However, there is important heterogeneity across countries, and we find evidence of limited monetary autonomy in some cases. The co-movement of longer term interest rates is larger and more pervasive. We distinguish between U.S. interest rate movements that surprise markets versus those that are anticipated, and find that most countries receive greater spillovers from the former. We also distinguish between movements in the U.S. term premium and the expected path of risk-free rates, concluding that countries respond differently to these shocks. Finally, we explore the determinants of monetary autonomy and find strong evidence for the role of exchange rate flexibility, capital account openness, but also for other factors, such as dollarization of financial system liabilities, and the credibility of fiscal and monetary policy.
Renminbi Rising
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Author : William H. Overholt
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2016-02-16
Renminbi Rising written by William H. Overholt and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-02-16 with Business & Economics categories.
Critical analysis of RMB internationalization and the coming global currency shift Renminbi Rising charts the emergence of China's internationalizing currency and provides an in-depth analysis of the global repercussions. Written by a team of renown economics researchers, this book describes the pressures that enabled the emergence of a new global monetary system and why China's Renminbi (RMB) became the default 'second in line' as the U.S. receded from leadership. Policy makers and regulators will appreciate the examination of the motivations behind those driving the shift, and financial professionals will find valuable guidance in the discussion surrounding business opportunities that the RMB brings to the table. Coverage includes the emergence of new Chinese-sponsored financial institutions, the scale of various RMB businesses and the coming transformation of the global financial system. Effective management of international monetary affairs has never been more fundamental to the global economic recovery. The rapid emergence of China's RMB is a transformative event of global significance, and this book provides the context you need to understand the depth and breadth of changes on the horizon. Understand why a new global monetary system is needed Consider the outcomes as China emerges and the U.S. recedes Learn the context and motivations behind principal players' strategies Discover the scale of opportunities presented by the rise of the RMB It is essential for finance professionals and economic policy makers to understand the drivers, progress and likely trajectory of the RMB internationalization and to fully grasp the implications for the global financial system, international business and supporting financial products and services. Renminbi Rising offers detailed analysis of the key opportunities and threats inherent in this major economic shift.
Global Financial Conditions And Monetary Policy Autonomy
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Author : Carlos Caceres
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2016-09-08
Global Financial Conditions And Monetary Policy Autonomy written by Carlos Caceres and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-09-08 with Business & Economics categories.
Is the Mundell-Fleming trilemma alive and well? International co-movement of asset prices takes place alongside synchronized business cycles, complicating the identification of financial spillovers and assessments of monetary policy autonomy. A benchmark for interest rate comovement is to impose the null hypothesis that central banks respond only to the outlook for domestic inflation and output. We show that common approaches used to estimate interest rate spillovers tend to understate the degree of monetary autonomy enjoyed by small open economies with flexible exchange rates. We propose an empirical strategy that partials out those spillovers that are associated with impaired monetary autonomy. Using this approach, we revisit the predictions of the trilemma and find more compelling evidence that flexible exchange rates deliver monetary autonomy than prior work has suggested.
Global Monetary Tightening
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Author : Mr.Julio Escolano
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2014-12-12
Global Monetary Tightening written by Mr.Julio Escolano and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-12-12 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper finds that tightening global financial conditions can worsen emerging economies’ public debt dynamics through an increasing interest rate-growth differential, particularly if coupled with high global risk aversion. Latin America and emerging Europe are the regions most likely to be adversely affected. In addition, historical evidence—analyzed by means of a Poisson count model—suggests that the frequency of sovereign debt crises increases in emerging economies at the early stage of U.S. monetary tightening cycles, at times in which the term spread also rises. The timing may be related to abrupt switches of expectations about the future course of policy in the early stages of tightening cycles.
Monetary Policy Coordination And The Role Of Central Banks
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Author : Rakesh Mohan
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2014-04-29
Monetary Policy Coordination And The Role Of Central Banks written by Rakesh Mohan and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-04-29 with Business & Economics categories.
The unconventional monetary policies (UMPs) pursued by the advanced economies (AEs) have posed macroeconomic challenges for the emerging market economies (EMEs) through volatile capital flows and exchange rates. AE central banks need to acknowledge and appreciate the spillovers resulting from such UMPs. Central banks of the AEs, who have set up standing mutual swap facilities, should explore similar arrangements with other significant EMEs with appropriate risk mitigation measures. These initiatives could do much to actually curb volatility in global financial markets and hence in capital flows to EMEs, thus obviating the need for defensive policy actions on the part of EMEs.
Global Impact And Challenges Of Unconventional Monetary Policies
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2013-03-09
Global Impact And Challenges Of Unconventional Monetary Policies written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-03-09 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper takes stock of unconventional monetary policies (UMP) and their impact so far, and looks ahead towards exit and prospects for policy coordination. It synthesizes earlier staff work on UMP,1 the findings of a substantial and growing academic and central banking literature, as well as further staff analysis contained in the Background Paper. While some widely accepted conclusions have emerged from the large and growing number of studies on UMP, many important questions remain unsettled, as enough time has not elapsed to draw definitive conclusions. In those cases, the paper will pose the relevant questions and provide possible nswers, while recognizing the uncertainty that remains.
Financial Crisis Us Unconventional Monetary Policy And International Spillovers
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Author : Qianying Chen
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2015-04-29
Financial Crisis Us Unconventional Monetary Policy And International Spillovers written by Qianying Chen and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-04-29 with Business & Economics categories.
We study the impact of the US quantitative easing (QE) on both the emerging and advanced economies, estimating a global vector error-correction model (GVECM) and conducting counterfactual analyses. We focus on the effects of reductions in the US term and corporate spreads. First, US QE measures reducing the US corporate spread appear to be more important than lowering the US term spread. Second, US QE measures might have prevented episodes of prolonged recession and deflation in the advanced economies. Third, the estimated effects on the emerging economies have been diverse but often larger than those recorded in the US and other advanced economies. The heterogeneous effects from US QE measures indicate unevenly distributed benefits and costs.
International Bank Lending Channel Of Monetary Policy
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Author : Silvia Albrizio
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2019-11-01
International Bank Lending Channel Of Monetary Policy written by Silvia Albrizio and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-11-01 with Business & Economics categories.
How does domestic monetary policy in systemic countries spillover to the rest of the world? This paper examines the transmission channel of domestic monetary policy in the cross-border context. We use exogenous shocks to monetary policy in systemically important economies, including the U.S., and local projections to estimate the dynamic effect of monetary policy shocks on bilateral cross-border bank lending. We find robust evidence that an increase in funding costs following an exogenous monetary tightening leads to a statistically and economically significant decline in cross-border bank lending. The effect is weakened during periods of high uncertainty. In contrast, the effect is found to not vary according to the degree of borrower country riskiness, further weakening support for the international portfolio rebalancing channel.
Strengthening The International Monetary System A Stocktaking
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Author : International Monetary Fund
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2016-02-22
Strengthening The International Monetary System A Stocktaking written by International Monetary Fund and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-02-22 with Business & Economics categories.
In light of the changing contours of the global economy, this paper provides an overview of the challenges facing the International Monetary System (IMS). It seeks to forge a common understanding of the challenges facing the IMS and its shortcomings, and to lay the basis for discussing a possible roadmap for further work on reform areas.
Managing International Financial Instability
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Author : Fabrizio Saccomanni
language : en
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Release Date : 2010-01-01
Managing International Financial Instability written by Fabrizio Saccomanni and has been published by Edward Elgar Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-01-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This book is a masterpiece. It combines a clear historical analysis of issues and causes of past international instability with a contemporary discussion of how to avoid future occurrences. It is a very informative book that caters to the need of the savvy and the uninformed. It reviews in a rigorous manner the core obstacles to achieving a durable global financial stability. The presentation is clear, simple and well organised. . . Saccomanni demonstrated a great understanding of monetary and financial matters. The book could not have been better timed given the deepening recession caused by the global financial meltdown. I am very delighted to recommend it. Chika B. Onwuekwe, Journal of International Banking Law and Regulation . . . the timing of this publication could not have been better, Fabrizio Saccomanni provides the reader with a well-written analytical and historical survey of the causes and consequences of international financial crisis and possible solutions. . . the book is enjoyable, compendious and concise. . . the book is worth reading by anyone who is interested in understanding the global financial system and is looking for a critical appraisal of its performance. In particular, students and academics of international economics can get a good overview on the issue of international financial stability, since the book bridges the gap between theoretical models and practical policy implications. . . Saccomanni s book is a well-written and valuable contribution to the debate as already said before the timing of its publication could hardly be better. Ralf Fendel, Journal of Economics and Statistics Recurrent instability has characterized the global financial system since the 1980s, eventually leading to the current global financial crisis. This instability and the resultant disruptions sovereign debt defaults, exchange rate misalignments, financial market illiquidity and asset price bubbles are linked, in this book, to the shortcomings of the global financial system which tends to generate cycles of boom and bust in credit flows. These cycles are set in motion by the monetary impulses of major industrial countries and are amplified and propagated through the operation of global financial markets. Fabrizio Saccomanni argues that to counter such systemic instability requires that national authorities give adequate weight to financial stability objectives when formulating their monetary and regulatory policies. He maintains that appropriate multilateral strategies to deal with unsustainable trends in credit aggregates and asset prices should be devised in the International Monetary Fund in the context of a strengthened framework to deal with global payments imbalances and exchange rate misalignments. Providing a comprehensive historical and analytical survey of the causes, consequences and possible cures of international financial instability, this book will be of great interest to students and academics of international economics and finance. It will also appeal to financial market participants and analysts, government officials and central bankers as a comprehensive survey of the relevant academic literature and of the state of the policy debate.