Guidebook For Supporting Decision Making Under Uncertainties
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Guidebook For Supporting Decision Making Under Uncertainties
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Author : Ettore Piccirillo
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2008
Guidebook For Supporting Decision Making Under Uncertainties written by Ettore Piccirillo and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with Business & Economics categories.
The Inside Ring is the first novel in Mike Lawson’s critically acclaimed series of political thriller starring Joe DeMarco, fixer for the Speaker of the House. It opens with an assassination attempt on the president. He is only wounded, but his best friend and a Secret Service Agent are killed. It turns out that the attack wasn't without warning. General Andrew Banks, the Secretary of Homeland Security, received a note that the president was in danger, and even more alarming, that Secret Service agents guarding the president had been compromised. General Banks is reluctant to tell the FBI about the note, partly for self-serving political reasons, and partly because he doesn’t want to damage the Secret Service’s reputation based on something that might very well be a hoax. So he requests help from his friend, Speaker Mahoney, and Mahoney assigns his man DeMarco to determine if the Secret Service was really involved. Moving at a breakneck pace, and packed with plenty of humor and suspense, The Inside Ring is a must-read for fans of political thrillers.
Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty
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Author : Vincent A. W. J. Marchau
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2019-04-04
Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty written by Vincent A. W. J. Marchau and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-04-04 with Business & Economics categories.
This open access book focuses on both the theory and practice associated with the tools and approaches for decisionmaking in the face of deep uncertainty. It explores approaches and tools supporting the design of strategic plans under deep uncertainty, and their testing in the real world, including barriers and enablers for their use in practice. The book broadens traditional approaches and tools to include the analysis of actors and networks related to the problem at hand. It also shows how lessons learned in the application process can be used to improve the approaches and tools used in the design process. The book offers guidance in identifying and applying appropriate approaches and tools to design plans, as well as advice on implementing these plans in the real world. For decisionmakers and practitioners, the book includes realistic examples and practical guidelines that should help them understand what decisionmaking under deep uncertainty is and how it may be of assistance to them. Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice is divided into four parts. Part I presents five approaches for designing strategic plans under deep uncertainty: Robust Decision Making, Dynamic Adaptive Planning, Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways, Info-Gap Decision Theory, and Engineering Options Analysis. Each approach is worked out in terms of its theoretical foundations, methodological steps to follow when using the approach, latest methodological insights, and challenges for improvement. In Part II, applications of each of these approaches are presented. Based on recent case studies, the practical implications of applying each approach are discussed in depth. Part III focuses on using the approaches and tools in real-world contexts, based on insights from real-world cases. Part IV contains conclusions and a synthesis of the lessons that can be drawn for designing, applying, and implementing strategic plans under deep uncertainty, as well as recommendations for future work. The publication of this book has been funded by the Radboud University, the RAND Corporation, Delft University of Technology, and Deltares.
Guidebook For Supporting Decision Making Under Uncertainties
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Author : Ettore Piccirillo
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific Publishing Company Incorporated
Release Date : 2008
Guidebook For Supporting Decision Making Under Uncertainties written by Ettore Piccirillo and has been published by World Scientific Publishing Company Incorporated this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with Business & Economics categories.
Managerial Decisions Under Uncertainty
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Author : Bruce F. Baird
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 1991-01-16
Managerial Decisions Under Uncertainty written by Bruce F. Baird and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991-01-16 with Business & Economics categories.
How to improve decision-making skills in realistic situations and do it in a reasonably nonmathematical fashion. Develops practical techniques for deciding upon the best strategies in a variety of situations. Provides methods for reducing complex problems to easily-drawn decision diagrams (trees), supported by real-world examples. Includes detailed cases that employ the methods described in the text. Each chapter contains illustrative examples and exercises.
Handbook Of Management Under Uncertainty
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Author : Jaime Gil-Aluja
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-12-01
Handbook Of Management Under Uncertainty written by Jaime Gil-Aluja and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-12-01 with Business & Economics categories.
A mere few years ago it would have seemed odd to propose a Handbook on the treatment of management problems within a sphere of uncertainty. Even today, on the threshold of the third millennium, this statement may provoke a certain wariness. In fact, to resort to exact or random data, that is probable date, is quite normal and con venient, as we then know where we are going best, where we are proposing to go if all occurs as it is conceived and hoped for. To treat uncertain information, to accept a new principle and from there determined criteria, without being sure of oneself and confiding only in the will to better understand objects and phenomena, constitutes and compromise with a new form of understanding the behaviour of current beings that goes even further than simple rationality. Economic Science and particularly the use of its elements of configuration in the world of management, has imbued several generations with an analytical spirit that has given rise to the elaboration of theories widely accepted by the international scientific community. In this work we are proposing something a little more modest: to use, in the best possible way, data and information that are available for drawing up and applying techniques and instruments that are useful for current reality within the world of businesses and institutions, in an attempt to mislead ourselves as little as possible.
Handbook On Decision Support Systems 2
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Author : Frada Burstein
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2008-01-22
Handbook On Decision Support Systems 2 written by Frada Burstein and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-01-22 with Business & Economics categories.
As the most comprehensive reference work dealing with decision support systems (DSS), this book is essential for the library of every DSS practitioner, researcher, and educator. Written by an international array of DSS luminaries, it contains more than 70 chapters that approach decision support systems from a wide variety of perspectives. These range from classic foundations to cutting-edge thought, informative to provocative, theoretical to practical, historical to futuristic, human to technological, and operational to strategic. The chapters are conveniently organized into ten major sections that novices and experts alike will refer to for years to come.
Theory Of Decision Under Uncertainty
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Author : Itzhak Gilboa
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2009-03-16
Theory Of Decision Under Uncertainty written by Itzhak Gilboa and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-03-16 with Business & Economics categories.
This book describes the classical axiomatic theories of decision under uncertainty, as well as critiques thereof and alternative theories. It focuses on the meaning of probability, discussing some definitions and surveying their scope of applicability. The behavioral definition of subjective probability serves as a way to present the classical theories, culminating in Savage's theorem. The limitations of this result as a definition of probability lead to two directions - first, similar behavioral definitions of more general theories, such as non-additive probabilities and multiple priors, and second, cognitive derivations based on case-based techniques.
Handbook Of The Fundamentals Of Financial Decision Making
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Author : Leonard C. MacLean
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2013
Handbook Of The Fundamentals Of Financial Decision Making written by Leonard C. MacLean and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with Business & Economics categories.
This handbook in two parts covers key topics of the theory of financial decision making. Some of the papers discuss real applications or case studies as well. There are a number of new papers that have never been published before especially in Part II.Part I is concerned with Decision Making Under Uncertainty. This includes subsections on Arbitrage, Utility Theory, Risk Aversion and Static Portfolio Theory, and Stochastic Dominance. Part II is concerned with Dynamic Modeling that is the transition for static decision making to multiperiod decision making. The analysis starts with Risk Measures and then discusses Dynamic Portfolio Theory, Tactical Asset Allocation and Asset-Liability Management Using Utility and Goal Based Consumption-Investment Decision Models.A comprehensive set of problems both computational and review and mind expanding with many unsolved problems are in an accompanying problems book. The handbook plus the book of problems form a very strong set of materials for PhD and Masters courses both as the main or as supplementary text in finance theory, financial decision making and portfolio theory. For researchers, it is a valuable resource being an up to date treatment of topics in the classic books on these topics by Johnathan Ingersoll in 1988, and William Ziemba and Raymond Vickson in 1975 (updated 2 nd edition published in 2006).
The Routledge Handbook Of Applied Climate Change Ethics
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Author : Donald A. Brown
language : en
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Release Date : 2023-09-27
The Routledge Handbook Of Applied Climate Change Ethics written by Donald A. Brown and has been published by Taylor & Francis this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-09-27 with Philosophy categories.
The Routledge Handbook of Applied Climate Change Ethics is a powerful reference source for the identification and exploration of the underlying ethical issues in climate change law and policy. Bridging theory with practice, it takes ethical engagement out of the classroom and into the halls of governance. The Handbook‘s 39 chapters--written by a diverse and inter-disciplinary team of experts from around the world--are case studies divided into five parts. Parts I-IV highlight the ethical issues that arise in climate change policy formation, from duties not to harm to duties to consider the views and voices of those who will be, or are being, harmed; from the role of human rights, justice, and democracy to how to identify and respond to disinformation and denialism. It also raises the ethics of various policy responses, such as cap-and-trade, carbon taxing, and geo-engineering. Part V offers a way forward, with strategies on how to expressly consider ethics in climate change policy formation, from negotiations to education, media, communication, and the power and potential of shaming. The volume is essential reading for students, professors, and practitioners who wish to better engage with government and non-government organizations on climate policy, to better understand the practical application of the theory and philosophy of ethics, and how to more strongly draft and defend ethical action in negotiating, drafting, and defending climate change law and policy.
Handbook Of Research On Decision Sciences And Applications In The Transportation Sector
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Author : Hassan, Said Ali
language : en
Publisher: IGI Global
Release Date : 2021-06-25
Handbook Of Research On Decision Sciences And Applications In The Transportation Sector written by Hassan, Said Ali and has been published by IGI Global this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-06-25 with Business & Economics categories.
The advancements in decision sciences theory and applications can be regarded as a continuously emerging field in all areas of interest including technology, industry, energy, healthcare, education, agriculture, social sciences, and more. Managers in all disciplines face an endless list of complex issues every day. One of the essential managerial skills is the ability to allocate and utilize limited resources appropriately in the efforts of achieving optimal performance efficiently. This is no less important for those who work in the transportation sector. The Handbook of Research on Decision Sciences and Applications in the Transportation Sector explores the importance of decision sciences and the ways in which they apply to the transportation sector. This book covers technologies and tools including machine learning, mathematical modeling, and simulation and their applications in such tasks as reducing fuel costs, improving passenger flow, and ensuring vehicle safety. It is an essential reference source for managers, professionals in the transport industry, supply chain specialists, safety officers, IT consultants, executives, practitioners, scientists, students, researchers, and academicians.