Historical Dynamics

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Historical Dynamics
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Author : Peter Turchin
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2003-10-19
Historical Dynamics written by Peter Turchin and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-10-19 with Business & Economics categories.
Statement of the problem -- Geopolitics -- Collective solidarity -- The metaethnic frontier theory -- An empirical test of the metaethnic frontier theory -- Ethnokinetics -- The demographic-structural theory -- Secular cycles in population numbers -- Case studies -- Mathematical appendix -- Data summaries for the test of the metaethnic frontier theory.
Historical Dynamics
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Author : Peter Turchin
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2018-05-08
Historical Dynamics written by Peter Turchin and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-05-08 with History categories.
Many historical processes are dynamic. Populations grow and decline. Empires expand and collapse. Religions spread and wither. Natural scientists have made great strides in understanding dynamical processes in the physical and biological worlds using a synthetic approach that combines mathematical modeling with statistical analyses. Taking up the problem of territorial dynamics--why some polities at certain times expand and at other times contract--this book shows that a similar research program can advance our understanding of dynamical processes in history. Peter Turchin develops hypotheses from a wide range of social, political, economic, and demographic factors: geopolitics, factors affecting collective solidarity, dynamics of ethnic assimilation/religious conversion, and the interaction between population dynamics and sociopolitical stability. He then translates these into a spectrum of mathematical models, investigates the dynamics predicted by the models, and contrasts model predictions with empirical patterns. Turchin's highly instructive empirical tests demonstrate that certain models predict empirical patterns with a very high degree of accuracy. For instance, one model accounts for the recurrent waves of state breakdown in medieval and early modern Europe. And historical data confirm that ethno-nationalist solidarity produces an aggressively expansive state under certain conditions (such as in locations where imperial frontiers coincide with religious divides). The strength of Turchin's results suggests that the synthetic approach he advocates can significantly improve our understanding of historical dynamics.
A Short History Of Mathematical Population Dynamics
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Author : Nicolas Bacaër
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2011-02-01
A Short History Of Mathematical Population Dynamics written by Nicolas Bacaër and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-02-01 with Mathematics categories.
As Eugene Wigner stressed, mathematics has proven unreasonably effective in the physical sciences and their technological applications. The role of mathematics in the biological, medical and social sciences has been much more modest but has recently grown thanks to the simulation capacity offered by modern computers. This book traces the history of population dynamics---a theoretical subject closely connected to genetics, ecology, epidemiology and demography---where mathematics has brought significant insights. It presents an overview of the genesis of several important themes: exponential growth, from Euler and Malthus to the Chinese one-child policy; the development of stochastic models, from Mendel's laws and the question of extinction of family names to percolation theory for the spread of epidemics, and chaotic populations, where determinism and randomness intertwine. The reader of this book will see, from a different perspective, the problems that scientists face when governments ask for reliable predictions to help control epidemics (AIDS, SARS, swine flu), manage renewable resources (fishing quotas, spread of genetically modified organisms) or anticipate demographic evolutions such as aging.
Dynamics Of World History
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Author : Christopher Dawson
language : en
Publisher: Open Road Media
Release Date : 2014-05-20
Dynamics Of World History written by Christopher Dawson and has been published by Open Road Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-05-20 with History categories.
In scope and in vision Christopher Dawson’s historiography ranks with the work of men like Spengler, Northrop, and Toynbee. Several major themes run through Dawson’s work, but perhaps his most unique contribution was his insistence on the importance of religion in shaping and sustaining civilizations. Religion, Dawson believed, is the great creative force in any culture, and the loss of a society’s historic religion therefore portends a process of social dissolution. For this reason, Dawson concluded that Western society must find a way to revitalize its spiritual life if it is to avoid irreversible decay. Progress, the real religion of modernity, is insufficient to sustain cultural health. And an ahistorical, secularized Christianity is an oxymoron, a pseudo-religion only nominally related to the historic religion of the West. Dawson maintained that the hope of the present age lay in the reconciliation of the religious tradition of Christianity with the intellectual tradition of humanism and the new knowledge about man and nature provided by modern science. Dynamics of World History shows that though such a task may be difficult, it is not impossible.
Changing Dynamics And Mechanisms Of Maritime Asia In Comparative Perspectives
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Author : Shigeru Akita
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2021-09-27
Changing Dynamics And Mechanisms Of Maritime Asia In Comparative Perspectives written by Shigeru Akita and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-09-27 with History categories.
This book attempts to reveal historical dynamism of transforming contemporary Maritime Asia and to identify key driving forces or agencies for the evolution and transformation of Maritime Asia in the context of global history studies. It seeks to accomplish these goals by connecting different experiences in Maritime Asia both historically from the late early-modern to the present and spatially covering both East and Southeast Asia. Focusing on interactions on and through oceans, seas, and islands, Maritime Asia can deal with any aspects of human society and the nature, including diplomacy, maritime trade, cultural exchange, identity and others. Its interest in supra-regional interactions and networks, migration and diaspora, combined with its microscopic concern with local and trans-border affairs, will surely contribute to the common task of contemporary social sciences and humanities, to relativize the conventional framework based on the nation-state. In this regard, research in Maritime Asia claims to be an integral part of global studies. Part I deals with long-distance trade and diplomatic relations during the late early modern era and its transition to the modern era, mainly in the nineteenth century. Part II focuses on the emergence of transregional and trans-oceanic Asian networks and the original institution-building efforts in the Asia-Pacific region in the twentieth century.
The Historical Dynamics Of Chinese Politics
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Author : Guangbin Yang
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2022-07-02
The Historical Dynamics Of Chinese Politics written by Guangbin Yang and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-07-02 with Political Science categories.
This book puts forward a new perspective, the historical dynamics of Chinese politics, for better understanding China’s politics, which is from the vertical history of China and the dimension of horizontal world politics, combining the historical analysis of how Chinese politics has come along the way and the comparative analysis of China's governance achievements in world politics. Based on this premise, this book attempts to explain the democratic discourse of contemporary Chinese political logic. The historical dynamics of Chinese politics comes from long-term communication between the author and Western scholars, which may help the global audience to understand China’s politics from all angles.
History Mathematics
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Author : Peter Turchin
language : en
Publisher: Editorial URSS
Release Date : 2006
History Mathematics written by Peter Turchin and has been published by Editorial URSS this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with Historical sociology categories.
History Mathematics
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Author : Grinin, Leonid
language : en
Publisher: ООО "Издательство "Учитель"
Release Date : 2014-10-15
History Mathematics written by Grinin, Leonid and has been published by ООО "Издательство "Учитель" this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-10-15 with categories.
The present yearbook (which is the fourth in the series) is subtitled Trends & Cycles. It is devoted to cyclical and trend dynamics in society and nature; special attention is paid to economic and demographic aspects, in particular to the mathematical modeling of the Malthusian and post-Malthusian traps' dynamics. An increasingly important role is played by new directions in historical research that study long-term dynamic processes and quantitative changes. This kind of history can hardly develop without the application of mathematical methods. There is a tendency to study history as a system of various processes, within which one can detect waves and cycles of different lengths – from a few years to several centuries, or even millennia. The contributions to this yearbook present a qualitative and quantitative analysis of global historical, political, economic and demographic processes, as well as their mathematical models. This issue of the yearbook consists of three main sections: (I) Long-Term Trends in Nature and Society; (II) Cyclical Processes in Pre-industrial Societies; (III) Contemporary History and Processes. We hope that this issue of the yearbook will be interesting and useful both for historians and mathematicians, as well as for all those dealing with various social and natural sciences.
A Spanish Discourse History Dynamics And Convergence
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Author : Pasquale De Marco
language : en
Publisher: Pasquale De Marco
Release Date : 2025-03-17
A Spanish Discourse History Dynamics And Convergence written by Pasquale De Marco and has been published by Pasquale De Marco this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-03-17 with Language Arts & Disciplines categories.
Embark on a Linguistic Journey: Discover the Rich History, Dynamic Evolution, and Global Impact of the Spanish Language In the realm of human expression, language holds a prominent place, connecting people across cultures and continents. Among these linguistic treasures, Spanish stands out as a vibrant and influential force, captivating hearts and minds around the world. This comprehensive volume takes you on a captivating journey through the world of Spanish, unveiling its rich history, dynamic evolution, and profound impact on global communication. From its humble origins in the Iberian Peninsula, Spanish has traversed oceans and continents, leaving an indelible mark on nations and cultures. Explore the captivating story of its historical roots, tracing its transformation from a regional dialect to a global language. Witness the pivotal moments that shaped its evolution, including the Reconquista, the Golden Age of Spanish literature, and the rise of the Spanish Empire. Delve into the intricate structure of Spanish, discovering the secrets of its phonetics, grammar, and vocabulary. Understand how the language has evolved over time, absorbing influences from diverse sources while retaining its own unique identity. Explore the fascinating world of Spanish dialects, each with its own distinct flavor and characteristics, reflecting the cultural diversity of the regions where they are spoken. Journey across the vast expanse of the Spanish-speaking world, from the vibrant cities of Latin America to the diverse communities of Europe, Africa, and Asia. Discover the unique ways in which Spanish has been shaped by local cultures and traditions, resulting in a rich tapestry of linguistic diversity. Encounter the challenges and triumphs of Spanish as it navigates the ever-changing currents of globalization and technological advancement. Uncover the enduring legacy of Spanish in literature, music, art, and film, showcasing the profound impact it has had on human creativity and expression. Celebrate the works of renowned authors, poets, and musicians who have used Spanish as their medium of artistic expression, leaving an indelible mark on the cultural landscape. Whether you are a student of language, a lover of literature, or simply curious about the world around you, this book is an invitation to explore the fascinating world of Spanish. Within these pages, you will discover the captivating story of a language that has touched countless lives and continues to inspire and connect people across borders. If you like this book, write a review!