How Novelty And Narratives Drive The Stock Market


How Novelty And Narratives Drive The Stock Market
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How Novelty And Narratives Drive The Stock Market


How Novelty And Narratives Drive The Stock Market
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Author : Nicholas Mangee
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2021

How Novelty And Narratives Drive The Stock Market written by Nicholas Mangee and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021 with BUSINESS & ECONOMICS categories.


"When unscheduled events hit the stock market, from corporate scandals and technological breakthroughs to recessions and pandemics, relationships driving returns change in unforeseeable ways. To deal with uncertainty, investors engage in narratives thatwhich simplify the complexity of real-time, non-routine change. Narratives themselves are a source of uncertainty as investors tell stories that others have told them and so on. This book assesses the Novelty-Narrative Hypothesis for the U.S. stock market by conducting a comprehensive investigation of unscheduled events through big data textual news analysis of Dow Jones and Bloomberg News financial reports. Analysis is motivated by great early thinkers of modern-day capital markets, such as Knight, Keynes, and Popper, and recent evidence from outside disciplines, such as cognitive psychology, sociology, and linguistics. Findings suggests that major macro events and associated narratives spill over into the churning stream of corporate novelty and sub-narratives, spawning different forms of unforeseeable stock market instability"--



How Novelty And Narratives Drive The Stock Market


How Novelty And Narratives Drive The Stock Market
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Author : Nicholas Mangee
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2021-10-14

How Novelty And Narratives Drive The Stock Market written by Nicholas Mangee and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-10-14 with Business & Economics categories.


The novelty-narrative hypothesis is used to understand stock market instability using big data textual analytics of financial news.



Imperfect Knowledge Economics


Imperfect Knowledge Economics
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Author : Roman Frydman
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2007

Imperfect Knowledge Economics written by Roman Frydman and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with Business & Economics categories.


Posing a major challenge to economic orthodoxy, Imperfect Knowledge Economics asserts that exact models of purposeful human behavior are beyond the reach of economic analysis. Roman Frydman and Michael Goldberg argue that the longstanding empirical failures of conventional economic models stem from their futile efforts to make exact predictions about the consequences of rational, self-interested behavior. Such predictions, based on mechanistic models of human behavior, disregard the importance of individual creativity and unforeseeable sociopolitical change. Scientific though these explanations may appear, they usually fail to predict how markets behave. And, the authors contend, recent behavioral models of the market are no less mechanistic than their conventional counterparts: they aim to generate exact predictions of "irrational" human behavior. Frydman and Goldberg offer a long-overdue response to the shortcomings of conventional economic models. Drawing attention to the inherent limits of economists' knowledge, they introduce a new approach to economic analysis: Imperfect Knowledge Economics (IKE). IKE rejects exact quantitative predictions of individual decisions and market outcomes in favor of mathematical models that generate only qualitative predictions of economic change. Using the foreign exchange market as a testing ground for IKE, this book sheds new light on exchange-rate and risk-premium movements, which have confounded conventional models for decades. Offering a fresh way to think about markets and representing a potential turning point in economics, Imperfect Knowledge Economics will be essential reading for economists, policymakers, and professional investors.



Narrative Economics


Narrative Economics
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Author : Robert J. Shiller
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2020-09-01

Narrative Economics written by Robert J. Shiller and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-09-01 with Business & Economics categories.


From Nobel Prize–winning economist and New York Times bestselling author Robert Shiller, a groundbreaking account of how stories help drive economic events—and why financial panics can spread like epidemic viruses Stories people tell—about financial confidence or panic, housing booms, or Bitcoin—can go viral and powerfully affect economies, but such narratives have traditionally been ignored in economics and finance because they seem anecdotal and unscientific. In this groundbreaking book, Robert Shiller explains why we ignore these stories at our peril—and how we can begin to take them seriously. Using a rich array of examples and data, Shiller argues that studying popular stories that influence individual and collective economic behavior—what he calls "narrative economics"—may vastly improve our ability to predict, prepare for, and lessen the damage of financial crises and other major economic events. The result is nothing less than a new way to think about the economy, economic change, and economics. In a new preface, Shiller reflects on some of the challenges facing narrative economics, discusses the connection between disease epidemics and economic epidemics, and suggests why epidemiology may hold lessons for fighting economic contagions.



Macroeconomic Inequality From Reagan To Trump


Macroeconomic Inequality From Reagan To Trump
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Author : Lance Taylor
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2020-08-20

Macroeconomic Inequality From Reagan To Trump written by Lance Taylor and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-08-20 with Business & Economics categories.


An innovative approach to measuring inequality providing the first full integration of distributional and macro level data for the US.



Beast On Wall Street


Beast On Wall Street
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Author : Robert A. Haugen
language : en
Publisher: Pearson
Release Date : 1999

Beast On Wall Street written by Robert A. Haugen and has been published by Pearson this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999 with Actions (Titres de société) categories.


It is now abundantly clear that stock volatility is a contagious disease that spreads virulently from market to market around the world. Price changes in one market drive subsequent price changes in that market as well as in others. In Beast, Haugen makes a compelling case for the fact that even under normal conditions, fully 80 percent of stock volatility is price driven. Moreover, this volatility is far from benign. It acts to reduce the level of investment spending and constitutes a significant and permanent drag on economic growth. Price-driven volatility is unstable. Dramatic and unpredictable explosions in price-driven volatility can send stock markets in a downward spiral and cause significant disruptions in economic activity. Haugen argues that this indeed happened in 1929 and 1930. If volatility in Asian markets persists, it can easily become the source of the problem rather than merely a symptom.



Fooled By Randomness


Fooled By Randomness
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Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
language : en
Publisher: Random House
Release Date : 2008-10-14

Fooled By Randomness written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and has been published by Random House this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-10-14 with Business & Economics categories.


Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill. This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives. The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness. However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance. Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared. Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year



The New Laws Of The Stock Market Jungle


The New Laws Of The Stock Market Jungle
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Author : Michael J. Panzner
language : en
Publisher: Financial Times/Prentice Hall
Release Date : 2005

The New Laws Of The Stock Market Jungle written by Michael J. Panzner and has been published by Financial Times/Prentice Hall this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Business & Economics categories.


Today's radically new equity markets: what every investor must know to survive . . . and thrive. bull; Why many of yesterday's key indicators and market patterns simply don't work anymore - and what to do about it. bull; How e-trading, instant messaging, and hedge funds are causing unprecedented market volatility. bull; Develop an appropriate investment strategy based on today's new realities.



Owning The Olympics


Owning The Olympics
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Author : Monroe Price
language : en
Publisher: University of Michigan Press
Release Date : 2009-12-10

Owning The Olympics written by Monroe Price and has been published by University of Michigan Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-12-10 with History categories.


"A major contribution to the study of global events in times of global media. Owning the Olympics tests the possibilities and limits of the concept of 'media events' by analyzing the mega-event of the information age: the Beijing Olympics. . . . A good read from cover to cover." —Guobin Yang, Associate Professor, Asian/Middle Eastern Cultures & Sociology, Barnard College, Columbia University From the moment they were announced, the Beijing Games were a major media event and the focus of intense scrutiny and speculation. In contrast to earlier such events, however, the Beijing Games are also unfolding in a newly volatile global media environment that is no longer monopolized by broadcast media. The dramatic expansion of media outlets and the growth of mobile communications technology have changed the nature of media events, making it significantly more difficult to regulate them or control their meaning. This volatility is reflected in the multiple, well-publicized controversies characterizing the run-up to Beijing 2008. According to many Western commentators, the People's Republic of China seized the Olympics as an opportunity to reinvent itself as the "New China"---a global leader in economics, technology, and environmental issues, with an improving human-rights record. But China's maneuverings have also been hotly contested by diverse global voices, including prominent human-rights advocates, all seeking to displace the official story of the Games. Bringing together a distinguished group of scholars from Chinese studies, human rights, media studies, law, and other fields, Owning the Olympics reveals how multiple entities---including the Chinese Communist Party itself---seek to influence and control the narratives through which the Beijing Games will be understood. digitalculturebooks is an imprint of the University of Michigan Press and the Scholarly Publishing Office of the University of Michigan Library dedicated to publishing innovative and accessible work exploring new media and their impact on society, culture, and scholarly communication. Visit the website at www.digitalculture.org.



Never Together


Never Together
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Author : Peter Temin
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2022-02-24

Never Together written by Peter Temin and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-02-24 with Business & Economics categories.


An inclusive economic history of America describing two centuries of American racial conflicts since the Constitution was written.