Identifying Stock Market Bubbles
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Identifying Stock Market Bubbles
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Author : Azar Karimov
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-09-29
Identifying Stock Market Bubbles written by Azar Karimov and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-09-29 with Business & Economics categories.
This book introduces readers to a new approach to identifying stock market bubbles by using the illiquidity premium, a parameter derived by employing conic finance theory. Further, it shows how to develop the closed form formulas of the bid and ask prices of European options by using Black-Scholes and Kou models. By using the derived formulas and sliding windows technique, the book explains how to numerically calculate illiquidity premiums. The methods introduced here will enable readers interested in risk management, portfolio optimization and hedging in real-time to identify when asset prices are in a bubble state and when that bubble bursts. Moreover, the techniques discussed will allow them to accurately recognize periods of exuberance and panic, and to measure how different strategies work during these phases with respect to calmer periods of market behavior. A brief history of financial bubbles and an outlook on future developments serve to round out the coverage.
Boom And Bust
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Author : William Quinn
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2020-08-06
Boom And Bust written by William Quinn and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-08-06 with Business & Economics categories.
Why do stock and housing markets sometimes experience amazing booms followed by massive busts and why is this happening more and more frequently? Boom and Bust reveals why bubbles happen, and why some bubbles have catastrophic economic, social and political consequences, whilst others have actually benefited society.
Bubbles And Crashes
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Author : Brent Goldfarb
language : en
Publisher: Stanford University Press
Release Date : 2023-05-25
Bubbles And Crashes written by Brent Goldfarb and has been published by Stanford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-05-25 with Business & Economics categories.
"An interesting take on some factors that facilitate the development and bursting of bubbles in technology industries. . . . Highly recommended." — Choice Financial market bubbles are recurring, often painful, reminders of the costs and benefits of capitalism. While many books have studied financial manias and crises, most fail to compare times of turmoil with times of stability. In Bubbles and Crashes, Brent Goldfarb and David A. Kirsch give us new insights into the causes of speculative booms and busts. They identify a class of assets—major technological innovations—that can, but does not necessarily, produce bubbles. This methodological twist is essential: Only by comparing similar events that sometimes lead to booms and busts can we ascertain the root causes of bubbles. Using a sample of eighty-eight technologies spanning 150 years, Goldfarb and Kirsch find that four factors play a key role in these episodes: the degree of uncertainty surrounding a particular innovation; the attentive presence of novice investors; the opportunity to directly invest in companies that specialize in the technology; and whether or not a technology is a good protagonist in a narrative. Goldfarb and Kirsch consider the implications of their analysis for technology bubbles that may be in the works today, offer tools for investors to identify whether a bubble is happening, and propose policy measures that may mitigate the risks associated with future speculative episodes.
Identifying Bubbles Before They Burst
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Author : Barrett Williams
language : en
Publisher: Barrett Williams
Release Date : 2025-04-26
Identifying Bubbles Before They Burst written by Barrett Williams and has been published by Barrett Williams this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-04-26 with Business & Economics categories.
Dive into the world of finance with "Identifying Bubbles Before They Burst," a compelling guide designed to empower you with the knowledge to navigate the most unpredictable market phenomena—financial bubbles. This essential eBook uncovers the intricate anatomy of bubbles, dissecting historical examples and the psychological drivers that inflate them. Start with a deep understanding of what truly defines a bubble, then journey through the early tell-tale signs that can help you spot potential market upheavals. From real estate to cryptocurrencies, stock markets to commodities, and even the enigmatic world of forex, this book meticulously analyzes various sectors to highlight recurring patterns and critical warning indicators. Explore in-depth case studies such as the 2008 housing crisis, the dot-com bust, and the 2017 crypto boom to learn from the past and apply these lessons to future investment decisions. With an entire chapter dedicated to the pivotal role of economic indicators like interest rates, employment, and central bank policies, you'll gain insights into the broader economic forces at play. Uncover the often-overlooked psychological aspects of investing with a deep dive into herd mentality, fear, and greed. Arm yourself with an arsenal of tools and techniques, from traditional financial ratios and technical analysis strategies to the latest in machine learning and big data applications. As you explore risk management techniques, discover diversification strategies, options and hedging tactics, and stress testing methods to effectively mitigate your financial exposure. The book concludes with insights into sustainable investing and building a resilient portfolio that withstands the test of time. Prepare for future financial challenges, make informed investment decisions, and secure your financial future with the invaluable guidance found within "Identifying Bubbles Before They Burst." Whether you're a seasoned investor or just starting, this book is your ultimate resource for mastering the art of bubble identification and management.
Boombustology
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Author : Vikram Mansharamani
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2011-02-08
Boombustology written by Vikram Mansharamani and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-02-08 with Business & Economics categories.
A multi-disciplinary framework through which to spot financial bubbles before they burst. Based on a popular undergraduate seminar, entitled Financial Booms & Busts, taught by the author at Yale University, Boombustology presents a multi-disciplinary framework for identifying unsustainable booms and forthcoming busts. The magnitude of our recent financial crisis mandates a firm understanding of this phenomenon before the next crisis occurs. Boombustology provides an in-depth look at several major booms and busts and offers a solid framework for thinking about future occurrences. Examines why booms and busts are not random and can therefore be identified Focuses upon various theoretical and disciplinary lenses useful in the study of booms and busts Contains a framework for thinking about and identifying forthcoming financial bubbles including several tell-tale indicators of a forthcoming bust. Illustrates the framework in action by evaluating China as a potential bubble in the making. If you want to make better decisions in today’s turbulent investment environment, understanding the dynamics of booms and busts is the best place the start. Boombustology can help you achieve this elusive goal. Vikram Mansharamani is a Lecturer at Yale University and a global equity investor.
Speculation Trading And Bubbles
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Author : José A. Scheinkman
language : en
Publisher: Columbia University Press
Release Date : 2014-07-08
Speculation Trading And Bubbles written by José A. Scheinkman and has been published by Columbia University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-07-08 with Business & Economics categories.
As long as there have been financial markets, there have been bubbles—those moments in which asset prices inflate far beyond their intrinsic value, often with ruinous results. Yet economists are slow to agree on the underlying forces behind these events. In this book José A. Scheinkman offers new insight into the mystery of bubbles. Noting some general characteristics of bubbles—such as the rise in trading volume and the coincidence between increases in supply and bubble implosions—Scheinkman offers a model, based on differences in beliefs among investors, that explains these observations. Other top economists also offer their own thoughts on the issue: Sanford J. Grossman and Patrick Bolton expand on Scheinkman's discussion by looking at factors that contribute to bubbles—such as excessive leverage, overconfidence, mania, and panic in speculative markets—and Kenneth J. Arrow and Joseph E. Stiglitz contextualize Scheinkman's findings.
Anatomy Of Stock Market Bubbles
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Author : György Komáromi
language : en
Publisher: ICFAI Books
Release Date : 2006-11-14
Anatomy Of Stock Market Bubbles written by György Komáromi and has been published by ICFAI Books this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-11-14 with Business enterprises categories.
This book presents one of the most controversial happenings in economics stock market bubbles. The author discusses this topic threadbare and provides a critical analysis of related literature from different economic schools. This book also presents analy
Asset Price Bubbles
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Author : William Curt Hunter
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 2005
Asset Price Bubbles written by William Curt Hunter and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Business & Economics categories.
A study of asset price bubbles and the implications for preventing financial instability.
Economic Uncertainty Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays
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Author : Anastasios G Malliaris
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2005-10-03
Economic Uncertainty Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays written by Anastasios G Malliaris and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-10-03 with Business & Economics categories.
The compendium of papers in this volume focuses on aspects of economic uncertainty, financial instabilities and asset bubbles.Economic uncertainty is modeled in continuous time using the mathematical techniques of stochastic calculus. A detailed treatment of important topics is provided, including the existence and uniqueness of asymptotic economic growth, the modeling of inflation and interest rates, the decomposition of inflation and its volatility, and the extension of the quantity theory of money to allow for randomness.The reader is also introduced to the methods of chaotic dynamics, and this methodology is applied to asset pricing, the European equity markets, and the multi-fractality in foreign currency markets.Since the techniques of stochastic calculus and chaotic dynamics do not readily accommodate the presence of stochastic bubbles, several papers discuss in depth the presence of financial bubbles in asset prices, and econometric work is performed to link such bubbles to monetary policy.Finally, since bubbles often burst rather than deflate slowly, the last section of the book studies the crash of October 1987 as well as other crashes of national equity markets due to the Persian gulf crisis.
Bursting The Bubble Rationality In A Seemingly Irrational Market
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Author : David F. DeRosa
language : en
Publisher: CFA Institute Research Foundation
Release Date : 2021-04-02
Bursting The Bubble Rationality In A Seemingly Irrational Market written by David F. DeRosa and has been published by CFA Institute Research Foundation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-04-02 with Business & Economics categories.
The presence of speculative bubbles in capital markets (an important area of interest in financial history) is widely accepted across many circles. Talk of them is pervasive in the media and especially in the popular financial press. Bubbles are thought to be found primarily in the stock market, which is our main interest, although bubbles are said to occur in other markets. Bubbles go hand in hand with the notion that markets can be irrational. The academic community has a great interest in bubbles, and it has produced scholarly literature that is voluminous. For some economists, doing bubble research is like joining the vanguard of a Kuhnian paradigm shift in economic thinking. Not so fast. If bubbles did exist, they would pose a serious challenge to neoclassical finance. Bubbles would contradict the ideas that markets are rational or work in an informationally efficient manner. That’s what makes the topic of bubbles interesting. This book reviews and evaluates the academic literature as well as some popular investment books on the possible existence of speculative bubbles in the stock market. The main question is whether there is convincing empirical evidence that bubbles exist. A second question is whether the theoretical concepts that have been advanced for bubbles make them plausible. The reader will discover that I am skeptical that bubbles actually exist. But I do not think I or anyone else will ever be able to conclusively prove that there has never been a bubble. From studying the literature and from reading history, I find that many famous purported bubbles reflect inaccurate history or mistakes in analysis or simply cannot be shown to have existed. In other instances, bubbles might have existed. But in each of those cases, there are credible rational explanations. And good evidence exists for the idea that even if bubbles do exist, they are not of great importance to understanding the stock market.