Impact Of Changes In Macroeconomic Factors On Stock Price Performance
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Impact Of Changes In Macroeconomic Factors On Stock Price Performance
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Author : Norli Ali
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2001
Impact Of Changes In Macroeconomic Factors On Stock Price Performance written by Norli Ali and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001 with Macroeconomics categories.
The Effects Of Macroeconomic Variables On Stock Prices Conventional Versus News Models
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Author : John Vaz
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2011
The Effects Of Macroeconomic Variables On Stock Prices Conventional Versus News Models written by John Vaz and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011 with categories.
Stock prices are usually analysed and explained in terms of underlying financial indicators, such as earnings per share or dividend payout ratios. Nevertheless, fluctuations in the conditions of the economy can result in changes in demand, which can impact on profits and dividends. Since macroeconomic variables affect financial indicators it follows that macroeconomic variables affect stock prices. If markets are rational and efficient, then stock prices will reflect all known information regarding macroeconomic factors that are perceived to affect stock prices. It follows that stock prices should not change significantly unless there is a surprise or news about the state of the economy (as reflected in unexpected changes in macroeconomic variables). Intuitively, this implies that models of stock price determination based on news ought to be superior to conventional models that use the levels or changes in variables. The utilisation of news in research on stock prices is very limited. Two approaches have been traditionally used to represent the news in the absence of surveys of expectations: either by assuming announcements are news such as those in event studies or by using an econometric time series approach to extract the news components from total changes in the variables, as is the case with the news model. The majority of studies involving news models have been in the foreign exchange market using news estimated econometrically-very little has been done in estimating and testing a macro news model of stock prices and certainly nothing has been done on stock prices in developed economies such as Australia. Thus this research is motivated by the significant gaps in the literature with respect to the development, estimation and testing of a news model of stock prices. Most of the studies that investigate the relations between macro variables and stock prices have been carried out using conventional approaches by estimating models that use the variables in their levels. Some of the multivariable models of stock prices arise as a result of anomalies found in implementing the capital asset pricing model. Other multivariable approaches such as the arbitrage pricing theory (APT), due to Ross (1976), suggest that macro variables are useful, but APT is silent on the appropriate macroeconomic explanatory variables. Furthermore, there have been limited attempts to examine macroeconomic variables collectively, but not with the aim of developing a macro model of stock prices. This thesis presents the results of research that uses comprehensive econometric procedures to investigate which macroeconomic variables have significant effects on Australian stock prices and whether news about such variables can enhance the performance of conventional stock price determination models. Seven macroeconomic variables are examined: interest rates, inflation, the money supply, economic activity, commodity prices, exchange rates and a foreign stock market index to account for spill-over effects. This provides a valuable contribution to the understanding of the individual effects of macroeconomic variables on stock prices and adds to the limited literature regarding the usefulness of news in models of stock price determination. The results from this research demonstrate that although news is a theoretically sound and intuitively plausible basis for improving macro models of stock prices, in practice there is no ex-ante exploitation possible by estimating news utilising econometric methods. Simply put, news cannot be predicted-this is established by using three comprehensive methods of estimating news, which is the residual of a model fitted to the time series data of a particular variable.
Changes In Macroeconomic Variables And Their Impact On Stock Price Indices A Case Study Of The Financial Times Stock Exchange Ftse And Johannesburg Stock Exchange Jse Indices
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Author : Kudzanai Chakona
language : en
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Release Date : 2022-11-07
Changes In Macroeconomic Variables And Their Impact On Stock Price Indices A Case Study Of The Financial Times Stock Exchange Ftse And Johannesburg Stock Exchange Jse Indices written by Kudzanai Chakona and has been published by GRIN Verlag this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-11-07 with Business & Economics categories.
Research Paper (undergraduate) from the year 2017 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, Birmingham City University, course: MSc Accountancy and Finance (ACCA), language: English, abstract: The purpose of this study is to analyse the changes in macroeconomic variables and evaluate the impact on a company’s stock prices, by examining the impact of changes macroeconomic variables, determining which macro-economic variables that have the least and most impact on stock prices and also suggest ways in which the impact on the macroeconomic variables on stock prices can be hedged against using agricultural futures, metal futures or a risk-free asset. The study will use five econometric models to test this impact, these include the Granger Causality test, Johansen Co-Integration test, Vector Error Model, Walt Test statistic, Multiple Regression Model. A review of a number of academic literature by notable analysis for both developed and developing markets will be provided. The FTSE share price index will be used in the study to represent the developed markets and the JSE share price index will be used in the study to represent the developing markets.
Business Economics Financial Sciences And Management
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Author : Min Zhu
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-02-11
Business Economics Financial Sciences And Management written by Min Zhu and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-02-11 with Technology & Engineering categories.
A series of papers on business, economics, and financial sciences, management selected from International Conference on Business, Economics, and Financial Sciences, Management are included in this volume. Management in all business and organizational activities is the act of getting people together to accomplish desired goals and objectives using available resources efficiently and effectively. Management comprises planning, organizing, staffing, leading or directing, and controlling an organization (a group of one or more people or entities) or effort for the purpose of accomplishing a goal. Resourcing encompasses the deployment and manipulation of human resources, financial resources, technological resources and natural resources. The proceedings of BEFM2011 focuses on the various aspects of advances in Business, Economics, and Financial Sciences, Management and provides a chance for academic and industry professionals to discuss recent progress in the area of Business, Economics, and Financial Sciences, Management. It is hoped that the present book will be useful to experts and professors, both specialists and graduate students in the related fields.
Do Macroeconomic Variables Have An Effect On The Us Stock Market
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Author : Dennis Sauert
language : en
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Release Date : 2010-10-12
Do Macroeconomic Variables Have An Effect On The Us Stock Market written by Dennis Sauert and has been published by GRIN Verlag this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-10-12 with Business & Economics categories.
Seminar paper from the year 2010 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, grade: 1.0, Berlin School of Economics, language: English, abstract: The objective of this paper is to examine whether the unanticipated change of specific macroeconomic variables influences the US stock market represented by the S&P 500 using monthly data from 1986 to 2007. Thereby, the performance of the arbitrage pricing theory of Ross (cp. Ross, S., 1976) shall be studied. To explain the behavior of the US stock market return the paper contains the five predefined variables consumer price index (CPI), industrial production index (IPT), money stock M1 (M1), total consumer credit outstanding (TCC) and the term structure of interest rates (Term) which are approximately similar to those variables used by Ross (cp. Chen N. F. et al., 1986, pp. 383-403). Applying the OLS method, it was found that CPI, IPT and Term are negatively related to the US stock return. It was also detected that M1 affects the stock market lagging 8 months and 12 months. However, the test statistics showed that TCC has rather no impact on the US stock market return. To ensure that the ultimate results are not spurious, care will be taken in regards to autocorrelation, multicollinearity, serial correlation as well as heteroskedasticity.
Do Macroeconomic Variables Have An Effect On The Us Stock Market
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Author : Dennis Sauert
language : en
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Release Date : 2010-10
Do Macroeconomic Variables Have An Effect On The Us Stock Market written by Dennis Sauert and has been published by GRIN Verlag this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-10 with Business & Economics categories.
Seminar paper from the year 2010 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, grade: 1.0, Berlin School of Economics, language: English, abstract: The objective of this paper is to examine whether the unanticipated change of specific macroeconomic variables influences the US stock market represented by the S&P 500 using monthly data from 1986 to 2007. Thereby, the performance of the arbitrage pricing theory of Ross (cp. Ross, S., 1976) shall be studied. To explain the behavior of the US stock market return the paper contains the five predefined variables consumer price index (CPI), industrial production index (IPT), money stock M1 (M1), total consumer credit outstanding (TCC) and the term structure of interest rates (Term) which are approximately similar to those variables used by Ross (cp. Chen N. F. et al., 1986, pp. 383-403). Applying the OLS method, it was found that CPI, IPT and Term are negatively related to the US stock return. It was also detected that M1 affects the stock market lagging 8 months and 12 months. However, the test statistics showed that TCC has rather no impact on the US stock market return. To ensure that the ultimate results are not spurious, care will be taken in regards to autocorrelation, multicollinearity, serial correlation as well as heteroskedasticity.
Indian Stock Returns And Macroeconomics
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Author : Shivi Suhag
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2023-07-06
Indian Stock Returns And Macroeconomics written by Shivi Suhag and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-07-06 with Business & Economics categories.
Indian stock returns refer to the performance or profitability of the Indian stock market over a certain period. It is a measure of the gains or losses an investor realizes from investing in Indian stocks. Stock returns can be calculated by comparing the current price of a stock with its purchase price, including any dividends received during the holding period.Macroeconomics, on the other hand, is a branch of economics that deals with the overall performance and behavior of the economy as a whole. It focuses on studying aggregates such as GDP (Gross Domestic Product), inflation, unemployment, interest rates, and other macroeconomic indicators to understand the functioning of the economy and make policy recommendations.The relationship between stock returns and macroeconomics is complex and intertwined. Macroeconomic factors play a significant role in influencing stock market performance. Here are some key macroeconomic variables that impact Indian stock returns: 1. GDP Growth: High GDP growth is generally associated with increased corporate profits and positive investor sentiment, leading to higher stock returns. Conversely, low or negative GDP growth can dampen investor confidence and result in lower stock returns.2. Inflation: Inflation refers to the general increase in prices of goods and services over time. Moderate inflation can be conducive to stock market performance as it indicates a growing economy. However, high inflation can erode purchasing power and negatively impact corporate profitability, leading to lower stock returns.3. Interest Rates: Changes in interest rates have a direct impact on the cost of borrowing and the attractiveness of different investment options. Lower interest rates generally favor stock market investments as they make equities more attractive relative to fixed-income securities. Conversely, higher interest rates may reduce stock market returns as investors shift towards safer fixed-income investments.4. Monetary Policy: The policies implemented by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), such as adjustments to the repo rate or cash reserve ratio, can influence liquidity and credit conditions in the economy. Accommodative monetary policy measures can stimulate economic growth and boost stock returns, while tight monetary policy can have the opposite effect.5. Fiscal Policy: Government spending, taxation, and fiscal deficit also impact the stock market. Expansionary fiscal policies, such as increased government spending, can stimulate economic activity and have a positive effect on stock returns. Conversely, contractionary fiscal policies may dampen investor sentiment and lead to lower stock returns.It's important to note that stock market returns are also influenced by company-specific factors, market sentiment, investor behavior, and other variables apart from macroeconomic factors. Therefore, analyzing Indian stock returns requires considering a wide range of factors, including both macroeconomic indicators and specific market dynamics.
The Impact Of Inflation And Monetary Policy Shocks On Stock Market Performance In Zimbabwe
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Author : Mkhululi Ncube
language : en
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Release Date : 2024-05-16
The Impact Of Inflation And Monetary Policy Shocks On Stock Market Performance In Zimbabwe written by Mkhululi Ncube and has been published by GRIN Verlag this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-05-16 with Business & Economics categories.
Bachelor Thesis from the year 2023 in the subject Economics - Finance, grade: Distinction, National University of Science & Technology Zimbabwe (Finance), language: English, abstract: This study examines the impact of inflation and monetary policy shocks on stock market performance in Zimbabwe from 2000 to 2022. The study analyzes the relationship between different variables' regression using data obtained from the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange (ZSE) returns, inflation rates obtained from the Zimbabwe National Statistics Agency (ZIMSTAT), and interest rates obtained from the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe. In this regression, ZSE returns are the dependent variable while inflation and interest rates are the independent variables. The research findings suggest that inflation has a negative impact, while monetary policy shocks have a positive impact on stock market performance in Zimbabwe. The study finds that inflation has a significant and persistent negative effect on stock market returns, with a one standard deviation shock in inflation leading to a significant decline in stock market returns. Moreover, the study identifies that monetary policy shocks, such as changes in interest rates, have a significant impact on stock market returns, but the effect is less pronounced compared to inflation in Zimbabwe. Furthermore, the study examines the transmission channels through which monetary policy shocks affect the stock market in Zimbabwe. The results suggest that changes in interest rates affect the stock market mainly through their impact on inflation expectations and exchange rates. This highlights the importance of considering both monetary and macroeconomic factors when analyzing the impact of monetary policy on the stock market in Zimbabwe. The study concludes that high inflation rates and frequent monetary policy interventions have a detrimental effect on stock market performance in Zimbabwe. The findings of this research are relevant to investors, policymakers, and analysts who are interested in understanding the relationship between inflation, monetary policy, and stock market performance in Zimbabwe. The study also analyzed the impact of GDP and exchange rate as control variables on stock market performance. The results suggested that changes in exchange rates have a negative impact on stock market returns GDP have a negative impact. The joint impact of inflation and monetary policy shocks was also found to be significant, indicating that both variables affect stock returns.
Global Tensions In Financial Markets
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Author : John W. Kensinger
language : en
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
Release Date : 2018-03-30
Global Tensions In Financial Markets written by John W. Kensinger and has been published by Emerald Group Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-03-30 with Business & Economics categories.
The volume first investigates the impact of macroeconomic variables on equity values in emerging economies as compared with developed economies. Next it affirms the efficiency of the Midcontinent Independent System Operator electricity exchange. Finally it investigates efforts to stimulate emerging nations around the world.
The Effect Of Macroeconomic Variables On Stock Prices
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Author : Shivangi Singh
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2014
The Effect Of Macroeconomic Variables On Stock Prices written by Shivangi Singh and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014 with categories.
The relationship between fundamental macroeconomic variables of the economy and stock markets is an essential one. It affects the perspective of monetary and fiscal policy decisions, portfolio management and economic development. It has been studied that macroeconomic variables can influence investors' investment decisions. Over the world, many researchers have investigated the relationships between stock market prices and various macroeconomic variables. The focus of the current paper is to investigate whether the share price index can be considered as a reflection of economic activities in India. This study investigates the impact of five selected macroeconomic variables on Stock Market Liquidity of S&P CNX Nifty. As a result of this analysis, a simple model of the influence of macroeconomic fundamentals on the stock market index has been suggested. For better stock market performance, policy makers should put in place measures that will ensure a stable macroeconomic environment.
