Inference Method And Decision
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Inference Method And Decision
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Author : R.D. Rosenkrantz
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Inference Method And Decision written by R.D. Rosenkrantz and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Science categories.
This book grew out of previously published papers of mine composed over a period of years; they have been reworked (sometimes beyond recognition) so as to form a reasonably coherent whole. Part One treats of informative inference. I argue (Chapter 2) that the traditional principle of induction in its clearest formulation (that laws are confirmed by their positive cases) is clearly false. Other formulations in terms of the 'uniformity of nature' or the 'resemblance of the future to the past' seem to me hopelessly unclear. From a Bayesian point of view, 'learning from experience' goes by conditionalization (Bayes' rule). The traditional stum bling block for Bayesians has been to fmd objective probability inputs to conditionalize upon. Subjective Bayesians allow any probability inputs that do not violate the usual axioms of probability. Many subjectivists grant that this liberality seems prodigal but own themselves unable to think of additional constraints that might plausibly be imposed. To be sure, if we could agree on the correct probabilistic representation of 'ignorance' (or absence of pertinent data), then all probabilities obtained by applying Bayes' rule to an 'informationless' prior would be objective. But familiar contra dictions, like the Bertrand paradox, are thought to vitiate all attempts to objectify 'ignorance'. BuUding on the earlier work of Sir Harold Jeffreys, E. T. Jaynes, and the more recent work ofG. E. P. Box and G. E. Tiao, I have elected to bite this bullet. In Chapter 3, I develop and defend an objectivist Bayesian approach.
Inference Method And Decision
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Author : Roger D. Rosenkrantz
language : es
Publisher:
Release Date : 1977
Inference Method And Decision written by Roger D. Rosenkrantz and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1977 with categories.
Information Inference And Decision
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Author : G. Menges
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Information Inference And Decision written by G. Menges and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Social Science categories.
Under the title 'Information, Inference and Decision' this volume in the Theory and Decision Library presents some papers on issues from the borderland of statistical inference philosophy and epistemology, written by statisticians and decision theorists who belonged or are allied to the former Saarbriicken school of statistical decision theory. In the first part I make an attempt to outline an objective theory of inductive behaviour, on the basis of R. A. Fisher's statistical inference philosophy, on the one hand, and R. Carnap's inductive logic, on the other. A special problem arising in the context of the new theory, viz., the problem of vagueness of concepts (in particular in the social sciences) is treated separately by H. Skala and myself. B. Leiner has contributed some biographical and bibliographical notes on the objective theory of inductive behaviour. Part II is concerned with inference philosophy. D. A. S. Fraser, the founder of structural inference theory, characterizes and compares some inference philosophies, and discusses his own and the arguments of the critics of his structural theory. In my opinion, Fraser's structural infer ence theory is suited to complete Fisher's inference philosophy in some essential points, if not to replace it. An interesting task for future re search work is to establish the connection between Fraser's theory and Carnap's ideas in the framework of an objective theory of inductive behaviour.
Inference And Decision
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Author : Günter Menges
language : en
Publisher: University Press of Canada ; Delhi : Hindustan Publishing Corporation
Release Date : 1973
Inference And Decision written by Günter Menges and has been published by University Press of Canada ; Delhi : Hindustan Publishing Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1973 with Business & Economics categories.
Comparative Statistical Inference
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Author : Vic Barnett
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2009-09-25
Comparative Statistical Inference written by Vic Barnett and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-09-25 with Mathematics categories.
This fully updated and revised third edition, presents a wide ranging, balanced account of the fundamental issues across the full spectrum of inference and decision-making. Much has happened in this field since the second edition was published: for example, Bayesian inferential procedures have not only gained acceptance but are often the preferred methodology. This book will be welcomed by both the student and practising statistician wishing to study at a fairly elementary level, the basic conceptual and interpretative distinctions between the different approaches, how they interrelate, what assumptions they are based on, and the practical implications of such distinctions. As in earlier editions, the material is set in a historical context to more powerfully illustrate the ideas and concepts. Includes fully updated and revised material from the successful second edition Recent changes in emphasis, principle and methodology are carefully explained and evaluated Discusses all recent major developments Particular attention is given to the nature and importance of basic concepts (probability, utility, likelihood etc) Includes extensive references and bibliography Written by a well-known and respected author, the essence of this successful book remains unchanged providing the reader with a thorough explanation of the many approaches to inference and decision making.
On Science Inference Information And Decision Making
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Author : A. Szaniawski
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
On Science Inference Information And Decision Making written by A. Szaniawski and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Philosophy categories.
There are two competing pictures of science. One considers science as a system of inferences, whereas another looks at science as a system of actions. The essays included in this collection offer a view which intends to combine both pictures. This compromise is well illustrated by Szaniawski's analysis of statistical inferences. It is shown that traditional approaches to the foundations of statistics do not need to be regarded as conflicting with each other. Thus, statistical rules can be treated as rules of behaviour as well as rules of inference. Szaniawski's uniform approach relies on the concept of rationality, analyzed from the point of view of decision theory. Applications of formal tools to the problem of justice and division of goods shows that the concept of rationality has a wider significance. Audience: The book will be of interest to philosophers of science, logicians, ethicists and mathematicians.
Topics In Inference And Decision Making With Partial Knowledge
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Author : National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)
language : en
Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
Release Date : 2018-07-17
Topics In Inference And Decision Making With Partial Knowledge written by National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and has been published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-07-17 with categories.
Two essential elements needed in the process of inference and decision-making are prior probabilities and likelihood functions. When both of these components are known accurately and precisely, the Bayesian approach provides a consistent and coherent solution to the problems of inference and decision-making. In many situations, however, either one or both of the above components may not be known, or at least may not be known precisely. This problem of partial knowledge about prior probabilities and likelihood functions is addressed. There are at least two ways to cope with this lack of precise knowledge: robust methods, and interval-valued methods. First, ways of modeling imprecision and indeterminacies in prior probabilities and likelihood functions are examined; then how imprecision in the above components carries over to the posterior probabilities is examined. Finally, the problem of decision making with imprecise posterior probabilities and the consequences of such actions are addressed. Application areas where the above problems may occur are in statistical pattern recognition problems, for example, the problem of classification of high-dimensional multispectral remote sensing image data. Safavian, S. Rasoul and Landgrebe, David Unspecified Center...
Causal Inference Methods For Supporting Understanding And Improving Decision Making
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Author : Ioana Bica
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2022
Causal Inference Methods For Supporting Understanding And Improving Decision Making written by Ioana Bica and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022 with categories.
An Introduction To Bayesian Inference And Decision
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Author : Robert L. Winkler
language : en
Publisher: Holt McDougal
Release Date : 1972
An Introduction To Bayesian Inference And Decision written by Robert L. Winkler and has been published by Holt McDougal this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1972 with Mathematics categories.
Bayesian Inference And Decision Techniques
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Author : P. K. Goel
language : en
Publisher: North Holland
Release Date : 1986
Bayesian Inference And Decision Techniques written by P. K. Goel and has been published by North Holland this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1986 with Business & Economics categories.
The primary objective of this volume is to describe the impact of Professor Bruno de Finetti's contributions on statistical theory and practice, and to provide a selection of recent and applied research in Bayesian statistics and econometrics. Included are papers (all previously unpublished) from leading econometricians and statisticians from several countries. Part I of this book relates most directly to de Finetti's interests whilst Part II deals specifically with the implications of the assumption of finitely additive probability. Parts III & IV discuss applications of Bayesian methodology in econometrics and economic forecasting, and Part V examines assessment of prior parameters in specific parametric setting and foundational issues in probability assessment. The following section deals with state of the art for comparing probability functions and gives an assessment of prior distributions and utility functions. In Parts VII & VIII are a collection of papers on Bayesian methodology for general linear models and time series analysis (the most often used tools in economic modelling), and papers relevant to modelling and forecasting. The remaining two Parts examine, respectively, optimality considerations and the effectiveness of the Conditionality-Likelihood Principle as a vehicle to convince the non-Bayesians about the usefulness of the Bayesian paradigm.
