Info Gap Decision Theory
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Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty
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Author : Vincent A. W. J. Marchau
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2019-04-04
Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty written by Vincent A. W. J. Marchau and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-04-04 with Business & Economics categories.
This open access book focuses on both the theory and practice associated with the tools and approaches for decisionmaking in the face of deep uncertainty. It explores approaches and tools supporting the design of strategic plans under deep uncertainty, and their testing in the real world, including barriers and enablers for their use in practice. The book broadens traditional approaches and tools to include the analysis of actors and networks related to the problem at hand. It also shows how lessons learned in the application process can be used to improve the approaches and tools used in the design process. The book offers guidance in identifying and applying appropriate approaches and tools to design plans, as well as advice on implementing these plans in the real world. For decisionmakers and practitioners, the book includes realistic examples and practical guidelines that should help them understand what decisionmaking under deep uncertainty is and how it may be of assistance to them. Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice is divided into four parts. Part I presents five approaches for designing strategic plans under deep uncertainty: Robust Decision Making, Dynamic Adaptive Planning, Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways, Info-Gap Decision Theory, and Engineering Options Analysis. Each approach is worked out in terms of its theoretical foundations, methodological steps to follow when using the approach, latest methodological insights, and challenges for improvement. In Part II, applications of each of these approaches are presented. Based on recent case studies, the practical implications of applying each approach are discussed in depth. Part III focuses on using the approaches and tools in real-world contexts, based on insights from real-world cases. Part IV contains conclusions and a synthesis of the lessons that can be drawn for designing, applying, and implementing strategic plans under deep uncertainty, as well as recommendations for future work. The publication of this book has been funded by the Radboud University, the RAND Corporation, Delft University of Technology, and Deltares.
Info Gap Decision Theory
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Author : Yakov Ben-Haim
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 2006-10-11
Info Gap Decision Theory written by Yakov Ben-Haim and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-10-11 with Computers categories.
Everyone makes decisions, but not everyone is a decision analyst. A decision analyst uses quantitative models and computational methods to formulate decision algorithms, assess decision performance, identify and evaluate options, determine trade-offs and risks, evaluate strategies for investigation, and so on. Info-Gap Decision Theory is written for decision analysts. The term "decision analyst" covers an extremely broad range of practitioners. Virtually all engineers involved in design (of buildings, machines, processes, etc.) or analysis (of safety, reliability, feasibility, etc.) are decision analysts, usually without calling themselves by this name. In addition to engineers, decision analysts work in planning offices for public agencies, in project management consultancies, they are engaged in manufacturing process planning and control, in financial planning and economic analysis, in decision support for medical or technological diagnosis, and so on and on. Decision analysts provide quantitative support for the decision-making process in all areas where systematic decisions are made. This second edition entails changes of several sorts. First, info-gap theory has found application in several new areas - especially biological conservation, economic policy formulation, preparedness against terrorism, and medical decision-making. Pertinent new examples have been included. Second, the combination of info-gap analysis with probabilistic decision algorithms has found wide application. Consequently "hybrid" models of uncertainty, which were treated exclusively in a separate chapter in the previous edition, now appear throughout the book as well as in a separate chapter. Finally, info-gap explanations of robust-satisficing behavior, and especially the Ellsberg and Allais "paradoxes", are discussed in a new chapter together with a theorem indicating when robust-satisficing will have greater probability of success than direct optimizing with uncertain models. - New theory developed systematically - Many examples from diverse disciplines - Realistic representation of severe uncertainty - Multi-faceted approach to risk - Quantitative model-based decision theory
Robust Optimal Planning And Operation Of Electrical Energy Systems
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Author : Behnam Mohammadi-ivatloo
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2019-02-19
Robust Optimal Planning And Operation Of Electrical Energy Systems written by Behnam Mohammadi-ivatloo and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-02-19 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This book discusses the recent developments in robust optimization (RO) and information gap design theory (IGDT) methods and their application for the optimal planning and operation of electric energy systems. Chapters cover both theoretical background and applications to address common uncertainty factors such as load variation, power market price, and power generation of renewable energy sources. Case studies with real-world applications are included to help undergraduate and graduate students, researchers and engineers solve robust power and energy optimization problems and provide effective and promising solutions for the robust planning and operation of electric energy systems.
Epidemic Modelling
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Author : Daryl J. Daley
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1999
Epidemic Modelling written by Daryl J. Daley and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999 with Epidemics categories.
This is a general introduction to the mathematical techniques needed to understand epidemiology. It begins with an historical outline of some disease statistics, before describing simple deterministic and stochastic models.
Fuzzy Sets Decision Making And Expert Systems
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Author : Hans-Jürgen Zimmermann
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 1987-07-31
Fuzzy Sets Decision Making And Expert Systems written by Hans-Jürgen Zimmermann and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1987-07-31 with Business & Economics categories.
In the two decades since its inception by L. Zadeh, the theory of fuzzy sets has matured into a wide-ranging collection of concepts, models, and tech niques for dealing with complex phenomena which do not lend themselves to analysis by classical methods based on probability theory and bivalent logic. Nevertheless, a question which is frequently raised by the skeptics is: Are there, in fact, any significant problem areas in which the use of the theory of fuzzy sets leads to results which could not be obtained by classical methods? The approximately 5000 publications in this area, which are scattered over many areas such as artificial intelligence, computer science, control engineering, decision making, logic, operations research, pattern recognition, robotics and others, provide an affirmative answer to this question. In spite of the large number of publications, good and comprehensive textbooks which could facilitate the access of newcomers to this area and support teaching were missing until recently. To help to close this gap and to provide a textbook for courses in fuzzy set theory which can also be used as an introduction to this field, the first volume ofthis book was published in 1985 [Zimmermann 1985 b]. This volume tried to cover fuzzy set theory and its applications as extensively as possible. Applications could, therefore, only be described to a limited extent and not very detailed.
The Knowing Doing Gap
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Author : Jeffrey Pfeffer
language : en
Publisher: Harvard Business Press
Release Date : 1999-10-05
The Knowing Doing Gap written by Jeffrey Pfeffer and has been published by Harvard Business Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999-10-05 with Business & Economics categories.
Why are there so many gaps between what firms know they should do and what they actually do? Why do so many companies fail to implement the experience and insight they've worked so hard to acquire? The Knowing-Doing Gap is the first book to confront the challenge of turning knowledge about how to improve performance into actions that produce measurable results. Jeffrey Pfeffer and Robert Sutton, well-known authors and teachers, identify the causes of the knowing-doing gap and explain how to close it. The message is clear--firms that turn knowledge into action avoid the "smart talk trap." Executives must use plans, analysis, meetings, and presentations to inspire deeds, not as substitutes for action. Companies that act on their knowledge also eliminate fear, abolish destructive internal competition, measure what matters, and promote leaders who understand the work people do in their firms. The authors use examples from dozens of firms that show how some overcome the knowing-doing gap, why others try but fail, and how still others avoid the gap in the first place. The Knowing-Doing Gap is sure to resonate with executives everywhere who struggle daily to make their firms both know and do what they know. It is a refreshingly candid, useful, and realistic guide for improving performance in today's business.
Transforming Teaching And Learning Through Data Driven Decision Making
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Author : Ellen B. Mandinach
language : en
Publisher: Corwin Press
Release Date : 2012-04-10
Transforming Teaching And Learning Through Data Driven Decision Making written by Ellen B. Mandinach and has been published by Corwin Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-04-10 with Business & Economics categories.
"Gathering data and using it to inform instruction is a requirement for many schools, yet educators are not necessarily formally trained in how to do it. This book helps bridge the gap between classroom practice and the principles of educational psychology. Teachers will find cutting-edge advances in research and theory on human learning and teaching in an easily understood and transferable format. The text's integrated model shows teachers, school leaders, and district administrators how to establish a data culture and transform quantitative and qualitative data into actionable knowledge based on: assessment; statistics; instructional and differentiated psychology; classroom management."--Publisher's description.
Prospect Theory
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Author : Peter P. Wakker
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2010
Prospect Theory written by Peter P. Wakker and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010 with Decision making categories.
"Prospect Theory: For Risk and Ambiguity provides the first comprehensive and accessible textbook treatment of the way decisions are made both when we have the statistical probabilities associated with uncertain future events (risk) and when we lack them (ambiguity). The book presents models, primarily prospect theory, that are both tractable and psychologically realistic. A method of presentation is chosen that makes the empirical meaning of each theoretical model completely transparent. Prospect theory has many applications in a wide variety of disciplines. The material in the book has been carefully organized to allow readers to select pathways through the book relevant to their own interests. With numerous exercises and worked examples, the book is ideally suited to the needs of students taking courses in decision theory in economics, mathematics, finance, psychology, management science, health, computer science, Bayesian statistics, and engineering"--
Shadows Of The Mind
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Author : Roger Penrose
language : en
Publisher: Random House
Release Date : 1995
Shadows Of The Mind written by Roger Penrose and has been published by Random House this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1995 with Psychology categories.
Shadows of the Mind is a profound exploration of what modern physics has to tell us about the mind, and a visionary description of what a new physics - one that is adequate to account for our extraordinary brain - might look like. It is also a bold specul
2021 Ieee International Conference On Environment And Electrical Engineering And 2021 Ieee Industrial And Commercial Power Systems Europe Eeeic I Cps Europe
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Author : IEEE Staff
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2021-09-07
2021 Ieee International Conference On Environment And Electrical Engineering And 2021 Ieee Industrial And Commercial Power Systems Europe Eeeic I Cps Europe written by IEEE Staff and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-09-07 with categories.
The aim of the conferences is to give the opportunity of a genuine and constructive dialogue among participants on the hot topics and far reaching challenges that engineers and scientists are called to face in the present days The conference is so a precious chance to discuss recent developments and practical applications in crucial areas, such as sustainable and renewable energy production, energy storage, smart grids, energy conversion, sustainable transport systems, EMC control in lightning and grounding systems, novel materials and nanotechnology