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Integrating Solvency And Liquidity Stress Tests The Use Of Markov Regime Switching Models


Integrating Solvency And Liquidity Stress Tests The Use Of Markov Regime Switching Models
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Integrating Solvency And Liquidity Stress Tests The Use Of Markov Regime Switching Models


Integrating Solvency And Liquidity Stress Tests The Use Of Markov Regime Switching Models
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Author : Mr.Fei Han
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2019-11-15

Integrating Solvency And Liquidity Stress Tests The Use Of Markov Regime Switching Models written by Mr.Fei Han and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-11-15 with Business & Economics categories.


The paper presents a framework to integrate liquidity and solvency stress tests. An empirical study based on European bond trading data finds that asset sales haircuts depend on the total amount of assets sold and general liquidity conditions in the market. To account for variations in market liquidity, the study uses Markov regime-switching models and links haircuts with market volatility and the amount of securities sold by banks. The framework is accompanied by a Matlab program and an Excel-based tool, which allow the calculations to be replicated for any type of traded security and to be used for liquidity and solvency stress testing.



Integrating Solvency And Liquidity Stress Tests


Integrating Solvency And Liquidity Stress Tests
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Author : Fei Han
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2019

Integrating Solvency And Liquidity Stress Tests written by Fei Han and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019 with Economics categories.




Integrating Solvency And Liquidity Stress Tests The Use Of Markov Regime Switching Models


Integrating Solvency And Liquidity Stress Tests The Use Of Markov Regime Switching Models
DOWNLOAD
Author : Mr.Fei Han
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2019-11-15

Integrating Solvency And Liquidity Stress Tests The Use Of Markov Regime Switching Models written by Mr.Fei Han and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-11-15 with Business & Economics categories.


The paper presents a framework to integrate liquidity and solvency stress tests. An empirical study based on European bond trading data finds that asset sales haircuts depend on the total amount of assets sold and general liquidity conditions in the market. To account for variations in market liquidity, the study uses Markov regime-switching models and links haircuts with market volatility and the amount of securities sold by banks. The framework is accompanied by a Matlab program and an Excel-based tool, which allow the calculations to be replicated for any type of traded security and to be used for liquidity and solvency stress testing.



Systemwide Liquidity Stress Testing Tool


Systemwide Liquidity Stress Testing Tool
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Author : Ms. Hiroko Oura
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2022-12-16

Systemwide Liquidity Stress Testing Tool written by Ms. Hiroko Oura and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-12-16 with Business & Economics categories.


Developing a systemic liquidity stress testing tool is challenging due to data constraints and hard-to-model behavioral factors. There has yet to be a uniformly accepted model partly because the nature of systemic liquidity risks differs significantly across countries. This paper offers a simple Excel-based tool to assess the high-level impact of aggregate liquidity stress on the whole economy and gauge its spillover across banks, non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs), and non-financial economic sectors. It primarily uses the balance sheet approach (BSA) data—a sector-aggregate matrix of financial exposure by counterpart—that have become increasingly available for various economies with all income levels. The results can identify systemically important financial linkages to be analyzed further and help calibrate macroprudential measures and a liquidity support framework. When liquidity stress stems from capital outflows, the tool can enrich policy discussion based on integrated policy framework (IPF) and international reserve adequacy perspectives.



Handbook Of Financial Stress Testing


Handbook Of Financial Stress Testing
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Author : J. Doyne Farmer
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2022-04-14

Handbook Of Financial Stress Testing written by J. Doyne Farmer and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-04-14 with Business & Economics categories.


Discover current uses and future development of stress tests, the most innovative regulatory tool to prevent and fight financial crises.



Stress Testing At The Imf


Stress Testing At The Imf
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Author : Mr.Tobias Adrian
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2020-02-05

Stress Testing At The Imf written by Mr.Tobias Adrian and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-02-05 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper explains specifics of stress testing at the IMF. After a brief section on the evolution of stress tests at the IMF, the paper presents the key steps of an IMF staff stress test. They are followed by a discussion on how IMF staff uses stress tests results for policy advice. The paper concludes by identifying remaining challenges to make stress tests more useful for the monitoring of financial stability and an overview of IMF staff work program in that direction. Stress tests help assess the resilience of financial systems in IMF member countries and underpin policy advice to preserve or restore financial stability. This assessment and advice are mainly provided through the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP). IMF staff also provide technical assistance in stress testing to many its member countries. An IMF macroprudential stress test is a methodology to assess financial vulnerabilities that can trigger systemic risk and the need of systemwide mitigating measures. The definition of systemic risk as used by the IMF is relevant to understanding the role of its stress tests as tools for financial surveillance and the IMF’s current work program. IMF stress tests primarily apply to depository intermediaries, and, systemically important banks.



2021 Financial Sector Assessment Program Review Background Paper On Quantitative Analysis


2021 Financial Sector Assessment Program Review Background Paper On Quantitative Analysis
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Author : International Monetary
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-05-28

2021 Financial Sector Assessment Program Review Background Paper On Quantitative Analysis written by International Monetary and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-05-28 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper reviews quantitative tools of financial stability assessments under the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP). A key focus of FSAPs is on methodologies to gauge risks on a system-wide level and propose mitigating measures. Therefore, the paper concentrates on the main elements of the FSAP’s macroprudential stress testing framework:(i) the interaction among solvency, liquidity, and contagion risks in the banking sector, (ii) the assessment of the health of nonbank financial institutions (NBFIs), their interactions with banks and their impact on financial markets, (iii) the assessment of the health of nonfinancial sectors and their links to the financial sector, and (iv) macroprudential policy analysis. The paper also reviews recent improvements in microprudential bank solvency stress testing—an important foundation for the macroprudential stress testing framework—and discusses new tools for emerging risks (climate change, fintech, and cyber).



Euro Area Policies


Euro Area Policies
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2018-07-19

Euro Area Policies written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-07-19 with Business & Economics categories.


The FSAP team undertook a thorough top-down stress testing analysis using end-2017 data. This note covers the methodology and results of the scenario-based solvency tests, the single factor sensitivity tests, and the liquidity tests. The stress test exercise was carried out on a sample of major euro area banks supervised by the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM). The analysis is heavily dependent on comprehensive and granular supervisory data on individual banks’ positions shared by the European Central Bank (ECB). While FSAP results are not directly comparable to the 2018 EU-wide stress test results due to differences in scenarios, methodologies, and objectives, they provide an assessment of the system-wide resilience of the euro area banking sector at the current juncture.



Lasso Regressions And Forecasting Models In Applied Stress Testing


Lasso Regressions And Forecasting Models In Applied Stress Testing
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Author : Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-05-05

Lasso Regressions And Forecasting Models In Applied Stress Testing written by Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-05-05 with Business & Economics categories.


Model selection and forecasting in stress tests can be facilitated using machine learning techniques. These techniques have proved robust in other fields for dealing with the curse of dimensionality, a situation often encountered in applied stress testing. Lasso regressions, in particular, are well suited for building forecasting models when the number of potential covariates is large, and the number of observations is small or roughly equal to the number of covariates. This paper presents a conceptual overview of lasso regressions, explains how they fit in applied stress tests, describes its advantages over other model selection methods, and illustrates their application by constructing forecasting models of sectoral probabilities of default in an advanced emerging market economy.



Stock Market Liquidity In Chile


Stock Market Liquidity In Chile
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Author : Mr.Luis Brandao-Marques
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2016-11-16

Stock Market Liquidity In Chile written by Mr.Luis Brandao-Marques and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-11-16 with Business & Economics categories.


Chile has a large but relatively illiquid stock market. Global factors such as global risk appetite and monetary policy in advanced economies are key cyclical determinants of liquidity in Chilean equities. Evidence from a cross-section of emerging markets suggests strong protection of minority shareholders can help improve stock market liquitidity. Currently, illiquid in Chilean may have to pay 31⁄2 percent more as cost of equity. Corporate governance should be improved, namely through the adoption of a stewardship code.