Interest Rates And Risk Premia In The Stock Market And In The Foreign Exchange Market
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Interest Rates And Risk Premia In The Stock Market And In The Foreign Exchange Market
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Author : Alberto Giovannini
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1986
Interest Rates And Risk Premia In The Stock Market And In The Foreign Exchange Market written by Alberto Giovannini and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1986 with Capital assets pricing model categories.
The World Price Of Foreign Exchange Risk
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Author : Bernard Dumas
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1993
The World Price Of Foreign Exchange Risk written by Bernard Dumas and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993 with Capital assets pricing model categories.
We consider a world capital market in which the investor population is heterogenous. Investors of different countries differ in the prices of goods at which they consume the income from their investments. In such a setting, the international CAPM incorporates rewards for exchange rate risk, in addition to the traditional reward for market-covariance risk. The aim of the paper is to determine whether these additional risk premia empirically playa significant role in the pricing of securities. The test being conducted is a test of a conditional version of the CAPM. It builds on the recent empirical literature which points out that stock market returns may, to some extent, be predicted on the basis of a number of instrumental variables, such as interest rates and dividend yields. All previous tests of the international CAPM with exchange risk premia have been tests of the unconditional version and have been inconclusive.
The Time Variation Of Risk And Return In The Foreign Exchange And Stock Markets
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Author : Alberto Giovannini
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1988
The Time Variation Of Risk And Return In The Foreign Exchange And Stock Markets written by Alberto Giovannini and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1988 with Business enterprises categories.
Recent empirical work indicates that, in a variety of financial markets, both conditional expectations and conditional variances of returns are time- varying. The purpose of this paper is to determine whether these joint fluctuations of conditional first and second moments are consistent with the Sharpe-Lintner-Mossin capital-asset-pricing model. We test the mean-variance model under several different assumptions about the time-variation of conditional second moments of returns, using weekly data from July 1974 to December 1986, that include returns on a portfolio composed of dollar, Deutsche mark, Sterling, and Swiss franc assets, together with the US stock market. The model is estimated constraining risk premia to depend on the time-varying conditional covariance matrix of the residuals of the expected returns equations. The results indicate that estimated conditional variances cannot explain the observed time-variation of risk premia. Furthermore, the constraints imposed by the static CAPH are always rejected.
Time Varying Market Interest Rate And Exchange Rate Risk Premia In The U S Commercial Bank Stock Returns
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Author : Chu-Sheng Tai
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2001
Time Varying Market Interest Rate And Exchange Rate Risk Premia In The U S Commercial Bank Stock Returns written by Chu-Sheng Tai and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001 with categories.
This paper examines the role of market, interest rate, and exchange rate risks in pricing a sample of the U.S. commercial bank stocks by developing and estimating a multi-factor model under both unconditional and conditional frameworks. Three different econometric methodologies are used to conduct the estimations and testing. Estimations based on NLSUR via GMM indicate that interest rate risk is the only priced factor in the unconditional three-factor model. However, based on quot;Pricing Kernelquot; approach by Dumas and Solnik (Journal of Finance 50, 1995, 445-479), strong evidence of exchange rate risk is found in both large bank and regional bank stocks, and strong evidence of world market risk is found for the regional bank stocks in the conditional three-factor model with time-varying risk prices. Finally, estimations based on the multivariate GARCH in mean approach where both conditional first and second moments of bank portfolio returns and risk factors are estimated simultaneously show strong evidence of time-varying interest rate and exchange rate risk premia and weak evidence of time-varying market risk premium for all bank portfolios. Furthermore, among the three time-varying risk premia, the interest rate risk premium is the major one in describing the dynamics of the U.S. bank stock returns.
The Equity Risk Premium
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Author : Bradford Cornell
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 1999-05-26
The Equity Risk Premium written by Bradford Cornell and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999-05-26 with Business & Economics categories.
Das Thema Risikoprämie für Aktien (Equity Risk Premium) wird hier zum ersten Mal verständlich erklärt. Die Risikoprämie für Aktien stellt einen Renditeausgleich dar für das erhöhte Risiko, das ein Anleger bei der Investition in Aktien eingeht, im Vergleich zu einer Investition in risikofreie Staatsanleihen. Die Risikoprämie ist zwar von der Theorie her einfach, jedoch in der Praxis ein sehr komplexes Phänomen. Für Finanzentscheidungen ist es von größter Bedeutung, daß man das Prinzip der Risikoprämie versteht und es anwenden kann. Cornell erläutert das Thema Schritt für Schritt sehr anschaulich und ohne terminologischen Ballast. Zunächst wird die Risikoprämie im Zusammenhang mit der Geschichte des Aktienmarktes betrachtet. Der Haussemarkt der 90er dient dabei als Fallstudie. Cornell zeigt, welche Rückschlüsse man durch die Analyse der Risikoprämie im historischen Verlauf für den Aktienmarkt ziehen kann, z.B. ob Aktienkurse steigen oder fallen oder ob sich der Aktienmarkt verändert. Vorausschauende Schätzungen der Risikoprämie werden anhand verschiedener konkurrierender Modelle analysiert, wobei die Vorzüge der jeweiligen Methode mitbewertet werden. 'Equity Risk Premium' ist das erste Buch, das dieses wichtige Prinzip der Risiko-Nutzen-Analyse erschöpfend behandelt. Es vermittelt einen tiefen Einblick und deckt alle Grundlagen ab, damit Investoren fundierte Finanzentscheidungen treffen können. Ein absolutes Muß für institutionelle Anleger, Geldmanager und Finanzvorstände, die auf eine fundierte Marktanalyse zurückgreifen müssen. (06/99)
Global Risk Premia On International Investments
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Author :
language : de
Publisher: Springer-Verlag
Release Date : 2013-07-01
Global Risk Premia On International Investments written by and has been published by Springer-Verlag this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-07-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Implementing unconditional as well as conditional beta pricing models, the author identifies global economic factors that affect the performance of international investments.
Stock Market Anomalies
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Author : Elroy Dimson
language : en
Publisher: CUP Archive
Release Date : 1988-03-17
Stock Market Anomalies written by Elroy Dimson and has been published by CUP Archive this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1988-03-17 with Business & Economics categories.
The Equity Risk Premium Essays And Explorations
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Author : William N. Goetzmann
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
Release Date : 2006-10-18
The Equity Risk Premium Essays And Explorations written by William N. Goetzmann and has been published by Oxford University Press, USA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-10-18 with Business & Economics categories.
What is the return to investing in the stock market? Can we predict future stock market returns? How have equities performed over the last two centuries? The authors in this volume are among the leading researchers in the study of these questions. This book draws upon their research on the stock market over the past two dozen years. It contains their major research articles on the equity risk premium and new contributions on measuring, forecasting, and timing stock market returns, together with new interpretive essays that explore critical issues and new research on the topic of stock market investing. This book is aimed at all readers interested in understanding the empirical basis for the equity risk premium. Through the analysis and interpretation of two scholars whose research contributions have been key factors in the modern debate over stock market perfomance, this volume engages the reader in many of the key issues of importance to investors. How large is the premium? Is history a reliable guide to predict future equity returns? Does the equity and cash flows of the market? Are global equity markets different from those in the United States? Do emerging markets offer higher or lower equity risk premia? The authors use the historical performance of the world's stock markets to address these issues.
The Role Of Interest Rates In Business Cycle Fluctuations In Emerging Market Countries
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Author : Mr.Ivan Tchakarov
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2006-05-01
The Role Of Interest Rates In Business Cycle Fluctuations In Emerging Market Countries written by Mr.Ivan Tchakarov and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-05-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Emerging market countries have enjoyed an exceptionally favorable economic environment throughout 2004, 2005, and early 2006. In particular, accommodative U.S. monetary policy in recent years has helped create an environment of low interest rates in international capital markets. However, if world interest rates were to take a sudden upward course, this would lead to less hospitable financing conditions for emerging market countries. The purpose of this paper is to measure the effects of world interest rate shocks on real activity in Thailand. The analysis incorporates balance sheet related credit market frictions into the IMF’s Global Economy Model (GEM) and finds that Thailand would best minimize the adverse effects of rising world interest rates if it were to follow a flexible exchange rate regime.
New Facts In Finance
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Author : John H. Cochrane
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1999
New Facts In Finance written by John H. Cochrane and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999 with Assets (Accounting) categories.
The last 15 years have seen a revolution in the way financial economists understand the world around us. We once thought that stock and bond returns were essentially unpredictable. Now we recognize that stock and bond returns have a substantial predictable component at long horizons. We once thought the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) provided a good description of why average returns on some stocks, portfolios, funds or strategies were higher than others. Now we recognize that the average returns of many investment opportunities cannot be explained by the CAPM, and multifactor models' have supplanted the CAPM to explain them. We once thought that long-term interest rates reflected expectations of future short term rates and that interest rate differentials across countries reflected expectations of exchange-rate depreciation. Now, we see time-varying risk premia in bond and foreign exchange markets as well as in stock markets. Once, we thought that mutual fund average returns were well explained by the CAPM. Now, we recognize value'' and other high return strategies in funds, and slight persistence in fund performance. In this article, I survey these new facts. I show how they are related. Each case uses price variables to infer market expectations of future returns; each case notices that an offsetting adjustment (to dividends, interest rates, or exchange rates) seems to be absent or sluggish. Each case suggests that financial markets offer rewards in the form of average returns for holding risks related to recessions and financial distress, in addition to the risks represented by overall market movements