Investor Uncertainty And The Superior Performance Of Value Stocks
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Investor Uncertainty And The Superior Performance Of Value Stocks
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Author : John A. Doukas
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2003
Investor Uncertainty And The Superior Performance Of Value Stocks written by John A. Doukas and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003 with categories.
Several empirical studies show that investment strategies that favor the purchase of stocks with low prices relative to dividends, earnings, book values or other measures of value yield higher returns. Some of these studies imply that investors are too optimistic about (glamour) stocks that have had good performance in the recent past and too pessimistic about (value) stocks had had performed poorly. Others argue that value strategies are fundamentally riskier. In this paper we examine whether value stocks are riskier than glamour stocks over the 1976-1998 period. Consistent with Fama and French (1992, 1996), our findings suggest that the return advantage of value strategies reflects compensation for bearing risk. We find this risk to be associated with investor uncertainly, manifested in security analysts' divergence of opinion about the future growth in earnings of value stocks. Multifactor asset pricing tests show that investor uncertainty risk is important in explaining the superior return of value stocks. The results also suggest that the uncertainty risk factor is a state variable that predicts economic growth.
Outperform With Expectations Based Management
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Author : Tom Copeland
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2011-09-28
Outperform With Expectations Based Management written by Tom Copeland and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-09-28 with Business & Economics categories.
CEOs and managers live and die by delivering superior performance to shareholders. This is why expectations-based management has been developed. Outperform with Expectations-Based Management (EBM) introduces a revolutionary new performance metric that links performance standards, performance measurement, and the achievement of performance. It's easy to say that if a CEO can get performance measurement right, then performance improvement will follow. But what is the "right" measure of performance, and how do you use it to improve performance? Authors Tom Copeland and Aaron Dolgoff answer these questions and many more, as they show you how to find the measure of performance that has the strongest link to the creation of wealth for the owners of both public and private companies. They answer the puzzle of why growth in earnings is not correlated with shareholder returns and explain the under- and over-investment traps. And they explain how clear communications to investors and managers alike improve value. The bottom line is that share prices go up when companies exceed expectations -- short-term and long-term -- of income statement and balance sheet performance and daily operating value drivers. Gain a complete understanding of EBM and discover how to do this, and much more, while staying competitive in an unforgiving business environment.
A Few Good Eggs In One Basket
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Author : Richard L. Gunderson
language : en
Publisher: iUniverse
Release Date : 2012-04-19
A Few Good Eggs In One Basket written by Richard L. Gunderson and has been published by iUniverse this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-04-19 with Business & Economics categories.
In a stock market environment dominated by professional investors, A Few Good Eggs in One Basket o?ers a plain-talk approach to pro?tability by selecting and managing an investment portfolio of common stocks for an individual. Author Richard L. Gunderson, who has been an investor for more than forty years, outlines an enduring framework that improves the odds for the individual investor to exceed the performance of the market over the long term by buying good companies at bargain prices. He outlines what constitutes a good company and how to determine when a price meets the test of being a bargain. A Few Good Eggs in One Basket also helps individual investors by discussing what to look for; where to look; when to buy; when to sell; and how many stocks to own. A Few Good Eggs in One Basket presents a prescription designed to take advantage of opportunities created by market overreaction to bad news and disappointing results. Gunderson believes there are always bargains at any time and in any market. The challenge is to consistently apply a disciplined approach to identifying the unusual and favorable opportunities and concentrating a portfolio on those stocks representing the best combination of overall quality and intrinsic value.
Taking Charge With Value Investing How To Choose The Best Investments According To Price Performance Valuation To Build A Winning Portfolio
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Author : Brian Nichols
language : en
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
Release Date : 2013-01-25
Taking Charge With Value Investing How To Choose The Best Investments According To Price Performance Valuation To Build A Winning Portfolio written by Brian Nichols and has been published by McGraw Hill Professional this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-01-25 with Business & Economics categories.
THE ALHPA SEEKER’S GUIDE TO VALUE STOCKS When to buy them. How long to hold them. When to sell them. “This book will be welcomed by anyone looking to break free from their financial advisor and manage their own savings.” —DAVID JACKSON, founder and CEO, Seeking Alpha® “The world is an uncertain place. This uncertainty impacts the financial markets as much, if not more, than any other space. But don’t be afraid! Brian Nichols provides a personal, experience-based, and highly accessible framework for taking your investment portfolio into your own hands. There’s nothing pretentious or complicated about Brian’s approach. It’s straightforward common sense on how to invest in the stock market.” —ROCCO PENDOLA, Director of Social Media at TheStreet.com and cofounder of the Options Investing Newsletter “For investors who want discipline, or who want to escape the addiction of day trading, this book is for you.” —GARY ANDERSON, author of Will Rogers and “Business Insider” Contributor “I am pleased and honored to publish Brian Nichols’ articles on Market Playground and interview him on my radio program. With his new book, Brian brings his vast array of investing knowledge to the masses!” —DEMIAN RUSSIAN, Editor-in-Chief, Market Playground There’s more to investing than “Buy low, sell high.” DISCOVER THE ALPHA SECRET TO VALUE INVESTING Every financial quarter, more than 1.5 mil¬lion investors turn to Brian Nichols’ acclaimed “Seeking Alpha” columns for his insider tips on value investing. No matter what’s going on in the market, he’s got an uncanny knack for spotting the hottest stocks, the latest trends, and the greatest opportunities. Now—due to popular demand—he’s distilled his best-kept secrets into one comprehensive, easy-to-use guide for “seeking alpha” and maximizing profits in any market. You’ll learn how to: Take charge of your financial future Understand how hedge funds really work Determine if a company is a good investment Make smarter decisions based on value Use psychology to outthink the market Avoid the pitfalls of emotional investors Build a killer portfolio for long-term success Filled with step-by-step strategies for choosing stocks, how-to tips for maximizing investments, and first-hand stories of high risks and higher rewards, this is a must-have guide for any investor who appreciates the value of “value.” You’ll learn what the industry insiders really think about the recession, stock bubbles, balance sheets, cash flow, stock metrics, and other fundamentals of investing. You’ll discover the surprising effects of human psychology on the rise and fall of the market—and learn how to keep your head and your money intact during times of extreme behavioral selling. You’ll see how companies like Netflix and Apple weathered the storms of our ever-changing economy—and what it ultimately means for shareholders. Most important, you’ll discover the most valuable lessons an investor can learn from taking a loss—without losing anything yourself. When you’re seeking alpha, you’re looking for value. In companies. In stocks. In your own financial future. That’s value investing at its building for a lifetime.
Stock Return Predictability And Model Uncertainty
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Author : Doron Avramov
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2004
Stock Return Predictability And Model Uncertainty written by Doron Avramov and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with categories.
We use Bayesian model averaging to analyze the sample evidence on return predictability in the presence of model uncertainty. The analysis reveals in-sample and out-of-sample predictability, and shows that the out-of-sample performance of the Bayesian approach is superior to that of model selection criteria. We find that term and market premia are robust predictors. Moreover, small-cap value stocks appear more predictable than large-cap growth stocks. We also investigate the implications of model uncertainty from investment management perspectives. We show that model uncertainty is more important than estimation risk, and investors who discard model uncertainty face large utility losses.
Valufocus Investing
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Author : Rawley Thomas
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2012-11-26
Valufocus Investing written by Rawley Thomas and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-11-26 with Business & Economics categories.
A must-read book for investors who prefer to pick stocks based on cash flow facts, not on media hype and fiction How to Pick a Stock is written for the contrarian investor who wants an investing method that is based on cash flow facts, not on media hype and speculative impulse. This book combines an accessible presentation of a contrarian investment model and the ValuFocus tool that offers a highly studious, detailed explanation of understanding a company's true intrinsic value. If you can calculate a company's intrinsic value on the basis of knowing if the market is currently under, fairly, or over pricing its stock, then it is possible to invest wisely in the stock market. Investors who want to buy undervalued stocks, or sell (short) overvalued ones will find this book immensely useful. The ValuFocus investing tool calculates the intrinsic value of every company in their database automatically. Thus, an individual investor can become an "A" student of a modeling process, or can go right ahead in using this tool to pick stocks and manage their own portfolio. Additionally, this book helps to develop an enhanced framework to fundamental equity valuation. Contains the ValuFocus tool for calculating the intrinsic value of every company in the LCRT Nucleus database Offers specific and innovative valuation techniques of practicing professionals for individuals to use in picking stocks long-term Highlights the most state-of-the-art approaches to unconventional stock-picking for investors and corporate finance professionals Offering encouragement to individual investors by outlining a model that delivers satisfying returns, How to Pick a Stock is especially useful for those who are patient and believe in longer-term investing horizons.
High Returns From Low Risk
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Author : Pim van Vliet
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2017-01-17
High Returns From Low Risk written by Pim van Vliet and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-01-17 with Business & Economics categories.
Believing "high-risk equals high-reward" is holding your portfolio hostage High Returns from Low Risk proves that low-volatility, low-risk portfolios beat high-volatility portfolios hands down, and shows you how to take advantage of this paradox to dramatically improve your returns. Investors traditionally view low-risk stocks as safe but unprofitable, but this old canard is based on a flawed premise; it fails to see beyond the monthly horizon, and ignores compounding returns. This book updates the thinking and brings reality to modelling to show how low-risk stocks actually outperform high-risk stocks by an order of magnitude. Easy to read and easy to implement, the plan presented here will help you construct a portfolio that delivers higher returns per unit of risk, and explains how to achieve excellent investment results over the long term. Do you still believe that investors are rewarded for bearing risk, and that the higher the risk, the greater the reward? That old axiom is holding you back, and it is time to start seeing the whole picture. This book shows you, through deep historical simulation, how to reap the rewards of smarter investing. Learn how and why low-risk, low-volatility stocks beat the market Discover the formula that outperforms Greenblatt's Construct your own low-risk portfolio Select the right ETF or low-risk fund to manage your money Great returns and lower risk sound like a winning combination — what happens once everyone is doing it? The beauty of the low-risk strategy is that it continues to work even after the paradox is widely known; long-term investment success is possible for anyone who can shake off the entrenched wisdom and go low-risk. High Returns from Low Risk provides the proof, model and strategy to reign in your exposure while raking in the profit.
Focus On Value
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Author : James L. Grant
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2001-10-25
Focus On Value written by James L. Grant and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001-10-25 with Business & Economics categories.
Praise for Focus on Value "Focus on Value-with its theoretical and practical focus on economic profit fundamentals-is a modern day 'Graham and Dodd' primer on company and equity securities analysis."-Robert S. Hamada, Edward Eagle Brown Distinguished Service Professor of Finance, The University of Chicago Graduate School of Business "Now that investors have abandoned momentum and are migrating back to fundamental investing, the market has become a more rational place. This book is a manual for serious investors who believe that identifying growing corporate earning power is the foundation of value creation. Those following its precepts should minimize risk and be rewarded over the long term."-Byron R. Wien, Chief U.S. Investment Strategist, Morgan Stanley Dean Witter & Co. "Economic profit is one of the most useful managerial tools as well as a key to understanding the valuation of companies. Focus on Value is an outstanding piece of work. It captures the full spectrum of the 'Metric Wars' without ever confusing the reader. The serious student of economic profit will be richly rewarded by reading this excellent book from cover to cover."-Mario A. Corti, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Swissair Group, Zurich "Messrs. Grant and Abate have provided an analytical tool for corporate executives and investment managers which takes the concepts of economic profit and value maximization to the next level."-Suresh Thadhani, Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, Alcan, Inc. "This book makes a real contribution to the most critical element in helping companies implement efficient capital resource allocation by highlighting the direct linkage between economic profit and stock price."-Jack Warner, Chairman, Kerry Inc. "The authors have put together an excellent piece of work and finally provide readers seriously interested in applying economic profit with a practical, market-oriented approach to integrate the basic building blocks of economic profit with valuation and market expectations."-David King, Director of Research, North America, PricewaterhouseCoopers, Corporate Value Consulting "In an era of following the herd toward indexation and price momentum, it is refreshing to see thinking out of the box and substantiating the tenets of an investment process that equates value with real investment opportunity."-Eric Colson, Senior Vice President, Callan Associates www.wileyfinance.com
Investment Under Uncertainty
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Author : Robert K. Dixit
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2012-07-14
Investment Under Uncertainty written by Robert K. Dixit and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-07-14 with Business & Economics categories.
How should firms decide whether and when to invest in new capital equipment, additions to their workforce, or the development of new products? Why have traditional economic models of investment failed to explain the behavior of investment spending in the United States and other countries? In this book, Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck provide the first detailed exposition of a new theoretical approach to the capital investment decisions of firms, stressing the irreversibility of most investment decisions, and the ongoing uncertainty of the economic environment in which these decisions are made. In so doing, they answer important questions about investment decisions and the behavior of investment spending. This new approach to investment recognizes the option value of waiting for better (but never complete) information. It exploits an analogy with the theory of options in financial markets, which permits a much richer dynamic framework than was possible with the traditional theory of investment. The authors present the new theory in a clear and systematic way, and consolidate, synthesize, and extend the various strands of research that have come out of the theory. Their book shows the importance of the theory for understanding investment behavior of firms; develops the implications of this theory for industry dynamics and for government policy concerning investment; and shows how the theory can be applied to specific industries and to a wide variety of business problems.
The Value Connection
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Author : Marc H. Gerstein
language : en
Publisher: Wiley
Release Date : 2003-10-21
The Value Connection written by Marc H. Gerstein and has been published by Wiley this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-10-21 with Business & Economics categories.
A market beating method for finding success in trading stocks Value is a concept that frequently eludes investors -- especially when it comes to stocks. In many cases, successfully identifying value can make the difference between picking a winner and getting burned. The Value Connection offers a systematic and doable method investors can use to take advantage of value in the stock market. Based on author Marc Gerstein's "Value Connection" method, this book will show investors how to find potentially attractive value connections, analyze specific situations to see if the value connection is sound, buy the best value connected opportunities, and sell stocks for which the value connection has weakened. The proven four-step method outlined -- which allows investors to understand the relationship between a company and its stock -- will help any investor screen the stock market for the best values out there. Real world examples make understanding this revolutionary investing method easy. Marc H. Gerstein (New York, NY) is the Director of Investment Research at Multex. Prior to that, he was in the research and editorial department at Value Line. Over the course of two decades he analyzed stocks across a wide variety of industries and sectors, including household products, specialty retail, restaurants, mining, energy, hotel/gaming, homebuilding, airlines, railroads, and media. Gerstein appears periodically on CNNfn, Bloomberg TV, and is often quoted in USA Today, CBS MarketWatch, The Wall Street Journal, The New York Daily News, and Money Online. He is also the author of Screening the Market (0-471-21559-7).