Is The Chinese Economy A Miracle Or A Bubble
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Is The Chinese Economy A Miracle Or A Bubble
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Author : Lawrence J. Lau
language : en
Publisher: The Chinese University of Hong Kong Press
Release Date : 2024-04-23
Is The Chinese Economy A Miracle Or A Bubble written by Lawrence J. Lau and has been published by The Chinese University of Hong Kong Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-04-23 with Political Science categories.
An indispensable reference to the development of the Chinese economy—past, present, and future. —DALE W. JORGENSON, Samuel W. Morris University Professor, Harvard University Since China undertook economic reform and opened its economy to the world in the late 1970s, its economy has been growing at an average annual rate of over 9 percent for more than four decades. No other economy in recorded history has grown at such a high rate and for such a long period as China has done. The questions that naturally arise are: Was the Chinese economy a miracle? Or was it a mere bubble? Will the Chinese economy begin to stagnate like the Japanese economy did in the 1990s, and perhaps decline? Will it be able to escape the “middle-income trap”? If it is not a miracle, can the Chinese development experience be replicated elsewhere? This book provides a comprehensive and detailed discussion of the remarkable growth of the Chinese economy over the past decades, by scrutinising the sources of economic growth, and evaluating the strategies adopted by the Chinese government to promote the transition from a centrally-planned economy to a market-based economy by means of the “dual-track” approach. It is argued that, while the Chinese economy is unique and exceptional in many ways, its development experience can be explained and attributed. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A comprehensive and detailed discussion of the remarkable growth of the Chinese economy at nearly double-digit rates in the four decades since the reforms of Deng Xiaoping in 1978. This volume will be an indispensable reference to the development of the Chinese economy—past, present, and future. —Dale W. Jorgenson Samuel W. Morris University Professor, Harvard University Lawrence Lau’s discussion and economic reasoning with regard to the economic development of China dispels the view that the Chinese economic development since the opening up in the late 1970s was bubble. I found his reasoning fascinating and his arguments that other countries can replicate the Chinese experience to facilitate their own development sound and well-reasoned. This book will be read and discussed by scholars and practitioners interested in a better understanding of the road to economic development. —Myron Scholes Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences (1997) Professor Emeritus, Stanford University The essays in this book present a rich and informed analysis of China’s long-run economic development. They provide a unique insight into the Chinese economy at a crucial point in the country’s development. The essays have deep analytical weight, reflecting Lawrence Lau’s outstanding contribution to economic thought and policy formation in China. —Peter Nolan Founding Director, Centre of Development Studies, University of Cambridge This is a great and well-researched book. As a distinguished scholar and renowned adviser to Chinese economic policymakers, Professor Lawrence Lau utilizes extensive data and economic models to evaluate the various sources of growth since China’s 1978 reforms from an innovative perspective. The book juxtaposes China’s experience with other East Asian economies, offering unique and deep insights into its distinctive development path. It’s essential reading for politicians, scholars, business leaders, investors, students, and anyone interested in understanding China better. —Junsen Zhang Dean and Distinguished University Professor, School of Economics, Zhejiang University Fellow of the Econometric Society
The China Miracle
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Author : Justin Yifu Lin
language : en
Publisher: Chinese University Press
Release Date : 2003
The China Miracle written by Justin Yifu Lin and has been published by Chinese University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003 with Business & Economics categories.
Using a historical, comparative and analytic approach grounded in mainstream economics, the authors develop a consistent and rational framework of state-owned enterprises and individual agents to analyze the internal logic of the traditional Chinese planning system. In this revised edition, the authors update the data and information in the book and include a new chapter on the impact of China's WTO accession on its reform.
China S Guaranteed Bubble
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Author : Ning Zhu
language : en
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
Release Date : 2016-03-11
China S Guaranteed Bubble written by Ning Zhu and has been published by McGraw Hill Professional this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-03-11 with Business & Economics categories.
The truth about China’s financial industry—and the growing bubble that’s guaranteed to blow it apart... In recent years, the Chinese economy has been fueled by the implicit guarantee of major banks and local governments by the nation’s central government. The resultant bubble has led to the emergence of a large shadow banking industry that poses major risks to China’s real estate market, speculative stock investments, state-owned enterprises, and more. It’s not a matter of if China’s bubble will burst. It’s a matter of when. This eye-opening book from renowned financial scholar Ning Zhu provides a provocative in-depth analysis of China’s current economic practices—and the profound dangers they pose—as well as a powerful wake-up call to investors, regulators, and the entire financial industry. Zhu’s book is packed with startling revelations, including: * The enormous impact of China’s implicit guarantees on economic growth—and what will happen when those guarantees are gone * The ever-increasing size of China’s shadow banking industry—and how it’s just the tip of the iceberg * The once-reliable strength of China’s real estate and stock markets—and how they’re threatened by government distortion * The latest financial innovations and channels—and how they are circumventing regulations and triggering unprecedented risks Filled with fascinating case studies, worst case scenarios, and a well-argued case for much-needed reforms, Zhu’s enlightening book is a must-read for anyone with interests or investments in China’s rapidly changing economy. You’ll find intriguing new perspectives on traditional growth models, innovative solutions for overcapacity problems, and revealing new stats on so-called Voodoo Statistics. You’ll get a glimpse behind the curtain of the “unknown unknowns” of China’s implicit guarantees—and learn just how misleading these government policies can be. Most importantly, Zhu’s book provides solid recommendations for diffusing the time bomb these guarantees can and will set off. Brilliant, incisive, and ultimately optimistic, China’s Guaranteed Bubble will incite a much-needed call for change and set us on a new path of prosperity and growth—for China, the economy, and the world.
Growth Without Miracles
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Author : Ross Garnaut
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
Release Date : 2001
Growth Without Miracles written by Ross Garnaut and has been published by Oxford University Press, USA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001 with Business & Economics categories.
China's economic reform constitutes one of the most remarkable events of the second half of the 20th century. The volume offers 30 articles by prominent economists in the field of China studies to offer authoritative and through assessment and analyses of Chinas experience during the reform period.
China S Great Wall Of Debt
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Author : Dinny McMahon
language : en
Publisher: Hachette UK
Release Date : 2018-03-13
China S Great Wall Of Debt written by Dinny McMahon and has been published by Hachette UK this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-03-13 with Political Science categories.
'One of the clearest and most thorough statements of an argument often made about the country: that its government has relied on constant stimulus to keep growth strong, an addiction that is bound to backfire. Second, he comes closer than any previous writer to covering the Chinese economy as Michael Lewis, the hugely popular author of The Big Short, might do. His analysis is informed but accessible, animated by anecdotes and characters, some colourful, some verging on tragic . . . McMahon is among the most compelling of the many analysts who conclude that China's economic miracle will end painfully' The Economist The world has long considered China a juggernaut of economic strength, but since the global financial crisis, the country's economy has ballooned in size, complexity, and risk. Once dominated by four state-owned banks, the nation's financial system is a tangle of shadow banking entities, informal financial institutions, and complex corporate funding arrangements that threaten growth, stability, and reform efforts. The country has accumulated so much debt so quickly that economists increasingly predict a financial crisis that could make 'Brexit' or Greece's economic ruin seem minor, and could undermine China's ascent as a superpower. Earlier this year, President Xi Jinping issued an urgent call for reform that gives the country until 2020 to transform its economy - a vaguely-defined objective that most economists agree is unrealistic. Whether or not China will be responsible for the next global recession, as some experts forecast, the fate of its economy will have far-reaching consequences for the rest of the world. Yet the inner workings of China's financial system are still very much a mystery to most outsiders. Now more than ever, as the country's slowing economy is being felt around the globe, it is essential to understand how China allowed its economy to become so mired in debt. China's Great Wall of Debt is a penetrating examination of the country's opaque financial system and the complex factors - demographic shifts; urbanization; industrialization; a pervasive over-reliance on debt-fueled investments - that have brought the country to the brink of crisis. Anchored by stories of China's cities and its people; from factory workers and displaced farmers to government officials and entrepreneurs, the narrative will take readers inside the country's ghost cities, zombie companies, start-ups, and regulatory institutions as McMahon explains how things got so bad, why fixing the problems is so hard, and what the economic outlook means for China and for the rest of us.
Economic Transition In China
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Author : Zhigang Yuan
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2014-07-03
Economic Transition In China written by Zhigang Yuan and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-07-03 with Political Science categories.
This book provides a comprehensive overview on Chinese economy in the last three decades and an insightful view on the future reform in China. The China's miracle is used to describe its rapid economic growth in the last thirty years. The author aims to demystify the miracle by analyzing the past and present of economic transitions and showcases the blueprint for future economic reforms, from the perspectives of institutional transformation, urbanization and changes in the labor markets. The book contains hottest topics on Chinese economy, such as land market reform, new-type urbanization and financial reform. It investigates both the long-run growth and short-run fluctuations. The factor markets, including labor market, capital market and land market, are analyzed as key determinants to long-run growth and consumption, while investment and net export are investigated as elements to short-run fluctuations. Contents:China's Economic Growth Under Globalization (Zhigang Yuan and Yuxin Yu)Potential Economic Growth of China in Transition (Zhigang Yuan and Yuxin Yu)Is China's Export Really Special? Perspective from Trade in Value Added (Changyuan Luo and Jiajun Xu)The Consumption Issue in the Long-term Growth and Short-term Fluctuations (Zhigang Yuan and Can Rao)The Political Economy of Chinese Reform (Zhe Yang)Whither Federalism, Chinese Style (Yongqin Wang)Financial Reform: Opportunity and Challenge to China's Future Growth (Zhigang Yuan and Jingwen Yu)China's Urbanization: Past, Present, and Future (Hao Zheng)China's Real Estate Market Development (Yuan Wang)Fiscal System and Local Government Behavior (Shengyan Xu and Wancong Li)The Demographic Factors in the Chinese Economy (Qin Chen)The Labor Market in China (Qin Chen)Social Justice and Intergenerational Income Mobility (Lin Chen)Further Development of Urbanization and the Policy Research on the Rural Migrant Workers Granted Urban Citizenship (Jing Tan) Readership: Undergraduates, graduates, researchers, academics who are interested in Chinese economy and the China model. Keywords:Chinese Economy;Economic Transition;China Model;Political Economy;Financial ReformKey Features:Professor Yuan is the dean of school of economics in Fudan university, an eminent economist in China and a Sun Yefang Prize laureate (highest honor of economics in China)The book contains hottest topics on Chinese economy, such as land market reform, new-type urbanization and financial reformThe book provides rigorous and profound theoretic analysis on Chinese economy while interpreting the economic problems in China with easy-to-understand terms
China S New Sources Of Economic Growth Vol 1
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Author : Ligang Song
language : en
Publisher: ANU Press
Release Date : 2016-07-21
China S New Sources Of Economic Growth Vol 1 written by Ligang Song and has been published by ANU Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-07-21 with Business & Economics categories.
China’s change to a new model of growth, now called the ‘new normal’, was always going to be hard. Events over the past year show how hard it is. The attempts to moderate the extremes of high investment and low consumption, the correction of overcapacity in the heavy industries that were the mainstays of the old model of growth, the hauling in of the immense debt hangover from the fiscal and monetary expansion that pulled China out of the Great Crash of 2008 would all have been hard at any time. They are harder when changes in economic policy and structure coincide with stagnation in global trade and rising protectionist sentiment in developed countries, extraordinarily rapid demographic change and recognition of the urgency of easing the environmental damage from the old model. China’s economy has slowed and there are worries that the authorities will not be able to contain the slowdown within preferred limits. This year’s Update explores the challenge of the slowdown in growth and the change in economic structure. Leading experts on China’s economy and environment review change within China’s new model of growth, and its interaction with ageing, environmental pressure, new patterns of urbanisation, and debt problems at different levels of government. It illuminates some new developments in China’s economy, including the transformational potential of internet banking, and the dynamics of financial market instability. China’s economic development since 1978 is full of exciting change, and this year’s China Update is again the way to know it as it is happening.
China
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Author : Thomas Orlik
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
Release Date : 2020
China written by Thomas Orlik and has been published by Oxford University Press, USA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020 with China categories.
A provocative perspective on the fragile fundamentals, and forces for resilience, in the Chinese economy, and a forecast for the future on alternate scenarios of collapse and ascendance.
Unmade In China
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Author : Jeremy R. Haft
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2015-07-30
Unmade In China written by Jeremy R. Haft and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-07-30 with Social Science categories.
If you look carefully at how things are actually made in China - from shirts to toys, apple juice to oil rigs - you see a reality that contradicts every widely-held notion about the world's so-called economic powerhouse. From the inside looking out, China is not a manufacturing juggernaut. It's a Lilliputian. Nor is it a killer of American jobs. It's a huge job creator. Rising China is importing goods from America in such volume that millions of U.S. jobs are sustained through Chinese trade and investment. In Unmade in China, entrepreneur and Georgetown University business professor Jeremy Haft lifts the lid on the hidden world of China's intricate supply chains. Informed by years of experience building new companies in China, Haft's unique, insider’s view reveals a startling picture of an economy which struggles to make baby formula safely, much less a nuclear power plant. Using firm-level data and recent case studies, Unmade in China tells the story of systemic risk in Chinese manufacturing and why this is both really bad and really good news for America.
Understanding China S Economy
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Author : Gregory C. Chow
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 1994
Understanding China S Economy written by Gregory C. Chow and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1994 with Business & Economics categories.
In the early 1990's, the world began to recognize China as a rising economic power to reckon with. China's economy is dynamic ? her human and natural resources are plentiful and her economic growth has been well sustained over the last 16 years. In fact, some have predicted that by the year 2020, China's economic output will be close to half that of the US. It is undeniable that China will be an economic giant, if she is not already one today.In this book, the author has traced China's economic development over the last 16 years. The steps and characteristics of China's economic reform are detailed. The prospects for China's economic growth are studied. The author also attempts to analyze topical issues pertaining to China's economic relations with the US and her integration with the other Asian economies. This book provides the interested reader with a bird's eye view of the Chinese economy over the last 16 years. Most chapters are written for the general reader, while a few are for professional economists. For the questions it answers or for those that it raises, this is an important book to read.