Jordan Technical Assistance Report Forecasting Framework For Currency In Circulation


Jordan Technical Assistance Report Forecasting Framework For Currency In Circulation
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Jordan Technical Assistance Report Forecasting Framework For Currency In Circulation


Jordan Technical Assistance Report Forecasting Framework For Currency In Circulation
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Author : International Monetary
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2022-04-07

Jordan Technical Assistance Report Forecasting Framework For Currency In Circulation written by International Monetary and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-04-07 with Business & Economics categories.


The currency in circulation forecasting model presently used by the Central Bank of Jordan is aligned with international practices and provides a solid basis for liquidity management. The central bank uses an Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model with many indicator variables to model binary seasonality and to capture special events. The ARIMA model is fitted on daily currency in circulation data using a standard maximum likelihood estimator. This ARIMA approach is aligned with the models traditionally used by central banks in emerging and middle-income countries.



Jordan


Jordan
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2024-03-15

Jordan written by International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept. and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-03-15 with Business & Economics categories.


The International Monetary Fund (IMF)’s Middle East Regional Technical Assistance Center (METAC) is currently assisting the Central Bank of Jordan (CBJ) in enhancing its risk-based supervision through the development of a Supervisory Review and Evaluation SRP framework inspired from European Central Bank (ECB) methodology. The Technical Assistance TA mission is part of a multi-step medium-term project. The TA mission aimed to design, in coordination with CBJ, a progressive multi-step roadmap defining the major milestones for a full implementation of SRP. The mission noted that several dimensions should be taken into consideration when implementing the SRP, most notably bridging the data gap by building a fully-fledged supervisory risk database through a dedicated IT project, assessing whether the current organization of the Banking Supervisory Department should be adjusted, and progressively cover all material sources of risks in the SRP.



United Arab Emirates


United Arab Emirates
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
language : en
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Release Date : 2022-07-22

United Arab Emirates written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and has been published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-07-22 with Business & Economics categories.


The new Dirham Monetary Framework developed by the Central Bank of the United Arab Emirates (CBUAE) operationalizes a floor system and provides a complete set of instruments to manage liquidity under a fixed exchange rate arrangement and capital mobility. This technical assistance report presents an overview of this operational framework and a set of recommendations to streamline and further improve it especially with regards to: (i) the discontinuation of the FX swap facility; (ii) the issuance of central bank bills; (iii) the design of fine-tuning operations; and (iv) the design and calibration of the reserves requirements. Moreover, the report provides a complete liquidity forecasting infrastructure, using cutting-edge statistical methods, to project the changes in the supply of banks reserves through the forecast of the three main autonomous factors. It also offers a statistical approach to estimate the optimal liquidity surplus and calibrate the operational mix between the different liquidity absorptions instruments. At last, the report investigates the functioning and structure of the UAE money markets.



Powering The Digital Economy Opportunities And Risks Of Artificial Intelligence In Finance


Powering The Digital Economy Opportunities And Risks Of Artificial Intelligence In Finance
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Author : El Bachir Boukherouaa
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-10-22

Powering The Digital Economy Opportunities And Risks Of Artificial Intelligence In Finance written by El Bachir Boukherouaa and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-10-22 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper discusses the impact of the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in the financial sector. It highlights the benefits these technologies bring in terms of financial deepening and efficiency, while raising concerns about its potential in widening the digital divide between advanced and developing economies. The paper advances the discussion on the impact of this technology by distilling and categorizing the unique risks that it could pose to the integrity and stability of the financial system, policy challenges, and potential regulatory approaches. The evolving nature of this technology and its application in finance means that the full extent of its strengths and weaknesses is yet to be fully understood. Given the risk of unexpected pitfalls, countries will need to strengthen prudential oversight.



Monetary Policy Implementation Operational Issues For Countries With Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks


Monetary Policy Implementation Operational Issues For Countries With Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks
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Author : Nils Mæhle
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2020-02-07

Monetary Policy Implementation Operational Issues For Countries With Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks written by Nils Mæhle and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-02-07 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper discusses operational issues for countries that want to reform their monetary policy frameworks. It argues that stabilizing short-term interest rates on a day-to-day basis has significant advantages, and thus that short-term interest rates, not reserve money, in most cases should be the daily operating target, including for countries relying on a money targeting policy strategy. The paper discusses how a policy formulation framework based on monetary aggregates can be combined with an operational framework that ensures more stable and predictable short-term rates to enhance policy transmission. It also discusses how to best configure an interest-rate-based operational framework when markets are underdeveloped and liqudity management capacity is weak.



Cash Use Across Countries And The Demand For Central Bank Digital Currency


Cash Use Across Countries And The Demand For Central Bank Digital Currency
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Author : Mr.Tanai Khiaonarong
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2019-03-01

Cash Use Across Countries And The Demand For Central Bank Digital Currency written by Mr.Tanai Khiaonarong and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-03-01 with Business & Economics categories.


The level and trend in cash use in a country will influence the demand for central bank digital currency (CBDC). While access to digital currency will be more convenient than traveling to an ATM, it only makes CBDC like a bank debit card—not better. Demand for digital currency will thus be weak in countries where cash use is already very low, due to a preference for cash substitutes (cards, electronic money, mobile phone payments). Where cash use is very high, demand should be stronger, due to a lack of cash substitutes. As the demand for CBDC is tied to the current level of cash use, we estimate the level and trend in cash use for 11 countries using four different measures. A tentative forecast of cash use is also made. After showing that declining cash use is largely associated with demographic change, we tie the level of cash use to the likely demand for CBDC in different countries. In this process, we suggest that one measure of cash use is more useful than the others. If cash is important for monetary policy, payment instrument competition, or as an alternative payment instrument in the event of operational problems with privately supplied payment methods, the introduction of CBDC may best be introduced before cash substitutes become so ubiquitous that the viability of CBDC could be in doubt.



Fiscal Adjustment In Imf Supported Programs


Fiscal Adjustment In Imf Supported Programs
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2003-11-17

Fiscal Adjustment In Imf Supported Programs written by International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-11-17 with Business & Economics categories.


Using a cross-country sample of 169 IMF-supported programs and detailed studies of 15 programs, this evaluation report examines various aspects of fiscal adjustment in IMF-supported programs. It presents evidence that does not support some critics’ view that IMF-supported programs typically adopt a one-size-fits-all approach to fiscal adjustment, nor the perception that programs always involve austerity by targeting reductions in public spending. The report also proposes a number of recommendations for IMF surveillance and program design in the future.



Monetary And Exchange System Reforms In China


Monetary And Exchange System Reforms In China
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Author : Mr.Bernard Laurens
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1996-09-26

Monetary And Exchange System Reforms In China written by Mr.Bernard Laurens and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1996-09-26 with Business & Economics categories.


In 1978, China embarked on a gradual but far-reaching reform of its economic system. This paper focuses on the achievements so far in reforming the financial sector, the legal framework for financial transactions, the payments system, and the monetary policy and foreign exchange system. It also analyzes the tasks ahead to achieve the goals set in these areas for the year 2000.



Dedollarization


Dedollarization
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Author : Mr.Romain Veyrune
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2010-08-01

Dedollarization written by Mr.Romain Veyrune and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-08-01 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper provides a summary of the key policies that encourage dedollarization. It focuses on cases in which the authorities’ intention is to gain greater control of monetary policy and draws on the experiences of countries that have successfully dedollarized. Unlike previous work on the subject, this paper examines both macroeconomic stabilization policies and microeconomic measures, such as prudential regulation of the financial system. This study is also the first attempt to make extensive use of the foreign exchange regulation data reported in the IMF’s Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions. The main conclusion is that durable dedollarization depends on a credible disinflation plan and specific microeconomic measures.



Maldives Technical Assistance Report Fiscal Transparency Evaluation


Maldives Technical Assistance Report Fiscal Transparency Evaluation
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Author : International Monetary
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-07-23

Maldives Technical Assistance Report Fiscal Transparency Evaluation written by International Monetary and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-07-23 with Business & Economics categories.


Reflecting an ongoing commitment to enhancing fiscal transparency, Maldives is the first small island state, and the second country in Asia, to have undertaken a Fiscal Transparency Evaluation (FTE). The Government of the Maldives (GoM) recognizes the importance of transparency in fiscal management and in delivering on its ambitious policy agenda, while responding to current challenges within a tight fiscal environment. This report assesses fiscal transparency practices in Maldives against the first three pillars of the IMF’s Fiscal Transparency Code (FTC).