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Leading Indicators Of Banking Crises


Leading Indicators Of Banking Crises
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Leading Indicators Of Banking Crises


Leading Indicators Of Banking Crises
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Author : International Monetary Fund
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1998-06-01

Leading Indicators Of Banking Crises written by International Monetary Fund and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998-06-01 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper examines episodes of the banking system distress and crisis in a large sample of countries. The empirical results identify several macroeconomic and financial variables as useful leading indicators. The main macroeconomic indicators were of limited value in predicting the Asian crises; the best warning signs were proxies for the vulnerability of the banking and corporate sector. Full-blown banking crises are shown to be more associated with external developments, and domestic variables are the main leading indicators of severe but contained banking distress.



Leading Indicators Of Banking Crises


Leading Indicators Of Banking Crises
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Author : Daniel C. Hardy
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1998

Leading Indicators Of Banking Crises written by Daniel C. Hardy and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998 with Bank loans categories.




Handbook Of Research On Financial And Banking Crisis Prediction Through Early Warning Systems


Handbook Of Research On Financial And Banking Crisis Prediction Through Early Warning Systems
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Author : Qaiser Munir
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2016

Handbook Of Research On Financial And Banking Crisis Prediction Through Early Warning Systems written by Qaiser Munir and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016 with BUSINESS & ECONOMICS categories.


Addresses the inequity of developed and developing nations from the bottom up through an exploration of current literature, specific case-studies, and data-based recommendations for new crisis indicators. It explores such topics as the Greek debt crisis, electronic banking, and financial crises in developing economies.



Financial Soundness Indicators And Banking Crises


Financial Soundness Indicators And Banking Crises
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Author : Matias Costa Navajas
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2013-12-23

Financial Soundness Indicators And Banking Crises written by Matias Costa Navajas and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-12-23 with Business & Economics categories.


The paper tests the effectiveness of financial soundness indicators (FSIs) as harbingers of banking crises, using multivariate logit models to see whether FSIs, broad macroeconomic indicators, and institutional indicators can indeed predict crisis occurrences. The analysis draws upon a data set of homogeneous indicators comparable across countries over the period 2005 to 2012, leveraging the IMF’s FSI database. Results indicate significant correlation between some FSIs and the occurrence of systemic banking crises, and suggest that some indicators are precursors to the occurrence of banking crises.



Financial Cycles Early Warning Indicators Of Banking Crises


Financial Cycles Early Warning Indicators Of Banking Crises
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Author : Ms. Sally Chen
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-04-29

Financial Cycles Early Warning Indicators Of Banking Crises written by Ms. Sally Chen and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-04-29 with Business & Economics categories.


Can the upturns and downturns in financial variables serve as early warning indicators of banking crises? Using data from 59 advanced and emerging economies, we show that financial overheating can be detected in real time. Equity prices and output gap are the best leading indicators in advanced markets; in emerging markets, these are equity and property prices and credit gap. Moreover, aggregating this information flags financial crisis many years before the crisis. Lastly, we find that the length of financial cycles is of medium-term frequency, calling into question the longer frequency widely used in the estimation of countercyclical capital buffers.



Financial Markets And Financial Crises


Financial Markets And Financial Crises
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Author : R. Glenn Hubbard
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 1991-08-13

Financial Markets And Financial Crises written by R. Glenn Hubbard and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991-08-13 with Business & Economics categories.


Warnings of the threat of an impending financial crisis are not new, but do we really know what constitutes an actual episode of crisis and how, once begun, it can be prevented from escalating into a full-blown economic collapse? Using both historical and contemporary episodes of breakdowns in financial trade, contributors to this volume draw insights from theory and empirical data, from the experience of closed and open economies worldwide, and from detailed case studies. They explore the susceptibility of American corporations to economic downturns; the origins of banking panics; and the behavior of financial markets during periods of crisis. Sever papers specifically address the current thrift crisis—including a detailed analysis of the over 500 FSLIC-insured thrifts in the southeast—and seriously challenge the value of recent measures aimed at preventing future collapse in that industry. Government economists and policy makers, scholars of industry and banking, and many in the business community will find these timely papers an invaluable reference.



Systemic Banking Crises Database


Systemic Banking Crises Database
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Author : Mr.Luc Laeven
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2012-06-01

Systemic Banking Crises Database written by Mr.Luc Laeven and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-06-01 with Business & Economics categories.


We update the widely used banking crises database by Laeven and Valencia (2008, 2010) with new information on recent and ongoing crises, including updated information on policy responses and outcomes (i.e. fiscal costs, output losses, and increases in public debt). We also update our dating of sovereign debt and currency crises. The database includes all systemic banking, currency, and sovereign debt crises during the period 1970-2011. The data show some striking differences in policy responses between advanced and emerging economies as well as many similarities between past and ongoing crises.



Leading Indicators Of Banking Crises


Leading Indicators Of Banking Crises
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Author : Daniel Hardy
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2006

Leading Indicators Of Banking Crises written by Daniel Hardy and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with categories.


This paper examines episodes of the banking system distress and crisis in a large sample of countries. The empirical results identify several macroeconomic and financial variables as useful leading indicators. The main macroeconomic indicators were of limited value in predicting the Asian crises; the best warning signs were proxies for the vulnerability of the banking and corporate sector. Full-blown banking crises are shown to be more associated with external developments, and domestic variables are the main leading indicators of severe but contained banking distress.



Leading Indicators Of Currency Crises


Leading Indicators Of Currency Crises
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Author : Graciela Laura Kaminsky
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1997-07-01

Leading Indicators Of Currency Crises written by Graciela Laura Kaminsky and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1997-07-01 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper examines the empirical evidence on currency crises and proposes a specific early warning system. This system involves monitoring the evolution of several indicators that tend to exhibit an unusual behavior in the periods preceding a crisis. When an indicator exceeds a certain threshold value, this is interpreted as a warning “signal” that a currency crisis may take place within the following 24 months. The variables that have the best track record within this approach include exports, deviations of the real exchange rate from trend, the ratio of broad money to gross international reserves, output, and equity prices.



Early Warning Systems For Financial Crises


Early Warning Systems For Financial Crises
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Author : Asian Development Bank
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2005-02-15

Early Warning Systems For Financial Crises written by Asian Development Bank and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-02-15 with Business & Economics categories.


Since the 1997 Asian financial crisis, East Asia has implemented a number of initiatives designed to strengthen monetary and financial cooperation, bolstering the region's resilience to economic and financial vulnerabilities. One such initiative is the ASEAN+3 Information Exchange and Policy Dialogue, which includes development of early warning systems (EWS) for financial crises. This book examines efforts to develop EWS models. Specifically, the book analyzes the current understanding of the causes of currency and banking crises, describes recent progress in developing and applying EWS models for currency and banking crises, reviews methodolgical issues, assesses the predictive power of EWS models and also highlights areas where further research is required to make these models more effective tools for policy analysis. The case studies apply both parametric and nonparametric approaches to EWS modleing using data from six East Asian countries.